Karl Garrett Karl Garrett 20 DIMER - UL-MONROE WARHAWKS 20 DIMER - UL-MONROE WARHAWKS* Gonna keep this analysis short-and-sweet, as I am sure all you are interested in is the winner in this game.* Take UL-Monroe as the small home chalk.* For one thing, the Warhawks have won and covered their last pair of games - both in conference play!* For another, the home team has won the last 4 in this series.* Finally, Arkansas State is on spread slides of 2-9 overall, 1-7 their last 8 roadies, and 1-6 their last 7 in Sun Belt play.* Arkansas State has been off since their game at Iowa in which they nearly took the Hawkeyes down in Iowa as the 3-TD underdog. I can see the Red Wolves having a hard time getting back up in this spot.* G-Man going with the Warhawks to take it both straight up, and against the spread
FAZZINI
15 Dime -- LOUISIANA-MONROE (minus points vs. Arkansas State)
LOUISIANA-MONROE
Louisiana-Monroe has been exceeding expectations this season, and I expect it to continue its strong play tonight.
The Warhawks, who were picked to finish seventh in the Sun Belt, have won their first two conference games, winning 27-25 at Florida Atlantic and beating Florida International 48-35.
Their only two losses have come at No. 2 Texas (59-20) and at Arizona State (38-14).
La.-Monroe has a strong running game, ranking 15th in the nation with 208.6 yards on the ground per game. It also averages 217 yards per game through the air, so it's not like the team's offense is one-dimensional.
Arkansas State had an impressive showing in its last game, losing 24-21 on the road against No. 13 Iowa and covering as a 21-point underdog, but it hasn't defeated a Division I-A school this year.
The home team has won the last four games between these teams, and the Warhawks covered the spread in all of them, each time as an underdog.
La-Monroe is 3-0 ATS at home, 5-0 ATS when playing opponents with a losing record and 21-8-1 ATS in conference games.
The Red Wolves, however, are horrible ATS, going 2-9 overall, 1-7 on the road, 1-6 in Sun Belt games and 2-8 following a bye.
The Warhawks have way too much offense for Arkansas State to deal with, and Malone Stadium is going to be rocking under the glare of the national-television spotlight. Take Louisiana-Monroe to cover the points.
15 Dime -- LOUISIANA-MONROE (minus points vs. Arkansas State)
LOUISIANA-MONROE
Louisiana-Monroe has been exceeding expectations this season, and I expect it to continue its strong play tonight.
The Warhawks, who were picked to finish seventh in the Sun Belt, have won their first two conference games, winning 27-25 at Florida Atlantic and beating Florida International 48-35.
Their only two losses have come at No. 2 Texas (59-20) and at Arizona State (38-14).
La.-Monroe has a strong running game, ranking 15th in the nation with 208.6 yards on the ground per game. It also averages 217 yards per game through the air, so it's not like the team's offense is one-dimensional.
Arkansas State had an impressive showing in its last game, losing 24-21 on the road against No. 13 Iowa and covering as a 21-point underdog, but it hasn't defeated a Division I-A school this year.
The home team has won the last four games between these teams, and the Warhawks covered the spread in all of them, each time as an underdog.
La-Monroe is 3-0 ATS at home, 5-0 ATS when playing opponents with a losing record and 21-8-1 ATS in conference games.
The Red Wolves, however, are horrible ATS, going 2-9 overall, 1-7 on the road, 1-6 in Sun Belt games and 2-8 following a bye.
The Warhawks have way too much offense for Arkansas State to deal with, and Malone Stadium is going to be rocking under the glare of the national-television spotlight. Take Louisiana-Monroe to cover the points.
DAVIS
15 Dime --- ARKANSAS STATE MONEYLINE
To be honest, the biggest reason for me to release the Red Wolves as tonight's lone selection is the fact they've played better competition and will be more seasoned coming into this contest. Though they're only 1-3 on the year, the Wolves have lost to three teams with a combined 12-3 record and two teams in the top 20. Meanwhile, although the Warhawks of UL Monroe are 3-2 on the season and yes I realize they played Texas in their season opener, I'm not sure they've competed against the same caliber teams overall. In the their two games vs. teams from BCS conferences, the Warhawks lost by a combined score of 97 to 34 and were outgained by over 300 yards. The Wolves lost to Iowa and Nebraska by a combined 62-30 score and their last game was a nail-biter with the unbeaten Hawkeyes which they dropped 24-21 on the road.
Let's just say in the big games, I was more impressed with what Arkansas State did than I was with what UL Monroe did. Shoot, for that matter, I'm not even all that impressed with what ULM has done in their other three games. Let's look at who they've played. Florida International (1-4), Florida Atlantic (0-4), and Texas Southern (1-4, in the FCS, mind you). Aside from the blowout win over Texas Southern (and what else did you expect?), the Warhawks struggled to beat both Florida International and Florida Atlantic... no matter what the scores might say. In fact, in their 27-25 win over Florida Atlantic they were out-gained by over 100 total yards and looked sloppy doing so. Just looking back at some of their games, it's very apparent they don't take care of the football and have more combined turnovers than Arkansas State coming into tonight. Add the turnovers to the fact ULM simply commits too many penalties for my taste and you can see the intangibles clearly favor the road team. Most people will look at this game as an easy win for Monroe because they seem to be able to put up points, they're playing at home and they have a better record. Think again. I believe, top to bottom, the Red Wolves are simply better despite what the records say. I think they prove it tonight, beating the Warhawks 28-24.
15 Dime --- ARKANSAS STATE MONEYLINE
To be honest, the biggest reason for me to release the Red Wolves as tonight's lone selection is the fact they've played better competition and will be more seasoned coming into this contest. Though they're only 1-3 on the year, the Wolves have lost to three teams with a combined 12-3 record and two teams in the top 20. Meanwhile, although the Warhawks of UL Monroe are 3-2 on the season and yes I realize they played Texas in their season opener, I'm not sure they've competed against the same caliber teams overall. In the their two games vs. teams from BCS conferences, the Warhawks lost by a combined score of 97 to 34 and were outgained by over 300 yards. The Wolves lost to Iowa and Nebraska by a combined 62-30 score and their last game was a nail-biter with the unbeaten Hawkeyes which they dropped 24-21 on the road.
Let's just say in the big games, I was more impressed with what Arkansas State did than I was with what UL Monroe did. Shoot, for that matter, I'm not even all that impressed with what ULM has done in their other three games. Let's look at who they've played. Florida International (1-4), Florida Atlantic (0-4), and Texas Southern (1-4, in the FCS, mind you). Aside from the blowout win over Texas Southern (and what else did you expect?), the Warhawks struggled to beat both Florida International and Florida Atlantic... no matter what the scores might say. In fact, in their 27-25 win over Florida Atlantic they were out-gained by over 100 total yards and looked sloppy doing so. Just looking back at some of their games, it's very apparent they don't take care of the football and have more combined turnovers than Arkansas State coming into tonight. Add the turnovers to the fact ULM simply commits too many penalties for my taste and you can see the intangibles clearly favor the road team. Most people will look at this game as an easy win for Monroe because they seem to be able to put up points, they're playing at home and they have a better record. Think again. I believe, top to bottom, the Red Wolves are simply better despite what the records say. I think they prove it tonight, beating the Warhawks 28-24.
gloria peredes lozano
Today this man has 3 picks.....
buffalo +101 nhl 5* big
colroado / Toronto Over 5.5 goals 4*
normal ..( line is now 6 under 20.. maybe wait til line goes down to 5.5 o20 )
Calgary +120 nhl 3* small
I know its posted above but read this email she sent me last night after i emailed her about the Chicago game after the first period..
----------------------------------------------------------
I SENT @ END OF 1ST PERIOD
From: cujo3131@live.com
To: glorialozano@live.com
Subject: Tuesday's picks
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 20:50:00 -0600
Gloria,
Chicago looks VERY BAD tonight!! 5-1 end of 1st period... This game is over!!
This was this mans 5* BIG play? Wow! at least he had philly too. Just some advice you might want to start fading him..
Brian...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHE SENT THIS @ 9:10 pm ET
From: glorialozano@live.com
To: cujo3131@live.com
Subject: Tuesday's picks
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 21:10:30 -0400
Brian, Thanks for advice but i think he knows better then me, he seems to come back in lots of 5* big games. I think he wins it tonight. dont worry chicago will win i have good feeling about this game to. dont know why but i think they come back. not sure about nyj though and i think he will win 2 and lose 2 tonight because ottawa does not look like winner tonight.
thanks again and lets hope they comeback
Gloria ,
:think2:
Who feels confident that a team comesback from being down 5-1 in hockey with only 40 minutes left in the game?? And she said she didnt have a good feeling about Ottawa, It was tied at the end of the 1st when she sent that...
Maybe she sould start picking herself and not pay somebody for the games???
Today this man has 3 picks.....
buffalo +101 nhl 5* big
colroado / Toronto Over 5.5 goals 4*
normal ..( line is now 6 under 20.. maybe wait til line goes down to 5.5 o20 )
Calgary +120 nhl 3* small
I know its posted above but read this email she sent me last night after i emailed her about the Chicago game after the first period..
----------------------------------------------------------
I SENT @ END OF 1ST PERIOD
From: cujo3131@live.com
To: glorialozano@live.com
Subject: Tuesday's picks
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 20:50:00 -0600
Gloria,
Chicago looks VERY BAD tonight!! 5-1 end of 1st period... This game is over!!
This was this mans 5* BIG play? Wow! at least he had philly too. Just some advice you might want to start fading him..
Brian...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHE SENT THIS @ 9:10 pm ET
From: glorialozano@live.com
To: cujo3131@live.com
Subject: Tuesday's picks
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 21:10:30 -0400
Brian, Thanks for advice but i think he knows better then me, he seems to come back in lots of 5* big games. I think he wins it tonight. dont worry chicago will win i have good feeling about this game to. dont know why but i think they come back. not sure about nyj though and i think he will win 2 and lose 2 tonight because ottawa does not look like winner tonight.
thanks again and lets hope they comeback
Gloria ,
:think2:
Who feels confident that a team comesback from being down 5-1 in hockey with only 40 minutes left in the game?? And she said she didnt have a good feeling about Ottawa, It was tied at the end of the 1st when she sent that...
Maybe she sould start picking herself and not pay somebody for the games???
Black Widow
6* W i d o W W i s e g u y CFB Tuesday Night T O T A L-O F-T H E-Y E A R on Ark State/UL Monroe O V E R 52.5(-105 at 5dimes)
Last year's meeting between these teams saw a combined 66 points, including 41 in the first half alone. We foresee another high-scoring affair this time around as both offenses return most of their key starters and both units are better than they were a year ago. Both defenses are very shaky, with Arkansas State giving up 24 or more points in 3 of their 4 games while UL Monroe has allowed 25 or more points in 4 of their 5 games. But UL Monre is putting up 33.4 points/game, including 53.0 points/game at home. Arkansas State has faced a tough schedule with games against Nebraska and Iowa, but they are still averaging 29.5 points/game this season and should be able to eclipse that average tonight. Both teams have excellent balance, with UL Monroe averaging 209 yards rushing and 210 yards passing/game this year. Arkansas State averages 163 rushing yards and 180 passing yards/game. We just don't see either offense getting stopped tonight. UL Monroe is 8-1 (89%) OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons. Take the OVER 52.5 points here.
6* W i d o W W i s e g u y CFB Tuesday Night T O T A L-O F-T H E-Y E A R on Ark State/UL Monroe O V E R 52.5(-105 at 5dimes)
Last year's meeting between these teams saw a combined 66 points, including 41 in the first half alone. We foresee another high-scoring affair this time around as both offenses return most of their key starters and both units are better than they were a year ago. Both defenses are very shaky, with Arkansas State giving up 24 or more points in 3 of their 4 games while UL Monroe has allowed 25 or more points in 4 of their 5 games. But UL Monre is putting up 33.4 points/game, including 53.0 points/game at home. Arkansas State has faced a tough schedule with games against Nebraska and Iowa, but they are still averaging 29.5 points/game this season and should be able to eclipse that average tonight. Both teams have excellent balance, with UL Monroe averaging 209 yards rushing and 210 yards passing/game this year. Arkansas State averages 163 rushing yards and 180 passing yards/game. We just don't see either offense getting stopped tonight. UL Monroe is 8-1 (89%) OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons. Take the OVER 52.5 points here.
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<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>The Millionaires Club</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2009
$20.00 Guaranteed: We are now 776-384 since joining this site! Bottom Line is we win with a different approach to handicapping as we have situations that tell us what the line should be by looking at the teams stats compared to line history! This has proven to be very successful for us the past three years! Today we have isolated an 92% COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOTALS WINNER - $20 GUARANTEED!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>10/13/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>92% COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOTALS WINNER
OVER 52.5 Arkansas St and UL Monroe 8:00 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
$20.00 Guaranteed: We are now 776-384 since joining this site! Bottom Line is we win with a different approach to handicapping as we have situations that tell us what the line should be by looking at the teams stats compared to line history! This has proven to be very successful for us the past three years! Today we have isolated an 92% COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOTALS WINNER - $20 GUARANTEED!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>10/13/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>92% COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOTALS WINNER
OVER 52.5 Arkansas St and UL Monroe 8:00 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
FadeStewTheSquare
Just a heads up on this service, its fading the squarest moron ever to place a sports bet. The guy blows his bankroll every 2 weeks and is quite possibly the biggest idiot in the history of sports handicapping. He buys hooks on every play and doesnt have any fundemental grasp of how to wager properly. Fading him has made me a ton of money. Here are the opposite of his plays for the weekend:
Current YTD Record on Fades 19-6 YTD
Missed posting a few plays over the weekend. He played Dallas and bouth some hooks but not enough t cover the spread. He also played Carolina and the fade went an easy 2-0 on sunday. He got luck on Friday cashing both side and total in the Nevada game. Of course he lost on the Cardinals series bet, so ended up 2-3 since friday(And the fade 3-2).
For today he is on UL Monroe, so the fade will take Arky St +3. This guys is a better fade than Brandon Lang! Didnt even know that was possible!
Just a heads up on this service, its fading the squarest moron ever to place a sports bet. The guy blows his bankroll every 2 weeks and is quite possibly the biggest idiot in the history of sports handicapping. He buys hooks on every play and doesnt have any fundemental grasp of how to wager properly. Fading him has made me a ton of money. Here are the opposite of his plays for the weekend:
Current YTD Record on Fades 19-6 YTD
Missed posting a few plays over the weekend. He played Dallas and bouth some hooks but not enough t cover the spread. He also played Carolina and the fade went an easy 2-0 on sunday. He got luck on Friday cashing both side and total in the Nevada game. Of course he lost on the Cardinals series bet, so ended up 2-3 since friday(And the fade 3-2).
For today he is on UL Monroe, so the fade will take Arky St +3. This guys is a better fade than Brandon Lang! Didnt even know that was possible!
