Service Plays Tuesday 1/19/10

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Brandon Lang

10 DIME - TORONTO RAPTORS - Sluggish spot for the Cavs.

After a successful 5 game west coast road trip which saw them win 3 out of 5 they return home to take on a surging Raptors team with the world champion Lakers coming to town on Thursday.

Who can fault the Cavs for lacking attention to detail tonight.

Furthermore, they haven't really been a cash cow lately, on a 2-7 run ATS with the only two covers versus the Wizards at home and the Trailblazers on the road.

As for Toronto, they are surging big time after a very slow start.

Winners of 10 of their last 13 SU with their 3 losses coming to the Celtics by 7 at home and in Boston and a road clunker at Indiana by 4, they are without question playing their best ball of the entire year right now.

All told is a 9-4 run ATS and a bucket here or there and that 9-4 ATS number could very easily be 12-1 against the number.

I will gladly grab the Toronto in this spot and the generous amount of points against a Cavs squad who will definitly be a bit jet lagged and lacking a bit of focus laying this big number with the Lakers coming to town in 2 days.

Rolling with the Raptors.

FREE SELECTION - NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS
 
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Randall the Handle NHL

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games include OT unless stated otherwise

Toronto +1.26 over ATLANTA (REG) Pinnacle
The Leafs had to have left the building last night in a very good frame of mind after a late goal bailed them out from blowing a 3-0 lead. The Leafs were very strong for the first two periods against what was a hot Nashville squad and now they’ll take a step down in class when facing the reeling Thrashers. The Leafs have two good wins in its last three, which aside from last night includes a 4-0 win over the Flyers. The Leafs are 6-2 vs the Southeast and that’s where the Thrashers reside, in the NHL’s worst division. The Thrashers lost again last night, this time 1-0 in Florida. They’ve now lost 12 of its last 15 games with only wins over that stretch coming against the Canes, the then decimated Sens and the Rangers in OT. The Thrashers have been held to two goals or less in five of its last seven and the only teams they scored on were Carolina and Ottawa, whom at the time were in a horrible funk. Both teams will play three in four and back-to-back but the difference is the frame of mind of these two, as the Thrashers are reeling and will return home to a half empty arena while the Leafs are gaining steam once again. Play: Toronto +1.26 (Risking 2 units).

NY Islanders +1.30 Over PITTSBURGH (REG) Pinnacle
There was no line (goaltending situation) at the time of this writing but one thing is certain and that is the Pens will be favored. Based on that, and I can certainly guess that the Pens will be about –1.40 to -1.50 favorite, the play here is the Islanders. The Islanders are red-hot with four wins in a row and six wins in seven games. They played yesterday but it was an afternoon game and they completely dominated the Devils for three periods. The Islanders are scoring goals, their determination and work ethic is second to nobody and they can’t wait to get back on the ice. This team is feeling it right now. Meanwhile, the Pens return home from a very tough five game trip that took them through Toronto, Minnesota and Western Canada for three games. That’s always a tough excursion and they’ll play tonight with a third string goaltender that was rocked in his only start in Vancouver in the last game of said trip. The Pens really haven’t been playing well for over a month now and absolutely have no advantage in this one. The Pens are beating up on struggling teams and in fact, its last four wins have come against the reeling Thrashers, Flames, Oilers and the Leafs playing its fourth game in five nights. That’s four wins in its last 12 contests and none of them were noteworthy. Play: NY Islanders +1.30 (Risking 2 units).
 
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Randall the Handle NBA

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

Indiana +6/+2.22 over MIAMI
I’m going to split this up and play one unit each on the money-line and point-spread. The problem with the Heat is that you just never know which team you’re going to get. You’re either going to get the team that is capable of competing with anyone or the team that doesn’t give a damn if they win, lose or draw. What should be concerning to Heat backers is that they’re coming home from a tough six-game trip that began on Jan 8 and ended on the 16th. This line suggests they won’t be too sharp tonight because if the books thought otherwise they’d be about a 7 or 7½-point favorite. After all, the Pacers instill fear in nobody and own a 4-16 road record. Having said that, the Pacers are quietly getting a whole lot more dangerous. Danny Granger is a marquee player and suddenly Roy Hibbert is making a huge impact. Throw in a healthy Mike Dunleavy and Troy Murphy and a very decent bench and the Pacers are a team that could be way undervalued now because of its slow start. This is a vulnerable situation for the Heat, as they return home and they take way too many nights off to trust them in this spot. Play: Indiana +6 (Risking 1.03 units to win 1) Play: Indiana +2.22 (Risking 1 unit).
 

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Malinsky

-74 units NBA
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4* #501 TORONTO over CLEVELAND ( and lang )

Toronto is flying far beneath the radar screens right now, despite a current 10-3 run in which none of the losses have come by more than seven points. That is what happens when you get off to a slow start, and the markets downgrade accordingly. But there were some prime reasons why the season began so poorly, and those early results now carry too much weight going forward, especially when we see tonight’s line reach double figures.The Raptors started with an awkward opening salvo that saw them play their first 30 games in only 53 days, a headache for a team breaking in so many new faces, and at the midway point their difficult of opposition rates #4 in the NBA. The following from Jay Triano deals with that well - "We knew it was going to be tough, we had nine new guys. Now we're starting to feel better about each other, we're starting to get it. We're starting to play better defence and our stats over the last few games have been good. We've adjusted, as coaches, our defensive philosophy a little bit and it's turning out better. We're playing more to our strengths, we have guys who are starting to get healthy. Here is the real key to that statement – it came <i>before</i> Toronto waxed Dallas 110-88 on Sunday in what might have been their best single game of the season, which takes the confidence to an even higher level. And with this game being only their third in eight days there is a physical energy to match that confidence – they are going to be a tough team to get a margin against in this setting.Not that Cleveland will be margin conscious anyway. The Cavaliers face the usual issues in returning home after a long Western Coast swing (this will be the first home game in 13 days), and tonight’s matchup is clouded even more because of that showdown vs. the Lakers looming on national television Thursday night. Their season is all about winning games for playoff positioning and managing the minutes of LeBron and the key cogs, and as such it is no surprise to find that they are 4-8 ATS when favored in double figures, a run that extends to 7-15 since the All Star break last February. Mike Brown would be more than happy to simply stamp a “W” and move on here, and given the current Toronto form that is all that his team is likely to get.

4* #506 GEORGIA TECH over CLEMSON

In what will be a high energy game in which both teams will run and press the length of the floor, PG play becomes the key factor in terms of dictating the game flow. And the markets have missed their mark in evaluating that key element.Despite a 13-4 record, and owning wins over Duke and North Carolina, Georgia Tech is not being rated properly because PG Iman Shumpert had to miss a half dozen games, one of them an O.T. loss to Florida State that would have likely been reversed had he played. Now he is back to full health, and in Saturday’s win at North Carolina showed what he is capable of, scoring 30 points and adding six assists, four rebounds and three steals. His veteran presence takes pressure off of those young talents on the roster, and makes the Yellow Jackets awfully difficult to match up against physically – not only is the front court among the most talented in the nation, but at 6-5 Shumpert creates particular problems at his position (from Paul Hewitt - ”He is bigger, stronger and faster than a lot of the other guards he is going to face, which forces them to contract on defense and makes it easier for us to run our offense.”).That becomes magnified tonight because we fully expect Shumpert’s direct matchup to be against 5-9 SO Andre Young, who will likely be making his first college start while Demontez Stitt sits out with a sprained foot. Stitt had been having an outstanding season, and was a catalyst for the Clemson uptempo tactics on both ends of the floor, but he went down with 13:37 to play and the Tigers up by 13 at N. C. State on Saturday, and his absence became an issue immediately – the lead was shaved all the way to a single point before they finally escaped. And while his official listing is “Questionable”, Oliver Purnell seems resigned to not having him around - ”“We’ve probably got to play a bit different offensively – ball ahead, more motion, more movement by everybody. It’s his slicing to the basket, it’s him pushing the ball that won’t be there.”</i> Now a lot is being put in the hands of Young, who is also not 100 percent, having to receive at IV after practice yesterday because of a bout with a stomach virus. That exacerbates the size and experience that he already gives up against Shumpert, and with no one behind him that can carry the load there are going to be some awkward stretches against a tenacious Georgia Tech defense. Even if Stitt can make an appearance (he could only job on the sidelines at practice yesterday), he will be far from 100 percent.The Yellow Jackets are 7th in the nation in FG defense, allowing 37.0 percent, and in those key early A.C.C. wins they held Duke to 19 below the Blue Devil scoring average, and North Carolina to 12 below. That defense sets the tone here, and the Tigers lack the polish offensively to hang in for the full 40 minutes. With the marketplace now only asking for the home team to win the game, we have tremendous line value.
 

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Sam Martin’s NBA NO-BRAINER WINNER!!
Sam Martin GOT ROBBED ON THE LAKERS LAST NIGHT, as LA blew a 10-point lead with 30 seconds to play, but he still managed a 1-1-1 split yesterday (HUGE WIN ON DALLAS OUTRIGHT!). There’s only two games on Tuesday’s NBA card, but Sam ABSOLUTELY LOVES ONE OF THEM, and is releasing his NBA NO-BRAINER WINNER!! Go get it!


Raptors
 

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Larry's East. Conf G.O.M! (5-0 L5 Reports!)
Larry Ness followed up a wonderful weekend by WINNING AGAIN with his NBA plays on MLK King Day. The 26-year vet. nailed another Superstar Triple Play, remaining 100% PERFECT YTD with these reports. Larry has CASHED FIVE STRAIGHT NBA cards, going 7-2 with the individual plays. The winners won by 101 combined pts. Today, its the Raptors/Cavs


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Fargo’s **10** NBA “ENFORCER” ***45-23 NBA RUN***
Matt ended Monday at 1-0-1 with Premium NBA and is a SIZZLING 57-37-1 ATS (60.6%) YTD while bringing home a MASSIVE 131.7 Units in Profit! Further back, he is 158-107-4 ATS (59.6%) his L269 TOP PLAYS and the card may be small Tuesday but he is unleashing a MONSTER backed by a FANTASTIC 29-7 ATS (80.6%) Power Situation


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If you want to Post Your Plays, Please do it Without all the Links.

Thank You

Betallsports
 
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Red Dog Sports 5* College Basketball Total (19-11 Last 30 Picks)

Clemson/Ga. Tech over 142
 

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4* #501 TORONTO over CLEVELAND ( and lang )

Toronto is flying far beneath the radar screens right now, despite a current 10-3 run in which none of the losses have come by more than seven points. That is what happens when you get off to a slow start, and the markets downgrade accordingly. But there were some prime reasons why the season began so poorly, and those early results now carry too much weight going forward, especially when we see tonight’s line reach double figures.The Raptors started with an awkward opening salvo that saw them play their first 30 games in only 53 days, a headache for a team breaking in so many new faces, and at the midway point their difficult of opposition rates #4 in the NBA. The following from Jay Triano deals with that well - "We knew it was going to be tough, we had nine new guys. Now we're starting to feel better about each other, we're starting to get it. We're starting to play better defence and our stats over the last few games have been good. We've adjusted, as coaches, our defensive philosophy a little bit and it's turning out better. We're playing more to our strengths, we have guys who are starting to get healthy. Here is the real key to that statement – it came before Toronto waxed Dallas 110-88 on Sunday in what might have been their best single game of the season, which takes the confidence to an even higher level. And with this game being only their third in eight days there is a physical energy to match that confidence – they are going to be a tough team to get a margin against in this setting.Not that Cleveland will be margin conscious anyway. The Cavaliers face the usual issues in returning home after a long Western Coast swing (this will be the first home game in 13 days), and tonight’s matchup is clouded even more because of that showdown vs. the Lakers looming on national television Thursday night. Their season is all about winning games for playoff positioning and managing the minutes of LeBron and the key cogs, and as such it is no surprise to find that they are 4-8 ATS when favored in double figures, a run that extends to 7-15 since the All Star break last February. Mike Brown would be more than happy to simply stamp a “W” and move on here, and given the current Toronto form that is all that his team is likely to get.

4* #506 GEORGIA TECH over CLEMSON

In what will be a high energy game in which both teams will run and press the length of the floor, PG play becomes the key factor in terms of dictating the game flow. And the markets have missed their mark in evaluating that key element.Despite a 13-4 record, and owning wins over Duke and North Carolina, Georgia Tech is not being rated properly because PG Iman Shumpert had to miss a half dozen games, one of them an O.T. loss to Florida State that would have likely been reversed had he played. Now he is back to full health, and in Saturday’s win at North Carolina showed what he is capable of, scoring 30 points and adding six assists, four rebounds and three steals. His veteran presence takes pressure off of those young talents on the roster, and makes the Yellow Jackets awfully difficult to match up against physically – not only is the front court among the most talented in the nation, but at 6-5 Shumpert creates particular problems at his position (from Paul Hewitt - ”He is bigger, stronger and faster than a lot of the other guards he is going to face, which forces them to contract on defense and makes it easier for us to run our offense.”).That becomes magnified tonight because we fully expect Shumpert’s direct matchup to be against 5-9 SO Andre Young, who will likely be making his first college start while Demontez Stitt sits out with a sprained foot. Stitt had been having an outstanding season, and was a catalyst for the Clemson uptempo tactics on both ends of the floor, but he went down with 13:37 to play and the Tigers up by 13 at N. C. State on Saturday, and his absence became an issue immediately – the lead was shaved all the way to a single point before they finally escaped. And while his official listing is “Questionable”, Oliver Purnell seems resigned to not having him around - ”“We’ve probably got to play a bit different offensively – ball ahead, more motion, more movement by everybody. It’s his slicing to the basket, it’s him pushing the ball that won’t be there.” Now a lot is being put in the hands of Young, who is also not 100 percent, having to receive at IV after practice yesterday because of a bout with a stomach virus. That exacerbates the size and experience that he already gives up against Shumpert, and with no one behind him that can carry the load there are going to be some awkward stretches against a tenacious Georgia Tech defense. Even if Stitt can make an appearance (he could only job on the sidelines at practice yesterday), he will be far from 100 percent.The Yellow Jackets are 7th in the nation in FG defense, allowing 37.0 percent, and in those key early A.C.C. wins they held Duke to 19 below the Blue Devil scoring average, and North Carolina to 12 below. That defense sets the tone here, and the Tigers lack the polish offensively to hang in for the full 40 minutes. With the marketplace now only asking for the home team to win the game, we have tremendous line value.

4* #518 ILLINOIS over PURDUE

We can understand part of the market
surge form Purdue -2.5 up to -4.5 here – it is not unusual to see such
play on a quality team off of a loss, especially with the Boilermakers
looking to many like a veteran side with Final Four potential. But we have
a different take on their current level and it gets us in play - what if
they simply are not that good?Here is the market perception – with Chris
Kramer, Keaton Grant, E’Twaun Moore, Robbie Hummel and JaJuan Johnson now
having played together for several seasons, this is a savvy and
chemistry-rich team that can go to a special level. That is logical, but
there is a flaw in the thinking, and the flaw is that while the chemistry
really is there, there is not an NBA lottery pick in that group. As such
they may already be near their ceiling, and it is not quite a cathedral.
They are being projected to get better when there may not be all that much
upside remaining, and having lost PG Lewis Jackson back in mid-November
they are also precariously short on depth. So in reality the current 0-3
SU and ATS run in Big 10 play should not come as a shock, and the past two
seasons they are only 2-10 ATS on the conference road, with five outright
losses in the role of the favorite. In losing at home to Ohio State and on
the road at Northwestern last week they were out-rebounded by an ugly -15,
and the bench produced just seven points and seven rebounds in those two
defeats combined.You do not gat a margin on a court like this one without
the ability to control the boards and depth, and in fact Purdue may not
win this game at all. Illinois gives nothing away in terms of size or
quickness, and while the Illini did lose the battle of the boards in that
loss at Michigan State on Saturday, note how much of that flow was because
of foul trouble to Mike Tisdale (12.2 ppg and 6.1 rpg), who was 0-1 from
the field with only one rebound over 19 minutes. They bring plenty of
confidence to the table against this opponent, out-scoring Purdue by a +12
count over 125 head-to-head floor minutes LY, and we will call for them to
take this one to the final possession at worst, with a very live chance of
getting the outright upset
 

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Indian Cowboy:

I don't know his 5* CBB (my guess is Bama b/c he is a Tide fan) Play, if anyone has it please let me know or I will buy:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEO1N1ebHOc
10 of 11 Comp Winners.

CBB: Fairfield +8 over Canisius Yesterday (W)
4 Straight Winning Football Weeks
4 of 5 Winning NBA Weeks
7 of 10 Winning CBB Weeks

NBA: 4 Unit Play. #502. Take Cleveland Cavaliers -10 over Toronto Raptors (Tuesday @ 7pm est). The Cavs have a good deal of revenge as they come into this game and face the Raps. Bear in mind the Raptors are playing well but Cleveland has a way of showing up against teams that has recently beat them in a big way. Remember, the Cavs are 31-11 so they certainly remember which teams they have lost to. I like their chances here against the Raptors for a double-digit win here as this game will likely be close early on but the Cavs will do what they usually do and will pull away in the end. Remember, the Cavs are coming off a seven day road trip as well and they are 4-1 ATS when they return home after such a long road trip. The Raps are just 2-5 ATS as an underdog of this margin and I think at the end of the day, the appealing points are just what they are - a trap and the Cavs get it done on at home with revenge.
 

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Ic's 5* is on Bama.
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R Ferringo NCAAB

1 unit Boston College
1/2 Purdue

1 unit teaser Missouri State and George Mason
1 1/2 unit teaser Boston College Texas A&M
1/2 unit teaser Alabama and Northern Iowa
 
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Wunderdog Sports

Game: San Jose at Los Angeles (10:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: San Jose -120 (moneyline)

The Sharks were once a team that was great at home, but struggled on the road. This season however, they are equally tough on the road at 16-6-2, eclipsing the Kings’ home mark of just 13-8-2. The Sharks are in an offensive frenzy right now as they have tallied 13 in their last two. On the defensive end, they have allowed just 7 in the last five games. It will be a tough chore for the Kings’ up-and-down offense that has scored 2 or less in half of their last 14 games to hang close in this one. The Sharks are the NHL's best playing in the second of consecutive nights where they are 45-14 in their last 59. The Kings are failing to get it done vs. road teams with a .600+ winning percentage, where they are just 8-21. I'll go with San Jose here.
 
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ALL COMPS!!!!!!!

Alex Smart
* Cleveland Cavaliers,

Big Al McMordie
* Utah Utes,

Bobby Maxwell
3* Toronto Raptors,

Brett Atkins
4* Tennessee Volunteers,

Cajun Sports
2* Missouri State Bears, -8

Charlie Scott
* Northern Iowa Panthers, +3
* Purdue Boilermakers, -3

Chris Jordan
5* Northern Iowa Panthers, +3

Craig Trapp
* Northwestern Wildcats, +10.5

Dave Cokin
* Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets,

Dominic Fazzini
2* Northwestern Wildcats,

EZ Winners
* Illinois Fighting Illini, +2

Gamblers Data
* Ottawa Senators , OVER 5.5

James Patrick Sports
* San Diego State Aztecs,

Jay McNeil
3* Miami Heat,

Jim Feist
* Miami Heat, Over

Jimmy Boyd
1* Illinois Fighting Illini, +3

Joel Tyson
4* Toronto Raptors,

Jr Tips
* Toronto Raptors, +9.5

Karl Garrett
4* Miami Heat, -5

LT Profits
* Cleveland Cavaliers, -9.5

Marc Lawrence (Preferred Picks)
* Texas A&M Aggies,

Michael Cannon
3* Toronto Raptors, +10

Nick Parsons
* Atlanta Thrashers, -125

Pete Angelo
3* Northern Iowa Panthers,

Spartan
* Illinois Fighting Illini, +2.5

Stephen Nover
4* Miami Heat, Over

Tom Freese
* Purdue Boilermakers,

Vegas Experts
* Purdue Boilermakers,
 

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This is a 4* not a 5 on the comp line

This is at Playbook


Red Dog Sports was 1-1 yesterday in college basketball action and 19-11 in their last 30 plays. Red Dog has a 5-star total going on Tuesday night that you can get for just $10 as part of Customer Appreciation. Be sure to check out Red Dog Sports all week as they are 5-1 in the NFL playoffs after going 7-1 in college bowls.

It's a 5* on Playbook

He works with Phil Steele as well. Steele will not let anyone of his guys release more than one 5* release per week. Thus, he has to release it there as a lesser play.
 
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