Dr. Bob
Opinion – MISSISSIPPI STATE (+14 ½) over Kentucky
Rotation #732 – 4 pm Pacific
Mississippi State has won three consecutive games, all as underdogs, and the Bulldogs should have the confidence to battle with mighty Kentucky on their home floor. To compete with Kentucky a team has to make their outside shots and the Bulldogs have the shooters to keep this game competitive. The Wildcats are 2-4 ATS against teams that make 37% or more of their 3-point shots for the season and they gave up 100 points in one of the two games they did cover (beat N. Carolina 103-100). Their only road game against a good shooting team was an 87-81 win as an 11 ½ point favor at Vanderbilt and I think the Bulldogs have a good chance to stay with the big number in this game.
Mississippi State applies to a 78-38-2 ATS home underdog momentum situation and my ratings favor Kentucky by just 13 points, so the line is more than fair. I don’t have quite enough value to make this game a Best Bet but I’ll lean with the Bulldogs and I’d take Mississippi State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +15 points or more.
Opinion – MISSISSIPPI STATE (+14 ½) over Kentucky
Rotation #732 – 4 pm Pacific
Mississippi State has won three consecutive games, all as underdogs, and the Bulldogs should have the confidence to battle with mighty Kentucky on their home floor. To compete with Kentucky a team has to make their outside shots and the Bulldogs have the shooters to keep this game competitive. The Wildcats are 2-4 ATS against teams that make 37% or more of their 3-point shots for the season and they gave up 100 points in one of the two games they did cover (beat N. Carolina 103-100). Their only road game against a good shooting team was an 87-81 win as an 11 ½ point favor at Vanderbilt and I think the Bulldogs have a good chance to stay with the big number in this game.
Mississippi State applies to a 78-38-2 ATS home underdog momentum situation and my ratings favor Kentucky by just 13 points, so the line is more than fair. I don’t have quite enough value to make this game a Best Bet but I’ll lean with the Bulldogs and I’d take Mississippi State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +15 points or more.
