Larry Ness Guaranteed Lock of all Locks
My 9* Thursday Night Game of the Month is on Mia-Fla at 7:45 ET.
I look for Miami to rebound with a much better effort after its mistake-filled 36-24 loss to Ohio State two weeks ago. The Hurricanes committed eight penalties and QB Jacory Harris threw four interceptions in that contest. After the game, Randy Shannon read his team the riot act. "I've never been a guy that just goes off," said Shannon. "But they needed it at that time because I was frustrated. ... Ohio State is a good football team, a great football team, but we made so many mistakes we didn't give ourselves a chance." While both Miami and Pittsburgh took last Saturday off to help prepare for this game, I expect the extra time off to have more benefit for the Hurricanes. After a 27-24 overtime loss in Utah to open the season, Pittsburgh followed that up with a 38-16 'scrimmage' over New Hampshire. The bye week has not been good for Dave Wannestedt's club, as off-campus altercations and a DUI have forced Wannestedt to suspend three players. Even worse, the Panthers' co-Big East Defensive Player of the Year in 2009, Greg Romeus, is out indefinitely after having surgery to repair a disc in his lower back. Without Romeus, Pittsburgh has only five starters from last season's defense and significant questions remain about their linebacking corps. Bigger questions exist with an offensive line that lost three interior lineman to graduation last season. This group has been largely ineffective so far this season. Freshman sensation RB Dion Lewis who rushed for 1,799 yards last season has only 102 yards on 35 carries in two games this season (that's 2.9 YPG). If Pitt cannot get Lewis going, the Panthers will have to rely on the arm of redshirt sophomore QB Tino Sunseri. Against Utah, the Pittsburgh offense managed only 266 total yards. While Sunseri has long term potential, the jury is still out on whether he is ready to carry the offense against a talented defensive unit like what he will face against the Hurricanes. Miami returns eight starters from a unit that was 3rd in the nation against the run and 4th in the nation in tackles for a loss in 2009. Defensive end Allen Bailey is a candidate to be an All American this season. He will test the suspect offensive line of the Panthers. On offense, Miami is loaded with playmakers. Senior RB Damien Berry averaged 6.6 YPC last season and has been getting the bulk of the carries this year. He is maintaining that level of production with his 6.3 YPC average for 139 yards. Speedy redshirt freshman Lamar Miller is also in the mix with his 5.2 YPC average this year (and a kickoff return for a touchdown against Ohio State). The top five wideouts return from last season to give Harris plenty of weapons. Harris must reduce his turnover rate and I expect for that to happen on the heels of that poor performance in Columbus. When Harris is good, he is very good, as he was 3rd in the nation last season in passing YPG. After years of strong recruiting classes. Shannon has loads of talent on this Miami roster. Harris will not have to force things in this game as he felt he had to against the Buckeyes. Miami's playmakers will be too much for a Pittsburgh team that has some big problems on and off the field right now. These schools haven't met since Miami left the Big East in 2004 but Miami won 14 of the last 15 meetings vs the two schools. Pitt's September 2 loss at Utah when Pitt was ranked No. 15 and Utah unranked, represents one of just FOUR losses in 56 meetings between ranked and unranked teams so far in 2010. So what else is new? Pittsburgh is only 1-10 against ranked non-conference foes going back to 1996. Why should I expect that trend to reverse itself on Thursday
My 9* Thursday Night Game of the Month is on Mia-Fla at 7:45 ET.
I look for Miami to rebound with a much better effort after its mistake-filled 36-24 loss to Ohio State two weeks ago. The Hurricanes committed eight penalties and QB Jacory Harris threw four interceptions in that contest. After the game, Randy Shannon read his team the riot act. "I've never been a guy that just goes off," said Shannon. "But they needed it at that time because I was frustrated. ... Ohio State is a good football team, a great football team, but we made so many mistakes we didn't give ourselves a chance." While both Miami and Pittsburgh took last Saturday off to help prepare for this game, I expect the extra time off to have more benefit for the Hurricanes. After a 27-24 overtime loss in Utah to open the season, Pittsburgh followed that up with a 38-16 'scrimmage' over New Hampshire. The bye week has not been good for Dave Wannestedt's club, as off-campus altercations and a DUI have forced Wannestedt to suspend three players. Even worse, the Panthers' co-Big East Defensive Player of the Year in 2009, Greg Romeus, is out indefinitely after having surgery to repair a disc in his lower back. Without Romeus, Pittsburgh has only five starters from last season's defense and significant questions remain about their linebacking corps. Bigger questions exist with an offensive line that lost three interior lineman to graduation last season. This group has been largely ineffective so far this season. Freshman sensation RB Dion Lewis who rushed for 1,799 yards last season has only 102 yards on 35 carries in two games this season (that's 2.9 YPG). If Pitt cannot get Lewis going, the Panthers will have to rely on the arm of redshirt sophomore QB Tino Sunseri. Against Utah, the Pittsburgh offense managed only 266 total yards. While Sunseri has long term potential, the jury is still out on whether he is ready to carry the offense against a talented defensive unit like what he will face against the Hurricanes. Miami returns eight starters from a unit that was 3rd in the nation against the run and 4th in the nation in tackles for a loss in 2009. Defensive end Allen Bailey is a candidate to be an All American this season. He will test the suspect offensive line of the Panthers. On offense, Miami is loaded with playmakers. Senior RB Damien Berry averaged 6.6 YPC last season and has been getting the bulk of the carries this year. He is maintaining that level of production with his 6.3 YPC average for 139 yards. Speedy redshirt freshman Lamar Miller is also in the mix with his 5.2 YPC average this year (and a kickoff return for a touchdown against Ohio State). The top five wideouts return from last season to give Harris plenty of weapons. Harris must reduce his turnover rate and I expect for that to happen on the heels of that poor performance in Columbus. When Harris is good, he is very good, as he was 3rd in the nation last season in passing YPG. After years of strong recruiting classes. Shannon has loads of talent on this Miami roster. Harris will not have to force things in this game as he felt he had to against the Buckeyes. Miami's playmakers will be too much for a Pittsburgh team that has some big problems on and off the field right now. These schools haven't met since Miami left the Big East in 2004 but Miami won 14 of the last 15 meetings vs the two schools. Pitt's September 2 loss at Utah when Pitt was ranked No. 15 and Utah unranked, represents one of just FOUR losses in 56 meetings between ranked and unranked teams so far in 2010. So what else is new? Pittsburgh is only 1-10 against ranked non-conference foes going back to 1996. Why should I expect that trend to reverse itself on Thursday
hes alot better than fumble jesus
HAMMERtheBOOK
3 UNIT rotation 335/336::central florida @ kansas state (kansas state -7 @ most all books)
5 UNIT rotation 327/328::georgia bulldogs @ mississippi bulldogs (uga +1 1/2 @ bet phoenix & bet mania)
5 UNIT rotation 385/386::new mexico lobos @ unlv running rebels (unlv -10 @ jazz)
4 UNIT rotation 343/344::oregon state beavers @ boise state broncos (boise state -17 @ legendz, bodog & carib)3 UNIT rotation 335/336::central florida @ kansas state (kansas state -7 @ most all books)
SAFEST WAGERING
I am rarely persuaded by a point spread. The now colloquial comment ....
"The line is telling me something".
Just tells me I need to do a little more homework.
So I did.
In the last few years, The University of Pittsburgh has shown a greater
commitment to develop a top football program. They hired former
NFL coach, Dave Wannstedt, and have made a more concerted effort to
attract top prospects.
Some recent NFL notables would be: LeSean McCoy, Darelle Revis, H.B. Blades,
and Dorin Dickerson.
Miami has always been a 5 star recruiting operation, with 42 players in
The NFL, compared to 17 for Pittsburgh. But... the DNA gap isn't as
dichotomous as it had been.
Neither team has performed as expected so far this year. Miami's issues
look like they may be fixable in the short term. Pitts may not be.
The Panthers have had key players suspended, and their top running back,
Dion Lewis, hasn't looked healthy. Their recievers are nice large targets,
but don't impress me that much.
Miami's QB, Jacory Harris, can take over a game.
Last week he got picked 4 times against Ohio State. Two of those picks
may not have been his fault, but his total performance was poor.
He's much better than that. The Buckeye's took away any open lanes.
The loss could have been worse if Coach Tressel wanted to run up the score.
The rested Hurricane's should be improved this week some
focused practices. Their problems are more easily corrected.
Take Miami -3.5
I am rarely persuaded by a point spread. The now colloquial comment ....
"The line is telling me something".
Just tells me I need to do a little more homework.
So I did.
In the last few years, The University of Pittsburgh has shown a greater
commitment to develop a top football program. They hired former
NFL coach, Dave Wannstedt, and have made a more concerted effort to
attract top prospects.
Some recent NFL notables would be: LeSean McCoy, Darelle Revis, H.B. Blades,
and Dorin Dickerson.
Miami has always been a 5 star recruiting operation, with 42 players in
The NFL, compared to 17 for Pittsburgh. But... the DNA gap isn't as
dichotomous as it had been.
Neither team has performed as expected so far this year. Miami's issues
look like they may be fixable in the short term. Pitts may not be.
The Panthers have had key players suspended, and their top running back,
Dion Lewis, hasn't looked healthy. Their recievers are nice large targets,
but don't impress me that much.
Miami's QB, Jacory Harris, can take over a game.
Last week he got picked 4 times against Ohio State. Two of those picks
may not have been his fault, but his total performance was poor.
He's much better than that. The Buckeye's took away any open lanes.
The loss could have been worse if Coach Tressel wanted to run up the score.
The rested Hurricane's should be improved this week some
focused practices. Their problems are more easily corrected.
Take Miami -3.5
Thursday MLB System play- GC
On Thursday the MLB Bonus Play is on the Yankees. Game 916 at 7:05 eastern. In game 4 the Yankees qualify in a solid system that has cashed 9 of 11 times. What we want to do is play on home favorites with a total of 8 or less that are off a home favored loss by 5 or more runs, if they scored 2 or less runs and are taking on an opponent off a road dog win that had 10 or more men left on base. The Yankees are 26-7 this year when the posted total is 8 or 8.5. In the pitching match up the Big aces are on the hill tonight. CC. Sabathia is going for New York tonight. He is 12-3 in home starts this year with a solid 2.56 era and already has a home win here this year vs Tampa Bay. The Rays counter with D. Price tonight. Price has a 3.62 road era which is decent. However he did allow 7 runs in 5 innings here in his last start in New York. In that game he was hit very hard. Look for the Yankees to close out the series with a win. On Thursday I have 3 big plays. The 28-3 NCAAF Angle play. A solid Diamond Cutter MLB System that is 14-1 and wins by 4 Rpg. Finally a 100% Totals system. . For the Bonus Play take the New York Yankees. BOL GC
On Thursday the MLB Bonus Play is on the Yankees. Game 916 at 7:05 eastern. In game 4 the Yankees qualify in a solid system that has cashed 9 of 11 times. What we want to do is play on home favorites with a total of 8 or less that are off a home favored loss by 5 or more runs, if they scored 2 or less runs and are taking on an opponent off a road dog win that had 10 or more men left on base. The Yankees are 26-7 this year when the posted total is 8 or 8.5. In the pitching match up the Big aces are on the hill tonight. CC. Sabathia is going for New York tonight. He is 12-3 in home starts this year with a solid 2.56 era and already has a home win here this year vs Tampa Bay. The Rays counter with D. Price tonight. Price has a 3.62 road era which is decent. However he did allow 7 runs in 5 innings here in his last start in New York. In that game he was hit very hard. Look for the Yankees to close out the series with a win. On Thursday I have 3 big plays. The 28-3 NCAAF Angle play. A solid Diamond Cutter MLB System that is 14-1 and wins by 4 Rpg. Finally a 100% Totals system. . For the Bonus Play take the New York Yankees. BOL GC
JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM NCAA FOOTBALL ACTION-September 23rd
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************
[301] Miami (FLA) |5*|Bet A|-3.5|B+1/2|ESPN|7:45 pm EST
note*
Buy half points on only EVEN spreads (JSM Sports went 6-1 last weekend in NCAA Football)
HRC PREMIUM NCAA FOOTBALL ACTION-September 23rd
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************
[301] Miami (FLA) |5*|Bet A|-3.5|B+1/2|ESPN|7:45 pm EST
note*
Buy half points on only EVEN spreads (JSM Sports went 6-1 last weekend in NCAA Football)
MR A
Thursday, September 23, 2010 9:40 p.m. est.
Colorado Rockies (82-69) at Arizona Diamondbacks (61-91)
(L) Jeff Francis (4-5) vs. (R) Ian Kennedy (9-9)
Colorado Rockies +100
Oddsmakers line:
Arizona as a -110 home favorite over Colorado with the total listed at 9'over'
Thursday, September 23, 2010 10:05 p.m. est.
Texas Rangers (84-67) at Oakland Athletics (76-75)
(L) Cliff Lee (12-8) vs. (L) Dallas Braden (9-13)
Texas Rangers -130
Oddsmakers line:
Texas as a -130 road favorite over Oakland with the total listed at 6½'over'
Thursday, September 23, 2010 9:40 p.m. est.
Colorado Rockies (82-69) at Arizona Diamondbacks (61-91)
(L) Jeff Francis (4-5) vs. (R) Ian Kennedy (9-9)
Colorado Rockies +100
Oddsmakers line:
Arizona as a -110 home favorite over Colorado with the total listed at 9'over'
Thursday, September 23, 2010 10:05 p.m. est.
Texas Rangers (84-67) at Oakland Athletics (76-75)
(L) Cliff Lee (12-8) vs. (L) Dallas Braden (9-13)
Texas Rangers -130
Oddsmakers line:
Texas as a -130 road favorite over Oakland with the total listed at 6½'over'
