dave malinski
Top of the Ticket - Tigers/Twins
OVER 8.5 RUNS,MINNESOTA TWINS (Baker) -vs- Detroit Tigers (Porcello)
4* #932 MINNESOTA/DETROIT Over
This will be the 19th game played between the Twins and Tigers this season, and only three of the previous 18 have finished below the ?8? that we see posted for this Total. Of the 18 previous posted Totals, an ?8? was only used three times, all games involving Justin Verlander. Which takes us to the obvious question ? do Rick Porcello and Scott Baker merit this range, even with fresh bullpens? Our answer is no. Neither of these starters bring overpowering stuff, relying more on finesse than throwing the ball past hitters. That is an issue because there is a high degree of familiarity for both lineups ? each starter has made two of his last three starts against this opponent, which means that the bag of tricks has been played through. And it is not as though they have been dominating in those past encounters; if anything Baker has been downright weak, while Porcello has particularly struggled in the Metrodome. This is the fifth time around for Baker against the Tigers this season, and in the first four they got to him for 15 runs on 29 hits over 20 innings, a hefty 6.75 allowance. He has had particular long-term issues with the red-hot Magglio Ordonez (.462 with two home runs over 39 at-bats), as well as Carlos Guillen (.407 over 27 at-bats) and Curtis Granderson (four home runs in 45 at-bats). Meanwhile this will be Porcello?s third outing from this mound, where he has allowed nine runs (seven earned) in 10 innings, on 15 hits and a pair of home runs. And Porcello brings an added issue here ? while keeping his pitch counts low was a big part of why he maintained his physical levels through his rookie season, he worked a career-high 111 pitches against the Twins in his last outing. Baker can bring a similar issue ? his 194 innings is by far a career high, and those five innings that he worked against the Tigers on Thursday required 105 pitches, his highest PPI since the All Star break, and tied for his third high of the season. He was not sharp, but got away with it.
Top of the Ticket - Tigers/Twins
OVER 8.5 RUNS,MINNESOTA TWINS (Baker) -vs- Detroit Tigers (Porcello)
4* #932 MINNESOTA/DETROIT Over
This will be the 19th game played between the Twins and Tigers this season, and only three of the previous 18 have finished below the ?8? that we see posted for this Total. Of the 18 previous posted Totals, an ?8? was only used three times, all games involving Justin Verlander. Which takes us to the obvious question ? do Rick Porcello and Scott Baker merit this range, even with fresh bullpens? Our answer is no. Neither of these starters bring overpowering stuff, relying more on finesse than throwing the ball past hitters. That is an issue because there is a high degree of familiarity for both lineups ? each starter has made two of his last three starts against this opponent, which means that the bag of tricks has been played through. And it is not as though they have been dominating in those past encounters; if anything Baker has been downright weak, while Porcello has particularly struggled in the Metrodome. This is the fifth time around for Baker against the Tigers this season, and in the first four they got to him for 15 runs on 29 hits over 20 innings, a hefty 6.75 allowance. He has had particular long-term issues with the red-hot Magglio Ordonez (.462 with two home runs over 39 at-bats), as well as Carlos Guillen (.407 over 27 at-bats) and Curtis Granderson (four home runs in 45 at-bats). Meanwhile this will be Porcello?s third outing from this mound, where he has allowed nine runs (seven earned) in 10 innings, on 15 hits and a pair of home runs. And Porcello brings an added issue here ? while keeping his pitch counts low was a big part of why he maintained his physical levels through his rookie season, he worked a career-high 111 pitches against the Twins in his last outing. Baker can bring a similar issue ? his 194 innings is by far a career high, and those five innings that he worked against the Tigers on Thursday required 105 pitches, his highest PPI since the All Star break, and tied for his third high of the season. He was not sharp, but got away with it.
Black Widow
6* Widow Wiseguy MTSU/Troy Sun Belt Side SLAUGHTER on Middle Tennessee State +7(-115 Bodog)
The Blue Raiders are ready to stand up to the Troy Trojans in the Sun Belt conference this season. MTSU is already 3-1 this season, beating Memphis, Maryland and North Texas. They have an explosive offense that is putting up 28.5 points/game, 407.2 yards/game and 274.8 passing yards/game. In fact, seven different receivers have caught touchdown passes from QB Dwight Dasher through just four games. This team has the balance that it takes to knock off the bully in the Sun Belt, which is the Trojans. Troy has won 3 straight and 4 of their last 5 against MTSU, so you know that Blue Raiders will be hungry for some revenge tonight. The Trojans are 2-2 this season, with their only wins against 1-3 Arkansas State and 2-3 UAB. Troy is only putting up 19.2 points/game on offense this season, so they are lacking the explosiveness it takes to cover a touchdown spread at home tonight against an improved MTSU team. The Blue Raiders have 16 starters back this season compared to Troy's 12, including 10 on offense. The Blue Raiders are 12-3 (80%) ATS in their last 15 games in October. The Blue Raiders are 5-1 (83%) ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. MTSU has the balanced offense it takes to give the Trojans' defense fits tonight, likely pulling off the upset. Take Middle Tennessee State and the points.
6* Widow Wiseguy MTSU/Troy Sun Belt Side SLAUGHTER on Middle Tennessee State +7(-115 Bodog)
The Blue Raiders are ready to stand up to the Troy Trojans in the Sun Belt conference this season. MTSU is already 3-1 this season, beating Memphis, Maryland and North Texas. They have an explosive offense that is putting up 28.5 points/game, 407.2 yards/game and 274.8 passing yards/game. In fact, seven different receivers have caught touchdown passes from QB Dwight Dasher through just four games. This team has the balance that it takes to knock off the bully in the Sun Belt, which is the Trojans. Troy has won 3 straight and 4 of their last 5 against MTSU, so you know that Blue Raiders will be hungry for some revenge tonight. The Trojans are 2-2 this season, with their only wins against 1-3 Arkansas State and 2-3 UAB. Troy is only putting up 19.2 points/game on offense this season, so they are lacking the explosiveness it takes to cover a touchdown spread at home tonight against an improved MTSU team. The Blue Raiders have 16 starters back this season compared to Troy's 12, including 10 on offense. The Blue Raiders are 12-3 (80%) ATS in their last 15 games in October. The Blue Raiders are 5-1 (83%) ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. MTSU has the balanced offense it takes to give the Trojans' defense fits tonight, likely pulling off the upset. Take Middle Tennessee State and the points.
Ben Burns
Burns' Sun Belt TOTAL OF THE YEAR! **8-1 YTD**
Analysis: I'm playing on Middle Tennessee State and Troy to finish OVER the total. These teams have seen the 'under' go 4-0 the last four seasons. However, I expect that trend to come to an end this evening. The last two meetings have both come very close to going over the total. Last year's game had an o/u line of 49.5 and finished with 48 combined points. The previous season, the teams combined for 52 points in a game which had an o/u line in the high 50s. In both cases, the Tro†jans did their part. In 2007, Troy finished with 45 points and last year the Trojans tallied 31. However, the Blue Raiders averaged only 12 points, scoring seven in 2007 and 17 last season. I expect the Trojans to again top the 30 mark tonight. Only this time, I also expect the Blue Raiders to chip in enough to help the game finish above the number.
Playing on the road and facing a tough Clemson defense, the Blue Raiders managed only 14 points in their opener. However, since then, they've topped the 30 point mark in all three of their games. In fact, they've been scoring progressively more points every time that they've taken the field. They followed up their 14 point effort at Clemson by scoring 31 vs. Memphis. That was followed by an impressive 32-31 victory at Maryland. Last time out, they scored a whopping 37 at North Texas. Not surprisingly, three of their four games have eclipsed the total.
Off three straight victories, it should also be noted that the Blue Raiders have now seen the OVER go a profitable 5-1 the last 2+ seasons, when coming off two or more consecutive wins. Here, QB Dwight Dasher will face a Troy defense which is giving up more than 260 passing yards per game. Note that Dasher has already thrown for more than 1000 yards (with seven TDs) while adding 250+ rushing yards and three rushing TD's.
As for the Trojans, they're still the class of the conference. After a disappointing loss at Bowling Green in their opener, they got blown out at The Swamp by the Gators. Throw that one out the window as the Gators would do the same to nearly every team in the country. They've since responded with back to back SU/ATS victories, scoring 27 two weeks ago and 30 vs. Arkansas State last week. Back home and with the national spotlight on them, I expect a big effort from the offense. Note that the Trojans have seen the OVER go 4-1 the last five times that they faced a team with a winning record.
Both these teams returned significantly more players on offense than they did on defense this year. I expect that to be evident here with tonight's game proving to be the highest series meeting since these teams started having o/u lines in their games against each other. *9 Top Sun Belt Total
Paid and confirmed by me!
Burns' Sun Belt TOTAL OF THE YEAR! **8-1 YTD**
Analysis: I'm playing on Middle Tennessee State and Troy to finish OVER the total. These teams have seen the 'under' go 4-0 the last four seasons. However, I expect that trend to come to an end this evening. The last two meetings have both come very close to going over the total. Last year's game had an o/u line of 49.5 and finished with 48 combined points. The previous season, the teams combined for 52 points in a game which had an o/u line in the high 50s. In both cases, the Tro†jans did their part. In 2007, Troy finished with 45 points and last year the Trojans tallied 31. However, the Blue Raiders averaged only 12 points, scoring seven in 2007 and 17 last season. I expect the Trojans to again top the 30 mark tonight. Only this time, I also expect the Blue Raiders to chip in enough to help the game finish above the number.
Playing on the road and facing a tough Clemson defense, the Blue Raiders managed only 14 points in their opener. However, since then, they've topped the 30 point mark in all three of their games. In fact, they've been scoring progressively more points every time that they've taken the field. They followed up their 14 point effort at Clemson by scoring 31 vs. Memphis. That was followed by an impressive 32-31 victory at Maryland. Last time out, they scored a whopping 37 at North Texas. Not surprisingly, three of their four games have eclipsed the total.
Off three straight victories, it should also be noted that the Blue Raiders have now seen the OVER go a profitable 5-1 the last 2+ seasons, when coming off two or more consecutive wins. Here, QB Dwight Dasher will face a Troy defense which is giving up more than 260 passing yards per game. Note that Dasher has already thrown for more than 1000 yards (with seven TDs) while adding 250+ rushing yards and three rushing TD's.
As for the Trojans, they're still the class of the conference. After a disappointing loss at Bowling Green in their opener, they got blown out at The Swamp by the Gators. Throw that one out the window as the Gators would do the same to nearly every team in the country. They've since responded with back to back SU/ATS victories, scoring 27 two weeks ago and 30 vs. Arkansas State last week. Back home and with the national spotlight on them, I expect a big effort from the offense. Note that the Trojans have seen the OVER go 4-1 the last five times that they faced a team with a winning record.
Both these teams returned significantly more players on offense than they did on defense this year. I expect that to be evident here with tonight's game proving to be the highest series meeting since these teams started having o/u lines in their games against each other. *9 Top Sun Belt Total
Paid and confirmed by me!
Sam Clayton
8-2 this year with 30 dime selections, going for No. 9 today!**
30 dime - DET/MIN Under 8.5
While several people are calling for a offensive barrage today in the Terrordome on national television, I'm thinking otherwise given the drastic one-game playoff atmosphere, one that has historically sailed under the posted total. 'Twas the same case last season as the Twins and White Sox squared off -- the media hyped the over drastically, said we'd be in for a slugfest -- and Chicago prevailed 1-0 at Comiskey Park. Now, I know the teams and the site have changed, but I expect much of the same tonight in the Twin Cities.
In fact, since 1998, there have been four one-game playoffs and three went under the posted total. The lone over was posted in 2007 when Colorado beat San Diego 9-8 in 13 innings at Coors Field, where the ball just so happens to fly out of that park like a meteorite. Given the make-ups of these two teams and the pitching they'll be going up against, I love a low-scoring contest. Sinkerballer Rick Porcello faces a Minnesota lineup (sans Justin Morneau and Joe Crede) that doesn't have much power and Twins' righty Scott Baker squares off against a heavy right-handed hitting Detroit lineup. Not to mention, Detroit's best hitters are struggling, including Miguel Cabrera (1 for his last 15), whose love affair with booze and beating his wife have taken over his ability down the home stretch. Besides, as we've learned in years' past, the pressure has seemed to be on the hitters in sudden death games. I'm sure we'll see many timid swings and anxious approaches at the dish today just like we saw last season with Minnesota and Chicago.
Contrary to popular belief, Porcello has actually turned things up a notch down the stretch. The 20-year-old rookie is 1-0 with a 1.62 ERA his last two starts and against Minnesota this year, he's 1-2 with a solid 3.09 ERA. How's this for an important intangible: Porcello has started four times against the Twinkies this year and the under has cashed every single time. Baker on the other hand has been lights out since the All-Star break, compiling a 8-2 record with a 3.21 ERA over that span. If he mixes his breaking ball and change like I know he can, he'll have a great outing.
I really believe these two young pitchers will rise to the occasion tonight and keep runs off the board. I've capped this one out as a 4-2, 4-3 ballgame and I'd be really surprised to see anything different. This season, in the eight games in Minnesota between these two clubs, the under cashed five times. The 'Dome will be absolutely insane (just like it was last night for Monday Night Football) and I think it'll rattle many of the hitters. And if the ball gets to Matt Guerrier and Joe Nathan, we shouldn't have to sweat it out. It might not be the popular pick, but it's the right one.
Play the UNDER
8-2 this year with 30 dime selections, going for No. 9 today!**
30 dime - DET/MIN Under 8.5
While several people are calling for a offensive barrage today in the Terrordome on national television, I'm thinking otherwise given the drastic one-game playoff atmosphere, one that has historically sailed under the posted total. 'Twas the same case last season as the Twins and White Sox squared off -- the media hyped the over drastically, said we'd be in for a slugfest -- and Chicago prevailed 1-0 at Comiskey Park. Now, I know the teams and the site have changed, but I expect much of the same tonight in the Twin Cities.
In fact, since 1998, there have been four one-game playoffs and three went under the posted total. The lone over was posted in 2007 when Colorado beat San Diego 9-8 in 13 innings at Coors Field, where the ball just so happens to fly out of that park like a meteorite. Given the make-ups of these two teams and the pitching they'll be going up against, I love a low-scoring contest. Sinkerballer Rick Porcello faces a Minnesota lineup (sans Justin Morneau and Joe Crede) that doesn't have much power and Twins' righty Scott Baker squares off against a heavy right-handed hitting Detroit lineup. Not to mention, Detroit's best hitters are struggling, including Miguel Cabrera (1 for his last 15), whose love affair with booze and beating his wife have taken over his ability down the home stretch. Besides, as we've learned in years' past, the pressure has seemed to be on the hitters in sudden death games. I'm sure we'll see many timid swings and anxious approaches at the dish today just like we saw last season with Minnesota and Chicago.
Contrary to popular belief, Porcello has actually turned things up a notch down the stretch. The 20-year-old rookie is 1-0 with a 1.62 ERA his last two starts and against Minnesota this year, he's 1-2 with a solid 3.09 ERA. How's this for an important intangible: Porcello has started four times against the Twinkies this year and the under has cashed every single time. Baker on the other hand has been lights out since the All-Star break, compiling a 8-2 record with a 3.21 ERA over that span. If he mixes his breaking ball and change like I know he can, he'll have a great outing.
I really believe these two young pitchers will rise to the occasion tonight and keep runs off the board. I've capped this one out as a 4-2, 4-3 ballgame and I'd be really surprised to see anything different. This season, in the eight games in Minnesota between these two clubs, the under cashed five times. The 'Dome will be absolutely insane (just like it was last night for Monday Night Football) and I think it'll rattle many of the hitters. And if the ball gets to Matt Guerrier and Joe Nathan, we shouldn't have to sweat it out. It might not be the popular pick, but it's the right one.
Play the UNDER
Tom Stryker's 100% Sun Belt Tuesday Night Super Play
#302 TROY (-) over Middle Tenn St at 8 PM EST
The Palladium Trophy has been resting comfortably in Troy, Alabama for the past three seasons and the Trojans would like to make sure it stays there another year. Troy has knocked off Middle Tennessee State by margins of 21-20, 45-7 and 31-17 in its last three meetings and, with a national ESPN2 audience watching, the Trojans goal is to win one more.
The Blue Raiders won't exactly be an easy out. Since dropping its season opener at Clemson, MTSU has posted wins and covers in its last three games against Memphis, Maryland and North Texas. The Blue Raiders last two victories against the Terrapins and Mean Green came on foreign soil too!
Ironically, Middle Tennessee's last two "W's" place the Blue Raiders in a rare play against situation. Since 1987, conference road teams coming off back-to-back straight up road wins are a soft 7-13 ATS provided their opponent checks in with momentum off a straight up victory. If our guest is battling with revenge, this system crashes to a disturbing 2-7 ATS! MTSU applies to the general situation and the tightener.
With a 23-12 SU and 22-11 ATS record in its last 35 games, Troy has been a reliable investment option. The Trojans have been outstanding in Sun Belt action too posting a sterling 17-3 SU and 15-5 ATS mark including a spotless 7-0 SU and ATS mark priced as an underdog or a favorite of -8 or less last.
Since the start of the 2001 season, Troy has been tough to beat in the friendly confines of Movie Gallery Veterans Stadium posting a powerful 35-5 SU record. Only Oklahoma, USC and Ohio State have better winning percentages than that! With a national audience watching, the Trojans won't disappoint. Take Troy. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
#302 TROY (-) over Middle Tenn St at 8 PM EST
The Palladium Trophy has been resting comfortably in Troy, Alabama for the past three seasons and the Trojans would like to make sure it stays there another year. Troy has knocked off Middle Tennessee State by margins of 21-20, 45-7 and 31-17 in its last three meetings and, with a national ESPN2 audience watching, the Trojans goal is to win one more.
The Blue Raiders won't exactly be an easy out. Since dropping its season opener at Clemson, MTSU has posted wins and covers in its last three games against Memphis, Maryland and North Texas. The Blue Raiders last two victories against the Terrapins and Mean Green came on foreign soil too!
Ironically, Middle Tennessee's last two "W's" place the Blue Raiders in a rare play against situation. Since 1987, conference road teams coming off back-to-back straight up road wins are a soft 7-13 ATS provided their opponent checks in with momentum off a straight up victory. If our guest is battling with revenge, this system crashes to a disturbing 2-7 ATS! MTSU applies to the general situation and the tightener.
With a 23-12 SU and 22-11 ATS record in its last 35 games, Troy has been a reliable investment option. The Trojans have been outstanding in Sun Belt action too posting a sterling 17-3 SU and 15-5 ATS mark including a spotless 7-0 SU and ATS mark priced as an underdog or a favorite of -8 or less last.
Since the start of the 2001 season, Troy has been tough to beat in the friendly confines of Movie Gallery Veterans Stadium posting a powerful 35-5 SU record. Only Oklahoma, USC and Ohio State have better winning percentages than that! With a national audience watching, the Trojans won't disappoint. Take Troy. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Insiders Sports Network Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, October 06, 2009
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INSIDERS COLLEGE FOOTBALL ADDED GAME INVESTMENT PLAY OF THE YEAR
302 Troy -6.5 8:00 EST
Date: Tuesday, October 06, 2009
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INSIDERS COLLEGE FOOTBALL ADDED GAME INVESTMENT PLAY OF THE YEAR
302 Troy -6.5 8:00 EST
Larry Ness' 20* SBC Game of the Month (72.7% CFB run s/Sep 26)-Tue
My 20* SBC Game of the Month is on Troy at 8:00 ET. Tony Franklin was a highly respected assistant at Troy in 2006 and 2007 under Larry Blakeney and then last year was fired as Auburn's offensive coordinator after the Tigers struggled to score points in the early going of what turned out to be a 'nightmare' season for the Tigers. Franklin was happily "scooped up" by Troy's Sun Belt rival MTSU and Franklin's spread offense has got the Blue Raiders believing they can end a three-year losing streak to the Trojans and take the early lead in the SBC race (no one is taking Louisiana-Monroe's 2-0 conference start too seriously). MTSU opened by losing at Clemson 37-14 but Franklin's offense is clicking behind QB Dwight Dasher these last three games. The Blue Raiders beat Memphis 31-14 in Murfreesboro plus then won at Maryland (32-31) and at Nothe Texas (37-21). That's three straight games over 30 points (an even 100 in all) for a team which has averaged just 19.1, 22.8, 25.7 and 22.8 PPG over the last four seasons. I guess Franklins IS doing his job. Dasher is averaging 257 YPG through the air but is completing a modest 55.5 percent with seven TDs and five INTs (nothing special about that ratio). Dasher is also the team's leading rusher 251 yards / 3.5 YPC), as RB Phillip Tanner (714 YR / 15 TDs in 2008) has been lost to a knee injury. Without Tanner the last two games, sophomore DD Kyles has totaled a modest 96 yards (3.4 YPC). Troy opened the 2009 season with an 'ugly' 31-14 loss at Bowling Green (led 14-0!) and then lost at "The Swamp" to the Gators, 56-6 (that game is irrelevant). The Trojans rebounded with a 27-14 home win over UAB and then on September 26, got an impressive 30-27 road win vs a solid Arkansas St team (just lost 24-21 at Iowa last Saturday!). After rolling up 551 yards vs UAB, Troy outgained Ark St 507 to 305, holding the Red Wolves to 13 FDs and just 70 yards rushing on 25 carries. QB Levi Brown didn't win the starting job until mid-season last year but owns a firm hold on it in 2009 and his 355-yard two TD performance at Ark St followed his 24-of-32 for 413-yard effort vs Memphis. Brown will face a MTSU pass D which has allowed its last two opponents to complete 64.3 percent for 288 and 301 yards. The last time out at North Texas, QB Dodge threw 54 times and NEVER got sacked by MTSU's pass rush (excuse the pun!). Expect Brown to have a "field day!" As for the Troy D, it is well-familiar with Franklin's offense from his days with the Trojans and if one were to ignore the Florida game (why not?), the Trojans are allowing 98.7 YPG on the ground (3.4 YPC) plus as mentioned, will be well-prepared for QB Dasher. Troy won at MTSU last year 31-17 and two years ago at this venue, won 45-7. MTSU will be playing its THIRD straight road game (in 18 days) and takes on a team which has gone 37-5 SU at home this decade. Troy has gone 6-1 SU in each of the last three years in Sun Belt play (beaten MTSU each year)- and has opened 2009 with that win at Ark St. SBC Game of the Month 20* Troy.
Good luck...Larry
My 20* SBC Game of the Month is on Troy at 8:00 ET. Tony Franklin was a highly respected assistant at Troy in 2006 and 2007 under Larry Blakeney and then last year was fired as Auburn's offensive coordinator after the Tigers struggled to score points in the early going of what turned out to be a 'nightmare' season for the Tigers. Franklin was happily "scooped up" by Troy's Sun Belt rival MTSU and Franklin's spread offense has got the Blue Raiders believing they can end a three-year losing streak to the Trojans and take the early lead in the SBC race (no one is taking Louisiana-Monroe's 2-0 conference start too seriously). MTSU opened by losing at Clemson 37-14 but Franklin's offense is clicking behind QB Dwight Dasher these last three games. The Blue Raiders beat Memphis 31-14 in Murfreesboro plus then won at Maryland (32-31) and at Nothe Texas (37-21). That's three straight games over 30 points (an even 100 in all) for a team which has averaged just 19.1, 22.8, 25.7 and 22.8 PPG over the last four seasons. I guess Franklins IS doing his job. Dasher is averaging 257 YPG through the air but is completing a modest 55.5 percent with seven TDs and five INTs (nothing special about that ratio). Dasher is also the team's leading rusher 251 yards / 3.5 YPC), as RB Phillip Tanner (714 YR / 15 TDs in 2008) has been lost to a knee injury. Without Tanner the last two games, sophomore DD Kyles has totaled a modest 96 yards (3.4 YPC). Troy opened the 2009 season with an 'ugly' 31-14 loss at Bowling Green (led 14-0!) and then lost at "The Swamp" to the Gators, 56-6 (that game is irrelevant). The Trojans rebounded with a 27-14 home win over UAB and then on September 26, got an impressive 30-27 road win vs a solid Arkansas St team (just lost 24-21 at Iowa last Saturday!). After rolling up 551 yards vs UAB, Troy outgained Ark St 507 to 305, holding the Red Wolves to 13 FDs and just 70 yards rushing on 25 carries. QB Levi Brown didn't win the starting job until mid-season last year but owns a firm hold on it in 2009 and his 355-yard two TD performance at Ark St followed his 24-of-32 for 413-yard effort vs Memphis. Brown will face a MTSU pass D which has allowed its last two opponents to complete 64.3 percent for 288 and 301 yards. The last time out at North Texas, QB Dodge threw 54 times and NEVER got sacked by MTSU's pass rush (excuse the pun!). Expect Brown to have a "field day!" As for the Troy D, it is well-familiar with Franklin's offense from his days with the Trojans and if one were to ignore the Florida game (why not?), the Trojans are allowing 98.7 YPG on the ground (3.4 YPC) plus as mentioned, will be well-prepared for QB Dasher. Troy won at MTSU last year 31-17 and two years ago at this venue, won 45-7. MTSU will be playing its THIRD straight road game (in 18 days) and takes on a team which has gone 37-5 SU at home this decade. Troy has gone 6-1 SU in each of the last three years in Sun Belt play (beaten MTSU each year)- and has opened 2009 with that win at Ark St. SBC Game of the Month 20* Troy.
Good luck...Larry
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, October 06, 2009
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CONSENSUS SUN BELT TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR
OVER 55.5 Middle Tenn St and Troy 8:00 EST
Can someone get Rocco Vincintore NHL?
Date: Tuesday, October 06, 2009
$20.00 Guaranteed: Everything is FUNNY when your making MONEY! We are making the GREEN as we are on a 97-47 run and the Boys are back at it with another PERFECT WINNER in College Football! ALL FIVE of our handicappers are making this play a BEST BET! The Computer Game Simulator gives our team an 89% chance of covering for us! Get our COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONSENSUS SUN BELT TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR for just $20 GUARANTEED 10/6/2009
CONSENSUS SUN BELT TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR
OVER 55.5 Middle Tenn St and Troy 8:00 EST
Can someone get Rocco Vincintore NHL?
