Service Plays Tuesday 03/03/09

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John Ryan - NHL

Money Line: -131 Florida Panthers

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Florida as travel to face Atlanta slated to start at 7:00 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 20-10 making 14.5 units since 2003. Play on road teams against the money line off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival facing an opponent after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals. Florida is a solid 10-3 against the money line (+7.7 Units) in road games against poor possession teams averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opposition in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta is a very weak 5-14 against the money line (-17.1 Units) against poor possession teams that are averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opposition in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Florida is 7-1 against the money line (+8.0 Units) off a road win by 2 goals or more this season; 8-1 against the money line (+7.7 Units) on Tuesday nights this season. Atlanta is 3-11 against the money line (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Take Florida.
 
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Big Al "Last Home Game" Play of the Year

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Oklahoma St -5.5 over Kansas St
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Tuesday, March 03, 2009
Handicapper: ICEMAN
Edmonton Oilers vs. Nashville Predators (NHL) - 8:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 125 Edmonton Oilers Play Title: 5* NHL GAME OF THE YEAR
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Playoff positioning in the Western Conference will be on the line when the Nashville Predators host the Edmonton Oilers tonight in a key showdown from the Sommet Center.
Only one point separates these teams in the jumbled conference standings right now, with Edmonton clinging to one of the final two postseason seeds. The Oilers are tied with Anaheim for seventh place in the West with 67 points, while Nashville sits immediately behind those two.

The Predators enter this matchup coming off a HUGE 8-0 shutout of Detroit. Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne registered his sixth shutout of the season by stopping all 30 shots he faced.

EDMONTON is ready for double revenge against Rinne as he both of his two starts against the Oilers this season.

The Oilers are riding high now having earned a 3-2 home victory over Minnesota on Saturday and playing great hockey. This is a statement game tonight for EDM who will be playing without their Captain. Expect a letdown from Nashville after their 8-0 pounding of Detroit and EDM to come in as the underdog and steal this important playoff positioning game tonight.

5* NHL ICEMAN GAME OF THE YEAR on the EDMONTON OILERS!


Handicapper: ICEMAN
Calgary Flames vs. Ottawa Senators (NHL) - 7:35 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -132 Calgary Flames Play Title: 4*
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
This is the first game of a season long seven game roadie for the Calgary Flames and they are coming off a rough game in which they gave up eight goals to a lowly Tampa Bay team on Sunday losing 8-6. They'll bounce back tonight so take the Clagary Flames Tuesday Night.
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BURNS NBA

Basketball (NBA)

SACRAMENTO

Game: Indiana Pacers vs. Sacramento Kings Game Time: 3/3/2009 10:05:00 PM Prediction: Sacramento Kings Reason: I'm taking the points with SACRAMENTO. The Pacers have been excellent when facing top tier teams at Indiana this season. They've really struggled to get wins on the road though, regardless of the opponent. In fact, although Indiana is favored, the Kings' home record (9-20) is better than the Pacers' (7-25) road record. The Pacers began the month by scoring a minor upset vs. Denver. However, they haven't followed up performances like that very well, as they're just 3-8 SU (4-7 SU) when coming off a SU victory as an underdog. Looking back further and we find them at just 12-21 in that situation the past few seasons. Forward Troy Murphy acknowledged his team doesn't play as well against losing teams, saying: "For whatever reason, against some of the teams that have a couple more losses, we play down to the level of the competition." For the season, Indiana is just 11-18-1 ATS against losing teams. The Kings closed out February with a 13-point loss at Utah, covering as 17 point underdogs. Note that they're 14-9 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss. It's also worth noting that they won their most recent home game, knocking off a Clippers team which had won back to back games. Including those pointspread victories, the Kings have now quietly gone 6-2 ATS their last eight games. It's also worth noting that they're 5-2 ATS on the season, when playing with two day's rest in between games, going 22-14-2 ATS their last 38 in that situation. The Kings covered the spread at Indiana earlier, losing by five as 7.5 point underdogs. They also won the previous meeting and have won nine of the last 13 games in the series overall. They've had plenty of time to adjust to the lineup changes and I look for them to follow up the double-digit victory over the Clippers, in their most recent game here, with another strong effort for the home fans tonight. *annihilator
 
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BURNS NCAA

Basketball (NCAA)

SOUTH FLORIDA

Game: Cincinnati vs. South Florida Game Time: 3/3/2009 7:00:00 PM Prediction: South Florida Reason: I'm taking the points with SOUTH FLORIDA. This is an important game for the Bearcats, as they're looking to improve their tournament chances by closing out the season with victories in their final two games. However, they aren't playing well of late, having lost three of four, including two straight on the road. Granted, all four of those games were against opponents which are better than the Bulls. However, I believe that the Bulls will also be at their best this evening. Although they're dealing with some injuries, they're also playing their final home game and would love to give the home fans one last victory, particularly one which would do damage to their opponent. While the offense has admittedly struggled as a whole, Dominique Jones, who leads the team in nearly every offensive category, continues to get the job done. You may recall Jones making the game-winning bucket against Marquette, a team which had won 12 straight at the time. The Bearcats are just 3-6 SU/ATS in road lined games and 4-7 SU/ATS away from home overall. Of those four "road" victories, two came by two points and another (at lowly Depaul) came by just four. St. John's was the only team that they beat by more than four points on the road all year. I expect them to have their hands full once again here as the Bulls, who are allowing just 59.8 ppg game at home and who lost by only one at Cincy last year, close out their home regular season with a much stronger effort than most believe they're capable of and come away with the upset. *Best Bet
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BURNS HOCKEY

Hockey (NHL)

BOSTON

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Boston Bruins Game Time: 3/3/2009 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Boston Bruins Reason: I'm laying the price with BOSTON. At first glance, this price seems a bit on the steep side - and it is a higher price than I normally like to lay. However, when we consider that the Bruins were -205 or -210 favorites when they hosted the Flyers less than a month ago, this price begins to seem a lot more reasonable. Despite an edge in shots on goal, the Bruins lost last month's meeting by a score of 4-3. That shouldn't concern us though, as Boston is 14-8 the last 22 times that it was in the 'revenge' role, including a profitable 6-2 (+3.9) the last eight times that it was attempting to avenge a home loss. While the Flyers, who come off a 3-0 loss at New Jersey, are playing their second straight road game, the Bruins are playing the fourth leg of a 6-game homestand. While they lost a tough one vs. Washington last time out, note that they're a perfect 7-0 the last seven times that they were coming off three or more consecutive home games. Its also worth noting that the Bruins are 9-5 the last 14 times that they come off a game in which they allowed four or more goals. On the other hand, the Flyers are 17-27 the last 44 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game, incl. a money-burning 26-46 (-18.3) during the same stretch, when coming off a loss by two goals or more. Prior to the loss vs. the Capitals, the Bruins had been 2-0 on the homestand winning by a combined score of 12-1. Look for them to "get back on track" here, avenging last month's loss and improving to 20-7 the last 27 times that they played a home game with an over/under line of 5.5. *Big chalk GOW
 
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Lance's Lock


Overall record: 745-640-27

Current streak: 3 losses

Todays play: Auburn +1'
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Maddux Sports

Hockey
#1 - NHL - 3 units on Los Angeles +145
#7 - NHL - 3 units on Carolina +165
#21 - NHL - 3 units on Minnesota +150
 

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Overthespread.com

Toronto vs. Houston
Pick: HOUSTON (-8.5)
Wager: 15 Dimes
Tenn-Tech vs. Tenn-Martin
Pick: TENNESSEE MARTIN (-11)
Wager: 5 Dimes
Thank You...
Paid & Confirmed:103631605<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
 

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Alex Smart
Denver Nuggets @ Detroit Pistons
PICK: Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets Chauncey Billups returns to Motown venue, that was previously his home before a shocking early season trade sent him packing to the Rocky Mountains. Billups is one of the all time fan favorites to ever suit up in a Pistons uniform, as is evident on Motor City Hoops blogs and boards. Look for a huge ovation by the Motor City faithful, and for Billups to feed off of this and lead his team to a big time performance.

Here is a quote: "I'm sure it will be emotional," Billups said. "I had a lot of great years there. I'm sure it's always going to be my home away from home. It will be pretty emotional, but it will be a lot of fun."

With the home town Pistons off an emotional back to back road wins, against the Orlando Magic and the defending NBA champion, Boston Celtics last time out, a let down performance tonight could easily be on the agenda.

I know the Nuggets have lost 11 straight trips SU to Auburn Hills, but that was than and this is now. With the Nuggets , getting points , I look for the road team to move to 5-1 ATS in the L/6 overall meetings and for the Pistons to move to 0-6 ATS in their L/6 at home vs a winning opponent.

Projected score: Denver 95 Detroit 93
 

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Chris Jordan

COMPLIMENTARY SELECTIONS ...

1♦ OVER Bulls/Bobcats - Plenty of points here, as the Bulls will push the ball, and the Bobcats should respond. Not a game I want to play straight-up, but I do suspect it’s a game that will go over the posted number.

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The Bulls are on over runs of 6-0 when they’re installed as a road underdog, 4-1 when playing on two days rest, 11-3 after giving up 100+ points in their last game out, 16-5 as an underdog overall, 6-2 after covering the number and 10-3 overall. With Charlotte, the high number is on winning streaks of 4-1 after a straight-up win, 4-1 when returning home from a road trip that last seven days or longer and 5-2 when they host a team that loses on the road.
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This total soars tonight.
 

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sportsbetcapping

3 experts are 15-6ATS last 3 days... just 2-2 last night -$810 though

Tonight's Free pick is a 7**
Nets/Bucks Over 205



Other Bonus Plays:
Indiana NCAAB +14 (3*)
Just purchased from their special promo and got their other premium plays thought you guys would want them, I'll try to post if any of their experts post any new premium plays
Premium plays-
Pistons -3 (5*)
Kings +2 (6*)
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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from heavyhitter sports - clean up play of the day

The Predators can move up into a playoff position tonight with a win over the Edmonton Oilers. Nashville is now 5-0 at home the last 3 seasons vs the Oilers and 10-1 overall can you say bitch play. Add in that captain Ethan Morreau will be on the side lines after suffering a gruesome eye injury on Saturday. The Preds are playing good hockey lately allowing only 1.2 GAA in their last 5 while potting almost 4 goals on avg.

NASHVILLE ML KO PLAY
 

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