Service Plays Thursday 8/28/14

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THURSDAY NCAA FOOTBALL

1000* Play South Carolina -10.5 over Texas A&M (TOP NCAA PLAY)

South Carolina has won 19 of the last 20 games when playing as a favorite and they have won 6 of the last 7 games when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] month of the season.South Carolina has won 12 of the last 16 games vs. SEC Conference Opponents and they only allowed an average of 17 points a game on defense at home last season.


1000* Play Wake Forest +2 over LA-Monroe (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Louisiana-Monroe has lost 59 of the last 76 non-conference games and they have lost 41 of the last 53 games when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] month of the season.Louisiana-Monroe has lost 88 of the last 130 games when playing as an underdog and they allowed an average of 30 points a game on defense last season.


1000* Play Vanderbilt -13.5 over Temple (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Vanderbilt has won 9 of the last 10 non-conference games and they have won 13 of the last 15 games when playing as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points.Vanderbilt has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 home games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 52 points and they averaged 32 points a game on offense at home last season.

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THURSDAY NFL FOOTBALL---(Preseason)

25* Play Buffalo -4.5 over Detroit (TOP NFL PLAY)
25* Play Cleveland -5 over Chicago (TOP NFL PLAY)
25* Play Pittsburgh -5 over Carolina (TOP NFL PLAY)
 

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MLB Baseball

1000* Play Kansas City -135 over Minnesota (TOP MLB)

Minnesota has lost 33 of the last 52 games when playing on a Thursday and they have lost 63 of the last 107 games when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher.Minnesota has lost 59 of the last 101 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have lost 29 of the last 50 games when playing in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season.

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50* Play Cleveland -130 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play San Francisco -170 over Colorado (MLB BONUS PLAY)
 

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THURSDAY

TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAYS


  • Play South Carolina -10.5 over Texas A&M----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Texas A&M has lost 30 of the last 42 games against the spread when playing as a road underdog and they have lost 11 of the last 16 games against the spread when playing on a Thursday.Texas A&M has lost 4 consecutive games against the spread when playing in the month of August and they allowed an average of 36 points a game on defense in road games last season.



  • Play Wake Forest +2 over Louisiana-Monroe----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Louisiana-Monroe has lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread when playing in the month of August and they have lost 7 of the last 10 home games against the spread.Louisiana-Monroe has lost 21 of the last 26 games when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] two weeks of the season and they allowed an average of 35 points a game on defense in their last three games last season.



  • Play Tulsa -6.5 over Tulane----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Tulane has lost 61 of the last 112 games against the spread when playing as a road underdog and they have lost 78 of the last 140 games against the spread vs. conference opponents.Tulane has lost 35 of the last 64 games against the spread when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] month of the season and they have lost 8 of the last 9 games vs. Tulsa.



  • Play Mississippi -10.5 over Boise State----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Mississippi has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 non-conference games and they have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games when playing in a dome stadium.Mississippi has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 neutral field games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 56 points and they have covered the spread in 9 of the last 13 games when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season.



  • Play Washington State -8 over Rutgers----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Rutgers has lost 9 of the last 10 games against the spread when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points and they have lost 3 of the last 4 games against the spread when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] two weeks of the season.Rutgers has lost 4 of the last 5 games when playing on a Thursday and they allowed an average of 37 points a game on defense in road games last season.

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TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS


  • Play Miami -3 over St. Louis----RISK 1% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  • Play Jacksonville -4 over Atlanta----RISK 1% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  • Play Tampa Bay -3 over Washington----RISK 1% OF YOUR BANKROLL
 

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THURSDAY BASEBALL



  • Play New York Yankees -110 over Detroit----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
1:00 PM EST

New York has won 12 of the last 15 games when playing on a Thursday and they have won 39 of the last 63 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents. New York has won 95 of the last 150 games when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher and they have won 92 of the last 155 day games.




  • Play Oakland -110 over Los Angeles Angels---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
    10:00 PM EST

Oakland has won 90 of the last 157 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have won 27 of the last 46 games when playing on a Thursday. Oakland has won 57 of the last 91 road games when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher and they have won 71 of the last 111 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.
 

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THURSDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play NY Yankees -110 over Detroit (MLB TOP PLAY)

New York is 12-3 when playing on a Thursday this season
New York is 39-24 vs. AL Central Division Opponents
New York is 92-63 in day games the last three seasons



10* Play Oakland -110 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB TOP PLAY)

Oakland is 90-67 vs. left-handed starting pitchers the last three seasons
Oakland is 27-19 when playing on a Thursday
Oakland is 57-34 when playing as a road favorite of -110 or higher

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5* Play Chicago Cubs -110 over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Tampa Bay +120 over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

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Kevin's Picks:
Another winning 4-2 week against the spread for my preseason system plays last week. Lets try and finish off with another winning week as we get ready for the real season Thursday night in Seattle!
Atlanta Falcons @ Jacksonville Jaguars - JAGUARS -4 (-102)
St Louis Rams @ Miami Dolphins - RAMS +3 (-115)
Carolina Panthers @ Pittsburgh Steelers - PANTHERS +5.5 (-107)
Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans - TITANS -2 (-105)

Kyle's Picks:
BRONCOS -3 (+100)
I had the Broncos last week, in what equated to playing roulette in the 4th quarter. It was pretty well a tossup late before the Texans scored a touchdown and then completed the 2-point conversion to win the game. The Broncos will go up against another Texas foe, the Cowboys. Brock Osweiler will assume the backup role in this game, or I suppose, you can say starter since Manning will be gone quickly in this game. These preseason games are important for the 2nd year pro out of Arizona State who was taken in the second round. Second round picks are expected to produce, and I think Osweiler has showed glimpses of why he can be a starting quarterback. However, he's been too inconsistent for my liking. Preseason is really the only time he can showcase his talents so it is important for himself. He's been adequate this preseason, there have been moments of good football and average football. Osweiler was on point in game 2, passing for 105 yards and a touchdown on 10 of 13 passing. Last week he didn't look so great, going for 43 yards and a pick on 4 of 11 passing. Zac Dysert, who many think has a chance to be a good quarterback, will follow Osweiler. Dysert was taken in the seventh round of the draft last year, but many people believe he should have been taken earlier. He passed for 63 yards on 8 of 11 completions, chipping in with a touchdown as well against the 49ers a couple of weeks ago. Look for him to get more playing time this week, as he sat last week giving Osweiler all of the playing time with Manning.
The Cowboys will be just fine on offense this season under Tony Romo. Romo will get the brunt of the blame for which should be another inconsistent season, but I don't think it'll be deserved. The defense in Dallas is going to be bad, with a chance I think, to be the worst defense in the NFL. The secondary should be able to get beat with ease. It isn't only the starters here, but there is no depth to be found exactly anywhere on this roster. Defensive line scares me as well with this unit. Osweiler and Dysert should be able to move the ball against them. The defense has been steamrolled already and it is only the preseason, showcasing the lack of depth throughout. They gave up 27 to the Chargers, 37 to the Ravens, and 25 against the Dolphins. That gives us an average of 29.6 points per game, in the preseason! Preseason is typically a time for the defense to look good given no teams game plan, but Dallas has had problems nevertheless.
I like the quarterback rotation of Osweiler and Dysert here over Brandon Weeden and Caleb Hanie. Weeden is in a position he should be, in a backup role, but what he is going to do any given week is anyone's guess. I give the edge to the Broncos' defense, too. The Cowboys should get exploited right off the bat, and it wouldn't surprise me if the Bronco first-stringers get a touchdown or at least a field goal before they exit. I like the Broncos to win this game by a score of around 27-17. Consequently, the point spread of -3 on Denver at even money looks pretty enticing to me.

Cheers,
Kevin
 
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SB Professor Original NCAAF Picks

(A) Texas A&M +10.5

There are no additional plays today.

(Letter) indicates an official play in the 3-game progression.
 
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Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Yankees are 0-10 since July 21, 2013 on the road after a win in which they had 12+ hits and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1094 when playing against.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Sonny Gray starts the Athletics are 10-0 since September 22, 2013 as a favorite after going at least 6 innings and giving up 6 or fewer hits and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $1000.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Rays are 0-13 (+$1,300) since July 2004 as between a +105 and a +140 dog, after a win in a night game where they drew one or fewer walks.

CHOICE TREND:

The Astros are 10-0 since May 02, 2008 as a favorite of more than -110 when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1000.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Mike Minor starts the Braves are 15-3 since August 23, 2011 as a favorite after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start for a net profit of $1157.
 

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