Service Plays Thursday 8/7/08

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NFL Preseason

N.Y. Giants at Detroit

The Super Bowl champion Giants start warming up for their title defense when they travel to Ford Field to open the preseason against the Lions.

After going 7-1 SU and ATS in the 2005 and 2006 preseasons, New York slipped to 1-3 SU and ATS last August, all as an underdog. Meanwhile, Detroit was 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS in the preseason last year, and it has cashed in just four of 16 preseason games dating to 2004 (6-10 SU). The home field hasn’t helped the Lions in that span, as they’ve gone 2-6 ATS (4-4 SU) at Ford Field.

Giants quarterback Eli Manning will get the start, but he’s only expected to play the first two series at the most, and all the starters should be gone by the second quarter. Journeymen Anthony Wright and David Carr will follow Manning, and rookie Andre Woodson could also see some time.

New York’s receiving corps will be thin, with Plaxico Burress, Steve Smith, David Tyree and Mario Manningham all sitting with minor injuries.

Jon Kitna is back as the Lions’ starting quarterback, but he and the rest of the first-string offense and defense will be on the field for only about 10 snaps, coach Rod Marinelli said. No. 2 QB Dan Orlovsky will follow Kitna and play about 1½ quarters, with former second-round pick Drew Stanton finishing up.

The under is 8-4 in New York’s last three preseason campaigns, including 7-1 on the road, and the under is 4-2 in Detroit’s last six preseason home contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE:UNDER


N.Y. Jets at Cleveland

On the day they reportedly agreed to a trade for Brett Favre, the Jets head to Cleveland for an exhibition game against the Browns, who will attempt to continue their recent preseason hot streak.

New York, entering coach Eric Mangini’s third season, went 3-1 SU and ATS last year in preseason play, and the Jets are 11-5 SU over the past four exhibition campaigns (9-7 ATS), including 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven preseason road contests.

Mangini has kept his quarterback situation under wraps throughout camp, and with the apparent acquisition of Favre, it looks as though Chad Pennington and Kellen Clemens are now battling for the backup job. Both are expected to play tonight, with rookie Erik Ainge and Brett Ratliff getting time in the second half.

Cleveland also went 3-1 SU and ATS in the 2007 preseason and is 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS dating to 2004, one year before the arrival of coach Romeo Crennel. The Browns are also 6-2 ATS in Cleveland over the past four preseasons.

Browns quarterback Derek Anderson will play the first quarter, with Brady Quinn expected to step in for the second and third quarters, followed by Ken Dorsey.

The under has been the preseason play the past three years for Cleveland, going 8-4 overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND


Baltimore at New England

The AFC champion Patriots, who fell one game short of a historic perfect season last year, get back at it when they open the preseason against the Ravens at Gillette Stadium.

New England, entering its ninth season under coach Bill Belichick, has been an average preseason squad the past three years, going 6-6 SU (2-2 all three years) and 6-5-1 ATS. In the past two summers, though, the Pats are 3-1 SU and ATS as a favorite, all of more than three points.

Baltimore, now under rookie head coach John Harbaugh after Brian Billick was fired following the 2007 season, went 1-2 SU and ATS last year in the preseason and is 8-7 SU and ATS over the past four exhibition seasons. On the road in that span, the Ravens went 3-4 SU and ATS.

Quarterback Tom Brady is nursing a calf injury and will be a game-time decision for the Patriots. If Brady plays, it likely won’t be for more than two series, and he’ll be followed by Matt Cassel, Matt Gutierrez and rookie Kevin O’Connell, all of whom are battling it out to be Brady’s backup.

QB Kyle Boller will start for the Ravens and is expected to play most, if not all, of the first half, followed by Troy Smith in the third quarter and rookie Joe Flacco in the fourth quarter. Baltimore will be without RB Willis McGahee and tight end Todd Heap, both down with injuries.

The over is 3-1 in New England’s last four home preseason games, with both contests in Foxboro last year topping the total. On the flip side, the under is on an 8-3 run over the past three exhibition campaigns for Baltimore.

ATS ADVANTAGE:NEW ENGLAND


Kansas City at Chicago

The Bears, who reached the Super Bowl in the 2006 season but missed the playoffs last year, open 2008 against the Chiefs at Soldier Field.

Chicago went 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS in the 2007 preseason and is 10-7 SU (8-8-1 ATS) in exhibition games since coach Lovie Smith took over in 2004. The Bears have gone 1-1 SU each of the last five preseasons and are just 3-7 ATS at Soldier Field during that stretch.

Kansas City, in a precursor to its 4-12 regular season, went 0-4 SU and ATS last August and is just 2-10 SU and ATS in its last 12 exhibition contests. Since 2004, the Chiefs are 0-8 SU and ATS in preseason road games.

QB Kyle Orton gets the starting nod for the Bears tonight and will play the first quarter, followed in the second quarter by Rex Grossman, with both quarterbacks playing behind the first team. Caleb Hanie is expected to play in the second half.

Herm Edwards, entering his third season as Chiefs coach, said Brody Croyle’s starting job is safe. Croyle is expected to start tonight and could play into the second quarter, though Edwards wouldn’t specify the exact game plan. He did say Tyler Thigpen will replace Croyle and get most of the remaining snaps before handing off to veteran Damon Huard.

The over went 3-1 in the preseason for Chicago last year, but the under is 6-2 in Kansas City’s last two exhibition campaigns.

ATS ADVANTAGE:CHICAGO


New Orleans at Arizona

The Saints, who slid to 7-9 last year after nearly making the Super Bowl in 2006, travel to University of Phoenix Stadium to take on the Cardinals.

New Orleans, entering its third year under coach Sean Payton, went 3-2 SU and ATS in the 2007 preseason, including 2-0 SU and ATS in true road games and 3-1 ATS as an underdog. Over the past five preseasons, the Saints are just 8-13 SU and ATS in August, but they are 6-4 SU and ATS on the highway.

Arizona went 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in coach Ken Whisenhunt’s first preseason last year. The Cards have been a middling team at home the past four Augusts, going 2-6 SU and 4-4 ATS. They’re also 2-4 ATS as a favorite the last four summers.

QB Drew Brees will start for the Saints and is expected to play the whole first quarter, with Mark Brunell coming on and playing into the third quarter, followed by Tyler Palko. New Orleans will be shorthanded on offense, though, with RB Deuce McAllister, TE Jeremy Shockey and WR Devery Henderson all sitting out, and WR Marques Colston questionable.

QB Matt Leinart will have a limited start for the Cardinals, playing one to two series, and Kurt Warner will follow for one to two series as both passers battle for the No. 1 job. Brian St. Pierre and rookie Anthony Morelli are slated to take the snaps the rest of the way, though all four QBs are likely to be without injured wideouts Anquan Boldin and Early Doucet.

The under has cashed in five of New Orleans’ last seven preseason contests, but the over has been the play in five of Arizona’s last six exhibition games and is 4-2 at home for the Cardinals in the past three summers.

ATS ADVANTAGE:NEW ORLEANS and OVER
 
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Wild Bill

Patriots -5 (5 units)
Chiefs +3 (5 units)
Arizona -2 (5 units)
Arizona-Saints Under 36 1/2 (5 units)
Pittsburgh -3 (5 units)
Eagles-Pittsburgh Under 33 1/2 (5 units)
Seattle +2 1/2 (5 units)
St L-Tenn Under 33 (5 units)
Dallas +3 (5 units)
Bengals +3 1/2 (5 units)
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Bob Balfe

NFL Preseason Football
Browns -3 over Jets
Cleveland will have a QB controversy again in the preseason, but Derrick Anderson looks like the starter again this year. The Browns had a great year in 2007 and still have the offense to make a playoff run. The jets just acquired Brett Favre which has to take the focus off of tonight's game just a bit for the Jets QB's who know their roster spot isn't as secure as it was last night. What I like about the Browns tonight is all three QB's have great qualities for young guys and should be productive tonight.

Ravens +3.5 over New England
After Tom Brady the Patriots backups flat out stink. The Pats also have a brittle offensive line which should limit Brady to a few snaps maybe none at all. Baltimore has upgraded their QB position with rookie Joe Flacco from Delaware. This guy is good and there is a reason why they took a Delaware product so early in the draft. We will also get our first look at Ray Rice at running back. The Ravens have a lot of positive things happening and could get back to the playoffs very soon. New England might look like they did in last year's super bowl tonight.

Chiefs/Bears Under 34
I don't think either team will light up the scoreboard tonight. The Chiefs Will start Carole who cant buy a win and the majority of the game will go with Tyler Thigpen. Sounds more like a baseball name to me. The Bears again have Orton and Grossman starting for a job. No matter what happens Grossman will end up winning the job taking his team to the playoffs and continue to get his boos from the crowd. Chicago will get a look at rookie running back Matt Forte tonight which will help milk the clock. I don't think this game has enough offensive fireworks to make it high scoring. Take the Under.
 
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Pointwise NFLX Phones

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->3* New England (tonight)
3* Washington (Saturday)
2* Dallas (Saturday)
2* Philadelphia (Friday)
2* Detroit (tonight)
2* Arizona (tonight)
 
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CHARLIES SPORTS MEMBERS SECTION Charlies Sports Members Section


thursday august 7, 2008.

nfl. jets @ browns under 35 (500*)

nfl. lions-3 (30*)

nfl. arizona-2' (20*)

nfl. jets-3 (20*)

nfl. chiefs+3 (10*)

nfl. ravens+3' (10*) Bonus Play<!-- / message -->
 
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NFLX Top Angle:

NFLX Thursday: New England is 14-3 Under during the first two weeks of the preseason since 1993. The Ravens have been under the total alot too.


2* TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL OF 33.5 POINTS
NEW ENGLAND PATS VS BALTIMORE RAVENS
 
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atslocksdotcom

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->FREE PICK

Under 35 Chiefs/Bears KC 1-6-1 LAST 8 UNDER Pre-season
 
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Yankee Capper

NFL
5 Units - Chicago Bears -3
4 Units - Giants/Lions Over 32
3 Units - New York Jets +3
2 Units - Arizona Cardinals -2.5
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