THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Arizona (55-52) at L.A. Dodgers (54-53)
The Diamondbacks give the ball to right-hander Brandon Webb (14-4, 3.14 ERA) to open a four-game weekend set on the road against the Dodgers and Derek Lowe (8-8, 3.74) in a battle between the N.L. West?s top two teams.
Arizona closed out a three-game series at San Diego on Wednesday with a 7-3 victory. The DBacks have won five of their last six games, all on the highway, and they are 26-11 in Webb?s last 37 starts overall and 13-6 in Webb?s last 19 road outings. Meanwhile, the Dodgers topped the Giants 4-0 last night to remain one game behind Arizona in the N.L. West standings. Los Angeles has won five of its last six and is on runs of 6-1 at home and 7-1 with Lowe facing an N.L. West opponent.
Arizona has won five of eight meetings with L.A. this season, and the DBacks are 7-1 in Webb?s last eight starts against the Dodgers.
The Diamondbacks have won in four of Webb?s last six starts, with the 29-year-old going 3-0 with three no-decisions. On Saturday at San Francisco, he got the win after allowing three runs on four hits in seven innings of a 5-3 victory.
The Dodgers have won four in a row behind Lowe, including a 6-0 rout of Washington on Saturday in which he threw eight innings of one-hit ball. Prior to that, on July 20, Lowe and Webb faced off in Arizona, with neither pitcher getting the decision in a 6-5 Los Angeles win.
Webb is 8-3 with a solid 2.59 ERA in 13 road starts this year, and he?s 9-3 with a 2.65 ERA in 15 career starts against Los Angeles. Lowe is 6-4 with a 2.71 ERA in 11 home starts this season, but he?s 4-6 with a 4.44 ERA in 14 career outings against the DBacks.
The over has cashed in four of the last five in this rivalry, and for Arizona, the over is on runs of 9-1 on the road and 7-1 overall. On the flip side, L.A. sports under streaks of 6-1 overall, 4-0 when Lowe pitches at home and 15-5 against winning teams.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ARIZONA
AMERICAN LEAGUE
L.A. Angels (67-40) at N.Y. Yankees (59-48)
Fresh off a three-game sweep of the Red Sox at Fenway Pak, the red-hot Angels head south to Yankee Stadium, where Jon Garland (9-6, 4.30 ERA) is set to oppose veteran New York southpaw Andy Pettitte (12-7, 3.76) in the opener of a three-game weekend series.
Los Angeles capped its sweep in Boston with Wednesday?s 9-2 rout, improving to 12-2 in its last 14 games. The Halos are also 42-20 in their last 62 overall, 14-3 in their last 17 games against the A.L. East, and their 36-19 road record is the best in baseball.
New York wrapped up a three-game home series against Baltimore with Wednesday?s 13-3 victory, snapping a three-game slide that came on the heels of an eight-game winning streak that began after the All-Star break. Still, the Yankees remain on runs of 11-2 at home, 14-3 against the A.L. West and 8-2 in Pettitte?s last 10 starts.
These two teams haven?t met since last August, when L.A. took two out of three at home. However, New York is 5-1 in Pettitte?s last six home starts against the Angels.
The Angels have won their last two behind Garland, though he got beat up a bit Saturday at Baltimore, allowing five runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings in an 11-6 victory. In fact, in his last three starts, Garland has surrendered 14 earned runs in just 14 2/3 innings (9.00 ERA).
Pettitte is 9-2 with a 3.34 ERA in his last 11 starts, going at least six innings in all but one of those outings. On Saturday at Boston, he yielded three runs (one earned) on five hits in six innings of a 10-3 Yankees rout.
Garland is 6-2 with a 4.58 ERA in nine road starts this year, and he?s 3-5 with a 4.26 ERA in nine career starts against New York. Pettitte, meanwhile, is 12-6 with a 4.02 ERA in 22 career starts against Los Angeles.
The under for Los Angeles is on runs of 27-14-2 on the highway, 11-2-1 on the road against lefties, 7-1 in Garland?s last eight starts against the A.L. East and 10-3-2 in his last 15 starts overall. Meanwhile, the total has gone high in five straight for the Yanks, but the under is on runs for New York of 14-7-2 at home, 14-3 when Pettitte works at Yankee Stadium and 7-1 with Pettitte facing a winning team.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER
Chicago White Sox (60-46) at Minnesota (59-48)
The Twins and Scott Baker (7-3, 3.37 ERA) close out a four-game home series against left-hander John Danks (8-4, 3.18) and the White Sox at the Metrodome. Minnesota beat the White Sox on Monday and Tuesday, but Chicago bounced back with an 8-3 victory last night to snap a three-game losing streak and boost their A.L. Central lead to 1? games over the Twins. Despite the win, the White Sox are still 8-16 in their last 24 road contests, but they?re on a 5-1 run overall behind Danks.
The Twins saw a four-game winning streak come to a halt Wednesday, but they remain on runs of 35-17 at home, 12-3 in A.L. Central play and 6-0 against lefties.
The host is on an 11-3 tear in this rivalry in 2008, with the Twins going 5-1 in their last six home games versus the ChiSox going back to 2007.
Minnesota is 5-2 in Baker?s last seven starts, including an 11-4 rout at Cleveland on Saturday, in which Baker allowed three runs on five hits in five innings. Meanwhile, Chicago has won five of Danks? last six road starts, including a 7-6 victory at Detroit on Saturday. In that outing, Danks allowed five runs on eight hits in six innings, but still got the victory.
Baker is 3-1 with a 2.38 ERA in seven home starts this year, but he?s posted a hefty 8.44 ERA in six career starts against Chicago, going 2-2. Similarly, Danks is 5-1 with a strong 2.31 ERA in 10 road starts this year, but he?s 2-3 with an inflated 7.06 ERA in six career efforts against Minnesota.
The over has cashed in six of the last seven in this rivalry and is on additional runs of 11-2-1 for the White Sox overall, 6-1-1 for the White Sox on the road and 5-0 with Baker starting against the Chicago.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MINNESOTA and OVER