Scott rickenbach
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in New York Yankees vs
Boston Red Sox @ 7:05 ET - Many books opened this total up at an 8.5 yesterday afternoon but the
betting markets are telling the odds makers they don't know what they're doing as the markets have
forced the odds makers down to a 7.5 with this total as of Thursday AM. Long-time followers know how
I feel about the value of the odds makers compared to the betting markets! The point is that we're
getting extreme line value here with this big downward move on this total. Yes I know David Price is on
the mound for the BoSox but he has allowed 14 earned runs on 32 hits in 18 innings of work spanning
his last 3 starts against the Yankees. Also, all 3 of those outings came after the midway point of last
season so it's not like it is ancient history by any stretch of the imagination. Price will be opposed by the
Yankees Michael Pineda. The Yanks right-hander has allowed 7 earned runs on 13 hits including 4
homers in his last 2 home starts versus the Red Sox. Also, Pineda comes into this outing off of a rough
start in his most recent outing. The over was 5-2 in the Yankees last 7 games before yesterday's game
stayed just under the total. The over is 19-10 in Yanks divisional games this season. The over is also 13-7
in Boston's last 20 road games. More of the same here as both pitchers struggled against lineups that
have fared very well against them in recent meetings. 10* OVER the total in the New York Yankees game
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Colorado Rockies Money Line (+) @
Chicago Cubs @ 8:05 ET - The Rockies are a big dog here despite being 21-10 on the road this season. I
understand the Cubs have Jon Lester on the mound and the veteran southpaw is known for pitching well
at home. However, Tyler Chatwood gets the start for the Rockies and the right-hander went a fantastic
8-1 with a stellar 1.69 ERA away from home last season and is 3-3 with a 2.68 ERA on the road this
season. Incredibly, opponents are batting just .168 against Chatwood when he faces them away from
Coors Field. As you can see, Chatwood's overall numbers this season and last season have certainly been
impacted by the fact he pitches his home games at hitter-friendly Coors Field. The fact is that Chatwood
has been dominant in road outings and I expect that to continue here. The Cubs are only 5-7 in their last
12 games. In those dozen games, the Cubbies had just 2 big games at the plate. In the other 10 games,
the Cubs averaged just 5.1 HITS per game. As you can see, Chicago really hasn't been hitting the ball well
at all and Chatwood is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in his two career starts against the Cubs. The Rockies have
won 5 of their last 6 games and have averaged 7 runs and 11 hits per game in those 6 games. Look for
them to stay hot here as Lester has allowed 9 earned runs on 13 hits (including 3 homers) in last 2 starts
and those outings have spanned just 9 and 1/3 innings! 10* COLORADO ROCKIES money line