jeff benton thursday
0-1 yesterday for MINUS 10 dimes OR $100.. overall, 70-77-3 minus 90 dimes.
ask me what his record is the past four days ????? um, he is o-fer...he hasn't won a a wager since saturday....bet at your own risk.
Jeff Benton Thursday's Winner ... 25 DIME selection on the MINNESOTA TWINS over Tampa Bay in the opener of a four-game series at Target Field. As I pualish this play, Minnesota is ranging from a -115 to -120 favorite both here in Vegas and offshore. As always, shop around to get the best price posseible. Also, note that you must list Carl Pavano as Minnesota’s starting pitcoer. If Pavano does not start, this play is VOID!
Twins
How do you not ride Carl Pavano tonight against Tampa Bay? The Twins right-hander is coming off back-to-back complete-game victories, both on the road and both against very good offensive ballclubs (Phillies and Mets). In those wins, Pavano surreadered a total of seven hits and one walk in 18 innings, and the only run he gave up was a solo homer in Philadelphia!
Over his last four starts, Pavano is 4-0 with a 1.64 ERA, and going back to May 23, here are the veteran’s innings logs: 9, 9, 7, 8, 7, 7 and 8. The point: The guy has been a freaking workhorse for more than six weeks! Also, Pavano has delivered six quality starts in his eight home contests, and if not for one hiccup against the Royals way back on April 18 (he gave up seven runs in 3 1/3 innings), Pavano would be 5-2 with a 2.82 ERA at home.
Pavano is 5-3 with a 3.73 ERA in 10 career starts versus Tampa Bay, and his teams won seven of those 10 games. Tonight, he’s facing a Rays team that is batting just .222 over its last 10 games, including .198 versus right-handers.
Tampa had a misereable month of June (11-14 record), and despite winning 9-4 at Boston last night, the Rays are just 6-12 in their last 18 contests. And they haven’t won consecutive road games since June 1 and 2 at Toronto.
Two final points to make: Minnesota has been dominant in its new ballaark, going 25-14 at Target Field. Also, the Twins have owned the Rays in recent years, winning 36 of the last 52 meetings overall and 22 of the last 29 in Minnesota.
0-1 yesterday for MINUS 10 dimes OR $100.. overall, 70-77-3 minus 90 dimes.
ask me what his record is the past four days ????? um, he is o-fer...he hasn't won a a wager since saturday....bet at your own risk.
Jeff Benton Thursday's Winner ... 25 DIME selection on the MINNESOTA TWINS over Tampa Bay in the opener of a four-game series at Target Field. As I pualish this play, Minnesota is ranging from a -115 to -120 favorite both here in Vegas and offshore. As always, shop around to get the best price posseible. Also, note that you must list Carl Pavano as Minnesota’s starting pitcoer. If Pavano does not start, this play is VOID!
Twins
How do you not ride Carl Pavano tonight against Tampa Bay? The Twins right-hander is coming off back-to-back complete-game victories, both on the road and both against very good offensive ballclubs (Phillies and Mets). In those wins, Pavano surreadered a total of seven hits and one walk in 18 innings, and the only run he gave up was a solo homer in Philadelphia!
Over his last four starts, Pavano is 4-0 with a 1.64 ERA, and going back to May 23, here are the veteran’s innings logs: 9, 9, 7, 8, 7, 7 and 8. The point: The guy has been a freaking workhorse for more than six weeks! Also, Pavano has delivered six quality starts in his eight home contests, and if not for one hiccup against the Royals way back on April 18 (he gave up seven runs in 3 1/3 innings), Pavano would be 5-2 with a 2.82 ERA at home.
Pavano is 5-3 with a 3.73 ERA in 10 career starts versus Tampa Bay, and his teams won seven of those 10 games. Tonight, he’s facing a Rays team that is batting just .222 over its last 10 games, including .198 versus right-handers.
Tampa had a misereable month of June (11-14 record), and despite winning 9-4 at Boston last night, the Rays are just 6-12 in their last 18 contests. And they haven’t won consecutive road games since June 1 and 2 at Toronto.
Two final points to make: Minnesota has been dominant in its new ballaark, going 25-14 at Target Field. Also, the Twins have owned the Rays in recent years, winning 36 of the last 52 meetings overall and 22 of the last 29 in Minnesota.
FOXSHEETS
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line. Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 5.3 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games
(40-20 since 1997.) (66.7%, +41.7 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +7.4 units).
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line. Play On - Home teams against a run line of (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA<=4.20) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start
(36-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.9%, +36.6 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-1 +9.8 units).
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the run line. Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (WASHINGTON) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL
(40-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +30.9 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3.7 units).
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line. Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 5.3 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games
(40-20 since 1997.) (66.7%, +41.7 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +7.4 units).
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line. Play On - Home teams against a run line of (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA<=4.20) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start
(36-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.9%, +36.6 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-1 +9.8 units).
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the run line. Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (WASHINGTON) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL
(40-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +30.9 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3.7 units).
SCOTT RICKENBACH
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia @ 7:05 ET: McCutchen vs Hamels – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
The Phillies had gone over the total in six of their last seven games before yesterday’s under. However, with Roy Halladay on the mound yesterday, it’s not a big surprise that his start would stay under the total as that has been the trend for his games for much of the season. What is a surprise is that, even with a few bats out of the lineup, the Phillies are still getting some big hits at the plate. That is why we won’t hesitate to step out with a big play on their over on Thursday. Yes, the Phillies have recently seen Chase Utley and Placido Polanco join Carlos Ruiz on the injury list. However, the Phillies have seen their replacements step in with some big hits and, facing Daniel McCutchen of the Pirates tonight, we certainly expect that to continue. The Pittsburgh right-hander has made just 10 career starts at the MLB level and, in his 11 games (10 starts) at this level, he’s gone 1-5 with a 6.46 ERA. This season has been particularly rough as he’s been knocked around at a .333 clip and left-handed hitters have been particularly tough on the 27 year old right-hander. The Phillies roster is loaded with left-handed bats and switch-hitters so this is not a good match-up for McCutchen.
Of course the other side of this equation is how well will the Pirates hit Cole Hamels of the Phillies. The key here is that the Pirates, though the weakest scoring team in the league, have fared quite well in recent home games. Pittsburgh has scored at least 4 runs in 7 of their last 10 home games. Though it doesn’t happen often, the Pirates are on a 19-11 run to the over when installed as a home dog of +175 to +200. This streak dates back more than a dozen years. When installed as home dog in that price range it tells you how bad their pitching situation is and we do expect McCutchen and a weak Pirates bullpen to get pounded. As for the Pittsburgh sticks, look for them to enjoy some success against Hamels. The Pirates are 6-3 to the over in Thursday games this season. They have enjoyed some success at the plate in recent home games, and Hamels has allowed 11 homers in his last 8 starts. The Phillies southpaw also has allowed 8 earned runs in his last 11 innings spanning his last two starts. Hamels has struggled on the road this season as indicated by his 3-4 record, 5.40 ERA, and a .302 BAA. The Phillies are 5-3 to the over in Thursday games this season and the Pirates were 3-0 to the over in McCutchen’s starts before he had a rare decent outing at Oakland last week. That is a pitcher-friendly park though and we expect him to struggle much more against the high-powered Phillies in this one. Note also that the Pirates lineup could get some help from a Phils bullpen that has struggled often in recent games! Play OVER the total in Philadelphia as a *10* Top Play selection.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia @ 7:05 ET: McCutchen vs Hamels – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
The Phillies had gone over the total in six of their last seven games before yesterday’s under. However, with Roy Halladay on the mound yesterday, it’s not a big surprise that his start would stay under the total as that has been the trend for his games for much of the season. What is a surprise is that, even with a few bats out of the lineup, the Phillies are still getting some big hits at the plate. That is why we won’t hesitate to step out with a big play on their over on Thursday. Yes, the Phillies have recently seen Chase Utley and Placido Polanco join Carlos Ruiz on the injury list. However, the Phillies have seen their replacements step in with some big hits and, facing Daniel McCutchen of the Pirates tonight, we certainly expect that to continue. The Pittsburgh right-hander has made just 10 career starts at the MLB level and, in his 11 games (10 starts) at this level, he’s gone 1-5 with a 6.46 ERA. This season has been particularly rough as he’s been knocked around at a .333 clip and left-handed hitters have been particularly tough on the 27 year old right-hander. The Phillies roster is loaded with left-handed bats and switch-hitters so this is not a good match-up for McCutchen.
Of course the other side of this equation is how well will the Pirates hit Cole Hamels of the Phillies. The key here is that the Pirates, though the weakest scoring team in the league, have fared quite well in recent home games. Pittsburgh has scored at least 4 runs in 7 of their last 10 home games. Though it doesn’t happen often, the Pirates are on a 19-11 run to the over when installed as a home dog of +175 to +200. This streak dates back more than a dozen years. When installed as home dog in that price range it tells you how bad their pitching situation is and we do expect McCutchen and a weak Pirates bullpen to get pounded. As for the Pittsburgh sticks, look for them to enjoy some success against Hamels. The Pirates are 6-3 to the over in Thursday games this season. They have enjoyed some success at the plate in recent home games, and Hamels has allowed 11 homers in his last 8 starts. The Phillies southpaw also has allowed 8 earned runs in his last 11 innings spanning his last two starts. Hamels has struggled on the road this season as indicated by his 3-4 record, 5.40 ERA, and a .302 BAA. The Phillies are 5-3 to the over in Thursday games this season and the Pirates were 3-0 to the over in McCutchen’s starts before he had a rare decent outing at Oakland last week. That is a pitcher-friendly park though and we expect him to struggle much more against the high-powered Phillies in this one. Note also that the Pirates lineup could get some help from a Phils bullpen that has struggled often in recent games! Play OVER the total in Philadelphia as a *10* Top Play selection.
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
WNBA PLAYS
5 Unit Play. #605 Take Over 176 Washington at Phoenix (Thursday 7/1 10:05 PM)
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MLB BASEBALL PLAYS
3 Unit Play. #970 Take Minnesota -120 over TampaBay (8:10 p.m., Thursday July. 1)
This play is all on the starting pitcher for the Twinkies Carl Pavano! Pavano has won 4 straight starts and has a 1.64 ERA over his personal 4-start winning streak. He has also gone at least seven innings in nine of his last 10 starts. To me that smells like another winner for me and Carl Pavano.
2 Unit Play. #971 Take Over 8 -120 Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m., Thursday July. 1)
Why is this total 8 or even 8 ½ out there? Texas is a PERFECT 5-0 O/U following a SU win and the Halos are 7-3-1 O/U in their last 11 games. Wouldn't shock me to see the winner of this game get 8 runs by themselves.
WNBA PLAYS
5 Unit Play. #605 Take Over 176 Washington at Phoenix (Thursday 7/1 10:05 PM)
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MLB BASEBALL PLAYS
3 Unit Play. #970 Take Minnesota -120 over TampaBay (8:10 p.m., Thursday July. 1)
This play is all on the starting pitcher for the Twinkies Carl Pavano! Pavano has won 4 straight starts and has a 1.64 ERA over his personal 4-start winning streak. He has also gone at least seven innings in nine of his last 10 starts. To me that smells like another winner for me and Carl Pavano.
2 Unit Play. #971 Take Over 8 -120 Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m., Thursday July. 1)
Why is this total 8 or even 8 ½ out there? Texas is a PERFECT 5-0 O/U following a SU win and the Halos are 7-3-1 O/U in their last 11 games. Wouldn't shock me to see the winner of this game get 8 runs by themselves.
SPORTS WAGERS
Cincinnati +1.32 over CHICAGO Pinnacle
Note the 2:20 PM start. Let’s see if we have this right. The Cubbies just lost a series to a Pirates team that had dropped 17 in a row on the road. Not only did they lose the series but the Cubbies scored a total of four runs in three games off the worst pitching staff in the majors. So, yeah, the Reds will turn to a rookie call-up making his first major league start and the Cubbies have its ace, Carlos Silva going but so what. Silva is having a great year but it could blow up at any time because this guy was a career stiff for the last seven years and this start was pushed back a couple of days because of a nagging hamstring injury. The Reds have also seen Silva twice and the last time they torched him to the tune of 10 hits in just five innings. As mentioned earlier, Travis Wood debuts. In 98 innings with AAA-Louisville this year, he has 97 Ks, 23 BBs, 3.03 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. After a phenomenal season in '09 (1.21 ERA in Double-A prior to a promotion to Triple-A), the 23 year-old struggled at the beginning of '10 before he turned it around. He's been sensational in the month of June. Wood isn't a dominator nor is he a flamethrower. His fastball sits between 87-91 mph, but he's developed an above average cutter to add to his already plus-plus changeup. The question remains as to whether this type of arsenal will succeed in the Majors. His polish and feel for pitching is off the charts, but his breaking ball is below average. Wood's changeup, however, may be one of the better ones in the minors. He uses the same arm speed as his fastball and it features late, diving action. Oh, one last thing. He’s not being asked to fool the Yanks or Red Sox here. The Reds are superior in every way, they’re coming off a series win against the Phillies and they’ve won seven of its last nine. The Cubbies are a beat up team right now both physically and mentally and in no way does this putrid host warrant being this high a price over the Reds. Play: Cincinnati +1.32 (Risking 2 units).
CLEVELAND +1.41 over Toronto Pinnacle
Note the 12:05 PM EST start. The Blue Jays –1.50 on the road? Are you kidding? Yeah, Shaun Marcum is having a remarkable season but in order to win a baseball game you have to score runs and that’s something the Jays have not been able to do for weeks. Over the last week, Toronto has made Jamie Moyer, Jake Westbrook and Aaron Laffey look like Koufax, Gibson and Drysdale. The Jays have lost five of six and that includes three straight to these Indians. Marcum has some troubling monthly trends including falling BPV (107 April, 87 May, 77 June), rising xERA (3.41, 3.95, 4.46) and his command is falling off too. Remember, Marcum missed all of last year and we’re now into July, thus his durability comes into question and he’s most certainly trending downwards. Justin Masterson is 2-7 and his surface starts don’t look very good. However, he’s had some bad luck this year due to a 35% hit rate and 67% strand rate. Masterson’s xERA (3.80) is more than a run below his actual ERA (5.21) and that’s a good sign. Also note that he has 72 K’s in 86 frames and that he’s been better at home and what we have here is an undervalued pitcher vs an overvalued one and you also can’t ignore the fact that the Jays are reeling. Overlay. Play: Cleveland +1.41 (Risking 2 units).
Houston +2.15 over SAN DIEGO Pinnacle
The Astros are 17 games under .500 and that early season deep funk has left this team as perhaps the most undervalued in the business. The Astros are so much better than its record and while Brian Moehler is not to be trusted ever, Jon Garland as a better than 2-1 favorite is insane. Baseball is a funny game and every day we see examples of why laying juice constantly is bad strategy. Take for example, the Texas Rangers. They were and still are on a big roll. They recently went on a run of 13 wins in 14 games and the only pitcher that beat them over that stretch is none other than Brian Moehler. That game was in Texas and any pitcher in this league has the potential to have a great game at Petco Park. Anyway, the Astros are scoring runs these days and in fact are coming off a series win in Milwaukee in which they scored 19 runs in three games and that includes four runs in six innings over previously untouchable Yovani Gallardo. As for Jon Garland, well, year after year it's the same: 200 IP, mid-4's xERA, no K's, double-digit wins. Every year his first half is better than his second half and that teases us into thinking there may be more but there's never any more. The sea air of San Diego and Petco Field clearly agree with Garland. Thing is, his record and ERA are seriously out of whack with his skills. He’s issuing a lot more walks than usual and while Garland has also struck out more and his ERA sure looks sweet, beware - xERA indicates that he’s not pitched that well. Hit % and strand % are making his season and anytime you can get anything close to this tag against him you should grab it. Play: Houston +2.15 (Risking 2 units).
SASKATCHEWAN +3 over Montreal Pinnacle
The Als are still the cream of the crop in the CFL and beat these Riders three times last season including that famous Grey Cup game in what has been called the worst beat of all time. Montreal is virtually the same team as last year and they’re never going to be easy to beat. The Riders are always tough at home and that makes them equally as tough to wager against. Darian Durant is back at QB and if the protection isn’t there, history suggests he’ll throw some picks. Still, he’s quite capable of a great game, as the Riders offense should prove to be one of the most potent. One cannot ignore the home-field advantage here. Saskatchewan is football country and these fans are among the most passionate in the world. The bottom line is that this is a tough opener to wager on. Montreal is potent both on defense and offense but a Grey Cup hangover may appear in the first week. We all know the Roughies want revenge and with that, it’s talent and home field advantage, expect the Roughriders to hang around and perhaps even come out victorious. Play: Saskatchewan +3 (No bets).
CALAGRY –13 over Toronto Pinnacle
The Argos were a complete dumpster-fire last season, as each week got progressively worse. The Argos won just once over its final 14 games and as a result, a complete overhaul ensued. Enter new but familiar head coach Jim Barker. That’s nice, it really is but Barker’s play-calling abilities have never been successful. He’s good at evaluating talent but he’s awful at calling the shots. Besides, the Argos have the least talent in the league and it’s not close. They have question marks at every key position and that includes QB, in which NFL castoff Cleo Lemon starts and he’s never thrown a regular season pass in the CFL. Furthermore, Lemon has zero proven WR’s to throw the ball to. The Argos were competitive in the pre-season but don’t be fooled by that. The Argos were playing their hearts out in the preseason while every other team was showing nothing and evaluating personnel. The Stamps will open at home and while the first week of the season is almost always a mystery, this one has no mystique whatsoever. The Stamps are as good as any team in the West and thus, these games against weak East opponents are crucial in terms of where they’ll finish in the standings. The Stamps will leave nothing to chance here. They’re superior on offense and they’re superior on defense. They’re playing a completely overhauled and under-talented Argos squad that has very little chance of winning more than five games this season. There will be no surprises or near upsets in this one and it says here the Stamps cruise. Play: Calgary –13 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
Cincinnati +1.32 over CHICAGO Pinnacle
Note the 2:20 PM start. Let’s see if we have this right. The Cubbies just lost a series to a Pirates team that had dropped 17 in a row on the road. Not only did they lose the series but the Cubbies scored a total of four runs in three games off the worst pitching staff in the majors. So, yeah, the Reds will turn to a rookie call-up making his first major league start and the Cubbies have its ace, Carlos Silva going but so what. Silva is having a great year but it could blow up at any time because this guy was a career stiff for the last seven years and this start was pushed back a couple of days because of a nagging hamstring injury. The Reds have also seen Silva twice and the last time they torched him to the tune of 10 hits in just five innings. As mentioned earlier, Travis Wood debuts. In 98 innings with AAA-Louisville this year, he has 97 Ks, 23 BBs, 3.03 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. After a phenomenal season in '09 (1.21 ERA in Double-A prior to a promotion to Triple-A), the 23 year-old struggled at the beginning of '10 before he turned it around. He's been sensational in the month of June. Wood isn't a dominator nor is he a flamethrower. His fastball sits between 87-91 mph, but he's developed an above average cutter to add to his already plus-plus changeup. The question remains as to whether this type of arsenal will succeed in the Majors. His polish and feel for pitching is off the charts, but his breaking ball is below average. Wood's changeup, however, may be one of the better ones in the minors. He uses the same arm speed as his fastball and it features late, diving action. Oh, one last thing. He’s not being asked to fool the Yanks or Red Sox here. The Reds are superior in every way, they’re coming off a series win against the Phillies and they’ve won seven of its last nine. The Cubbies are a beat up team right now both physically and mentally and in no way does this putrid host warrant being this high a price over the Reds. Play: Cincinnati +1.32 (Risking 2 units).
CLEVELAND +1.41 over Toronto Pinnacle
Note the 12:05 PM EST start. The Blue Jays –1.50 on the road? Are you kidding? Yeah, Shaun Marcum is having a remarkable season but in order to win a baseball game you have to score runs and that’s something the Jays have not been able to do for weeks. Over the last week, Toronto has made Jamie Moyer, Jake Westbrook and Aaron Laffey look like Koufax, Gibson and Drysdale. The Jays have lost five of six and that includes three straight to these Indians. Marcum has some troubling monthly trends including falling BPV (107 April, 87 May, 77 June), rising xERA (3.41, 3.95, 4.46) and his command is falling off too. Remember, Marcum missed all of last year and we’re now into July, thus his durability comes into question and he’s most certainly trending downwards. Justin Masterson is 2-7 and his surface starts don’t look very good. However, he’s had some bad luck this year due to a 35% hit rate and 67% strand rate. Masterson’s xERA (3.80) is more than a run below his actual ERA (5.21) and that’s a good sign. Also note that he has 72 K’s in 86 frames and that he’s been better at home and what we have here is an undervalued pitcher vs an overvalued one and you also can’t ignore the fact that the Jays are reeling. Overlay. Play: Cleveland +1.41 (Risking 2 units).
Houston +2.15 over SAN DIEGO Pinnacle
The Astros are 17 games under .500 and that early season deep funk has left this team as perhaps the most undervalued in the business. The Astros are so much better than its record and while Brian Moehler is not to be trusted ever, Jon Garland as a better than 2-1 favorite is insane. Baseball is a funny game and every day we see examples of why laying juice constantly is bad strategy. Take for example, the Texas Rangers. They were and still are on a big roll. They recently went on a run of 13 wins in 14 games and the only pitcher that beat them over that stretch is none other than Brian Moehler. That game was in Texas and any pitcher in this league has the potential to have a great game at Petco Park. Anyway, the Astros are scoring runs these days and in fact are coming off a series win in Milwaukee in which they scored 19 runs in three games and that includes four runs in six innings over previously untouchable Yovani Gallardo. As for Jon Garland, well, year after year it's the same: 200 IP, mid-4's xERA, no K's, double-digit wins. Every year his first half is better than his second half and that teases us into thinking there may be more but there's never any more. The sea air of San Diego and Petco Field clearly agree with Garland. Thing is, his record and ERA are seriously out of whack with his skills. He’s issuing a lot more walks than usual and while Garland has also struck out more and his ERA sure looks sweet, beware - xERA indicates that he’s not pitched that well. Hit % and strand % are making his season and anytime you can get anything close to this tag against him you should grab it. Play: Houston +2.15 (Risking 2 units).
SASKATCHEWAN +3 over Montreal Pinnacle
The Als are still the cream of the crop in the CFL and beat these Riders three times last season including that famous Grey Cup game in what has been called the worst beat of all time. Montreal is virtually the same team as last year and they’re never going to be easy to beat. The Riders are always tough at home and that makes them equally as tough to wager against. Darian Durant is back at QB and if the protection isn’t there, history suggests he’ll throw some picks. Still, he’s quite capable of a great game, as the Riders offense should prove to be one of the most potent. One cannot ignore the home-field advantage here. Saskatchewan is football country and these fans are among the most passionate in the world. The bottom line is that this is a tough opener to wager on. Montreal is potent both on defense and offense but a Grey Cup hangover may appear in the first week. We all know the Roughies want revenge and with that, it’s talent and home field advantage, expect the Roughriders to hang around and perhaps even come out victorious. Play: Saskatchewan +3 (No bets).
CALAGRY –13 over Toronto Pinnacle
The Argos were a complete dumpster-fire last season, as each week got progressively worse. The Argos won just once over its final 14 games and as a result, a complete overhaul ensued. Enter new but familiar head coach Jim Barker. That’s nice, it really is but Barker’s play-calling abilities have never been successful. He’s good at evaluating talent but he’s awful at calling the shots. Besides, the Argos have the least talent in the league and it’s not close. They have question marks at every key position and that includes QB, in which NFL castoff Cleo Lemon starts and he’s never thrown a regular season pass in the CFL. Furthermore, Lemon has zero proven WR’s to throw the ball to. The Argos were competitive in the pre-season but don’t be fooled by that. The Argos were playing their hearts out in the preseason while every other team was showing nothing and evaluating personnel. The Stamps will open at home and while the first week of the season is almost always a mystery, this one has no mystique whatsoever. The Stamps are as good as any team in the West and thus, these games against weak East opponents are crucial in terms of where they’ll finish in the standings. The Stamps will leave nothing to chance here. They’re superior on offense and they’re superior on defense. They’re playing a completely overhauled and under-talented Argos squad that has very little chance of winning more than five games this season. There will be no surprises or near upsets in this one and it says here the Stamps cruise. Play: Calgary –13 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
INDIAN COWBOY
4-Unit Play. Take #603. Take Connecticut Sun +1.5 over Chicago Sky (Thursday @ 8pm est).
We take another road dog today as we cross our fingers. But, Connecticut is a good team as it relates to revenge. Conn is still one of the best coached teams in the league. This team is 10-5 overall and is 1-1 when facing Chicago this year. This Connecticut team faced Chicago at home earlier this year and 74-61. However, they faced Connecticut at home later in the year, and lost 77-86 as an 8 point underdog. I look for Connecticut to avenge that loss. Note, Chicago does come off a home loss to Indiana so I do expect them to come out strong, but Conn to eventually pull away. Chicago did lose to Atlanta ,Chicago and New York at home recently and Connecticut is as every good as bit as those teams. I look for Conn to get their revenge and likely get the cover as they win outright today.
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4-Unit Play. Take #960. Take Under 9 between Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants (Thursday @ 08:40pm est).
Bumgarner pitched well to his credit in his first major league start. After all, he faced the Boston Redsox at home and fell short 2-4 after going seven innings and giving up four runs. Not bad for the newbie. In that game he pitched well as he only gave up five hits. He goes on the road to Colorado seeking his first win. Aaron Cook has put together back to back quality starts and 3 of 4 quality starts. He has pitched well this year despite having a record of 2-5. I look for him to have a quality start as he continues to pitch well at home as he seeks his third win. The young man has pitched four straight quality starts at home and has given up just seven runs in his last 26 innings which is sound. I look for both of these fellas to have a quality outing as this game likely goes under the posted total. Bear in mind that when a team faces a pitcher for the first time, the advantage typically goes to the pitcher. The Under is 4-1 for the Giants in their last five games overall and the Under is 4-1 when Cook is favored. The Under is also 7-0 when these two teams have faced head to head of late
4-Unit Play. Take #603. Take Connecticut Sun +1.5 over Chicago Sky (Thursday @ 8pm est).
We take another road dog today as we cross our fingers. But, Connecticut is a good team as it relates to revenge. Conn is still one of the best coached teams in the league. This team is 10-5 overall and is 1-1 when facing Chicago this year. This Connecticut team faced Chicago at home earlier this year and 74-61. However, they faced Connecticut at home later in the year, and lost 77-86 as an 8 point underdog. I look for Connecticut to avenge that loss. Note, Chicago does come off a home loss to Indiana so I do expect them to come out strong, but Conn to eventually pull away. Chicago did lose to Atlanta ,Chicago and New York at home recently and Connecticut is as every good as bit as those teams. I look for Conn to get their revenge and likely get the cover as they win outright today.
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4-Unit Play. Take #960. Take Under 9 between Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants (Thursday @ 08:40pm est).
Bumgarner pitched well to his credit in his first major league start. After all, he faced the Boston Redsox at home and fell short 2-4 after going seven innings and giving up four runs. Not bad for the newbie. In that game he pitched well as he only gave up five hits. He goes on the road to Colorado seeking his first win. Aaron Cook has put together back to back quality starts and 3 of 4 quality starts. He has pitched well this year despite having a record of 2-5. I look for him to have a quality start as he continues to pitch well at home as he seeks his third win. The young man has pitched four straight quality starts at home and has given up just seven runs in his last 26 innings which is sound. I look for both of these fellas to have a quality outing as this game likely goes under the posted total. Bear in mind that when a team faces a pitcher for the first time, the advantage typically goes to the pitcher. The Under is 4-1 for the Giants in their last five games overall and the Under is 4-1 when Cook is favored. The Under is also 7-0 when these two teams have faced head to head of late
SuperSportsGroup
Cincinnati v. Chicago 2:20pm
PICK: Reds ML +134 Game
NY v. Washington 7:05pm
PIVK: OVER 8 Game -105 Best bet of the day #1
Oakland v. Baltimore 7:05pm
PICK: Orioles ML +130 Game
Philadelphia v. Pittsburgh 7:10pm
PICK: OVER 9 Game ev Best bet of the day #2
Tampa Bay v. Minny 8:10pm
PICK: Minny ML -117 Game
San Fran v. Colorado 8:40pm
PICK: Giants ML +140 Game
Cincinnati v. Chicago 2:20pm
PICK: Reds ML +134 Game
NY v. Washington 7:05pm
PIVK: OVER 8 Game -105 Best bet of the day #1
Oakland v. Baltimore 7:05pm
PICK: Orioles ML +130 Game
Philadelphia v. Pittsburgh 7:10pm
PICK: OVER 9 Game ev Best bet of the day #2
Tampa Bay v. Minny 8:10pm
PICK: Minny ML -117 Game
San Fran v. Colorado 8:40pm
PICK: Giants ML +140 Game
