NCAAB Total- GC
On Tuesday night the Free NCAAB Play is on the over in the Wyoming at Colorado St. game. Rotation numbers 531/32 at 9:05 eastern. This series has been dominated by higher scoring games in recent years. Every game played between these two teams have played over the past 3 years. Here in Colorado 5 of 6 games have played over since 1997. Colorado St has flown over the total 8 of 9 times when the posted total is 135 to 140. Their home games this season have averaged 150 points per game this season as they are shooting nearly 50% from the field this year. Wyoming road games have also been on the higher side this season with an average 143 points per game average. The Cowboys shoot a nifty 45% from the field this season. Look for this game to follow suit. Look for this game to go over the total tonight. On Tuesday I have a 100% Sugar Bowl Power angle and our team applies to a solid 93% Power system. In the NBA I have another big 5* play backed with a 16-1 Dominator system, our team applies to 3 solid angles as well. NBA on a nice 5-0 run. For the Bonus Play take the over in the Wyoming at Colorado St game. GC
On Tuesday night the Free NCAAB Play is on the over in the Wyoming at Colorado St. game. Rotation numbers 531/32 at 9:05 eastern. This series has been dominated by higher scoring games in recent years. Every game played between these two teams have played over the past 3 years. Here in Colorado 5 of 6 games have played over since 1997. Colorado St has flown over the total 8 of 9 times when the posted total is 135 to 140. Their home games this season have averaged 150 points per game this season as they are shooting nearly 50% from the field this year. Wyoming road games have also been on the higher side this season with an average 143 points per game average. The Cowboys shoot a nifty 45% from the field this season. Look for this game to follow suit. Look for this game to go over the total tonight. On Tuesday I have a 100% Sugar Bowl Power angle and our team applies to a solid 93% Power system. In the NBA I have another big 5* play backed with a 16-1 Dominator system, our team applies to 3 solid angles as well. NBA on a nice 5-0 run. For the Bonus Play take the over in the Wyoming at Colorado St game. GC
StatSystems Sports NBA & CBB Report, Tuesday 1/4/11
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Memphis might be one of one of the better teams in the league against the spread this season, but they’re still hard to gauge from one game to the next. However, the Grizzlies hope their latest win will help build some confidence that will breed consistency. Memphis pounded the Los Angeles Lakers 104-85 as a 9.5-point underdog on Sunday. The win was just the team’s third win in eight games, but the Grizzlies have managed to cover five times over that stretch.
"We feel like we can play with anybody, and we should have a better record than we have," point guard Mike Conley, told reporters after the latest win. "We've laid eggs here and there, but we're working hard to become a more consistent team." The win was a big step for a club that had just dropped games to New Jersey and Sacramento, but the Grizz will have their hands full again on Tuesday against the Thunder.
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***** TUESDAY, JANUARY 4TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- Heat won its last six games (4-2 vs spread). Milwaukee is 4-2 vs spread in last six road games.
-- San Antonio won/covered its last four games. Knicks won four of their last five games.
-- Bulls won 13 of last 16 games, are 5-3 in last eight as home favorites.
-- Memphis covered 11 of its last 14 games, won three of four at home. Thunder is 9-4 in its last thirteen games.
-- Portland won six of its last eight games.
-- Hawks won five of their last seven games.
-- Pistons covered six of their last seven games.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Toronto lost five of its last six games.
-- Mavericks lost three of their last four games.
-- Kings are 1-5 vs spread in game following last six wins.
-- Lakers lost four of their last five games.
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Miami is 4-4 vs spread if it played night before, 0-2 at home.
-- Detroit is 2-4 vs spread if it lost the night before.
• TOTALS
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-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Milwaukee games.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven New York games.
-- Five of last six Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Memphis games stayed under total.
-- Last three Dallas games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Lakers' last six games. Over is 7-3 in last ten.
• QUICK HITS
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--MILWAUKEE @ MIAMI, 7:30 PM ET MILWAUKEE: 23-11 ATS off a home win. MIAMI: 2-13 ATS in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.
--SAN ANTONIO @ NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET SAN ANTONIO: 11-23 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. NEW YORK: 15-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins.
--TORONTO @ CHICAGO, 8:00 PM ET TORONTO: 20-41 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. CHICAGO: 90-64 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.
--OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET OKLAHOMA CITY: 34-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. MEMPHIS: 4-15 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games.
--PORTLAND @ DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET PORTLAND: 0-6 ATS after a game where their opponent was called for 13 or less fouls. DALLAS: 6-1 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days.
--ATLANTA @ SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET ATLANTA: 7-17 ATS after playing a game as favorite. SACRAMENTO: 57-34 ATS off a home win against a division rival.
--DETROIT @ LA LAKERS, 10:30 PM ET DETROIT: 35-14 ATS in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog. LA LAKERS: 17-30 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games.
• NOTES & TIPS
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--Now the Knicks, once the picture of health, will really be tested, tonight and on an upcoming four-game West Coast trip. Danilo Gallinari will miss two to three weeks with a sprained left knee, a costly blow considering their lack of depth and their vicious upcoming schedule. Gallinari will miss tonight's showdown against the league-best Spurs and the entire West Coast trip that begins in Phoenix on Friday and moves to Los Angeles with a battle vs. the Lakers Sunday. Yesterday's MRI showed no tear but a sprained ligament. The Knicks called it a "mild" sprain, but not as mild as they originally hoped.
--As Jason Terry said on the road trip through the frozen North, the Mavericks wish somebody would run over that black cat that keeps following them. They could use some good news from the injury front. But the way their luck's running, they aren't counting on it. The evaluation of Caron Butler's right knee began Monday, but the Mavericks were not releasing details of his injury and information about the starting small forward's prospects for returning this season may come today.
The best glimmer of hope is that after missing four games with a sprained right knee that has bothered the back of the joint rather than the front, Dirk Nowitzki is closer to returning. He said over the weekend trip that he hoped to be back this week. Whether it's tonight against Portland to start a three-game homestand or later in the week, it should be soon. The Mavericks hope that Nowitzki returns tonight, but he may need more time. Nowitzki has been limited to mostly flexibility, cardio and muscle-strengthening work for the past week. In the games Nowitzki has missed, the Mavericks are 1-3.
--It was a sight the Raptors need to see and want to see and which should provide them with a modicum of solace as they strike out on another three-game road trip. His wonky calf covered with a black compression sleeve, Andrea Bargnani went through his paces in a quiet end of the Air Canada Centre on Monday afternoon, ready to rejoin his teammates after a three-game absence. He can’t come back soon enough for a team ravaged with injuries and carrying the weight of 11 losses in its last 14 games to push it further down among the dregs of the NBA’s Eastern Conference. It will now be up to Bargnani to hit the ground running in games in Chicago on Tuesday, in Cleveland on Wednesday and in Boston on Friday. “I didn’t play for a week and a half so hopefully it’s not going to be a big deal,” he said. “Of course, I have to get back I in shape a little bit and hopefully it’ll be an easy thing.”
--Both guard Kirk Hinrich (thigh) and forward Yi Jianlian (knee) returned to practice on Monday at Verizon Center, and the two said they felt encouraged by their continued progress returning from injury. Hinrich sported a pair of athletic glasses that he said were for protective purposes, not corrective. Hinrich said he had an eye exam and was told he should wear the glasses and that they had nothing to do with the black eye he picked up against the Chicago Bulls on Dec. 22. "Today was the first day with them," Hinrich said. "Definitely not used to them yet, just trying to get adjusted to wearing them."
The only player not on the practice floor was Josh Howard. Andray Blatche rolled his ankle on a fast break late in the 30-minute scrimmage portion of practice that the media watched, but said he would be fine. Yi, who played five scoreless minutes against Indiana on Dec. 31 but did not play against New Orleans, said he hopes to get a few minutes on Wednesday at Philadelphia. "The only guy that didn't really go today was Josh, who is still a little sore so we kept him out," Wizards Coach Flip Saunders said. "Everybody else practiced. Yi is definitely rusty from not playing much, and just trying to get some of the guys back to get some continuity."
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• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** MILWAUKEE @ MIAMI (-10.5, O/U 184) ***
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The success the Miami Heat enjoyed at the end of 2010 has carried over into the new year. Coming off their 11th straight road victory, the surging Heat return home looking to extend their overall winning streak to seven games Tuesday night against the Milwaukee Bucks. Miami coach Erik Spoelstra had concerns his club might become complacent during its current run. The Heat almost proved him right after they trailed by seven points in the second quarter before taking over en route to a 96-82 win at Charlotte on Monday. The Heat have won 18 of 19, but still trail Boston by one-half game for the top spot in the Eastern Conference.
LeBron James matched a season high with 38 points while Dwyane Wade added 31 with 11 rebounds as the Heat shot 48.7 percent and outscored the Bobcats 73-54 after the first quarter. It was the first time the superstars each topped 30 points in the same game this season. “I think we do a good job of playing off each other,” said Wade, averaging 35.3 points on 54.4 percent shooting the last four games. “This is what we envisioned and it’s starting to come true.” While Wade (24.7 points per game) and James (24.8 ppg) have paced the Heat offensively, Miami collectively has held its opponents to 89.8 points per contest over the last 19 games. “We’re having a blast,” James said. “We’re having a good time. We’re playing good basketball.”
Miami held the Bucks (13-18) to one of their lowest-scoring efforts this season in an 88-78 win at Milwaukee on Dec. 6. Wade, who starred at nearby Marquette, had 25 points with 14 rebounds. Though Miami will try for a third straight win overall against the Bucks, it has dropped two straight and four of six at home to Milwaukee. The Bucks are 5-11 on the road, but two of those wins have come in their last three away from the Bradley Center. Milwaukee, however, avoided a third straight overall loss with a 99-87 New Year’s Day home win over a Dallas team without injured star Dirk Nowitzki.
After shooting 34.6 percent in losses to Atlanta and Chicago, the Bucks shot 49.4 percent and scored its most points in eight games against the Mavericks. “In 2011 we’re doing alright right now,” forward Corey Maggette told the Bucks’ official website. “Hopefully we can keep going, we have a few tough games ahead of us. Hopefully we play hard and shoot the ball well.” Five-foot-5 veteran Earl Boykins returned after a one-game suspension to score a season-high 26 points. The 34-year-old Boykins has averaged 20.0 points on 30-of-56 shooting the last four games while star guard Brandon Jennings(notes) remains out after undergoing surgery for a stress fracture in his left foot Dec. 20.
“Earl’s been coming in and putting up tremendous numbers for this team and really holding the fort down, because our star point guard is out,” said Maggette, who had 20 points against the Heat last month. “Earl is doing a terrific job, just coming in and holding us afloat.” Former Miami Hurricane John Salmons who scored 21 against the Mavericks, has averaged 21.3 points in his last three games at AmericanAirlines Arena.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 12; O/U 187
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -12.24
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--MIAMI is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 98.8, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 97.5, OPPONENT 94.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 43-20 ATS (+19.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 97.7, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MIAMI is 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 95.6, OPPONENT 88.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--MILWAUKEE is 22-10 UNDER (+11.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 93.2, OPPONENT 93.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--MILWAUKEE is 10-2 UNDER (+7.8 Units) after playing a game as an underdog this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 89.4, OPPONENT 88.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--MILWAUKEE is 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 90.6, OPPONENT 91.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--MIAMI is 67-96 against the 1rst half line (-38.6 Units) after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.7, OPPONENT 46.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--MILWAUKEE is 38-17 against the 1rst half line (+19.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 48.4, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MILWAUKEE is 39-14 OVER (+23.6 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total is 90.5 to 93 since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 46.8, OPPONENT 48.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MILWAUKEE is 31-12 OVER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where they were called for 18 or less fouls since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 49.7, OPPONENT 51.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
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--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.
(45-16 since 1996.) (73.8%, +27.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (10-51)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.1
The average score in these games was: Team 92.3, Opponent 99.2 (Average point differential = -6.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 25 (41% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
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*** SAN ANTONIO (-4.5, O/U 207.5) @ NEW YORK ***
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Over this past week, the San Antonio Spurs have shut down some of the league’s top offenses during a remarkable defensive turnaround. The Spurs hope to keep this going against the NBA’s highest-scoring team and become the first club to reach 30 wins Tuesday night against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden. San Antonio didn’t win its 30th game last season until Feb. 11, but is now one away from that mark following Saturday’s 101-74 victory over Oklahoma City. Tim Duncan had 21 points and nine rebounds and Tony Parker had 14 points and 10 assists as the Spurs won for the 14th time in 15 games.
Although San Antonio is off to one of the 10 best starts in NBA history and is poised to become the first team since the 2007-08 Boston Celtics to win 30 of its first 34 games, Gregg Popovich wasn’t happy with his team’s defense a week ago. He has emphasized more focus on the defensive end, and the Spurs seem to have gotten the message. They held the high-powered Thunder to a season low in scoring and field-goal percentage (32.9 percent) and limited NBA leading scorer Kevin Durant to 16 points. “I hope it’s an indication that we’re getting better at (defense), because it was impressive,” Popovich said.
San Antonio has had a couple of performances similar to this over the past week, allowing an average of 82.3 points on 37.1 percent shooting in winning its last four games - which includes holding the Lakers to 82 points on Tuesday. This outstanding stretch came immediately after the Spurs surrendered an average of 110.8 points on 50.0 percent shooting in their previous five games. “Hopefully it turns into a trend,” Manu Ginobili said. “We are very happy with the way we’ve played the last few games. Hopefully we just don’t relax. We’ll try to keep it up.”
The Spurs did a good job defensively against New York in sweeping last season’s series, limiting the Knicks to 88 and 87 points in the two games. It could be a different story this time around, however, with Amare Stoudemire powering New York’s offense. The Knicks, 1-9 against San Antonio since 2005-06, have the league’s top-ranked offense at 107.2 points, a 5.1-point improvement from last season, and Stoudemire is averaging 28.7 points in his last three games. “They want to score points,” Duncan said of the Knicks. “They want to get up and down, and we’re going to have to try to control that.”
Stoudemire has also given the Spurs trouble from his days with Phoenix, averaging 32.7 points and 11.3 rebounds in three meetings last season. The star forward had 26 points, including six of New York’s last seven, in Sunday’s 98-92 win over Indiana to lead six Knick players in double figures. New York also came up with a strong defensive effort Sunday, limiting the Pacers to 15 fourth-quarter points in its third straight home victory.
“This was definitely huge,” Stoudemire said. “This was a big game for us. Indiana is right behind us as far as the playoff race, so it was important for us to get this win. We understand how big this game was for us and in the fourth quarter, we played with a sense of urgency and we were able to get the win.” The victory came at a price, however, as starting forward Danilo Gallinari left in the fourth quarter with a sprained left knee after scoring 19 points. Gallinari, fourth on the Knicks with 15.3 points per game, is expected to miss two to three weeks.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 5; O/U 214
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -5.56
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--NEW YORK is 32-14 ATS (+16.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 106.7, OPPONENT 103.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 91.7, OPPONENT 92.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 99.7, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW YORK is 26-7 UNDER (+18.1 Units) after a game where opponent grabbed 65 or more rebounds since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 94.7, OPPONENT 98.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 22-6 UNDER (+15.2 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 97.9, OPPONENT 91.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 94.9, OPPONENT 82.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--NEW YORK is 100-68 against the 1rst half line (+25.2 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.3, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 13-30 against the 1rst half line (-20.0 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 44.9, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 20-36 against the 1rst half line (-19.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 48.3, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--SAN ANTONIO is 43-14 UNDER (+27.6 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 48.9, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 94-66 UNDER (+21.4 Units) the 1rst half total against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 47.4, OPPONENT 43.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY ON - Home underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games.
(29-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.3%, +23.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.8, Opponent 48.3 (Average first half point differential = +1.6)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (46-30).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season.
(35-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.5%, +21.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 203.6
The average score in these games was: Team 100.5, Opponent 95.8 (Total points scored = 196.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29 (61.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (64-41).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites (SAN ANTONIO) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(46-16 since 1996.) (74.2%, +28.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-30)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average score in these games was: Team 97.4, Opponent 96.2 (Average point differential = +1.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 27 (45% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-7).
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*** TORONTO @ CHICAGO (-9.5, O/U 198.5) ***
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While dealing with a sprained right wrist and bruised right elbow, Chicago Bulls point guard Derrick Rose had his worst scoring performance this season against the Toronto Raptors last month. Rose’s point totals have been a little more robust lately, while it’s the Raptors who have been dealing with injuries. The Bulls’ leading scorer will try to help his team win its fifth straight and snap a three-game home skid to struggling Toronto on Tuesday night.
Hampered by injuries, Rose failed to score in double figures for the only time this season in a 110-93 victory at the Air Canada Centre on Dec. 15. He finished with six points and 11 assists, while Carlos Boozer had a season-high 34 points and 12 rebounds. Rose has averaged 24.3 points in the eight games since and had a team-best 28 to help the Central Division-leading Bulls rally for a 100-91 victory over last-place Cleveland on Saturday night. Luol Deng added 23 points, and Boozer had 20 points and 11 rebounds in Chicago’s 13th win in 15 games.
“I don’t care who you are, it’s hard to win in the NBA,” said Boozer, averaging 24.8 points and 12.0 rebounds over the last 10 games. “We’re proud of ourselves for winning, but we also do want to play much better. “We take it for what it is. We want to play a lot better moving forward, but we are winning. We know that for us to continue to win, we have to get better.” Toronto has averaged 107.2 points and held Chicago to 93.2 in winning five of the last six meetings at the United Center following an eight-game skid there. Rose has scored 13.7 points and shot 42.9 percent during the three-game home losing streak to the Raptors.
Toronto lost for the 11th time in 14 games Sunday, 93-79 at home to Boston while playing without three of its starters. Andrea Bargnani who leads the Raptors with 21.2 points per game, missed his fourth straight contest with a sore left calf, Jerryd Bayless didn’t play because of a sprained left ankle suffered in a 114-105 loss in Houston on Friday, and Sonny Weems missed his seventh straight game with back spasms. Bargnani and Bayless are expected to return Tuesday, while Weems will likely be out again. Jose Calderon is questionable with a sprained ankle, coach Jay Triano said after practice Monday.
“We have to find a way to get (Bargnani’s) rhythm back and get him in,” Triano said. “It may be short spurts. He’s tried to maintain his conditioning through this, but it’s nothing compared with games.” DeMar DeRozan has tried to make up for the absences, scoring 27 points against Boston after having a career-high 37 at Houston. Triano, though, said he doesn’t expect the swingman’s role to change when other players return. “When Andrea comes back, we’re going to need them both to score,” Triano said. “We’ll have to get Andrea touches, but DeMar is going to have open floor to play with.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Chicago by 10.5; O/U 200
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Chicago -12
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Chicago -11.52
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 96.9, OPPONENT 93.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.0, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 98.9, OPPONENT 107.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 97.9, OPPONENT 106.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 72-43 OVER (+23.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 96.0, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 35-16 OVER (+17.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 100.7, OPPONENT 109.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 20-5 OVER (+14.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.5, OPPONENT 110.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 2-15 against the 1rst half line (-14.5 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 48.5, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 53-28 against the 1rst half line (+22.2 Units) after a game where they made 60% of their free throws or worse since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.3, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 90-59 OVER (+25.1 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 49.8, OPPONENT 48.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 68-39 OVER (+25.1 Units) the 1rst half total revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 48.5, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (TORONTO) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less.
(31-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +20 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194.8
The average score in these games was: Team 101.2, Opponent 102.2 (Total points scored = 203.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (61% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (40-20).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of <=43% on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season.
(52-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +31.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49, Opponent 50.1 (Average first half point differential = -1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-16).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (482-461).
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*** OKLAHOMA CITY (-1.5, O/U 198.5) @ MEMPHIS ***
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The Oklahoma City Thunder aren’t putting much stock in their last game, a blowout loss to the league’s best team. The Memphis Grizzlies view their last game, an easy win over the defending champs, as something attainable each time out. The Thunder try to regroup from their most lopsided loss of the season Tuesday night when they visit a Grizzlies team hoping to build on an impressive victory. Oklahoma City’s starters should be well-rested after sitting out all of the fourth quarter in Saturday’s 101-74 loss to San Antonio. The outcome was in little doubt early, as the Thunder missed 20 of their first 24 shots and went on to set season lows for scoring and field-goal percentage (32.9 percent).
“They handed it to us pretty fair and square,” Oklahoma City coach Scott Brooks said. Kevin Durant the NBA’s leading scorer at 27.9 points, matched his season low with 16 points after averaging 33.0 points in his final four games of 2010. He isn’t too concerned about the lackluster effort, however, and doesn’t believe the team will dwell on it. “We just got to move on from this,” Durant said. “It was a tough one for us, but the name of the game is that it’s a long season. We got to just move on and push forward.”
The Grizzlies are taking a different approach moving forward. Memphis is brimming with confidence after defeating the Los Angeles Lakers 104-85 on Sunday, its third victory in eight games. “Coming out like this against the world champs should really motivate us to keep playing hard and winning,” Zach Randolph said. “This is really how we’ve got to play in the new year.” Randolph had 21 points and eight rebounds and Rudy Gay who spent most of the past three days in bed with a stomach virus, had a team-high 27 points for Memphis, which led by as much as 26.
It was a surprisingly solid effort for the Grizzlies considering two of their last three losses came against nine win New Jersey and seven win Sacramento “We feel like we can play with anybody, and we should have a better record than we have,” said point guard Mike Conley who had 12 points and six assists. “We’ve laid eggs here and there, but we’re working hard to become a more consistent team.” Improving their defense might help the Grizzlies with their consistency.
By holding the Lakers to more than 18 points below their scoring average, Memphis moved to 14-5 when limiting opponents to fewer than 100 points. The Grizzlies are 1-14 when allowing teams to hit triple figures. Oklahoma City, which averages 103.0 points, is 18-3 when reaching the century mark but 5-9 when it doesn’t. The Thunder took two of three from the Grizzlies last season, averaging 108.0 points in the victories, but scoring 84 in the loss. Durant had at least 30 points in each of those games. These teams meet again Saturday in Oklahoma City.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 1; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -1.37
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 82-57 ATS (+19.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 96.4, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 39-21 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games off a road win since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 99.7, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 101.6, OPPONENT 96.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--MEMPHIS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 99.8, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 52-30 OVER (+18.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.7, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-15 OVER (+16.3 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 100.7, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 69-45 against the 1rst half line (+19.5 Units) off a road win since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 49.8, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 11-1 against the 1rst half line (+9.9 Units) in home games off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 52.8, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 49.9, OPPONENT 49.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 14-4 UNDER (+9.5 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.9, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(33-9 since 1996.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (32-12)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.4
The average score in these games was: Team 100, Opponent 94.1 (Average point differential = +5.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (55.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (MEMPHIS) - off an upset win as a road underdog against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more.
(40-15 since 1996.) (72.7%, +23.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.4, Opponent 46.4 (Total first half points scored = 93.8)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
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*** PORTLAND @ DALLAS (-4, O/U 184) ***
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With a difficult homestand this week, the Dallas Mavericks are hoping Dirk Nowitzki returns quickly. The likelihood of Caron Butler playing, however, appears to be remote. The Mavericks may be without two of their top scorers as they face the Portland Trail Blazers and one of the league’s best scoring defenses Tuesday night. Dallas snapped a three-game losing streak with a 104-95 victory at Cleveland on Sunday, winning for the first time since Nowitzki sprained his knee last Monday.
It was also the first game for the Mavericks without Butler after he went down with a knee injury in a 99-87 loss at Milwaukee on Saturday. Butler may have suffered a torn tendon that could keep him out at least a couple of months. Official MRI results have not been released, and Butler flew from Milwaukee to Dallas on Sunday to undergo tests. “Anyone who speculates beyond that should be very careful in what they do because it could have ramifications,” coach Rick Carlisle said. Butler is third on the team with 15.0 points per game.
While Nowitzki, averaging 24.1 points and 7.4 rebounds, could return soon, it’s not certain if he’ll be available Tuesday. Butler and Nowitzki played a big part in a 103-98 home win over Portland on Dec. 15, as Butler had a team-high 23 points and Nowitzki scored 12 of his 21 in the final quarter. The injuries come at an especially difficult time with the Mavericks hosting the Trail Blazers, Oklahoma City and Orlando this week. However, Dallas hopes to continue getting multiple contributions as it did against Cleveland.
Shawn Marion returned after he missed the previous game with a thigh injury and scored a season-high 22 points, shooting 11 of 16 from the field. DeShawn Stevenson also set a season best with 21 points while Tyson Chandler had 14 points and 14 rebounds. The Mavericks averaged 85.3 points in the three losses and were outrebounded by an average of 14.0. They had a 37-34 advantage on the glass Sunday. “I didn’t have a choice but to suck it up and do what I had to do,” Marion told the Mavericks’ official website. “It felt better today, so I was like, ‘I’ve got to go.’ I didn’t even question it... My teammates were there to support me.”
Marion will try to help Dallas cool off the surging Trail Blazers, who have overcome their own injury problems, including one to Brandon Roy out indefinitely with knee troubles. Portland has won two straight and six of eight. It defeated Houston 100-85 Sunday the fourth consecutive opponent held to 95 or fewer points. Coming off a 100-89 victory over Utah on Thursday, the Blazers had another solid defensive performance against the Rockets, holding them to 14 points in the third quarter and 37 in the second half.
LaMarcus Aldridge had 25 points along with 11 rebounds while Nicolas Batum added a season-high 21 points. “Our chemistry has gotten better,” Aldridge said. “I think guys are really figuring out their roles.” The Blazers may be tested this week, though. Portland is beginning a three-game trip in a place it has lost 12 of 14 and is 6-13 on the road, giving up 97.2 points per game compared to 91.2 at home. “When we are here at the Rose Garden we are consistent,” center Marcus Camby said. “We win a couple and get momentum from it. Then we go out on the road and lose a few. We have to change that.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 7; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -7.80
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 117-75 ATS (+34.5 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 100.6, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 5*)
--DALLAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season.
The average score was DALLAS 100.7, OPPONENT 92.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--DALLAS is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after playing a game as favorite this season.
The average score was DALLAS 99.9, OPPONENT 93.8 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 77-44 UNDER (+28.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 99.2, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--DALLAS is 20-4 UNDER (+15.6 Units) in home games after 3 straight games committing 4+ less turnovers than opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 98.0, OPPONENT 91.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 31-12 against the 1rst half line (+17.8 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.6, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 36-18 against the 1rst half line (+16.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.7, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--DALLAS is 71-46 UNDER (+20.4 Units) the 1rst half total against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 49.4, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 70-47 UNDER (+18.3 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 44.9, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots.
(68-30 since 1996.) (69.4%, +35 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (84-18)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.5
The average score in these games was: Team 107.2, Opponent 97.7 (Average point differential = +9.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 41 (40.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (12-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (47-19).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (60-25).
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*** ATLANTA (-6.5, O/U 189) @ SACRAMENTO ***
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Despite Joe Johnson’s shooting struggles, it isn’t stopping his teammates from trying to get him the ball. Coming off one of his highest scoring performances of the season, Johnson tries to help the Atlanta Hawks win back-to-back road games for the first time since late November when they meet the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday night. Atlanta won for the second time in its last eight road games Sunday, 107-98 over the Los Angeles Clippers. Johnson finished with 29 points, Jamal Crawford had 24 and Josh Smith added 22 points and 10 rebounds.
After being held to 18 points in the opening quarter, the Hawks trailed by as many as 16, but Johnson had 11 points in the fourth as Atlanta went on to outscore the Clippers 37-24. Johnson, who missed 14 of 20 field-goal attempts in a 103-94 loss at Oklahoma City on Friday, shot 7 of 20 on Sunday but scored 14 points at the free-throw line. It was Johnson’s highest point total since finishing with a season-best 34 against Phoenix on Nov. 7. He has averaged 18.8 points on 38.2 percent shooting in nine games since returning from elbow surgery that kept him out nine contests.
“Just as soon as that elbow heals at 100 percent, he will be back into form,” coach Larry Drew said. Johnson is looking to help Atlanta improve on its inconsistent play away from home. The Hawks are a respectable 10-9 on the road, but they dropped six of their last seven before Sunday and hadn’t reached 100 points in the previous 11 games outside of Atlanta. The Hawks will continue their trip—which ends Wednesday against Utah— without forward Marvin Williams who has missed the last two games with a lower-back injury.
Even without him, they shouldn’t have much trouble against the Kings who haven’t defeated a team that currently owns a winning record and are looking to win consecutive games for the first time since Oct. 30-Nov. 1. Sacramento, though, has won two of three after winning twice in its previous 24 games. The Kings rallied from 14 down to beating Phoenix 94-89 on Sunday as rookie center DeMarcus Cousins scored 13 of his season-high 28 points in the fourth quarter and Francisco Garcia added 20 points and 11 rebounds.
“It’s our progress as a team,” Cousins said. “Two weeks ago we probably would have had 10 turnovers down the stretch and they would’ve shot 90 percent in the fourth quarter. But it was a great team effort.” Cousins has averaged 21.7 points and 10.7 rebounds and shot 56.5 percent in the last three games after totaling 13 points while shooting 22.2 percent in the previous three. The Kings are looking to win three straight at home for the first time since a four-game run Nov. 25-Dec. 2, 2009. Atlanta has won five in a row over Sacramento.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 7.5; O/U 190
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -5.66
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 96.2, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 101.1, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 93.2, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 86-54 OVER (+26.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 103.5, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 12-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 100.9, OPPONENT 103.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 123-86 against the 1rst half line (+28.4 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 52.1, OPPONENT 49.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--ATLANTA is 69-101 against the 1rst half line (-42.1 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 46.8, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 6*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 53-27 OVER (+23.3 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 51.6, OPPONENT 56.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 59-38 OVER (+17.1 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.6, OPPONENT 55.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (92-98 PPG), after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.
(67-33 since 1996.) (67.0%, +30.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.2, Opponent 44.4 (Average first half point differential = +3.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-15).
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Stan 'The Man Szumera has been a Hugely Successful Sports Handicapper for over 30 years. 'The Man has learned to see the value in examining historical and recent trends, situational matchups, injuries, travel, weather and the psychological aspect of the mindset of coaches and players, etc. Researching these and understanding their value gives Stan winning angles for his clients and is the key to his success. He maximizes the earning potential for his clients while minimizing risks!
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*** DETROIT @ LA LAKERS (-13, O/U 194.5) ***
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The Los Angeles Lakers insisted they weren’t concerned after losing four straight tight games earlier this season. Their recent play might offer more reason to hit the panic button. The Lakers’ last four losses have come by 15 points or more, a concerning trend they’ll try to stop Tuesday night as they continue a busy stretch against the visiting Detroit Pistons. Los Angeles is 10-9 since a 13-2 start, with a 2-4 record since Dec. 21 considerably more alarming than four straight defeats by 10 points or fewer from Nov. 26-Dec. 1. Los Angeles’ last four losses have come by an average of 17.3 points, with a 104-85 no-show Sunday against Memphis the team’s third at Staples Center in that span.
“We’re not really playing together, and as a result, it’s costing us,” center Andrew Bynum said. “Right now, we’ve got to be concerned. We have to be... Good teams are looking at us like we’re soft.” Whether the Lakers are soft is debatable, but at the very least they seem tired. A 97-82 loss at San Antonio last Tuesday began of a stretch of 13 games in 21 days, hardly what a team whose top six players have been in the league for an average of nearly 12 seasons needs. “We’ve just got to come out focused and ready to play,” Kobe Bryant said. “It’s tough when you have to try to regenerate that energy every single night. It starts individually. You have to look at yourself and try to find things to get you going.”
Los Angeles has averaged just 88.5 points in its last six games, but coach Phil Jackson thinks a better effort defensively will help overcome those offensive struggles. The Lakers are 12-1 when they allow 94 points or fewer. “We have to respond with better energy defensively, getting back on defense especially after turnovers,” Jackson told the Lakers’ official website... “We’re not surprised that (trying to three-peat) has taken a toll. It’s (just) about coming back and finding your way again.”
Perhaps a meeting with Detroit will help. The Lakers had no problem putting away the Pistons in a Nov. 17 trip to The Palace, getting 33 points from Bryant and 25 from Pau Gasol in a 103-90 win in which they led by as many as 26. Los Angeles is 16-3 when Gasol scores at least 18 points and 7-8 when he goes for 17 or fewer. The Pistons have lost 11 of 12 on the road.
Entering Monday’s visit to Utah they’d dropped their seven games against opponents currently above .500 by an average of 14.3 points. Detroit led the Jazz by a point after three quarters but couldn’t hang on, falling 102-97 despite 26 points from Tayshaun Prince. “We haven’t really put together consistently four quarters,” said Tracy McGrady who finished one rebound shy of a triple-double. “We play well for a half or three quarters, but then we always have that quarter that lets us down.” Though the Pistons have lost four straight against the Lakers by double digits, they didn’t have Prince for two of those meetings. Facing Los Angeles seems to bring out the best in Prince. His 19.1 scoring average against the Lakers since 2004-05 is easily his best against any opponent.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 12; O/U 199
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Lakers -9.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -11.89
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--LA LAKERS are 41-20 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 104.0, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 50-71 ATS (-28.1 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.0, OPPONENT 97.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 45-63 ATS (-24.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.1, OPPONENT 97.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 86.2, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--LA LAKERS are 57-34 UNDER (+19.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 102.2, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 69-46 UNDER (+18.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.0, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 11-27 against the 1rst half line (-18.5 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 44.0, OPPONENT 50.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 0-11 against the 1rst half line (-12.1 Units) in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 41.6, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--LA LAKERS are 34-16 UNDER (+16.2 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 51.3, OPPONENT 45.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 55-32 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 46.0, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was DETROIT 41.9, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home teams (LA LAKERS) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog.
(24-5 since 1996.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (24-5)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 89.3 (Average point differential = +13.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 15 (53.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (LA LAKERS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road loss.
(50-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%, +29.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 45.3 (Total first half points scored = 93.4)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (93-65).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DETROIT) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher.
(55-21 since 1996.) (72.4%, +31.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 54.1, Opponent 46.7 (Average first half point differential = +7.4)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (40-12).
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***** TUESDAY, JANUARY 4TH NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL KNOWLEDGE *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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•••QUICK HITS•••
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--Illinois State lost its last four visits to Indiana State 10-4-5-7 points, as home side won seven of last eight series games. Redbirds lost first two MVC games, both by 11 points- they're 1-2 as an underdog this season. Sycamores are 4-1 against the spread as a favorite this year. MVC home favorites are 4-2 against the spread.
--Pitt won seven of last eight games vs Providence- they lost last visit to this building two years ago, but won by 27-8 in previous two visits. Big East home underdogs are 2-0 vs spread in league play. First true away game for Panthers, who beat Maryland/Texas on neutral floors. Friars are 0-2 in Big East play, losing to St John's by 2, at Syracuse by 7.
--Home side is 10-1 in last 11 UConn-Notre Dame games; Huskies are 1-4 in last five visits here, losing by 6-4-6-8 points. Big East home favorites of 8 or less points are 4-1 vs spread. UConn is 11-1, but lost at Pitt by 15 in its only road game- they're 2-1 as underdogs. Notre Dame is 12-2, losing last game at Syracuse- they're 3-2 as a favorite.
--Minnesota won four of last five games vs Indiana, with three of wins by 8 or less points; Hoosiers are 1-4 in last five visits here, losing by 5-19-8-23 points. Minnesota lost its first two Big 11 games- they're 1-5 vs spread in last six games as favorite. Big 11 home favorites are 3-2-1 vs spread. Indiana is 0-3 against the spread as an underdog.
--Northern Iowa lost its first two MVC games by total of 3 points; UNI is 12-2 in last 14 games vs Evansville, winning last seven played here by 13-18-3-11-13-7-19 points. Purple Aces are 2-4 vs spread as underdogs, losing by 34 at Wichita in MVC road opener. UNI is 2-3 as favorite, and is having trouble scoring- they haven't scored 70+ against a D-I team.
--Creighton won 10 of last 12 games vs Missouri State, winning last five in Omaha by 3-22-21-24-4 points; Bluejays won last six games, taking first two MVC games by 11-16 points- they're 9-1 at home, losing to BYU. Missouri State won its last four games, with a win at Northern Iowa. MVC home teams are 6-4 vs spread in league play.
--Home side won last five Drake-Wichita State games; Bulldogs lost five of last six visits here, with losses by 11-5-23-16-23 points. MVC home favorites are 4-2 vs spread, 2-1 if laying double digits. Wichita won first two MVC games by 34-16 points- they've won six games in row, are 3-2 as favorite. Drake is 2-2 as road dog, losing away games by 48-11-16.
--Bradley lost first two MVC games by 14-16 points; they're 2-7 in last nine games overall and 4-8 in last dozen games vs Southern Illinois, 3-2 in last five played here. Salukis are 1-3 on road, losing by 22 at Illinois, 7 at Western Kentucky, 14 at Drake. MVC home teams are 4-2 against the spread if spread is 4 points or less.
--Colorado State won tourney in Cancun, but then got beat by Hampton at home Saturday, very puzzling loss. Rams swept Wyoming by 10-16 points; LY; home team is 9-5 in last 14 series games, Cowboys are 3-2 in their last five visits here. Wyoming is 0-3 on road, losing at No Colorado by 14, South Dakota by 10, Cal-Irvine by 15 points.
--West Virginia lost its first two Big East games, giving up 80 ppg, so this is big game for them, against DePaul team they've beaten four times in a row by 12-12-19-16 points. Double digit favorites are 2-3 vs spread in Big East play. Mountaineers are 2-6 as a favorite. DePaul covered five games in row- they lost first two league games by 16-11 points.
--Ohio State won six of last seven games vs Iowa, winning last four in row none by more than 10 points; Buckeyes are 2-4 in last six visits here, with wins by 2-8 points in last two visits. Iowa is 1-2 as a dog this year, losing at home by 10 to Illinois in its Big 11 opener. OSU won by 18 at Indiana in its Big 11 opener. Big 11 home underdogs are 1-3 vs spread.
--Texas won two of last three games vs former conference rival Arkansas by 11-4 points; young, talented Longhorns won their last five games, are 11-2, 2-2 as a favorite. This is first true road game for Arkansas squad that is 10-2, losing by 9 to Texas A&M, 5 to UAB. Big 12 double digit favorites are 17-13 vs spread. SEC double digit underdogs are 2-3.
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•••SITUATIONAL TEAM POWER TRENDS•••
-------------------------------------------------------
The Stat/Systems Sports Situational Team Power Trends uncover certain situations where a team outperforms or underperforms their normal level of play. Unlike the Stat/Systems Super Situations, all trend records listed apply to the team in question. These trends are great indicators of how teams react to certain situations (i.e. coming off a close win, against division opponents, after a loss giving up a high number passing yards, etc.)
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--N IOWA is 11-0 ATS (+11 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 66.3, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--DRAKE is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DRAKE 72.6, OPPONENT 68.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--S ILLINOIS is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S ILLINOIS 68, OPPONENT 68.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--DEPAUL is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DEPAUL 59.4, OPPONENT 70.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DEPAUL is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DEPAUL 60, OPPONENT 69.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--PROVIDENCE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PROVIDENCE 80.7, OPPONENT 82.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--PROVIDENCE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PROVIDENCE 83.3, OPPONENT 81.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--PITTSBURGH is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=25 free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 74.6, OPPONENT 64.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MISSOURI ST is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MISSOURI ST 65.8, OPPONENT 67.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--W VIRGINIA is 15-37 ATS (-25.7 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less since 1997.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 65.7, OPPONENT 68.6 - (Rating = 3*)
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--N IOWA is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 61.4, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--WYOMING is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WYOMING 68.5, OPPONENT 71.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--CREIGHTON is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CREIGHTON 76.2, OPPONENT 68.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--ILLINOIS ST is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
The average score was ILLINOIS ST 62, OPPONENT 62.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--N IOWA is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 61.4, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--N IOWA is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 50 or less shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 57.7, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--N IOWA is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 59.8, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--N IOWA is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 62.4, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--NOTRE DAME is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NOTRE DAME 64.1, OPPONENT 65.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--COLORADO ST is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO ST 79.6, OPPONENT 76.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--N IOWA is 20-4 UNDER (+15.6 Units) after playing a game as a road favorite since 1997.
The average score was N IOWA 62.3, OPPONENT 60.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--N IOWA is 18-5 UNDER (+12.5 Units) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 61.5, OPPONENT 53.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--N IOWA is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) as a home favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 61.5, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--WICHITA ST is 18-4 OVER (+13.6 Units) in home games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997.
The average score was WICHITA ST 72.3, OPPONENT 68.3 - (Rating = 3*)
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--PROVIDENCE is 5-20 (-24.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PROVIDENCE 82.2, OPPONENT 82.5 - (Rating = 9*)
--MINNESOTA is 4-22 (-23.2 Units) against the money line after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread since 1997.
The average score was MINNESOTA 64.7, OPPONENT 70.1 - (Rating = 9*)
--N IOWA is 21-4 (+21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 64, OPPONENT 56.4 - (Rating = 9*)
--TEXAS is 21-2 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1997.
The average score was TEXAS 80.1, OPPONENT 65.9 - (Rating = 8*)
--BRADLEY is 1-11 (-12.7 Units) against the money line off a home loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
The average score was BRADLEY 67.3, OPPONENT 68.8 - (Rating = 8*)
--MINNESOTA is 2-8 (-18.1 Units) against the money line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 69.4, OPPONENT 70 - (Rating = 8*)
--MINNESOTA is 4-13 (-22.1 Units) against the money line versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 66.7, OPPONENT 66.7 - (Rating = 7*)
--N IOWA is 16-3 (+20.2 Units) against the money line versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 64.9, OPPONENT 57.5 - (Rating = 7*)
--DRAKE is 2-8 (-16.8 Units) against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DRAKE 64.8, OPPONENT 70.4 - (Rating = 7*)
--S ILLINOIS is 6-14 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S ILLINOIS 65.5, OPPONENT 67 - (Rating = 6*)
--W VIRGINIA is 14-2 (+16.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 74.2, OPPONENT 62.3 - (Rating = 6*)
--N IOWA is 22-4 (+18.5 Units) against the money line after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 63.7, OPPONENT 54.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--DEPAUL is 4-17 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DEPAUL 61.9, OPPONENT 73 - (Rating = 5*)
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--NOTRE DAME is 22-40 (-22.3 Units) against the 1rst half line off a road loss against a conference rival since 1997.
The average score was NOTRE DAME 33.6, OPPONENT 34.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--EVANSVILLE is 12-2 (+9.8 Units) against the 1rst half line after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half since 1997.
The average score was EVANSVILLE 32, OPPONENT 32.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--TEXAS is 4-15 (-12.5 Units) against the 1rst half line after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 34.4, OPPONENT 34.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--ILLINOIS ST is 14-28 (-16.8 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ILLINOIS ST 29.8, OPPONENT 30.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--S ILLINOIS is 54-34 (+16.6 Units) against the 1rst half line after allowing 55 points or less since 1997.
The average score was S ILLINOIS 30.8, OPPONENT 28.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--N IOWA is 37-14 UNDER (+21.6 Units) the 1rst half total when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997.
The average score was N IOWA 29.6, OPPONENT 30.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--NOTRE DAME is 32-12 OVER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game since 1997.
The average score was NOTRE DAME 35.1, OPPONENT 34.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--INDIANA is 18-4 OVER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 32.7, OPPONENT 37.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA is 20-5 UNDER (+14.5 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was IOWA 24.8, OPPONENT 27.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARKANSAS is 19-4 OVER (+14.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after scoring 85 points or more since 1997.
The average score was ARKANSAS 35.5, OPPONENT 37.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BRADLEY is 22-6 OVER (+15.4 Units) the 1rst half total off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival since 1997.
The average score was BRADLEY 31.3, OPPONENT 31.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--BRADLEY is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BRADLEY 29.4, OPPONENT 29.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CREIGHTON is 8-0 UNDER (+7.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CREIGHTON 29.4, OPPONENT 24.7 - (Rating = 3*)
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--Thad Matta is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Matta 70.3, OPPONENT 64.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--Keno Davis is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders as the coach of PROVIDENCE.
The average score was Davis 78.5, OPPONENT 80.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--Thad Matta is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Matta 73.4, OPPONENT 59.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Keno Davis is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts as the coach of PROVIDENCE.
The average score was Davis 73.2, OPPONENT 84.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--Cuonzo Martin is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) after a conference game as the coach of MISSOURI ST.
The average score was Martin 66.7, OPPONENT 68.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Jamie Dixon is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=25 free throws/game after 15+ games as the coach of PITTSBURGH.
The average score was Dixon 72.3, OPPONENT 64.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jamie Dixon is 30-10 ATS (+19.1 Units) versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season as the coach of PITTSBURGH.
The average score was Dixon 73.1, OPPONENT 64.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jamie Dixon is 26-8 ATS (+17.2 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=25 free throws/game as the coach of PITTSBURGH.
The average score was Dixon 72, OPPONENT 62.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jim Les is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds as the coach of BRADLEY.
The average score was Les 71.1, OPPONENT 69.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--Cuonzo Martin is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) after 2 consecutive conference games as the coach of MISSOURI ST.
The average score was Martin 66.7, OPPONENT 68.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Cuonzo Martin is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) against conference opponents as the coach of MISSOURI ST.
The average score was Martin 65.8, OPPONENT 67.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Thad Matta is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Matta 69.3, OPPONENT 62.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--Thad Matta is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Matta 75.7, OPPONENT 61.6 - (Rating = 3*)
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--Jim Les is 56-30 OVER (+23.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% as the coach of BRADLEY.
The average score was Les 68.9, OPPONENT 70.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--Chris Lowery is 76-49 UNDER (+22.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins as the coach of S ILLINOIS.
The average score was Lowery 63.6, OPPONENT 60.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--Tom Crean is 34-11 OVER (+21.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in all games he has coached since 1997.
The average score was Crean 69, OPPONENT 73.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--Jim Les is 64-39 OVER (+21.1 Units) after one or more consecutive overs as the coach of BRADLEY.
The average score was Les 71.3, OPPONENT 69.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--Jim Les is 45-22 OVER (+20.8 Units) as a home favorite or pick as the coach of BRADLEY.
The average score was Les 73.8, OPPONENT 66.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--Ben Jacobson is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) after playing a game as a road favorite as the coach of N IOWA.
The average score was Jacobson 58.4, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--John Pelphrey is 14-2 OVER (+11.8 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game as the coach of ARKANSAS.
The average score was Pelphrey 74.1, OPPONENT 82.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--Tubby Smith is 28-10 UNDER (+17.2 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was Smith 62.8, OPPONENT 64.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jim Les is 39-19 OVER (+18.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival as the coach of BRADLEY.
The average score was Les 71.2, OPPONENT 71.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Chris Lowery is 26-10 UNDER (+15.4 Units) after a win by 6 points or less as the coach of S ILLINOIS.
The average score was Lowery 63, OPPONENT 58 - (Rating = 3*)
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• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - Against the Spread Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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4* INDIANA ST -5.5 - (80.6%)
3* EVANSVILLE +11.5 - (74.4%)
3* DRAKE +18.5 - (73.7%)
3* CREIGHTON +2 - (73.5%)
3* S ILLINOIS +2.5 - (73.1%)
--PLAY AGAINST - An underdog (ILLINOIS ST) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record.
(25-6 since 1997.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-5)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.7
The average score in these games was: Team 73.3, Opponent 65 (Average point differential = +8.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (38.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-2).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (EVANSVILLE) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less.
(32-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.4%, +19.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (7-38 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.9
The average score in these games was: Team 63.9, Opponent 72.7 (Average point differential = -8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (38.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (71-49).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 or more points (WICHITA ST) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%).
(42-15 since 1997.) (73.7%, +25.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (6-52)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 16.5
The average score in these games was: Team 64.4, Opponent 76.8 (Average point differential = -12.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (33.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-11).
--PLAY ON - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CREIGHTON) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, with four starters returning from last season.
(50-18 since 1997.) (73.5%, +30.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (53-20)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3
The average score in these games was: Team 73.7, Opponent 69.9 (Average point differential = +3.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 28 (40% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-10).
--PLAY ON - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ILLINOIS) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a combined score of 115 points or less.
(38-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (39-15 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average score in these games was: Team 66.2, Opponent 61.7 (Average point differential = +4.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (45.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-10).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (70-46).
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As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - Over/Under Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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4* W VIRGINIA/DEPAUL UNDER 142.5 - (83.3%)
4* OHIO ST/IOWA OVER 135 - (82.4%)
4* INDIANA/MINNESOTA UNDER 141 - (80.0%)
3* ARKANSAS/TEXAS UNDER 142.5 - (70.7%)
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (W VIRGINIA) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent.
(30-6 since 1997.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 144.6
The average score in these games was: Team 68, Opponent 67.3 (Total points scored = 135.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (48.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (OHIO ST) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games.
(28-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 136
The average score in these games was: Team 70.9, Opponent 72.4 (Total points scored = 143.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (41-19).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (INDIANA) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses.
(32-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +23.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 143.3
The average score in these games was: Team 64.2, Opponent 71.3 (Total points scored = 135.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (55% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (44-22).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a good pressure defensive team (>=17.5 TO's).
(53-22 since 1997.) (70.7%, +28.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 144
The average score in these games was: Team 71.6, Opponent 68.4 (Total points scored = 140)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 37 (50.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-12).
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Stat/Systems Sports is renowned for providing the most comprehensive game information on the Internet to date. Our popular Stat/Sheets, along with our daily Stat/Systems Reports are packed with proprietary handicapping tools that benefit everyone from the beginning bettor to the most advanced self-handicapper. “Providing Unprecedented Handicapping Content is what Stat/Systems Sports is all about, call us toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 and start winning today, you’ll be real glad you did” -Stan 'The Man!
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• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF ATS SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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4* IOWA +7.5 - (84.6%)
3* MISSOURI ST -1 - (76.0%)
3* DRAKE +10.5 - (73.4%)
3* ARKANSAS +6 - (72.3%)
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (OHIO ST) - an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more.
(22-4 since 1997.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.1, Opponent 32.2 (Average first half point differential = -2.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (CREIGHTON) - good defensive team - allowing <=64 points/game on the season, after allowing 60 points or less 5 straight games.
(38-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.0%, +24.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.3, Opponent 25.4 (Average first half point differential = +4.8)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (76-53).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (WICHITA ST) - an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games.
(47-17 since 1997.) (73.4%, +28.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.1, Opponent 35.8 (Average first half point differential = -5.7)
The situation's record this season is: (3-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-10).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (ARKANSAS) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two top-level teams (>= 80%).
(34-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +19.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.8, Opponent 35.3 (Average first half point differential = -4.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (60-51).
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STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 1/4/11
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Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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••• CONFIDENCE BUILDER! •••
----------------------------------------
Memphis might be one of one of the better teams in the league against the spread this season, but they’re still hard to gauge from one game to the next. However, the Grizzlies hope their latest win will help build some confidence that will breed consistency. Memphis pounded the Los Angeles Lakers 104-85 as a 9.5-point underdog on Sunday. The win was just the team’s third win in eight games, but the Grizzlies have managed to cover five times over that stretch.
"We feel like we can play with anybody, and we should have a better record than we have," point guard Mike Conley, told reporters after the latest win. "We've laid eggs here and there, but we're working hard to become a more consistent team." The win was a big step for a club that had just dropped games to New Jersey and Sacramento, but the Grizz will have their hands full again on Tuesday against the Thunder.
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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NOTE: All New Website Coming Soon!
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***** TUESDAY, JANUARY 4TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Heat won its last six games (4-2 vs spread). Milwaukee is 4-2 vs spread in last six road games.
-- San Antonio won/covered its last four games. Knicks won four of their last five games.
-- Bulls won 13 of last 16 games, are 5-3 in last eight as home favorites.
-- Memphis covered 11 of its last 14 games, won three of four at home. Thunder is 9-4 in its last thirteen games.
-- Portland won six of its last eight games.
-- Hawks won five of their last seven games.
-- Pistons covered six of their last seven games.
• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Toronto lost five of its last six games.
-- Mavericks lost three of their last four games.
-- Kings are 1-5 vs spread in game following last six wins.
-- Lakers lost four of their last five games.
• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- Miami is 4-4 vs spread if it played night before, 0-2 at home.
-- Detroit is 2-4 vs spread if it lost the night before.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Milwaukee games.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven New York games.
-- Five of last six Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Memphis games stayed under total.
-- Last three Dallas games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Lakers' last six games. Over is 7-3 in last ten.
• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--MILWAUKEE @ MIAMI, 7:30 PM ET MILWAUKEE: 23-11 ATS off a home win. MIAMI: 2-13 ATS in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.
--SAN ANTONIO @ NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET SAN ANTONIO: 11-23 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. NEW YORK: 15-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins.
--TORONTO @ CHICAGO, 8:00 PM ET TORONTO: 20-41 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. CHICAGO: 90-64 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.
--OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET OKLAHOMA CITY: 34-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. MEMPHIS: 4-15 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games.
--PORTLAND @ DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET PORTLAND: 0-6 ATS after a game where their opponent was called for 13 or less fouls. DALLAS: 6-1 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days.
--ATLANTA @ SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET ATLANTA: 7-17 ATS after playing a game as favorite. SACRAMENTO: 57-34 ATS off a home win against a division rival.
--DETROIT @ LA LAKERS, 10:30 PM ET DETROIT: 35-14 ATS in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog. LA LAKERS: 17-30 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games.
• NOTES & TIPS
--------------------
--Now the Knicks, once the picture of health, will really be tested, tonight and on an upcoming four-game West Coast trip. Danilo Gallinari will miss two to three weeks with a sprained left knee, a costly blow considering their lack of depth and their vicious upcoming schedule. Gallinari will miss tonight's showdown against the league-best Spurs and the entire West Coast trip that begins in Phoenix on Friday and moves to Los Angeles with a battle vs. the Lakers Sunday. Yesterday's MRI showed no tear but a sprained ligament. The Knicks called it a "mild" sprain, but not as mild as they originally hoped.
--As Jason Terry said on the road trip through the frozen North, the Mavericks wish somebody would run over that black cat that keeps following them. They could use some good news from the injury front. But the way their luck's running, they aren't counting on it. The evaluation of Caron Butler's right knee began Monday, but the Mavericks were not releasing details of his injury and information about the starting small forward's prospects for returning this season may come today.
The best glimmer of hope is that after missing four games with a sprained right knee that has bothered the back of the joint rather than the front, Dirk Nowitzki is closer to returning. He said over the weekend trip that he hoped to be back this week. Whether it's tonight against Portland to start a three-game homestand or later in the week, it should be soon. The Mavericks hope that Nowitzki returns tonight, but he may need more time. Nowitzki has been limited to mostly flexibility, cardio and muscle-strengthening work for the past week. In the games Nowitzki has missed, the Mavericks are 1-3.
--It was a sight the Raptors need to see and want to see and which should provide them with a modicum of solace as they strike out on another three-game road trip. His wonky calf covered with a black compression sleeve, Andrea Bargnani went through his paces in a quiet end of the Air Canada Centre on Monday afternoon, ready to rejoin his teammates after a three-game absence. He can’t come back soon enough for a team ravaged with injuries and carrying the weight of 11 losses in its last 14 games to push it further down among the dregs of the NBA’s Eastern Conference. It will now be up to Bargnani to hit the ground running in games in Chicago on Tuesday, in Cleveland on Wednesday and in Boston on Friday. “I didn’t play for a week and a half so hopefully it’s not going to be a big deal,” he said. “Of course, I have to get back I in shape a little bit and hopefully it’ll be an easy thing.”
--Both guard Kirk Hinrich (thigh) and forward Yi Jianlian (knee) returned to practice on Monday at Verizon Center, and the two said they felt encouraged by their continued progress returning from injury. Hinrich sported a pair of athletic glasses that he said were for protective purposes, not corrective. Hinrich said he had an eye exam and was told he should wear the glasses and that they had nothing to do with the black eye he picked up against the Chicago Bulls on Dec. 22. "Today was the first day with them," Hinrich said. "Definitely not used to them yet, just trying to get adjusted to wearing them."
The only player not on the practice floor was Josh Howard. Andray Blatche rolled his ankle on a fast break late in the 30-minute scrimmage portion of practice that the media watched, but said he would be fine. Yi, who played five scoreless minutes against Indiana on Dec. 31 but did not play against New Orleans, said he hopes to get a few minutes on Wednesday at Philadelphia. "The only guy that didn't really go today was Josh, who is still a little sore so we kept him out," Wizards Coach Flip Saunders said. "Everybody else practiced. Yi is definitely rusty from not playing much, and just trying to get some of the guys back to get some continuity."
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• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** MILWAUKEE @ MIAMI (-10.5, O/U 184) ***
------------------------------------------------------------
The success the Miami Heat enjoyed at the end of 2010 has carried over into the new year. Coming off their 11th straight road victory, the surging Heat return home looking to extend their overall winning streak to seven games Tuesday night against the Milwaukee Bucks. Miami coach Erik Spoelstra had concerns his club might become complacent during its current run. The Heat almost proved him right after they trailed by seven points in the second quarter before taking over en route to a 96-82 win at Charlotte on Monday. The Heat have won 18 of 19, but still trail Boston by one-half game for the top spot in the Eastern Conference.
LeBron James matched a season high with 38 points while Dwyane Wade added 31 with 11 rebounds as the Heat shot 48.7 percent and outscored the Bobcats 73-54 after the first quarter. It was the first time the superstars each topped 30 points in the same game this season. “I think we do a good job of playing off each other,” said Wade, averaging 35.3 points on 54.4 percent shooting the last four games. “This is what we envisioned and it’s starting to come true.” While Wade (24.7 points per game) and James (24.8 ppg) have paced the Heat offensively, Miami collectively has held its opponents to 89.8 points per contest over the last 19 games. “We’re having a blast,” James said. “We’re having a good time. We’re playing good basketball.”
Miami held the Bucks (13-18) to one of their lowest-scoring efforts this season in an 88-78 win at Milwaukee on Dec. 6. Wade, who starred at nearby Marquette, had 25 points with 14 rebounds. Though Miami will try for a third straight win overall against the Bucks, it has dropped two straight and four of six at home to Milwaukee. The Bucks are 5-11 on the road, but two of those wins have come in their last three away from the Bradley Center. Milwaukee, however, avoided a third straight overall loss with a 99-87 New Year’s Day home win over a Dallas team without injured star Dirk Nowitzki.
After shooting 34.6 percent in losses to Atlanta and Chicago, the Bucks shot 49.4 percent and scored its most points in eight games against the Mavericks. “In 2011 we’re doing alright right now,” forward Corey Maggette told the Bucks’ official website. “Hopefully we can keep going, we have a few tough games ahead of us. Hopefully we play hard and shoot the ball well.” Five-foot-5 veteran Earl Boykins returned after a one-game suspension to score a season-high 26 points. The 34-year-old Boykins has averaged 20.0 points on 30-of-56 shooting the last four games while star guard Brandon Jennings(notes) remains out after undergoing surgery for a stress fracture in his left foot Dec. 20.
“Earl’s been coming in and putting up tremendous numbers for this team and really holding the fort down, because our star point guard is out,” said Maggette, who had 20 points against the Heat last month. “Earl is doing a terrific job, just coming in and holding us afloat.” Former Miami Hurricane John Salmons who scored 21 against the Mavericks, has averaged 21.3 points in his last three games at AmericanAirlines Arena.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 12; O/U 187
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -12.24
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 98.8, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 97.5, OPPONENT 94.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 43-20 ATS (+19.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 97.7, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 95.6, OPPONENT 88.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--MILWAUKEE is 22-10 UNDER (+11.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 93.2, OPPONENT 93.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--MILWAUKEE is 10-2 UNDER (+7.8 Units) after playing a game as an underdog this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 89.4, OPPONENT 88.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--MILWAUKEE is 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 90.6, OPPONENT 91.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 67-96 against the 1rst half line (-38.6 Units) after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.7, OPPONENT 46.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--MILWAUKEE is 38-17 against the 1rst half line (+19.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 48.4, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 39-14 OVER (+23.6 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total is 90.5 to 93 since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 46.8, OPPONENT 48.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MILWAUKEE is 31-12 OVER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where they were called for 18 or less fouls since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 49.7, OPPONENT 51.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.
(45-16 since 1996.) (73.8%, +27.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (10-51)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.1
The average score in these games was: Team 92.3, Opponent 99.2 (Average point differential = -6.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 25 (41% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** SAN ANTONIO (-4.5, O/U 207.5) @ NEW YORK ***
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Over this past week, the San Antonio Spurs have shut down some of the league’s top offenses during a remarkable defensive turnaround. The Spurs hope to keep this going against the NBA’s highest-scoring team and become the first club to reach 30 wins Tuesday night against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden. San Antonio didn’t win its 30th game last season until Feb. 11, but is now one away from that mark following Saturday’s 101-74 victory over Oklahoma City. Tim Duncan had 21 points and nine rebounds and Tony Parker had 14 points and 10 assists as the Spurs won for the 14th time in 15 games.
Although San Antonio is off to one of the 10 best starts in NBA history and is poised to become the first team since the 2007-08 Boston Celtics to win 30 of its first 34 games, Gregg Popovich wasn’t happy with his team’s defense a week ago. He has emphasized more focus on the defensive end, and the Spurs seem to have gotten the message. They held the high-powered Thunder to a season low in scoring and field-goal percentage (32.9 percent) and limited NBA leading scorer Kevin Durant to 16 points. “I hope it’s an indication that we’re getting better at (defense), because it was impressive,” Popovich said.
San Antonio has had a couple of performances similar to this over the past week, allowing an average of 82.3 points on 37.1 percent shooting in winning its last four games - which includes holding the Lakers to 82 points on Tuesday. This outstanding stretch came immediately after the Spurs surrendered an average of 110.8 points on 50.0 percent shooting in their previous five games. “Hopefully it turns into a trend,” Manu Ginobili said. “We are very happy with the way we’ve played the last few games. Hopefully we just don’t relax. We’ll try to keep it up.”
The Spurs did a good job defensively against New York in sweeping last season’s series, limiting the Knicks to 88 and 87 points in the two games. It could be a different story this time around, however, with Amare Stoudemire powering New York’s offense. The Knicks, 1-9 against San Antonio since 2005-06, have the league’s top-ranked offense at 107.2 points, a 5.1-point improvement from last season, and Stoudemire is averaging 28.7 points in his last three games. “They want to score points,” Duncan said of the Knicks. “They want to get up and down, and we’re going to have to try to control that.”
Stoudemire has also given the Spurs trouble from his days with Phoenix, averaging 32.7 points and 11.3 rebounds in three meetings last season. The star forward had 26 points, including six of New York’s last seven, in Sunday’s 98-92 win over Indiana to lead six Knick players in double figures. New York also came up with a strong defensive effort Sunday, limiting the Pacers to 15 fourth-quarter points in its third straight home victory.
“This was definitely huge,” Stoudemire said. “This was a big game for us. Indiana is right behind us as far as the playoff race, so it was important for us to get this win. We understand how big this game was for us and in the fourth quarter, we played with a sense of urgency and we were able to get the win.” The victory came at a price, however, as starting forward Danilo Gallinari left in the fourth quarter with a sprained left knee after scoring 19 points. Gallinari, fourth on the Knicks with 15.3 points per game, is expected to miss two to three weeks.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 5; O/U 214
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -5.56
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 32-14 ATS (+16.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 106.7, OPPONENT 103.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 91.7, OPPONENT 92.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 99.7, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 26-7 UNDER (+18.1 Units) after a game where opponent grabbed 65 or more rebounds since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 94.7, OPPONENT 98.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 22-6 UNDER (+15.2 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 97.9, OPPONENT 91.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 94.9, OPPONENT 82.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 100-68 against the 1rst half line (+25.2 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.3, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 13-30 against the 1rst half line (-20.0 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 44.9, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 20-36 against the 1rst half line (-19.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 48.3, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 43-14 UNDER (+27.6 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 48.9, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 94-66 UNDER (+21.4 Units) the 1rst half total against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 47.4, OPPONENT 43.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games.
(29-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.3%, +23.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.8, Opponent 48.3 (Average first half point differential = +1.6)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (46-30).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season.
(35-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.5%, +21.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 203.6
The average score in these games was: Team 100.5, Opponent 95.8 (Total points scored = 196.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29 (61.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (64-41).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites (SAN ANTONIO) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(46-16 since 1996.) (74.2%, +28.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-30)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average score in these games was: Team 97.4, Opponent 96.2 (Average point differential = +1.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 27 (45% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-7).
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*** TORONTO @ CHICAGO (-9.5, O/U 198.5) ***
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While dealing with a sprained right wrist and bruised right elbow, Chicago Bulls point guard Derrick Rose had his worst scoring performance this season against the Toronto Raptors last month. Rose’s point totals have been a little more robust lately, while it’s the Raptors who have been dealing with injuries. The Bulls’ leading scorer will try to help his team win its fifth straight and snap a three-game home skid to struggling Toronto on Tuesday night.
Hampered by injuries, Rose failed to score in double figures for the only time this season in a 110-93 victory at the Air Canada Centre on Dec. 15. He finished with six points and 11 assists, while Carlos Boozer had a season-high 34 points and 12 rebounds. Rose has averaged 24.3 points in the eight games since and had a team-best 28 to help the Central Division-leading Bulls rally for a 100-91 victory over last-place Cleveland on Saturday night. Luol Deng added 23 points, and Boozer had 20 points and 11 rebounds in Chicago’s 13th win in 15 games.
“I don’t care who you are, it’s hard to win in the NBA,” said Boozer, averaging 24.8 points and 12.0 rebounds over the last 10 games. “We’re proud of ourselves for winning, but we also do want to play much better. “We take it for what it is. We want to play a lot better moving forward, but we are winning. We know that for us to continue to win, we have to get better.” Toronto has averaged 107.2 points and held Chicago to 93.2 in winning five of the last six meetings at the United Center following an eight-game skid there. Rose has scored 13.7 points and shot 42.9 percent during the three-game home losing streak to the Raptors.
Toronto lost for the 11th time in 14 games Sunday, 93-79 at home to Boston while playing without three of its starters. Andrea Bargnani who leads the Raptors with 21.2 points per game, missed his fourth straight contest with a sore left calf, Jerryd Bayless didn’t play because of a sprained left ankle suffered in a 114-105 loss in Houston on Friday, and Sonny Weems missed his seventh straight game with back spasms. Bargnani and Bayless are expected to return Tuesday, while Weems will likely be out again. Jose Calderon is questionable with a sprained ankle, coach Jay Triano said after practice Monday.
“We have to find a way to get (Bargnani’s) rhythm back and get him in,” Triano said. “It may be short spurts. He’s tried to maintain his conditioning through this, but it’s nothing compared with games.” DeMar DeRozan has tried to make up for the absences, scoring 27 points against Boston after having a career-high 37 at Houston. Triano, though, said he doesn’t expect the swingman’s role to change when other players return. “When Andrea comes back, we’re going to need them both to score,” Triano said. “We’ll have to get Andrea touches, but DeMar is going to have open floor to play with.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Chicago by 10.5; O/U 200
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Chicago -12
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Chicago -11.52
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 96.9, OPPONENT 93.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.0, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 98.9, OPPONENT 107.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 97.9, OPPONENT 106.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 72-43 OVER (+23.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 96.0, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 35-16 OVER (+17.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 100.7, OPPONENT 109.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 20-5 OVER (+14.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.5, OPPONENT 110.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 2-15 against the 1rst half line (-14.5 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 48.5, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 53-28 against the 1rst half line (+22.2 Units) after a game where they made 60% of their free throws or worse since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.3, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 90-59 OVER (+25.1 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 49.8, OPPONENT 48.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 68-39 OVER (+25.1 Units) the 1rst half total revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 48.5, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (TORONTO) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less.
(31-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +20 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194.8
The average score in these games was: Team 101.2, Opponent 102.2 (Total points scored = 203.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (61% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (40-20).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of <=43% on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season.
(52-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +31.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49, Opponent 50.1 (Average first half point differential = -1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-16).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (482-461).
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*** OKLAHOMA CITY (-1.5, O/U 198.5) @ MEMPHIS ***
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The Oklahoma City Thunder aren’t putting much stock in their last game, a blowout loss to the league’s best team. The Memphis Grizzlies view their last game, an easy win over the defending champs, as something attainable each time out. The Thunder try to regroup from their most lopsided loss of the season Tuesday night when they visit a Grizzlies team hoping to build on an impressive victory. Oklahoma City’s starters should be well-rested after sitting out all of the fourth quarter in Saturday’s 101-74 loss to San Antonio. The outcome was in little doubt early, as the Thunder missed 20 of their first 24 shots and went on to set season lows for scoring and field-goal percentage (32.9 percent).
“They handed it to us pretty fair and square,” Oklahoma City coach Scott Brooks said. Kevin Durant the NBA’s leading scorer at 27.9 points, matched his season low with 16 points after averaging 33.0 points in his final four games of 2010. He isn’t too concerned about the lackluster effort, however, and doesn’t believe the team will dwell on it. “We just got to move on from this,” Durant said. “It was a tough one for us, but the name of the game is that it’s a long season. We got to just move on and push forward.”
The Grizzlies are taking a different approach moving forward. Memphis is brimming with confidence after defeating the Los Angeles Lakers 104-85 on Sunday, its third victory in eight games. “Coming out like this against the world champs should really motivate us to keep playing hard and winning,” Zach Randolph said. “This is really how we’ve got to play in the new year.” Randolph had 21 points and eight rebounds and Rudy Gay who spent most of the past three days in bed with a stomach virus, had a team-high 27 points for Memphis, which led by as much as 26.
It was a surprisingly solid effort for the Grizzlies considering two of their last three losses came against nine win New Jersey and seven win Sacramento “We feel like we can play with anybody, and we should have a better record than we have,” said point guard Mike Conley who had 12 points and six assists. “We’ve laid eggs here and there, but we’re working hard to become a more consistent team.” Improving their defense might help the Grizzlies with their consistency.
By holding the Lakers to more than 18 points below their scoring average, Memphis moved to 14-5 when limiting opponents to fewer than 100 points. The Grizzlies are 1-14 when allowing teams to hit triple figures. Oklahoma City, which averages 103.0 points, is 18-3 when reaching the century mark but 5-9 when it doesn’t. The Thunder took two of three from the Grizzlies last season, averaging 108.0 points in the victories, but scoring 84 in the loss. Durant had at least 30 points in each of those games. These teams meet again Saturday in Oklahoma City.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 1; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -1.37
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 82-57 ATS (+19.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 96.4, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 39-21 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games off a road win since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 99.7, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 101.6, OPPONENT 96.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--MEMPHIS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 99.8, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 52-30 OVER (+18.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.7, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-15 OVER (+16.3 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 100.7, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 69-45 against the 1rst half line (+19.5 Units) off a road win since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 49.8, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 11-1 against the 1rst half line (+9.9 Units) in home games off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 52.8, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MEMPHIS is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 49.9, OPPONENT 49.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 14-4 UNDER (+9.5 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.9, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(33-9 since 1996.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (32-12)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.4
The average score in these games was: Team 100, Opponent 94.1 (Average point differential = +5.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (55.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (MEMPHIS) - off an upset win as a road underdog against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more.
(40-15 since 1996.) (72.7%, +23.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.4, Opponent 46.4 (Total first half points scored = 93.8)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
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*** PORTLAND @ DALLAS (-4, O/U 184) ***
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With a difficult homestand this week, the Dallas Mavericks are hoping Dirk Nowitzki returns quickly. The likelihood of Caron Butler playing, however, appears to be remote. The Mavericks may be without two of their top scorers as they face the Portland Trail Blazers and one of the league’s best scoring defenses Tuesday night. Dallas snapped a three-game losing streak with a 104-95 victory at Cleveland on Sunday, winning for the first time since Nowitzki sprained his knee last Monday.
It was also the first game for the Mavericks without Butler after he went down with a knee injury in a 99-87 loss at Milwaukee on Saturday. Butler may have suffered a torn tendon that could keep him out at least a couple of months. Official MRI results have not been released, and Butler flew from Milwaukee to Dallas on Sunday to undergo tests. “Anyone who speculates beyond that should be very careful in what they do because it could have ramifications,” coach Rick Carlisle said. Butler is third on the team with 15.0 points per game.
While Nowitzki, averaging 24.1 points and 7.4 rebounds, could return soon, it’s not certain if he’ll be available Tuesday. Butler and Nowitzki played a big part in a 103-98 home win over Portland on Dec. 15, as Butler had a team-high 23 points and Nowitzki scored 12 of his 21 in the final quarter. The injuries come at an especially difficult time with the Mavericks hosting the Trail Blazers, Oklahoma City and Orlando this week. However, Dallas hopes to continue getting multiple contributions as it did against Cleveland.
Shawn Marion returned after he missed the previous game with a thigh injury and scored a season-high 22 points, shooting 11 of 16 from the field. DeShawn Stevenson also set a season best with 21 points while Tyson Chandler had 14 points and 14 rebounds. The Mavericks averaged 85.3 points in the three losses and were outrebounded by an average of 14.0. They had a 37-34 advantage on the glass Sunday. “I didn’t have a choice but to suck it up and do what I had to do,” Marion told the Mavericks’ official website. “It felt better today, so I was like, ‘I’ve got to go.’ I didn’t even question it... My teammates were there to support me.”
Marion will try to help Dallas cool off the surging Trail Blazers, who have overcome their own injury problems, including one to Brandon Roy out indefinitely with knee troubles. Portland has won two straight and six of eight. It defeated Houston 100-85 Sunday the fourth consecutive opponent held to 95 or fewer points. Coming off a 100-89 victory over Utah on Thursday, the Blazers had another solid defensive performance against the Rockets, holding them to 14 points in the third quarter and 37 in the second half.
LaMarcus Aldridge had 25 points along with 11 rebounds while Nicolas Batum added a season-high 21 points. “Our chemistry has gotten better,” Aldridge said. “I think guys are really figuring out their roles.” The Blazers may be tested this week, though. Portland is beginning a three-game trip in a place it has lost 12 of 14 and is 6-13 on the road, giving up 97.2 points per game compared to 91.2 at home. “When we are here at the Rose Garden we are consistent,” center Marcus Camby said. “We win a couple and get momentum from it. Then we go out on the road and lose a few. We have to change that.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 7; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -7.80
___________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 117-75 ATS (+34.5 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 100.6, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 5*)
--DALLAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season.
The average score was DALLAS 100.7, OPPONENT 92.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--DALLAS is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after playing a game as favorite this season.
The average score was DALLAS 99.9, OPPONENT 93.8 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 77-44 UNDER (+28.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 99.2, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--DALLAS is 20-4 UNDER (+15.6 Units) in home games after 3 straight games committing 4+ less turnovers than opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 98.0, OPPONENT 91.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 31-12 against the 1rst half line (+17.8 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.6, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 36-18 against the 1rst half line (+16.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.7, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 71-46 UNDER (+20.4 Units) the 1rst half total against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 49.4, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 70-47 UNDER (+18.3 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 44.9, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots.
(68-30 since 1996.) (69.4%, +35 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (84-18)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.5
The average score in these games was: Team 107.2, Opponent 97.7 (Average point differential = +9.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 41 (40.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (12-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (47-19).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (60-25).
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*** ATLANTA (-6.5, O/U 189) @ SACRAMENTO ***
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Despite Joe Johnson’s shooting struggles, it isn’t stopping his teammates from trying to get him the ball. Coming off one of his highest scoring performances of the season, Johnson tries to help the Atlanta Hawks win back-to-back road games for the first time since late November when they meet the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday night. Atlanta won for the second time in its last eight road games Sunday, 107-98 over the Los Angeles Clippers. Johnson finished with 29 points, Jamal Crawford had 24 and Josh Smith added 22 points and 10 rebounds.
After being held to 18 points in the opening quarter, the Hawks trailed by as many as 16, but Johnson had 11 points in the fourth as Atlanta went on to outscore the Clippers 37-24. Johnson, who missed 14 of 20 field-goal attempts in a 103-94 loss at Oklahoma City on Friday, shot 7 of 20 on Sunday but scored 14 points at the free-throw line. It was Johnson’s highest point total since finishing with a season-best 34 against Phoenix on Nov. 7. He has averaged 18.8 points on 38.2 percent shooting in nine games since returning from elbow surgery that kept him out nine contests.
“Just as soon as that elbow heals at 100 percent, he will be back into form,” coach Larry Drew said. Johnson is looking to help Atlanta improve on its inconsistent play away from home. The Hawks are a respectable 10-9 on the road, but they dropped six of their last seven before Sunday and hadn’t reached 100 points in the previous 11 games outside of Atlanta. The Hawks will continue their trip—which ends Wednesday against Utah— without forward Marvin Williams who has missed the last two games with a lower-back injury.
Even without him, they shouldn’t have much trouble against the Kings who haven’t defeated a team that currently owns a winning record and are looking to win consecutive games for the first time since Oct. 30-Nov. 1. Sacramento, though, has won two of three after winning twice in its previous 24 games. The Kings rallied from 14 down to beating Phoenix 94-89 on Sunday as rookie center DeMarcus Cousins scored 13 of his season-high 28 points in the fourth quarter and Francisco Garcia added 20 points and 11 rebounds.
“It’s our progress as a team,” Cousins said. “Two weeks ago we probably would have had 10 turnovers down the stretch and they would’ve shot 90 percent in the fourth quarter. But it was a great team effort.” Cousins has averaged 21.7 points and 10.7 rebounds and shot 56.5 percent in the last three games after totaling 13 points while shooting 22.2 percent in the previous three. The Kings are looking to win three straight at home for the first time since a four-game run Nov. 25-Dec. 2, 2009. Atlanta has won five in a row over Sacramento.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 7.5; O/U 190
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -5.66
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 96.2, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 101.1, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 93.2, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 86-54 OVER (+26.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 103.5, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 12-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 100.9, OPPONENT 103.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--SACRAMENTO is 123-86 against the 1rst half line (+28.4 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 52.1, OPPONENT 49.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--ATLANTA is 69-101 against the 1rst half line (-42.1 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 46.8, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 6*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--SACRAMENTO is 53-27 OVER (+23.3 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 51.6, OPPONENT 56.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 59-38 OVER (+17.1 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.6, OPPONENT 55.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (92-98 PPG), after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.
(67-33 since 1996.) (67.0%, +30.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.2, Opponent 44.4 (Average first half point differential = +3.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-15).
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*** DETROIT @ LA LAKERS (-13, O/U 194.5) ***
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The Los Angeles Lakers insisted they weren’t concerned after losing four straight tight games earlier this season. Their recent play might offer more reason to hit the panic button. The Lakers’ last four losses have come by 15 points or more, a concerning trend they’ll try to stop Tuesday night as they continue a busy stretch against the visiting Detroit Pistons. Los Angeles is 10-9 since a 13-2 start, with a 2-4 record since Dec. 21 considerably more alarming than four straight defeats by 10 points or fewer from Nov. 26-Dec. 1. Los Angeles’ last four losses have come by an average of 17.3 points, with a 104-85 no-show Sunday against Memphis the team’s third at Staples Center in that span.
“We’re not really playing together, and as a result, it’s costing us,” center Andrew Bynum said. “Right now, we’ve got to be concerned. We have to be... Good teams are looking at us like we’re soft.” Whether the Lakers are soft is debatable, but at the very least they seem tired. A 97-82 loss at San Antonio last Tuesday began of a stretch of 13 games in 21 days, hardly what a team whose top six players have been in the league for an average of nearly 12 seasons needs. “We’ve just got to come out focused and ready to play,” Kobe Bryant said. “It’s tough when you have to try to regenerate that energy every single night. It starts individually. You have to look at yourself and try to find things to get you going.”
Los Angeles has averaged just 88.5 points in its last six games, but coach Phil Jackson thinks a better effort defensively will help overcome those offensive struggles. The Lakers are 12-1 when they allow 94 points or fewer. “We have to respond with better energy defensively, getting back on defense especially after turnovers,” Jackson told the Lakers’ official website... “We’re not surprised that (trying to three-peat) has taken a toll. It’s (just) about coming back and finding your way again.”
Perhaps a meeting with Detroit will help. The Lakers had no problem putting away the Pistons in a Nov. 17 trip to The Palace, getting 33 points from Bryant and 25 from Pau Gasol in a 103-90 win in which they led by as many as 26. Los Angeles is 16-3 when Gasol scores at least 18 points and 7-8 when he goes for 17 or fewer. The Pistons have lost 11 of 12 on the road.
Entering Monday’s visit to Utah they’d dropped their seven games against opponents currently above .500 by an average of 14.3 points. Detroit led the Jazz by a point after three quarters but couldn’t hang on, falling 102-97 despite 26 points from Tayshaun Prince. “We haven’t really put together consistently four quarters,” said Tracy McGrady who finished one rebound shy of a triple-double. “We play well for a half or three quarters, but then we always have that quarter that lets us down.” Though the Pistons have lost four straight against the Lakers by double digits, they didn’t have Prince for two of those meetings. Facing Los Angeles seems to bring out the best in Prince. His 19.1 scoring average against the Lakers since 2004-05 is easily his best against any opponent.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 12; O/U 199
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Lakers -9.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -11.89
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--LA LAKERS are 41-20 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 104.0, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 50-71 ATS (-28.1 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.0, OPPONENT 97.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 45-63 ATS (-24.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.1, OPPONENT 97.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 86.2, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--LA LAKERS are 57-34 UNDER (+19.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 102.2, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 69-46 UNDER (+18.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.0, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--DETROIT is 11-27 against the 1rst half line (-18.5 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 44.0, OPPONENT 50.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 0-11 against the 1rst half line (-12.1 Units) in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 41.6, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--LA LAKERS are 34-16 UNDER (+16.2 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 51.3, OPPONENT 45.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 55-32 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 46.0, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was DETROIT 41.9, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home teams (LA LAKERS) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog.
(24-5 since 1996.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (24-5)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 89.3 (Average point differential = +13.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 15 (53.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (LA LAKERS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road loss.
(50-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%, +29.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 45.3 (Total first half points scored = 93.4)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (93-65).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DETROIT) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher.
(55-21 since 1996.) (72.4%, +31.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 54.1, Opponent 46.7 (Average first half point differential = +7.4)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (40-12).
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
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***** TUESDAY, JANUARY 4TH NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL KNOWLEDGE *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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•••QUICK HITS•••
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--Illinois State lost its last four visits to Indiana State 10-4-5-7 points, as home side won seven of last eight series games. Redbirds lost first two MVC games, both by 11 points- they're 1-2 as an underdog this season. Sycamores are 4-1 against the spread as a favorite this year. MVC home favorites are 4-2 against the spread.
--Pitt won seven of last eight games vs Providence- they lost last visit to this building two years ago, but won by 27-8 in previous two visits. Big East home underdogs are 2-0 vs spread in league play. First true away game for Panthers, who beat Maryland/Texas on neutral floors. Friars are 0-2 in Big East play, losing to St John's by 2, at Syracuse by 7.
--Home side is 10-1 in last 11 UConn-Notre Dame games; Huskies are 1-4 in last five visits here, losing by 6-4-6-8 points. Big East home favorites of 8 or less points are 4-1 vs spread. UConn is 11-1, but lost at Pitt by 15 in its only road game- they're 2-1 as underdogs. Notre Dame is 12-2, losing last game at Syracuse- they're 3-2 as a favorite.
--Minnesota won four of last five games vs Indiana, with three of wins by 8 or less points; Hoosiers are 1-4 in last five visits here, losing by 5-19-8-23 points. Minnesota lost its first two Big 11 games- they're 1-5 vs spread in last six games as favorite. Big 11 home favorites are 3-2-1 vs spread. Indiana is 0-3 against the spread as an underdog.
--Northern Iowa lost its first two MVC games by total of 3 points; UNI is 12-2 in last 14 games vs Evansville, winning last seven played here by 13-18-3-11-13-7-19 points. Purple Aces are 2-4 vs spread as underdogs, losing by 34 at Wichita in MVC road opener. UNI is 2-3 as favorite, and is having trouble scoring- they haven't scored 70+ against a D-I team.
--Creighton won 10 of last 12 games vs Missouri State, winning last five in Omaha by 3-22-21-24-4 points; Bluejays won last six games, taking first two MVC games by 11-16 points- they're 9-1 at home, losing to BYU. Missouri State won its last four games, with a win at Northern Iowa. MVC home teams are 6-4 vs spread in league play.
--Home side won last five Drake-Wichita State games; Bulldogs lost five of last six visits here, with losses by 11-5-23-16-23 points. MVC home favorites are 4-2 vs spread, 2-1 if laying double digits. Wichita won first two MVC games by 34-16 points- they've won six games in row, are 3-2 as favorite. Drake is 2-2 as road dog, losing away games by 48-11-16.
--Bradley lost first two MVC games by 14-16 points; they're 2-7 in last nine games overall and 4-8 in last dozen games vs Southern Illinois, 3-2 in last five played here. Salukis are 1-3 on road, losing by 22 at Illinois, 7 at Western Kentucky, 14 at Drake. MVC home teams are 4-2 against the spread if spread is 4 points or less.
--Colorado State won tourney in Cancun, but then got beat by Hampton at home Saturday, very puzzling loss. Rams swept Wyoming by 10-16 points; LY; home team is 9-5 in last 14 series games, Cowboys are 3-2 in their last five visits here. Wyoming is 0-3 on road, losing at No Colorado by 14, South Dakota by 10, Cal-Irvine by 15 points.
--West Virginia lost its first two Big East games, giving up 80 ppg, so this is big game for them, against DePaul team they've beaten four times in a row by 12-12-19-16 points. Double digit favorites are 2-3 vs spread in Big East play. Mountaineers are 2-6 as a favorite. DePaul covered five games in row- they lost first two league games by 16-11 points.
--Ohio State won six of last seven games vs Iowa, winning last four in row none by more than 10 points; Buckeyes are 2-4 in last six visits here, with wins by 2-8 points in last two visits. Iowa is 1-2 as a dog this year, losing at home by 10 to Illinois in its Big 11 opener. OSU won by 18 at Indiana in its Big 11 opener. Big 11 home underdogs are 1-3 vs spread.
--Texas won two of last three games vs former conference rival Arkansas by 11-4 points; young, talented Longhorns won their last five games, are 11-2, 2-2 as a favorite. This is first true road game for Arkansas squad that is 10-2, losing by 9 to Texas A&M, 5 to UAB. Big 12 double digit favorites are 17-13 vs spread. SEC double digit underdogs are 2-3.
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•••SITUATIONAL TEAM POWER TRENDS•••
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The Stat/Systems Sports Situational Team Power Trends uncover certain situations where a team outperforms or underperforms their normal level of play. Unlike the Stat/Systems Super Situations, all trend records listed apply to the team in question. These trends are great indicators of how teams react to certain situations (i.e. coming off a close win, against division opponents, after a loss giving up a high number passing yards, etc.)
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--N IOWA is 11-0 ATS (+11 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 66.3, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--DRAKE is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DRAKE 72.6, OPPONENT 68.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--S ILLINOIS is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S ILLINOIS 68, OPPONENT 68.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--DEPAUL is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DEPAUL 59.4, OPPONENT 70.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DEPAUL is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DEPAUL 60, OPPONENT 69.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--PROVIDENCE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PROVIDENCE 80.7, OPPONENT 82.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--PROVIDENCE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PROVIDENCE 83.3, OPPONENT 81.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--PITTSBURGH is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=25 free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 74.6, OPPONENT 64.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MISSOURI ST is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MISSOURI ST 65.8, OPPONENT 67.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--W VIRGINIA is 15-37 ATS (-25.7 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less since 1997.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 65.7, OPPONENT 68.6 - (Rating = 3*)
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--N IOWA is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 61.4, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--WYOMING is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WYOMING 68.5, OPPONENT 71.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--CREIGHTON is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CREIGHTON 76.2, OPPONENT 68.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--ILLINOIS ST is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
The average score was ILLINOIS ST 62, OPPONENT 62.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--N IOWA is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 61.4, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--N IOWA is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 50 or less shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 57.7, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--N IOWA is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 59.8, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--N IOWA is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 62.4, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--NOTRE DAME is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NOTRE DAME 64.1, OPPONENT 65.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--COLORADO ST is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO ST 79.6, OPPONENT 76.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--N IOWA is 20-4 UNDER (+15.6 Units) after playing a game as a road favorite since 1997.
The average score was N IOWA 62.3, OPPONENT 60.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--N IOWA is 18-5 UNDER (+12.5 Units) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 61.5, OPPONENT 53.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--N IOWA is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) as a home favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 61.5, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--WICHITA ST is 18-4 OVER (+13.6 Units) in home games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997.
The average score was WICHITA ST 72.3, OPPONENT 68.3 - (Rating = 3*)
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--PROVIDENCE is 5-20 (-24.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PROVIDENCE 82.2, OPPONENT 82.5 - (Rating = 9*)
--MINNESOTA is 4-22 (-23.2 Units) against the money line after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread since 1997.
The average score was MINNESOTA 64.7, OPPONENT 70.1 - (Rating = 9*)
--N IOWA is 21-4 (+21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 64, OPPONENT 56.4 - (Rating = 9*)
--TEXAS is 21-2 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1997.
The average score was TEXAS 80.1, OPPONENT 65.9 - (Rating = 8*)
--BRADLEY is 1-11 (-12.7 Units) against the money line off a home loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
The average score was BRADLEY 67.3, OPPONENT 68.8 - (Rating = 8*)
--MINNESOTA is 2-8 (-18.1 Units) against the money line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 69.4, OPPONENT 70 - (Rating = 8*)
--MINNESOTA is 4-13 (-22.1 Units) against the money line versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 66.7, OPPONENT 66.7 - (Rating = 7*)
--N IOWA is 16-3 (+20.2 Units) against the money line versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 64.9, OPPONENT 57.5 - (Rating = 7*)
--DRAKE is 2-8 (-16.8 Units) against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DRAKE 64.8, OPPONENT 70.4 - (Rating = 7*)
--S ILLINOIS is 6-14 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S ILLINOIS 65.5, OPPONENT 67 - (Rating = 6*)
--W VIRGINIA is 14-2 (+16.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 74.2, OPPONENT 62.3 - (Rating = 6*)
--N IOWA is 22-4 (+18.5 Units) against the money line after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N IOWA 63.7, OPPONENT 54.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--DEPAUL is 4-17 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DEPAUL 61.9, OPPONENT 73 - (Rating = 5*)
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--NOTRE DAME is 22-40 (-22.3 Units) against the 1rst half line off a road loss against a conference rival since 1997.
The average score was NOTRE DAME 33.6, OPPONENT 34.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--EVANSVILLE is 12-2 (+9.8 Units) against the 1rst half line after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half since 1997.
The average score was EVANSVILLE 32, OPPONENT 32.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--TEXAS is 4-15 (-12.5 Units) against the 1rst half line after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 34.4, OPPONENT 34.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--ILLINOIS ST is 14-28 (-16.8 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ILLINOIS ST 29.8, OPPONENT 30.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--S ILLINOIS is 54-34 (+16.6 Units) against the 1rst half line after allowing 55 points or less since 1997.
The average score was S ILLINOIS 30.8, OPPONENT 28.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--N IOWA is 37-14 UNDER (+21.6 Units) the 1rst half total when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997.
The average score was N IOWA 29.6, OPPONENT 30.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--NOTRE DAME is 32-12 OVER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game since 1997.
The average score was NOTRE DAME 35.1, OPPONENT 34.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--INDIANA is 18-4 OVER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 32.7, OPPONENT 37.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA is 20-5 UNDER (+14.5 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was IOWA 24.8, OPPONENT 27.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARKANSAS is 19-4 OVER (+14.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after scoring 85 points or more since 1997.
The average score was ARKANSAS 35.5, OPPONENT 37.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BRADLEY is 22-6 OVER (+15.4 Units) the 1rst half total off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival since 1997.
The average score was BRADLEY 31.3, OPPONENT 31.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--BRADLEY is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BRADLEY 29.4, OPPONENT 29.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CREIGHTON is 8-0 UNDER (+7.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CREIGHTON 29.4, OPPONENT 24.7 - (Rating = 3*)
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--Thad Matta is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Matta 70.3, OPPONENT 64.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--Keno Davis is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders as the coach of PROVIDENCE.
The average score was Davis 78.5, OPPONENT 80.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--Thad Matta is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Matta 73.4, OPPONENT 59.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Keno Davis is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts as the coach of PROVIDENCE.
The average score was Davis 73.2, OPPONENT 84.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--Cuonzo Martin is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) after a conference game as the coach of MISSOURI ST.
The average score was Martin 66.7, OPPONENT 68.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Jamie Dixon is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=25 free throws/game after 15+ games as the coach of PITTSBURGH.
The average score was Dixon 72.3, OPPONENT 64.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jamie Dixon is 30-10 ATS (+19.1 Units) versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season as the coach of PITTSBURGH.
The average score was Dixon 73.1, OPPONENT 64.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jamie Dixon is 26-8 ATS (+17.2 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=25 free throws/game as the coach of PITTSBURGH.
The average score was Dixon 72, OPPONENT 62.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jim Les is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds as the coach of BRADLEY.
The average score was Les 71.1, OPPONENT 69.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--Cuonzo Martin is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) after 2 consecutive conference games as the coach of MISSOURI ST.
The average score was Martin 66.7, OPPONENT 68.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Cuonzo Martin is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) against conference opponents as the coach of MISSOURI ST.
The average score was Martin 65.8, OPPONENT 67.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Thad Matta is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Matta 69.3, OPPONENT 62.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--Thad Matta is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Matta 75.7, OPPONENT 61.6 - (Rating = 3*)
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--Jim Les is 56-30 OVER (+23.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% as the coach of BRADLEY.
The average score was Les 68.9, OPPONENT 70.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--Chris Lowery is 76-49 UNDER (+22.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins as the coach of S ILLINOIS.
The average score was Lowery 63.6, OPPONENT 60.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--Tom Crean is 34-11 OVER (+21.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in all games he has coached since 1997.
The average score was Crean 69, OPPONENT 73.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--Jim Les is 64-39 OVER (+21.1 Units) after one or more consecutive overs as the coach of BRADLEY.
The average score was Les 71.3, OPPONENT 69.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--Jim Les is 45-22 OVER (+20.8 Units) as a home favorite or pick as the coach of BRADLEY.
The average score was Les 73.8, OPPONENT 66.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--Ben Jacobson is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) after playing a game as a road favorite as the coach of N IOWA.
The average score was Jacobson 58.4, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--John Pelphrey is 14-2 OVER (+11.8 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game as the coach of ARKANSAS.
The average score was Pelphrey 74.1, OPPONENT 82.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--Tubby Smith is 28-10 UNDER (+17.2 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was Smith 62.8, OPPONENT 64.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jim Les is 39-19 OVER (+18.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival as the coach of BRADLEY.
The average score was Les 71.2, OPPONENT 71.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Chris Lowery is 26-10 UNDER (+15.4 Units) after a win by 6 points or less as the coach of S ILLINOIS.
The average score was Lowery 63, OPPONENT 58 - (Rating = 3*)
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NOTE: College Basketball betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand College Basketball Lines, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these College Basketball Lines with the public in mind. They know the general public is going to bet on the popular teams every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like this.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best College Basketball Lines. Many different books release different numbers and College Basketball Lines always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best College Basketball Lines, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - Against the Spread Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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4* INDIANA ST -5.5 - (80.6%)
3* EVANSVILLE +11.5 - (74.4%)
3* DRAKE +18.5 - (73.7%)
3* CREIGHTON +2 - (73.5%)
3* S ILLINOIS +2.5 - (73.1%)
--PLAY AGAINST - An underdog (ILLINOIS ST) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record.
(25-6 since 1997.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-5)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.7
The average score in these games was: Team 73.3, Opponent 65 (Average point differential = +8.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (38.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-2).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (EVANSVILLE) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less.
(32-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.4%, +19.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (7-38 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.9
The average score in these games was: Team 63.9, Opponent 72.7 (Average point differential = -8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (38.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (71-49).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 or more points (WICHITA ST) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%).
(42-15 since 1997.) (73.7%, +25.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (6-52)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 16.5
The average score in these games was: Team 64.4, Opponent 76.8 (Average point differential = -12.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (33.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-11).
--PLAY ON - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CREIGHTON) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, with four starters returning from last season.
(50-18 since 1997.) (73.5%, +30.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (53-20)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3
The average score in these games was: Team 73.7, Opponent 69.9 (Average point differential = +3.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 28 (40% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-10).
--PLAY ON - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ILLINOIS) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a combined score of 115 points or less.
(38-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (39-15 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average score in these games was: Team 66.2, Opponent 61.7 (Average point differential = +4.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (45.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-10).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (70-46).
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As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - Over/Under Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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4* W VIRGINIA/DEPAUL UNDER 142.5 - (83.3%)
4* OHIO ST/IOWA OVER 135 - (82.4%)
4* INDIANA/MINNESOTA UNDER 141 - (80.0%)
3* ARKANSAS/TEXAS UNDER 142.5 - (70.7%)
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (W VIRGINIA) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent.
(30-6 since 1997.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 144.6
The average score in these games was: Team 68, Opponent 67.3 (Total points scored = 135.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (48.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (OHIO ST) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games.
(28-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 136
The average score in these games was: Team 70.9, Opponent 72.4 (Total points scored = 143.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (41-19).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (INDIANA) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses.
(32-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +23.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 143.3
The average score in these games was: Team 64.2, Opponent 71.3 (Total points scored = 135.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (55% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (44-22).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a good pressure defensive team (>=17.5 TO's).
(53-22 since 1997.) (70.7%, +28.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 144
The average score in these games was: Team 71.6, Opponent 68.4 (Total points scored = 140)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 37 (50.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-12).
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Stat/Systems Sports is renowned for providing the most comprehensive game information on the Internet to date. Our popular Stat/Sheets, along with our daily Stat/Systems Reports are packed with proprietary handicapping tools that benefit everyone from the beginning bettor to the most advanced self-handicapper. “Providing Unprecedented Handicapping Content is what Stat/Systems Sports is all about, call us toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 and start winning today, you’ll be real glad you did” -Stan 'The Man!
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• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF ATS SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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4* IOWA +7.5 - (84.6%)
3* MISSOURI ST -1 - (76.0%)
3* DRAKE +10.5 - (73.4%)
3* ARKANSAS +6 - (72.3%)
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (OHIO ST) - an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more.
(22-4 since 1997.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.1, Opponent 32.2 (Average first half point differential = -2.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (CREIGHTON) - good defensive team - allowing <=64 points/game on the season, after allowing 60 points or less 5 straight games.
(38-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.0%, +24.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.3, Opponent 25.4 (Average first half point differential = +4.8)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (76-53).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (WICHITA ST) - an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games.
(47-17 since 1997.) (73.4%, +28.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.1, Opponent 35.8 (Average first half point differential = -5.7)
The situation's record this season is: (3-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-10).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (ARKANSAS) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two top-level teams (>= 80%).
(34-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +19.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.8, Opponent 35.3 (Average first half point differential = -4.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (60-51).
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