Tony George | NFL Total Thu, 08/12/10 - 8:00 PM
dime bet 253 CAR / 254 BAL Under 34.5 BetUS
Analysis:
UNDER 34.5 Balitmore / Carolina
Both team stress defense and both teams like to run the ball. Neither team has a deep threat at WR with Smith out for Carolina and Blatimore having limited resources to stretch the field vertically after their starting unit. Should be a battle of field position and simple running the ball. Opening games are always pretty vanillia, and neither of these teams is an offensive juggernaut with their first teams, which will not play past 8-10 plays. They also played last year in the third week of the poreseason to a total of 30 points with Baltimore having 400 total yards!
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dime bet 253 CAR / 254 BAL Under 34.5 BetUS
Analysis:
UNDER 34.5 Balitmore / Carolina
Both team stress defense and both teams like to run the ball. Neither team has a deep threat at WR with Smith out for Carolina and Blatimore having limited resources to stretch the field vertically after their starting unit. Should be a battle of field position and simple running the ball. Opening games are always pretty vanillia, and neither of these teams is an offensive juggernaut with their first teams, which will not play past 8-10 plays. They also played last year in the third week of the poreseason to a total of 30 points with Baltimore having 400 total yards!
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Hot pitchers
-- Mets are 10-2 with Santana if they score 3+ runs, 2-10 if they don't.
-- Wolf is 1-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts.
-- Cain is 3-1, 2.08 in his last five starts.
-- Garland has a 3.20 RA in his last three starts.
-- LHernandez is 2-1, 2.28 in his last four starts.
-- Blanton is 1-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- Toronto won both Mills starts (1-0, 4.09) scoring 22 runs.
-- Indians are 3-0 when Gomez starts (2-0, 2.60).
-- Chen is 2-0, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Liriano is 3-0, 1.40 in his last four starts. Floyd is 3-0, 0.96 in his last four starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Hammel is 1-3, 5.45 in his last five starts.
-- Lopez is 0-3, 5.70 in his last five starts.
-- Wells is 0-3, 7.02 in his last three starts.
-- Duke is 1-3, 7.59 in his last four road starts.
-- Nolasco is 0-2, 8.68 against the Nationals this year.
-- Kershaw is 1-3, 4.88 in his last five starts.
-- Boston is 4-11 with Lackey if it scores less than seven runs.
-- Millwood is 0-3, 8.59 in his last six starts.
-- Sabathia is 2-2, 4.37 in his last five starts.
Totals
-- Four of last five games at Citi Field went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last seven Cub road games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Pittsburgh games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Florida road games went over the total.
-- Five of Phillies' last seven games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Toronto games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-2 in Kansas City's last eleven games.
-- Five of last six White Sox games stayed under the total.
Hot Teams
-- Marlins are 11-6 in their last seventeen road games.
-- Phillies are 14-2 in their last 16 home games. Dodgers won three of their last four games, but are 2-10 on road since All-Star break. .
-- Rockies are 8-4 in their last twelve games overall, but 3-9 in last 12 on road. .
-- Arizona won six of its last seven games.
-- Padres are 11-3 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Giants won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Red Sox won seven of last nine road games.
-- Orioles won eight of their last nine games.
-- Twins are 13-4 in their last seventeen games.
Cold Teams-- Nationals lost five of their last six games.
-- Mets are 3-6 in their last nine games; their closer got arrested at the stadium last night, after apparently beating up his father-in-law.
-- Pirates lost their last six road games.
-- Cubs lost 12 of their last 14 games.
-- Blue Jays are 2-9 vs Boston this year, allowing 17 runs in last two.
-- Indians lost five of their last six games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.
-- Royals lost their last four games, scoring eight runs. Bronx is 4-6 in its last ten games.
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-- Mets are 10-2 with Santana if they score 3+ runs, 2-10 if they don't.
-- Wolf is 1-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts.
-- Cain is 3-1, 2.08 in his last five starts.
-- Garland has a 3.20 RA in his last three starts.
-- LHernandez is 2-1, 2.28 in his last four starts.
-- Blanton is 1-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- Toronto won both Mills starts (1-0, 4.09) scoring 22 runs.
-- Indians are 3-0 when Gomez starts (2-0, 2.60).
-- Chen is 2-0, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Liriano is 3-0, 1.40 in his last four starts. Floyd is 3-0, 0.96 in his last four starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Hammel is 1-3, 5.45 in his last five starts.
-- Lopez is 0-3, 5.70 in his last five starts.
-- Wells is 0-3, 7.02 in his last three starts.
-- Duke is 1-3, 7.59 in his last four road starts.
-- Nolasco is 0-2, 8.68 against the Nationals this year.
-- Kershaw is 1-3, 4.88 in his last five starts.
-- Boston is 4-11 with Lackey if it scores less than seven runs.
-- Millwood is 0-3, 8.59 in his last six starts.
-- Sabathia is 2-2, 4.37 in his last five starts.
Totals
-- Four of last five games at Citi Field went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last seven Cub road games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Pittsburgh games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Florida road games went over the total.
-- Five of Phillies' last seven games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Toronto games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-2 in Kansas City's last eleven games.
-- Five of last six White Sox games stayed under the total.
Hot Teams
-- Marlins are 11-6 in their last seventeen road games.
-- Phillies are 14-2 in their last 16 home games. Dodgers won three of their last four games, but are 2-10 on road since All-Star break. .
-- Rockies are 8-4 in their last twelve games overall, but 3-9 in last 12 on road. .
-- Arizona won six of its last seven games.
-- Padres are 11-3 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Giants won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Red Sox won seven of last nine road games.
-- Orioles won eight of their last nine games.
-- Twins are 13-4 in their last seventeen games.
Cold Teams-- Nationals lost five of their last six games.
-- Mets are 3-6 in their last nine games; their closer got arrested at the stadium last night, after apparently beating up his father-in-law.
-- Pirates lost their last six road games.
-- Cubs lost 12 of their last 14 games.
-- Blue Jays are 2-9 vs Boston this year, allowing 17 runs in last two.
-- Indians lost five of their last six games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.
-- Royals lost their last four games, scoring eight runs. Bronx is 4-6 in its last ten games.
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CFL DUNKEL
BC at Saskatchewan
The Roughriders look to rebound from their 30-26 loss at Montreal and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games following an SU defeat. Saskatchewan is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's CFL picks.
THURSDAY, AUGUST 12
Game 441-442: BC at Saskatchewan (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 107.691; Saskatchewan 117.870
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 10; 50
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 8 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8 1/2); Under
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BC at Saskatchewan
The Roughriders look to rebound from their 30-26 loss at Montreal and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games following an SU defeat. Saskatchewan is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's CFL picks.
THURSDAY, AUGUST 12
Game 441-442: BC at Saskatchewan (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 107.691; Saskatchewan 117.870
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 10; 50
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 8 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8 1/2); Under
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DUNKEL MLB
LA Dodgers at Philadelphia
The Phillies look to follow up yesterday's 2-0 win over the Dodgers and build on their 8-0 record in their last 8 games when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in the previous game. Philadelphia is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, AUGUST 12
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Colorado at NY Mets (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 14.145; NY Mets (Santana) 14.941
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-155); Over
Game 903-904: Arizona at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Lopez) 14.768; Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.413
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-155); Under
Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 13.803; San Francisco (Cain) 14.140
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-175); Over
Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at San Diego (6:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 13.354; San Diego (Garland) 16.356
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-200); Under
Game 909-910: Florida at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.485; Washington (Hernandez) 14.575
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Over
Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.435; Philadelphia (Blanton) 16.348
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115); Under
Game 913-914: Boston at Toronto (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 16.732; Toronto (Mills) 15.606
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Under
Game 915-916: Baltimore at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Millwood) 15.006; Cleveland (Gomez) 15.443
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-145); Over
Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.664; Kansas City (Chen) 13.540
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-225); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-225); Over
Game 919-920: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 16.018; White Sox (Floyd) 16.736
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-120); Under
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LA Dodgers at Philadelphia
The Phillies look to follow up yesterday's 2-0 win over the Dodgers and build on their 8-0 record in their last 8 games when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in the previous game. Philadelphia is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, AUGUST 12
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Colorado at NY Mets (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 14.145; NY Mets (Santana) 14.941
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-155); Over
Game 903-904: Arizona at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Lopez) 14.768; Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.413
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-155); Under
Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 13.803; San Francisco (Cain) 14.140
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-175); Over
Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at San Diego (6:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 13.354; San Diego (Garland) 16.356
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-200); Under
Game 909-910: Florida at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.485; Washington (Hernandez) 14.575
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Over
Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.435; Philadelphia (Blanton) 16.348
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115); Under
Game 913-914: Boston at Toronto (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 16.732; Toronto (Mills) 15.606
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Under
Game 915-916: Baltimore at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Millwood) 15.006; Cleveland (Gomez) 15.443
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-145); Over
Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.664; Kansas City (Chen) 13.540
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-225); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-225); Over
Game 919-920: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 16.018; White Sox (Floyd) 16.736
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-120); Under
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DUNKEL WNBA
Los Angeles at Minnesota
The Sparks look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Los Angeles is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+7). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, AUGUST 12
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 651-652: Los Angeles at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 108.321; Minnesota 112.584
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+7); Under
Los Angeles at Minnesota
The Sparks look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Los Angeles is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+7). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, AUGUST 12
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 651-652: Los Angeles at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 108.321; Minnesota 112.584
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+7); Under
NFL DUNKEL
New Orleans at New England
The defending champs open the preseason at New England on Thursday. The Saints are the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1 1/2). Here are all of this week's preseason picks.
THURSDAY, AUGUST 12
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (8/11)
Game 251-252: New Orleans at New England (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 122.812; New England 123.455
Dunkel Line: New England by 1; 39
Vegas Line: New England by 1 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1 1/2); Over
Game 253-254: Carolina at Baltimore (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 120.481; Baltimore 121.431
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 32
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 34
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+1); Under
Game 255-256: Oakland at Dallas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 118.204; Dallas 123.119
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 5; 31
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3 1/2; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2); Under
New Orleans at New England
The defending champs open the preseason at New England on Thursday. The Saints are the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1 1/2). Here are all of this week's preseason picks.
THURSDAY, AUGUST 12
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (8/11)
Game 251-252: New Orleans at New England (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 122.812; New England 123.455
Dunkel Line: New England by 1; 39
Vegas Line: New England by 1 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1 1/2); Over
Game 253-254: Carolina at Baltimore (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 120.481; Baltimore 121.431
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 32
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 34
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+1); Under
Game 255-256: Oakland at Dallas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 118.204; Dallas 123.119
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 5; 31
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3 1/2; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2); Under
Battagliaspicks
Saratoga *****
5th (3:15)
Brian's Pick's 2-5-9
Numb Lips could be smiling at the end of this race, with a stalking style expected. He turns back in distance and should be very tough to hold off late.
Arlington ****
4th (2:36)
Battagliaspicks 3-1-5
#3 Mawaaqef-Fast colt switches back to his favorite footing and has the speed to take them all the way on the front.
Del Mar *****
8th (5:30)
Battagliaspicks 6-3-1
#6 Purgestein- ran a big race in his debut here making a middle move in a fast run race to finish 8 lengths back against MSW. He comes back in a much easier 40k MCL after two fast works, gets a big rider change and will be tough to beat.
Saratoga *****
5th (3:15)
Brian's Pick's 2-5-9
Numb Lips could be smiling at the end of this race, with a stalking style expected. He turns back in distance and should be very tough to hold off late.
Arlington ****
4th (2:36)
Battagliaspicks 3-1-5
#3 Mawaaqef-Fast colt switches back to his favorite footing and has the speed to take them all the way on the front.
Del Mar *****
8th (5:30)
Battagliaspicks 6-3-1
#6 Purgestein- ran a big race in his debut here making a middle move in a fast run race to finish 8 lengths back against MSW. He comes back in a much easier 40k MCL after two fast works, gets a big rider change and will be tough to beat.
JSM Sports
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-August 12th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
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[910] FLA/WAS |5*|UNDER|8.5 Runs|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
note*
Major League Baseball Premiums
2010 (+27.82) Units| In season |
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-August 12th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[910] FLA/WAS |5*|UNDER|8.5 Runs|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
note*
Major League Baseball Premiums
2010 (+27.82) Units| In season |
