Matt Fargo
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
This is one of those large late season prices that teams needed to win get hit with. Normally, the home teams would not be such a heavy favorite but being they must keep pace in the playoff race, every game counts and the books want the public to bet into these big numbers. It is far from as sign to take the underdog, especially in a spot such as this where the pitching matchup heavily favors the high-priced team. That is why we take the runline and get much better value and taking a lot of the risk out if it.
The Phillies are still right in the thick of the National League East as they trail the Mets by just a game and a half. They have been able to take care of the bad teams as they are 9-1 over their last 10 games against teams with a win percentage below .400. The Nationals certainly fall into that category as they possess the worst record in baseball as well as the worst road record. Washington is 17-41 in its last 58 games against a team with a winning record.
Tim Redding was having a spectacular season for Washington and his numbers are still decent but he has definitely fallen off. The big factor is fatigue as his 146.2 innings tossed are more than the last three years combined so a dead arm is very well a possibility. Over his last six games, he has a 7.59 ERA and after posting a 2.38 ERA through his first 12 starts of the season, he has put up a 5.49 ERA over his last 14 starts. After shutting out the Phillies twice early in the year, he was tagged for seven runs last month.
Jamie Moyer just keeps on going .He is coming off another quality start where he allowed no runs on just three hits in seven innings against the Padres. Moyer has a 2.77 ERA since June 6th covering 13 starts, all of which he has allowed three runs or fewer. While San Diego certainly possesses a weak offense, Washington is right there. Over his last eight starts against Washington, he is 6-1 with a 2.25 ERA and the Phillies are a perfect 6-0 in his six starts since he joined the Phillies. Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs 1.5 Units
John Fina
Selection: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs
Today the Washington Nationals will be on the road as they take on the Philadelphia Phillies. We will side with the Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs! One reason why we will side with the Philadelphia Phillies is because they will be sending to the mound the much superior pitcher. This says it all... The Washington Nationals Starting Pitcher (Tim Redding) has a 7.31 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Philadelphia Phillies Starting Pitcher (Jamie Moyer) has a 2.50 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, the Philadelphia Phillies have the much better starting pitcher on the mound. The Philadelphia Phillies are 20-8 in their last 28 meetings against the Washington Nationals, and should be able to get another blowout win tonight! Take the Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
Mr A
Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians
The struggling Royals have dropped 11 of their 13 games and its last four on the road, 27-37 away from home this season. Meanwhile, the Indians have won nine of their last 12 and seven of its last 10 at home.
Kansas City's Zack Greinke (9-8, 3.92) is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 3-6 with a 4.14 ERA in his career against Cleveland
Cleveland's Cliff Lee is is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last three starts. The left-hander is 9-4 with a 4.88 ERA in his career against Kansas City.
Take the Indians for a three-game sweep of the Royals this afternoon. Kansas City has lost 19 of the last 26 games versus the Indians in Cleveland and will be facing Cleveland's ace Cliff Lee. The southpaw is 6-0 with a 2.42 ERA in his last seven starts and looks to take his third straight victory against Kansas City this season.
Cleveland Indians -210
Bob Harvey
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: Cleveland Indians -1½
There has been no player more valuable to his team than the Indians Cliff Lee. Cleveland has won 58 games this season and Lee has accounted for almost 30% of them with his 17 victories. This afternoon he looks for his seventh straight win as the Indians go for a three-game sweep of the Royals.
In addition to his 17-2 record he has an ERA of 2.43. Lee is the AL leader in wins, winning percentage, ERA and has allowed two or fewer runs in 18 of his 24 starts. He’s 6-0 with a 2.42 ERA in his last seven starts, and is coming off his third complete game, a victory over the Angels last week.
Lee’s only shutout of the year came against the Royals in April. The lefty also beat Kansas City in May to improve to 9-4 lifetime vs. KC. He’s also unbeaten at home going 7-0 at Progressive Field this season with a 2.38 ERA in ten starts.
The Indians are going for their first home sweep of an opponent since winning four straight against Tampa Bay immediately before the All-Star break. Since the beginning of that series, Cleveland is 21-14 overall.
As has happened in years gone by, Kansas City is struggling in the second half of the season and headed perhaps to another last place finish. The Royals have dropped four straight and 11 of 13 falling behind the Indians into the basement of the AL central where they’ve resided the past four seasons.
Zach Greinke will toe the rubber looking to turn things around for the Royals but he’s just 2-4 in his last nine starts having allowed at least five runs in four of those five outings. He’s also just 3-6 lifetime vs. the Tribe.
Steve Janus
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play: New York Yankees +160
Taking the Yankees here in a big underdog situation. New York can be overrated, but if they can get their bats going at all against Halladay they will have a great chance to pull off a big upset.
Brian Marshall
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Plays: Colorado/Los Angeles Over 9
Do you love high-scoring games? If yes, you will love Thursday's MLB contest between the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Colorado Rockies will be lead by starting pitcher Jorge De La Rosa. Jorge De La Rosa has been having huge pitching problems as of late. In fact, Jorge De La Rosa has a 7.36 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Jorge De La Rosa giving up many runs once again today.
The Los Angeles Dodgers will be lead by starting pitcher Derek Lowe. Derek Lowe has also been having huge pitching problems as of late. In fact, Derek Lowe has a 6.48 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Derek Lowe also giving up many runs today.
These teams have a history of playing high-scoring games when they meet. In fact, the Over is 13-7 in the last 20 meetings between these teams.
The bottom line, we should see many runs scored tonight!
Take the Colorado Rockies/Los Angeles Dodgers Over 9
Tony Mathews
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Selection: New York Mets -1.5 Runs
The Atlanta Braves will use starting pitcher Mike Hampton. Mike Hampton has struggled this entire season. In fact, Mike Hampton has a 6.92 ERA on the season. We see Mike Hampton pitching another bad game today.
The New York Mets will use starting pitcher Pedro Martinez. Pedro Martinez has been pitching very well as of late. In fact, Pedro Martinez has a 1.86 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Pedro Martinez pitching another great game today.
The New York Mets are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 meetings against the Atlanta Braves (when playing in New York), and should be able to get another blowout win tonight!
Take the New York Mets -1.5 Runs
FAO Sports
49ers / Bears Over
These teams have played each other the last 2 years in preseason games. The combined scores averaged 50.5 PPG. The OVER seems like an easy play.