Only a 5 GOY
Play: 5 Unit Play. Take Toronto Raptors +1.5 over the Atlanta Hawks (Tuesday @ 7pm est). (GOY)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S GAME OF THE YEAR: NBA GOY. We have done well over the last 11 days going 9-2 on our PODs as we only do 1 POD per day. We are going to use some of that +30.2 units of profit to step out here. I've been on the Raptors several games and have written about them in our blog as well as the daily page. The Raptors had covered 6 in a row and won 6 straight before recently losing to the Knicks in their last game. But, you can't blame that team for the loss. After all, it was a home and home where they had just defeated the Knicks in MSG so the Knicks were coming back with revenge. It is expected. The Raptors prior to that game had gone on a streak as this lineup of Marion, Bosh, Bargnani, Calderon and Parker is clicking well and a bench that features Graham, Ukic and Kapono is doing well. Remember, this is the same team that went into Orlando and won by 4 Outright with revenge as 10 point dogs, beat Chicago at home in OT even though the Bulls were playing well and had revenge that game (which says a lot), beat OKC by 16 (which we were on as one of our PODs), beat the Bucks by 9 at home (which really was a worse beating than that) and beat the Clippers by 24. If this team is able to get revenge on Orlando on the road, then why can this team not get revenge on the Hawks who they lost to 84-87 earlier this year back on January 19th - at home and on a bounce-back? This team did not have the lineup that it has on the floor right now as Marion was not part of this team then and Joey Graham was starting that game - whereas now, he is coming off the bench with Marion stepping in. Heck, this team led by 9 at the half, only to have a horrible 3rd quarter in Hotlanta scoring just 13 points and although the Raps covered the 7.5, they did not defeat Hawks Outright. Well, they get that opportunity today. The Hawks are already in the playoffs so sure, yes, they are fighting for seeding. But, that is irrelevant to me as the Raps are playing well at home and overall, covering 6 of 7 and the Hawks continue to be a "two-faced" team on the road. The Hawks are 14-24 Overall on the road, typically do not do well as road favorites as they are 1-6 as small faves of 0-5 points on the road and the Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Hawks are my team, but they are in a tough spot today with Toronto looking to get their revenge as this as close to the playoffs the Raptors so I believe they will enjoy winning this game.
MTi SPORTS
Philadelphia at Charlotte
Play: Under 185
The 76ers are off a 96-67 loss in New Jersey in which they shot 35.1% from the field. No starter made it to double-digits. We expect the 76ers to be reluctant to fire away here. Indeed, Philadelphia is 0-9 OU with at most one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they shot at least 10 percentage points lower than their season-to-date average, staying under by an average of 16.1 ppg.The Sixers are seeking revenge here, as the Bobcats beat them 100-95 in Philadelphia on March 27th. Andre Igoudala led all scorers with 25 points in the loss. This is relevant because the 76ers are 0-11 OU when seeking revenge for a loss in which Iguodala was the Seventysixers' high scorer. Philadelphia has stayed under by a whopping 19.6 ppg in this situation and we have cashed with this one SEVEN times this season. this one can be tightens up a bit to reveal a spectacular margin. Specifically, the 76ers are 0-4 OU when seeking revenge for a HOME loss in which Andre Iguodala was the Seventysixers' high scorer, staying under by a whopping 32.8 ppg on the average.The Bobcats are 0-5 OU (-7.7 ppg) at home with at least a day of rest after a loss on the road in which Emeka Okafor had more turnovers than assists, 0-6 OU (-6.8 ppg) after a loss in which Gerald Wallace took fewer than 10 shots and 0-5 OU THIS season after a loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists. Both teams should got well into the 24-second clock before attempting a shot here. Take the UNDER.
MTi’s FORECAST: CHARLOTTE 89 Philadelphia 83
Philadelphia at Charlotte
Play: Under 185
The 76ers are off a 96-67 loss in New Jersey in which they shot 35.1% from the field. No starter made it to double-digits. We expect the 76ers to be reluctant to fire away here. Indeed, Philadelphia is 0-9 OU with at most one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they shot at least 10 percentage points lower than their season-to-date average, staying under by an average of 16.1 ppg.The Sixers are seeking revenge here, as the Bobcats beat them 100-95 in Philadelphia on March 27th. Andre Igoudala led all scorers with 25 points in the loss. This is relevant because the 76ers are 0-11 OU when seeking revenge for a loss in which Iguodala was the Seventysixers' high scorer. Philadelphia has stayed under by a whopping 19.6 ppg in this situation and we have cashed with this one SEVEN times this season. this one can be tightens up a bit to reveal a spectacular margin. Specifically, the 76ers are 0-4 OU when seeking revenge for a HOME loss in which Andre Iguodala was the Seventysixers' high scorer, staying under by a whopping 32.8 ppg on the average.The Bobcats are 0-5 OU (-7.7 ppg) at home with at least a day of rest after a loss on the road in which Emeka Okafor had more turnovers than assists, 0-6 OU (-6.8 ppg) after a loss in which Gerald Wallace took fewer than 10 shots and 0-5 OU THIS season after a loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists. Both teams should got well into the 24-second clock before attempting a shot here. Take the UNDER.
MTi’s FORECAST: CHARLOTTE 89 Philadelphia 83
OMalleyandGoldstein
MLB:
Phillies - 114
SF Giants -158
Marlins -152
Diamondbacks -155
NHL:
Flyers -160
San Jose Sharks -1.5 [-135]
Soccer: (Currently 7-1 in European Soccer):
Manchester United -250 over FC Porto
NBA:
Oklahoma City +5.5
Bonus Play:
Colorado Avalanche @ San Jose Sharks Under 5.5 [-115]
MLB:
Phillies - 114
SF Giants -158
Marlins -152
Diamondbacks -155
NHL:
Flyers -160
San Jose Sharks -1.5 [-135]
Soccer: (Currently 7-1 in European Soccer):
Manchester United -250 over FC Porto
NBA:
Oklahoma City +5.5
Bonus Play:
Colorado Avalanche @ San Jose Sharks Under 5.5 [-115]
GAMEHUNTER
OAKLAND +105 (2 UNITS) - Until Dustin Mosely shows me something, he is high on my fade list. Tough to like a guy who in Triple A last season had an ERA of 6.94 and WHIP of 1.58 and allowed 23 HR's in 116.7 innings. He started last year as the Angel's 5th starter and was roughed up with similar He has consistently allowed a high rate of hits per inning and high rates of home runs in his stints in the majors and minors and despite having a 4 pitch repertoire, he has not proved he is a major league pitcher. Mosely comes in off a decent spring with a 3.75 ERA, but I'm not sold. Trevor Cahill is a 21 year old high ranking prospect with a sinking fastball in the low 90's, outstanding curveball and solid changeup, with excellent command. In Single and Double A the past two years, he tossed 229.7 innings and allowed just 161 hits, an astonishing 8 HR's and a 253:90 K:BB ratio. The A's should stack up a lot better tonight against a righthander with Sweeney, Chavez, Giambi, Cust and Barton. The A's may have the better bullpen and I still think the Angels are a lot closer to the rest of the pack in the AL West this year.
SEATTLE +100 (1.75 UNITS)
DETROIT +108 (1.75 UNITS)
LA DODGERS +100 (1.5 UNITS)
KANSAS CITY +120 (1.25 UNITS
OAKLAND +105 (2 UNITS) - Until Dustin Mosely shows me something, he is high on my fade list. Tough to like a guy who in Triple A last season had an ERA of 6.94 and WHIP of 1.58 and allowed 23 HR's in 116.7 innings. He started last year as the Angel's 5th starter and was roughed up with similar He has consistently allowed a high rate of hits per inning and high rates of home runs in his stints in the majors and minors and despite having a 4 pitch repertoire, he has not proved he is a major league pitcher. Mosely comes in off a decent spring with a 3.75 ERA, but I'm not sold. Trevor Cahill is a 21 year old high ranking prospect with a sinking fastball in the low 90's, outstanding curveball and solid changeup, with excellent command. In Single and Double A the past two years, he tossed 229.7 innings and allowed just 161 hits, an astonishing 8 HR's and a 253:90 K:BB ratio. The A's should stack up a lot better tonight against a righthander with Sweeney, Chavez, Giambi, Cust and Barton. The A's may have the better bullpen and I still think the Angels are a lot closer to the rest of the pack in the AL West this year.
SEATTLE +100 (1.75 UNITS)
DETROIT +108 (1.75 UNITS)
LA DODGERS +100 (1.5 UNITS)
KANSAS CITY +120 (1.25 UNITS
Vr
<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">egas-runner | NBA Total Tue, 04/07/09 - 7:05 PM <sup> � </sup>
</dt><dt> double-dime bet 651 ATL / 652 TOR Over 197.5 BetUS </dt><dd>Analysis: ** NBA 2* PERSONAL PLAY **</dd></dl> <dl><dt class="dtPgTop">vegas-runner | NBA Sides Tue, 04/07/09 - 8:35 PM <sup> � </sup>
</dt><dt> triple-dime bet 662 CHI -7.5 (-110) SportBet vs 661 NYK </dt><dd>Analysis: *** NBA 3* BEST SIDE BET of the DAY *** (UPGRADED)</dd></dl>
<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">vegas-runner | NBA Total Tue, 04/07/09 - 10:35 PM <sup> � </sup>
</dt><dt> triple-dime bet 667 MIN / 668 LAC Over 202.0 BetUS </dt><dd>Analysis: *** NBA 3* BEST TOTAL BET of the DAY ***</dd></dl>
<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Tue, 04/07/09 - 8:05 PM <sup> � </sup>
</dt><dt> double-dime bet ml958 HOU (+105) SportBet vs 957 CHC </dt><dd>Analysis: ** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
RODRIGUEZ vs Dempster
</dd></dl>
<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">vegas-runner | NBA Total Tue, 04/07/09 - 8:35 PM <sup> � </sup>
</dt><dt> double-dime bet 661 NYK / 662 CHI Over 219.5 BetUS </dt><dd>Analysis: ** NBA 2* LATE STEAM **</dd></dl>
Caveat...he's cold.
<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">egas-runner | NBA Total Tue, 04/07/09 - 7:05 PM <sup> � </sup>
</dt><dt> double-dime bet 651 ATL / 652 TOR Over 197.5 BetUS </dt><dd>Analysis: ** NBA 2* PERSONAL PLAY **</dd></dl> <dl><dt class="dtPgTop">vegas-runner | NBA Sides Tue, 04/07/09 - 8:35 PM <sup> � </sup>
</dt><dt> triple-dime bet 662 CHI -7.5 (-110) SportBet vs 661 NYK </dt><dd>Analysis: *** NBA 3* BEST SIDE BET of the DAY *** (UPGRADED)</dd></dl>
<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">vegas-runner | NBA Total Tue, 04/07/09 - 10:35 PM <sup> � </sup>
</dt><dt> triple-dime bet 667 MIN / 668 LAC Over 202.0 BetUS </dt><dd>Analysis: *** NBA 3* BEST TOTAL BET of the DAY ***</dd></dl>
<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Tue, 04/07/09 - 8:05 PM <sup> � </sup>
</dt><dt> double-dime bet ml958 HOU (+105) SportBet vs 957 CHC </dt><dd>Analysis: ** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
RODRIGUEZ vs Dempster
</dd></dl>
<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">vegas-runner | NBA Total Tue, 04/07/09 - 8:35 PM <sup> � </sup>
</dt><dt> double-dime bet 661 NYK / 662 CHI Over 219.5 BetUS </dt><dd>Analysis: ** NBA 2* LATE STEAM **</dd></dl>
Caveat...he's cold.
STAN SHARP
DOUBLE DIME
PHILLY + 4.5 OVER CHARLOTTE @ 7 est
Stan notes that philly is getting great line value here after a horrible performance in new jersey on sun night scoring only 67 points in a 29 point loss . Philly plays with revenge and should get it here . Stan has philly winning by 3-5 points **DOUBLE DIME **
DOUBLE DIME
PHILLY + 4.5 OVER CHARLOTTE @ 7 est
Stan notes that philly is getting great line value here after a horrible performance in new jersey on sun night scoring only 67 points in a 29 point loss . Philly plays with revenge and should get it here . Stan has philly winning by 3-5 points **DOUBLE DIME **
