J.R STEVENS SMOOTH44
Today’s Top-Rated MLB Picks
(951) Colorado +240
(951) Colorado ALT RL -1.5 +365
*96% trend success rate – average win by 3+ runs
*Mets have a HUGE series on-deck with Pittsburgh so if Colorado can get the lead early we may see the Mets concede and rest for the weekend
(953) Milwaukee +210
(953) Milwaukee ALT RL -1.5 +305
*97% trend success rate – average win by 3+ runs
*Risky play for sure but upper 80s in Chicago today could create some problems for Lester. Cubs could also get caught looking ahead to their weekend series with their in-town rival.
(961) Oakland +180
(961) Oakland ALT RL -1.5 +250
*95% trend success rate – average win by 3+ runs
*Jays have a HUGE series on-deck with the Yanks so if Oakland can get the lead early we may see the Jays concede and rest for the weekend
(965) NY Yankees -110
(965) NY Yankees ALT RL -1.5 +200
*100% trend success rate – average win by 3+ runs
*Yanks have huge series on-deck and cannot affors to lose today. If Jays lose they will be even more motivated.
(967) LA Angels -110
(967) LA Angels RL -1.5 +150
*96% trend success rate – average win by 3+ runs
*Angels have huge series on-deck with Kansas City and cannot afford to lose today. Books have them early fave tomorrow indicating they expect a win here today too.
*50% ML, 50% RL
*Listed Pitchers
*Always shop for the best available line.
*And Remember, Alternate Runlines are also known as Reverse Runlines and, in effect, make the dog a favorite for bigger payout potential. We have only had a few opportunities this season to play these this season and we have done it with success.
Today’s Top-Rated MLB Picks
(951) Colorado +240
(951) Colorado ALT RL -1.5 +365
*96% trend success rate – average win by 3+ runs
*Mets have a HUGE series on-deck with Pittsburgh so if Colorado can get the lead early we may see the Mets concede and rest for the weekend
(953) Milwaukee +210
(953) Milwaukee ALT RL -1.5 +305
*97% trend success rate – average win by 3+ runs
*Risky play for sure but upper 80s in Chicago today could create some problems for Lester. Cubs could also get caught looking ahead to their weekend series with their in-town rival.
(961) Oakland +180
(961) Oakland ALT RL -1.5 +250
*95% trend success rate – average win by 3+ runs
*Jays have a HUGE series on-deck with the Yanks so if Oakland can get the lead early we may see the Jays concede and rest for the weekend
(965) NY Yankees -110
(965) NY Yankees ALT RL -1.5 +200
*100% trend success rate – average win by 3+ runs
*Yanks have huge series on-deck and cannot affors to lose today. If Jays lose they will be even more motivated.
(967) LA Angels -110
(967) LA Angels RL -1.5 +150
*96% trend success rate – average win by 3+ runs
*Angels have huge series on-deck with Kansas City and cannot afford to lose today. Books have them early fave tomorrow indicating they expect a win here today too.
*50% ML, 50% RL
*Listed Pitchers
*Always shop for the best available line.
*And Remember, Alternate Runlines are also known as Reverse Runlines and, in effect, make the dog a favorite for bigger payout potential. We have only had a few opportunities this season to play these this season and we have done it with success.
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
THURSDAY, AUGUST 13th 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
***** Thursday, 8/13/15 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2015 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________________________
Rounding The Bases – Thursday
National League
•Rockies @ Mets
--Butler is 1-4, 7.86 in his last five starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six.
--Syndergaard is 4-0, 1.13 in his last four home starts; under is 4-1 in his last five starts at Citi Field.
--Colorado lost last seven games with the Mets (got shut out in four of last five); home side won 12 of last 13 in series, with last seven staying under. Rockies lost four of last five overall; four of those five stayed under total. Mets won 11 of last 13 games, with last thee staying under.
•Brewers @ Cubs
--Cravy is 0-3, 5.00 in his three starts (under 3-0); Brewers were shut out in two of those three games.
--Lester is 3-0, 1.84 in his last four starts; under is 8-1-1 in his last ten.
--Milwaukee lost last six games with the Cubs (under 5-1-1 in last seven); they lost four of last five games (over 4-3 in last seven). Chicago won 12 of its last 13 games; five of last seven went over the total.
•Pirates @ Cardinals
--Liriano is 2-0, 4.29 in his last four starts (over 4-0).
--Lynn is 3-1, 2.32 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1).
--Cards won six of last seven games; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine. Home side won seven of last eight series games. Pirates won five of last eight games with St Louis but lost last two; over is 5-3-1 in last nine in series. Pittsburgh won four of last six games (over 4-1-1).
•Reds @ Dodgers
--Sampson is 1-1, 327 in his two starts (under 1-1).
--Former Red Latos is 0-2, 5.63 in his last three starts (under 5-3 in last eight).
--Cincinnati is 6-4 in its last ten games with the Dodgers; four of last five went under the total. Reds lost six of last eight games; nine of last 11 stayed under total. Dodgers lost four of last six games; five of their last seven games went over.
•Nationals @ Giants
--Strasburg is 3-0, 1.19 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.
--Vogelsong is 0-2, 5.49 in his last four starts (over 3-1).
--Washington won four of last five games with the Giants; six of last seven in series stayed under total. Nationals lost three of last four games, and got shut out last two nights (Greinke/Kershaw); over is 7-3 in their last ten games. San Francisco lost five of last six games; their last three stayed under.
American League
•Athletics @ Blue Jays
--Gray is 2-0, 1.13 in his last four starts; under is 6-0-1 in his last seven.
--Buehrle is 3-0, 3.48 in his last five starts; last four all went over.
--Blue Jays won last ten games, outscoring foes 56-20; four of last five stayed under the total. Oakland lost last two nights 4-2/10-3; under is 9-2-1 in last 12 series games- home team won ten of the twelve.
•Yankees @ Indians
--Eovaldi is 3-0, 3.23 in his last five starts (under 5-3 in last eight).
--Bauer is 1-1, 2.86 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under.
--Yankees lost five of last six games with Cleveland, five of last eight series tilts went over. New York lost six of last seven games, scoring nine runs (six of seven stayed under). Indians are 5-2 in last seven games; three of last five went over.
•Angels @ Royals
--Richards is 1-3, 4.55 in his last four starts; under is 6-4 in his last ten.
--Guthrie is 1-2, 8.22 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over.
--Royals won their last seven games with the Angels; three of last four went over the total. KC won five of its last six games overall; Halos lost four of last five overall (under 5-3 in last eight). Angels played 13 innings in Chicago late last night, couldn't have gotten much sleep last night.
•Rangers @ Twins
--Gonzalez is 0-3, 10.13 in his last three starts, last of which was July 3; five of his seven starts stayed under.
--Santana is 0-3, 12.21 in his last three starts.
--Texas lost last three games vs Minnesota; six of last eight stayed under the total. Rangers lost four of last five games. Twins are 3-2 in last five games; six of their last seven went over the total.
•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Col-NY-- Butler 6-9; Syndergaard 8-8
-- Mil-Chi-- Cravy 0-3; Lester 12-10
-- Pitt-StL-- Liriano 11-10; Lynn 13-8
-- Cin-LA-- Sampson 1-1; Latos 7-11, 1-1
-- Wsh-SF-- Strasburg 13-10; Vogelsong 9-8
-- A's-Tor--Gray 15-8; Buehrle 13-9
-- NY-Clev-- Eovaldi 14-8; Bauer 10-12
-- LA-KC-- Richards 12-9; Guthrie 13-8
-- Tex-Min-- Gonzalez 3-4; Santana 3-4
•Times This Starting Pitcher Allowed A Run In First Inning
-- Col-NY-- Butler 8-16; Syndergaard 5-16
-- Mil-Chi-- Cravy 0-3; Lester 7-23
-- Pitt-StL-- Liriano 3-22; Lynn 7-21
-- Cin-LA-- Sampson 1-2; Latos 7-18
-- Wsh-SF-- Strasburg 4-23; Vogelsong 4-17
-- A's-Tor--Gray 4-23; Buehrle 12-22
-- NY-Clev-- Eovaldi 8-22; Bauer 4-22
-- LA-KC-- Richards 3-21; Guthrie 4-21
-- Tex-Min-- Gonzalez 1-7; Santana 1-7
_____________________________________
How Was Your Football Season Last Year?
If you didn’t go 25-6 during August and September (80.6%), you weren’t with us here at StatSystems Sports! That was our win-loss record the first two months of the season with our Huge *5-Star Selections.
And aside from winning a documented $2,980 in net profits last season, we were also a "Spot-Less" 4-0 with our Highly-Rated *6-Star College releases throughout the regular season! Best of all, when you join StatSystemsSports.net this NCAA College Football season, along with the National Football League’s campaign in September – you will not only save $300 on the spot but also receive the #1 Rated Sports Betting Publication in the Country Today! Our Weekly NFL and NCAA College Football Newsletter Report FREE!
"Remember, don't make a move without it, You'll be glad you did" Stan!
___________________________________________________
Incredible Stats of the Day
•Home Teams Not Perfect, But Still Have Strong Showing
A day after home teams went a perfect 15-0 for the first time in baseball history and while Wednesday wasn't perfect, they kept the trend hot going 11-4. That makes home teams 26-4 in the past two days, good for a success rate of 86.67 percent. The Phillies, Reds, Astros and Tigers were the only four road teams to notch wins yesterday. With nine more games on tap Thursday, including four matinee affairs, make sure to check out our Website to see if home teams can stay hot.
•Lester Has Been A Boon For Under Plays
Jon Lester has led the Chicago Cubs to a 3-12-1 over/under record in his past 16 starts. Through those 16 starts, Lester has only given up an average of 5.6 runs per game and 2.1 runs. On the season as a whole, the Cubs are 6-14 O/U in Lester's starts. That is the third most number of unders this season out of all of the starting pitchers. Lester and the Cubs are currently -220 favorites for when they host the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday.
•Day Games Have Been Where Sonny Gray Shines
Sonny Gray can roll out of bed and pitch a marvel it seems, with the right-hander playing phenomenally during day games this season. In eight day starts, Gray has a 5-1 record with a 0.97 ERA while opponents are only hitting .178. Through those eight games, two of which were complete games, Gray has surrendered six earned runs over 55.2 innings. Gray takes to the mound for the A's when they visit Toronto Thursday, but it will be as a +137 underdog against the streaking Jays.
•Syndergaard Has Been Unhittable During The Day
Noah Syndergaard has been downright dominant when it comes to pitching in day games this season. Through three early starts this season, Syndegaard is 2-0 with a 0.98 ERA. The rookie hurler has only surrendered 14 hits and two earned runs through 18.1 innings pitched during those day starts. Syndergaard, who is coming off one of his worst outings of the season, will take to the mound for the Mets Thursday when they host the Colorado Rockies. The Mets are currently big -244 favorites.
Diamond Trends - Thursday
•COLORADO is 6-35 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 2.7, OPPONENT 4.6.
•ST LOUIS is 40-11 UNDER (+27.5 Units) with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games this season.
The average score was ST LOUIS 3.2, OPPONENT 2.7.
•TORONTO is 22-6 (+20.3 Units) against the run line after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.
The average score was TORONTO 6.3, OPPONENT 3.5.
•MARK BUEHRLE is 21-7 (+14.1 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUEHRLE 5.7, OPPONENT 3.6.
•JON LESTER is 10-0 UNDER (+10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LESTER 2.7, OPPONENT 1.7.
•NOAH SYNDERGAARD is 6-0 (+8.3 Units) against the run line in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season.
The average score was SYNDERGAARD 4.5, OPPONENT 1.0.
________________________________________________________
THURSDAY, AUGUST 13th 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
***** Thursday, 8/13/15 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2015 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________________________
Rounding The Bases – Thursday
National League
•Rockies @ Mets
--Butler is 1-4, 7.86 in his last five starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six.
--Syndergaard is 4-0, 1.13 in his last four home starts; under is 4-1 in his last five starts at Citi Field.
--Colorado lost last seven games with the Mets (got shut out in four of last five); home side won 12 of last 13 in series, with last seven staying under. Rockies lost four of last five overall; four of those five stayed under total. Mets won 11 of last 13 games, with last thee staying under.
•Brewers @ Cubs
--Cravy is 0-3, 5.00 in his three starts (under 3-0); Brewers were shut out in two of those three games.
--Lester is 3-0, 1.84 in his last four starts; under is 8-1-1 in his last ten.
--Milwaukee lost last six games with the Cubs (under 5-1-1 in last seven); they lost four of last five games (over 4-3 in last seven). Chicago won 12 of its last 13 games; five of last seven went over the total.
•Pirates @ Cardinals
--Liriano is 2-0, 4.29 in his last four starts (over 4-0).
--Lynn is 3-1, 2.32 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1).
--Cards won six of last seven games; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine. Home side won seven of last eight series games. Pirates won five of last eight games with St Louis but lost last two; over is 5-3-1 in last nine in series. Pittsburgh won four of last six games (over 4-1-1).
•Reds @ Dodgers
--Sampson is 1-1, 327 in his two starts (under 1-1).
--Former Red Latos is 0-2, 5.63 in his last three starts (under 5-3 in last eight).
--Cincinnati is 6-4 in its last ten games with the Dodgers; four of last five went under the total. Reds lost six of last eight games; nine of last 11 stayed under total. Dodgers lost four of last six games; five of their last seven games went over.
•Nationals @ Giants
--Strasburg is 3-0, 1.19 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.
--Vogelsong is 0-2, 5.49 in his last four starts (over 3-1).
--Washington won four of last five games with the Giants; six of last seven in series stayed under total. Nationals lost three of last four games, and got shut out last two nights (Greinke/Kershaw); over is 7-3 in their last ten games. San Francisco lost five of last six games; their last three stayed under.
American League
•Athletics @ Blue Jays
--Gray is 2-0, 1.13 in his last four starts; under is 6-0-1 in his last seven.
--Buehrle is 3-0, 3.48 in his last five starts; last four all went over.
--Blue Jays won last ten games, outscoring foes 56-20; four of last five stayed under the total. Oakland lost last two nights 4-2/10-3; under is 9-2-1 in last 12 series games- home team won ten of the twelve.
•Yankees @ Indians
--Eovaldi is 3-0, 3.23 in his last five starts (under 5-3 in last eight).
--Bauer is 1-1, 2.86 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under.
--Yankees lost five of last six games with Cleveland, five of last eight series tilts went over. New York lost six of last seven games, scoring nine runs (six of seven stayed under). Indians are 5-2 in last seven games; three of last five went over.
•Angels @ Royals
--Richards is 1-3, 4.55 in his last four starts; under is 6-4 in his last ten.
--Guthrie is 1-2, 8.22 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over.
--Royals won their last seven games with the Angels; three of last four went over the total. KC won five of its last six games overall; Halos lost four of last five overall (under 5-3 in last eight). Angels played 13 innings in Chicago late last night, couldn't have gotten much sleep last night.
•Rangers @ Twins
--Gonzalez is 0-3, 10.13 in his last three starts, last of which was July 3; five of his seven starts stayed under.
--Santana is 0-3, 12.21 in his last three starts.
--Texas lost last three games vs Minnesota; six of last eight stayed under the total. Rangers lost four of last five games. Twins are 3-2 in last five games; six of their last seven went over the total.
•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Col-NY-- Butler 6-9; Syndergaard 8-8
-- Mil-Chi-- Cravy 0-3; Lester 12-10
-- Pitt-StL-- Liriano 11-10; Lynn 13-8
-- Cin-LA-- Sampson 1-1; Latos 7-11, 1-1
-- Wsh-SF-- Strasburg 13-10; Vogelsong 9-8
-- A's-Tor--Gray 15-8; Buehrle 13-9
-- NY-Clev-- Eovaldi 14-8; Bauer 10-12
-- LA-KC-- Richards 12-9; Guthrie 13-8
-- Tex-Min-- Gonzalez 3-4; Santana 3-4
•Times This Starting Pitcher Allowed A Run In First Inning
-- Col-NY-- Butler 8-16; Syndergaard 5-16
-- Mil-Chi-- Cravy 0-3; Lester 7-23
-- Pitt-StL-- Liriano 3-22; Lynn 7-21
-- Cin-LA-- Sampson 1-2; Latos 7-18
-- Wsh-SF-- Strasburg 4-23; Vogelsong 4-17
-- A's-Tor--Gray 4-23; Buehrle 12-22
-- NY-Clev-- Eovaldi 8-22; Bauer 4-22
-- LA-KC-- Richards 3-21; Guthrie 4-21
-- Tex-Min-- Gonzalez 1-7; Santana 1-7
_____________________________________
How Was Your Football Season Last Year?
If you didn’t go 25-6 during August and September (80.6%), you weren’t with us here at StatSystems Sports! That was our win-loss record the first two months of the season with our Huge *5-Star Selections.
And aside from winning a documented $2,980 in net profits last season, we were also a "Spot-Less" 4-0 with our Highly-Rated *6-Star College releases throughout the regular season! Best of all, when you join StatSystemsSports.net this NCAA College Football season, along with the National Football League’s campaign in September – you will not only save $300 on the spot but also receive the #1 Rated Sports Betting Publication in the Country Today! Our Weekly NFL and NCAA College Football Newsletter Report FREE!
"Remember, don't make a move without it, You'll be glad you did" Stan!
___________________________________________________
Incredible Stats of the Day
•Home Teams Not Perfect, But Still Have Strong Showing
A day after home teams went a perfect 15-0 for the first time in baseball history and while Wednesday wasn't perfect, they kept the trend hot going 11-4. That makes home teams 26-4 in the past two days, good for a success rate of 86.67 percent. The Phillies, Reds, Astros and Tigers were the only four road teams to notch wins yesterday. With nine more games on tap Thursday, including four matinee affairs, make sure to check out our Website to see if home teams can stay hot.
•Lester Has Been A Boon For Under Plays
Jon Lester has led the Chicago Cubs to a 3-12-1 over/under record in his past 16 starts. Through those 16 starts, Lester has only given up an average of 5.6 runs per game and 2.1 runs. On the season as a whole, the Cubs are 6-14 O/U in Lester's starts. That is the third most number of unders this season out of all of the starting pitchers. Lester and the Cubs are currently -220 favorites for when they host the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday.
•Day Games Have Been Where Sonny Gray Shines
Sonny Gray can roll out of bed and pitch a marvel it seems, with the right-hander playing phenomenally during day games this season. In eight day starts, Gray has a 5-1 record with a 0.97 ERA while opponents are only hitting .178. Through those eight games, two of which were complete games, Gray has surrendered six earned runs over 55.2 innings. Gray takes to the mound for the A's when they visit Toronto Thursday, but it will be as a +137 underdog against the streaking Jays.
•Syndergaard Has Been Unhittable During The Day
Noah Syndergaard has been downright dominant when it comes to pitching in day games this season. Through three early starts this season, Syndegaard is 2-0 with a 0.98 ERA. The rookie hurler has only surrendered 14 hits and two earned runs through 18.1 innings pitched during those day starts. Syndergaard, who is coming off one of his worst outings of the season, will take to the mound for the Mets Thursday when they host the Colorado Rockies. The Mets are currently big -244 favorites.
Diamond Trends - Thursday
•COLORADO is 6-35 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 2.7, OPPONENT 4.6.
•ST LOUIS is 40-11 UNDER (+27.5 Units) with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games this season.
The average score was ST LOUIS 3.2, OPPONENT 2.7.
•TORONTO is 22-6 (+20.3 Units) against the run line after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.
The average score was TORONTO 6.3, OPPONENT 3.5.
•MARK BUEHRLE is 21-7 (+14.1 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUEHRLE 5.7, OPPONENT 3.6.
•JON LESTER is 10-0 UNDER (+10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LESTER 2.7, OPPONENT 1.7.
•NOAH SYNDERGAARD is 6-0 (+8.3 Units) against the run line in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season.
The average score was SYNDERGAARD 4.5, OPPONENT 1.0.
________________________________________________________
Greg Shaker
PLAY: Angels/Royals OVER
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY
This line opened at 8 and has begun to skew upward at some books. I want to make it clear that even though we are getting this one early in the day, it might go to 8.5 at some or all books. However, if it does and you are getting it late, you can still bet for the full 3% as our number is significantly higher than what the Books have set for this one. You should know by now that our numbers are set using a strong database plus Non Traditional Methods and these are things that we don't talk about much. That is because that by doing so we would lose our edge that we have accomplished. We can say that the overall weather pattern for this one is better than average for the hitters. We certainly have two starters that have been scored upon a lot in recent games and in the case of Richards, his road work has been well below normal. Guthrie is not a K Pitcher and when he does not have location bad things happen. There is no indication that he is going to find himself out of that kind of situation tonight verses a good LAA Offensive team. Both of these teams have had great success verses right handed pitching and in fact the Royals are scoring over 4.6 RPG verses these guys. I don't know where the betting number is going, 8 is better than 8.5 and it's only going to stay where it is or rise. Therefore I would get this oÂne as soon as possible.
PLAY: Angels/Royals OVER
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY
This line opened at 8 and has begun to skew upward at some books. I want to make it clear that even though we are getting this one early in the day, it might go to 8.5 at some or all books. However, if it does and you are getting it late, you can still bet for the full 3% as our number is significantly higher than what the Books have set for this one. You should know by now that our numbers are set using a strong database plus Non Traditional Methods and these are things that we don't talk about much. That is because that by doing so we would lose our edge that we have accomplished. We can say that the overall weather pattern for this one is better than average for the hitters. We certainly have two starters that have been scored upon a lot in recent games and in the case of Richards, his road work has been well below normal. Guthrie is not a K Pitcher and when he does not have location bad things happen. There is no indication that he is going to find himself out of that kind of situation tonight verses a good LAA Offensive team. Both of these teams have had great success verses right handed pitching and in fact the Royals are scoring over 4.6 RPG verses these guys. I don't know where the betting number is going, 8 is better than 8.5 and it's only going to stay where it is or rise. Therefore I would get this oÂne as soon as possible.
