Dr. Bob
Tuesday NBA Opinion
ORLANDO (-8 ½) over Charlotte
Rotation #704 – 4:05 pm Pacific
Orlando hasn’t played as well without injured All-Star point guard Jameer Nelson, but the Magic continue to play well after a loss regardless of who is in the lineup. Orlando is 34-12 ATS after a loss under coach Stan Van Gundy, including 3-0 ATS this season without Nelson in the lineup (and 1-0 without star Dwight Howard). Unfortunately, my ratings only favor Orlando by 7 ½ points in this game with Charlotte at full strength now that Gerald Wallace and Raja Bell are ready to return to the lineup (the Bobcats are 9-7 straight up and 11-4-1 ATS when they both play). I’ll still lean with Orlando given how good they’ve been after a loss.
Tuesday College Opinions
PRINCETON (-2 ½) over Penn
Rotation #726 – 4 pm Pacific
Princeton was swept in their weekend road trip at Yale and Brown, losing those games by an average of 15 points, while Penn beat those two teams by an average of 13 points. Prior to their bad weekend, the Tigers had won 7 consecutive games and they are 7-3 straight up and 5-2 ATS since G Marcus Schroeder joined the lineup (5-0 SU and 3-0 ATS at home). Penn had lost 5 of 6 prior to winning those two games over the weekend. My ratings favor the Tigers by 5 ½ points and I’ll lean with Princeton based on the line value.
Murray State (-14 ½) over SE MISSOURI STATE
Rotation #741 – 5 pm Pacific
Southeast Missouri State is a horrible team on a 15 game losing streak that has lost their 10 home games by an average of 10.4 points to teams that are, on average, 7.5 points worse than Murray State. The Redhawks are only 3-12 ATS in their last 15 lined home games (2-6 ATS this season) and they apply to a negative 3-28-1 ATS subset of a 27-66-1 ATS home dog situation that plays against horrible teams. SE Missouri State also applies to a negative 58-115-3 ATS situation. My ratings favor Murray State by 14 ½ points and using the Redhawks’ home games and the Racers’ road games would yield a predicted margin of 18 points. In the first match up between these teams a few weeks ago SE Missouri State made 53.5% of their shots and Murray State made just 43.5% of their shots and the Racers still won by 25 points – which is a good indicator of how much better Murray State is. The line is a bit higher than I had hoped it would be, so I’ll just lean with Murray State at -15 or -14 ½ points. I’d make Murray State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -14 points or less.
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Tuesday NBA Opinion
ORLANDO (-8 ½) over Charlotte
Rotation #704 – 4:05 pm Pacific
Orlando hasn’t played as well without injured All-Star point guard Jameer Nelson, but the Magic continue to play well after a loss regardless of who is in the lineup. Orlando is 34-12 ATS after a loss under coach Stan Van Gundy, including 3-0 ATS this season without Nelson in the lineup (and 1-0 without star Dwight Howard). Unfortunately, my ratings only favor Orlando by 7 ½ points in this game with Charlotte at full strength now that Gerald Wallace and Raja Bell are ready to return to the lineup (the Bobcats are 9-7 straight up and 11-4-1 ATS when they both play). I’ll still lean with Orlando given how good they’ve been after a loss.
Tuesday College Opinions
PRINCETON (-2 ½) over Penn
Rotation #726 – 4 pm Pacific
Princeton was swept in their weekend road trip at Yale and Brown, losing those games by an average of 15 points, while Penn beat those two teams by an average of 13 points. Prior to their bad weekend, the Tigers had won 7 consecutive games and they are 7-3 straight up and 5-2 ATS since G Marcus Schroeder joined the lineup (5-0 SU and 3-0 ATS at home). Penn had lost 5 of 6 prior to winning those two games over the weekend. My ratings favor the Tigers by 5 ½ points and I’ll lean with Princeton based on the line value.
Murray State (-14 ½) over SE MISSOURI STATE
Rotation #741 – 5 pm Pacific
Southeast Missouri State is a horrible team on a 15 game losing streak that has lost their 10 home games by an average of 10.4 points to teams that are, on average, 7.5 points worse than Murray State. The Redhawks are only 3-12 ATS in their last 15 lined home games (2-6 ATS this season) and they apply to a negative 3-28-1 ATS subset of a 27-66-1 ATS home dog situation that plays against horrible teams. SE Missouri State also applies to a negative 58-115-3 ATS situation. My ratings favor Murray State by 14 ½ points and using the Redhawks’ home games and the Racers’ road games would yield a predicted margin of 18 points. In the first match up between these teams a few weeks ago SE Missouri State made 53.5% of their shots and Murray State made just 43.5% of their shots and the Racers still won by 25 points – which is a good indicator of how much better Murray State is. The line is a bit higher than I had hoped it would be, so I’ll just lean with Murray State at -15 or -14 ½ points. I’d make Murray State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -14 points or less.
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