THE DAILY BOBBER
July, 7, 2011
BET OF THE DAY:
Game: Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels
Pick: Angles -1/2 First Five Innings
Analysis: Before I get into the analysis for this pick, I figured I would let you know that I will be in Vegas until late Monday, so I doubt that I will have enough time to write an analysis for my bet of the day each day. I will, however, still try to post my plays each day. As for tonight, Weaver takes the mound looking to continue his dominance against the Mariners. This projected Seattle lineup is hitting just .207 with 11 RBI’s in 135 at-bats against Weaver, giving him a 2.69 ERA. Weaver has a 2.06 ERA at home this season, 2.12 at night, 1.67 last month, and 1.80 versus Seattle. In the past three seasons, Weaver posted a 1.10 ERA at home versus Seattle. Fister has been strong for the Mariners lately, but tonight might change his fortune around a bit. While this projected lineup has hit just .245 against Fister, they’ve done so with power, racking up 13 RBI’s and giving Fister a 4.56 ERA in those appearances. Fister has a 3.31 ERA on the road (compared to 2.82 at home), 3.16 ERA at night (2.65 day), and was 0-3 with a 3.08 ERA last month. Over the past three seasons, he has a 4.98 ERA in away games, 4.44 ERA at night, 5.29 ERA in July, and 9.53 ERA at Angel Stadium. Look for Anaheim to be ahead by AT LEAST one run after five innings tonight, and probably more.