Service Plays Thursday 7/15/10

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Tony George | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/15/10 - 8:10 PM

dime bet 912 MIN (-115) BetUS vs 911 CWS
Analysis:


Minnesota -115

Why do the Twins open up as a favorite here when they finished 1-4 their last 5 and the White Sox were on fire at 5-0 to end the first of the season? A sucker bet big time tonight in my opinion, call it a trap game. I have always gone against hot team after a long break, and will fade Danks for the WS in this one as well as opponents are hitting .333 against him on the road as opposed to just .250 at home. The Twins at home after a slide to end the first half will be motivated to get out of the gate with this one big time against a division rival. The Twins are 6-3 at home with Slowly on the mound for them, a great spot and trick line by oddsmakers, I am all over it.

Play 1 Unit on Minnesota. Bonus Play – Texas -105 for a half unit. 9-2 their last 11 on the road and right now a better team.

 

[yoders]

Nsa 7/15

20 cards-120
20 braves-175
20 under 8.5 twins/sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

david banks
July 15, 2010


MLB
7:10 Red Sox -101
7:10 Braves -150
8:05 Phillies +118
8:10 White Sox +104
8:15 Cardinals -124
10:15 Giants -175

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tim Trushel

und cubs, und sanfran, und redsox/ all regular plays.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NEWYORK SPORTS INVESTORS
Our complimentary selection for thursday:
Boston Redsox-105 Over Texas Rangers
Rated: a 4* Selection
(based on a 1♦ to a 10♦ Rating)

 

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Power Play Wins

POD

st louis over LAD

 

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SPORTS WAGERS

Los Angeles +1.12 over ST. LOUIS

Give me Clayton Kershaw plus a tag against the most overrated team in baseball and we’ll play it every time. Chris Carpenter is having another solid year but let’s not forget that this guy has been injured for most of his career and prior to this year he appeared in just 33 games over three years. Carpenter has been shaky in three of his last five starts with only good starts over that stretch coming against the Jays and D-Backs. The A’s got to him for 10 hits in seven frames a few starts ago and both Colorado and Milwaukee ripped him apart in his last two games. Carpenter’s ERA over his last three starts is 7.88. Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw is one of the best lefties in the game. The only thing that prevents him from being the best is a lack of control. When he doesn’t walk folks he does not lose and the good news is that he has walked only two batters over his last three starts covering 20.2 innings. Kershaw has outstanding numbers right across the board that includes a BAA of .229, a road ERA of 2.61 and 128 K’s in just 112 frames. Lastly, the Cards have won just seven of its last 17 games and every win was against teams way under .500 (Houston twice, Milwaukee twice, Arizona twice, Kansas City once). Play: Los Angeles +1.12 (Risking 2 units).


Chicago +1.07 over MINNESOTA

Hard to ignore the White Sox taking back a tag. The South Side enters this series as baseball's hottest team with an eight-game winning streak and having won 25 of 30 games dating to June 9, out-scoring opponents 156-77 during that span. While Chicago’s offense has improved considerably after a slow start, the pitching has been dominant during the team's surge and John Danks is no exception. In a recent start in Texas, Danks allowed four hits in six innings and followed that up with a complete game, two-hit shutout against the Angels. Only once in his last six starts did he allow more than three runs and that came at Wrigley with the wind blowing out. On the year, Danks has a BAA 0f .219 and his HR/9 is one of the best in the game at 0.56. Kevin Slowey has been much, much better at home but he’s without question the second best starter in this matchup. His BAA on the year is about 80 points higher than Danks at .293. Also note that Slowey’s GB/FB ratio is one of the worst in the business at 26%/51%, a near 2-1 ratio in favor of the fly-ball. The White Sox torched him earlier in the year and now they’re seeing beach balls. Play: Chicago +1.07 (Risking 2 units).

 

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KIKI SPORTS

Thursday July 15th

2 units Dodgers +111
1 unit Boston -108
1 unit White Sox +105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Indian Cowboy Wnba & MLB Thursday (gotw)


4-Unit Play. Take #602. Take Under 146.5 between Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty (Thursday @ Noon est).

These two teams have met twice this year:

June 12th: Washington 82, New York 65.
May 21st: Washington 77, New York 61.

Both games went under the posted total of 153 and 149.5. Bear in mind that 65% of the public favors New York as this is the only game on the wnba docket for Thursday. But, Washington is the better team as they have covered four straight and are turning it on at the right time of the year. New York comes off a much needed and big win over Chicago and both of these teams are on the upper half of defensive teams in the league. Plus, New York is 10th out of 12 teams on offense as it is. Also note that New York has played to the under in its last five games as well. Although I think New York can be an active dog and send this game over, I think New York by nature is a more defensive team and will make the necessary adjustments to keep this game closer.

5-Unit Play. Take #904. Take Under between the Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies (Thursday @ 8:05pm est).

6-1 in 5* GOTWs this year.

Jamie Moyer is one of my favorite pitchers. Here you have an individual, born in 1962 that is still pitching effectively in the major leagues. During his time, he has learned a thing or two to become successful and that is evident by his still ever-presence in the Phillies starting rotation. The Pennsylvania native is 9-8 with a 4.51 era this year but when you delve into his splits, its telling. He has put together 7 of 10 quality starts and note that after a non-quality start, he came back with a solid start every time. And, the majority of the time Jamie pitches very well and even brilliantly, but a few times he has been hit very hard and consequently that inflates his era. Again, Moyer is one of the best bounce-back pitchers in the league and I expect him to have a solid bounce-back after giving up seven runs at home to division rival Atlanta. Moyer gave up seven runs in 5.1 innings to Atlanta and prior to that he had given up 6 runs in total over his last four starts in 29 innings to the likes of the Pirates (road), Bluejays (road), Yankees (road) and Indians (home). That says a lot about his ability. Although Dempster of the Cubs is 7-7, he has a solid era of 3.61 as he has put together four straight quality starts prior to his last start which was nonquality. Granted, he still got the win in his last effort giving up three runs in five innings at Arizona. Nevertheless, Dempster had a no-decision which turned out to be a loss for the Cubs earlier this year at Philadelphia as he gave up four runs in six innings and I expect him to seek a bit of revenge from that loss. Look for this game to likely go under this evening. The Under is 5-0 when Moyer starts against a team with a losing record and the Under is 8-3-1 in Dempster's last 12 home starts.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen Diamond

5* Phillies

5* LA Dodgers

5* Chicago White Sox

 

[uga1018]

luckysamsports

sam bambino

mlb plays
atlanta braves
st. louis

 

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GamblersWorld

Tip of the Day - July 15, 2010

Date: 7.15.10 7:10PM
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves

Current Line: Atlanta (-150)

Over/Under: 8.5

Play On: Milwaukee (+141)

Inside the Board Room:
The Brewers will give the ball to starter David Bush in this one. Righthander Bush is 4-6 this season with a 4.15 ERA. Starting this game for the Braves will be Jair Jurrjens. The righthander has a 5.40 ERA to go along with a 1-3 record this season. The Brewers defeated Pittsburgh 6-5 as a -185 favorite on Sunday. The 11 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9.5).
Take the underdog Brewers tonight!

 

[Dafinch]

Arthur Ralph Sports
480 - 351 run 58 %

Bonus Play Thurs Red Sox PK

I understand that when you've over 800 bets, it takes quite a few plays to move one's winning percentage, but these guys have been at 58% for as long as I can remember, kind of hard to believe the record is legit, if only because it never budges off of that number...:think2:

 

[1standTen]

Ferringo 7-15-10
2.5-Unit Play. Take #914 L.A. Angels (-155) over Seattle (10 p.m., Thursday, July 15)
1-Unit Play. Take #914 L.A. Angels (-1.5, +140) over Seattle (10 p.m., Thursday, July 15)

1-Unit Play. Take #902 Atlanta (-1.5, +120) over Milwaukee (7 p.m., Thursday, July 15)

1-Unit Play. Take #909 Texas (-105) over Boston (7 p.m., Thursday, July 15)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #903 Philadelphia (+120) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m., Thursday, July 15, Thursday, July 15)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #908 San Francisco (-1.5, +125) over N.Y. Mets (10 p.m., Thursday, July 15)

 

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NY Players Club

-4.77 UNITS FOR JULY


2* Dodgers +110
2* Seattle +1.5 (-155)
2* Cubs -130
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Capri

Paradise Play,
LA Angeles -151
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JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[909] Texas |8*|+105|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST

[906] St Louis |5*|-120|B+0|Network N/A|8:15 pm EST

 

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Teddy Covers Pitchers duel

Brewers/Braves under 8.5
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MJP Sports

CHICAGO WHITE SOX 110
TEXAS 102
NY METS 163
LA DODGERS 113

 

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Penndel Sports Picks

PHILADELPHIA (J.Moyer) at CHICAGO CUBS (R.Dempster) Over 8.5
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