Service Plays Tuesday 10/12/10

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JAMIE TURSINI

Rangers at Rays
Pick: Rays -110

Stats aside, I think the Rays come through here. They have Texas on their heels, and even though C.Lee is starting. I believe that Texas offensively will be very stiff. They blew the 2-0 lead and failed to get a home win to close it out. D.Price will come throwing better than in Game 1, and I expect the Rays to take it here.
 

ugk

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NEW YORK PLAYERS CLUB
1* Texas/Tampa OVER 6.5
LEAN* Atlanta Thrashers +1.5 PL
 
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SPORTS 'N' PROFITS

1 UNIT* Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays under 6 1/2
1 UNIT* Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red Wings over 5 1/2
1 UNIT* Los Angeles Kings -1 1/2 (+165) vs. Atlanta Thrashers
 
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OC DOOLEY

"1 UNIT" on Tampa Rays (+105) to SCORE FIRST as they can ill afford to let Texas ace Cliff Lee get into a comfort zone which was the case in the opening game of this American League Divisional series
 
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RICK'S PICKS

Tampa Bay/Texas under 6.5
Texas Rangers ML
Atlanta/LA Kings over 5.5 [nhl]
Atlanta Thrashers +156 [nhl]
 
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HAMMERtheBOOK

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL PLAYS
3 UNIT* ROTATION 985/986::TEXAS RANGERS @ TAMPA BAY RAYS (TB RAYS ML -110 @ LEGENDZ & BODOG

NHL PLAYS
3 UNIT* ROTATION 051/052::COLORADO AVALANCHE @ DETROIT RED WINGS (OVER 5 1/2 GOALS @ ALL BOOKS)
4 UNIT* ROTATION 053/054: :ATLANTA THRASHERS @ LOS ANGELES KINGS (LA KINGS ML -172 @ PINNANCLE & SPORTSBET)​
 

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jeff benton tuesday

TUESDAY'S ACTION
10 DIME baseball playoff selection on the RANGERS over the Rays in Game 5 of the ALDS. The Rangers are a +105 undardog both here in Vegas and offshore, and I’ll be very surprised if we see much moviement in that number throughout the day. Note that you must specify Cliff Lee as the Rangers’ starting pitlher. If Lee does not start, this play is VOID!








RANGERS





Here’s what this play comes down to: Whom do you trust more tonight, the Rangers’ Cliff Lee or the Rays’ David Price. I’ll let the numbers prove to you that the unequivocal answer is Lee.





The Rangers’ southpaw dominated the Rays in Game 1, allowing just one run (a solo homer) on five hits in seven innings, walking none and striking out 10. Lee has now made four starts against Tampa Bay this year (three on the road) and he’s got 35 strikaouts against just two walks in 30 2/3 innings (he was a workhorse in all four games, pitching 7, 7 2/3, 8 and 8 innings). Take away one bad eight inning on Aug. 16 in Tampa – he gave up four runs in the frame – and Lee has limited the Rays to nine earned runs in his four starts against the Rays (2.64 ERA).





Going back to a 4-1 win over the Yankees on Sept. 12 and Lee is 4-1 in his last five starts and in those four victories he gave up a total of three earned runs in 30 innings (0.90 ERA), surrendering just 17 hits and four walks with 31 strikeouts.





All those numbers by themselves would justify this selection, but none are as impressive as this: Lee is 5-0 with a 1.52 ERA, a 0.80 WHIP, a .213 batting average-against and a 43-6 strikeout-to-walk ratio in six postseason starts the last two Octobers. If that’s not the definiition of a big-game pitcher, I don’t know what is. Throw in the fact that the Rays are batting just .185 in their last 10 games (.170 against lefties) and I just don’t see any scenario in which Lee doesn’t dominate tonight.





At the same time, how can you have any confidence that Price will step up and deliver in such a pressure-packed situation? Yes, the 25-year-old lefty was outstanding in the regular season and is a legit Cy Young candidate. However, when the spotlight shined brightest in Game 1, Price wilted, giving up five runs (four earned) on nine hits (two home runs) in 6 2/3 innings. Keep in mind this is a guy who went 9-2 with a 1.96 ERA and 16 regular-season home starts, giving up just eight home runs in 114 2/3 innings.





One more point about Price: He’s not fared well against Texas’ stacked lineup, going 0-3 with a 6.92 ERA in five career starts.





Bottom line: The Rays deserve a lot of credit for climbing out of an 0-2 series hole and forcing a decislve Game 5. And yes, they have all the momentum COMING IN to tonight’s game. But you know the old cliché about baseball, right? Momentum lasts as long as the next day’s starting pitcher. Tonight, Texas has the edge on the mound, and anything less than a complete-game gem from Lee would be a complete shock.
 
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LOU PANELLI (NSA)

20* NHL LA Kings UNDER 5.5(100 Dime VEGAS KEY INFO)
20* MLB Tampa Bay UNDER 6.5(100 Dime VEGAS KEY INFO)
10* MLB Tampa Bay -115
 

ugk

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401K SPORTS

Matt Dennehy
2*Tampa Bay Rays

Andrew Bucciarelli
1* LA kings
 

ugk

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B&S PICKS
3* PREMIUM PLAY Texas Rangers ML
3* PREMIUM PLAY Texas Rangers UNDER 6
 

ugk

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MR PROFITS PICKS
LEAN* Texas Rangers/Tampa Bay under 6.5
 

ugk

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SCOTT FERRALL

PREMIUM PICKS
COLORADO AVALANCHE +210 vs Detroit
LOS ANGELES KINGS -170 vs Atlanta
 

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