Wunderdog Sports
Complimentary MLB Pick
Game: Colorado @ Milwaukee
Pick: Under 9
The Colorado Rockies have one of the biggest home field advantages in MLB, and tailor their lineup accordingly. It has allowed them to be a better than .500 team at home, but the road is still filled with land mines as they are 15-24. The answer is easy to find. The Rockies average 6.3 runs per game at home, and just a paltry 3.7 on the road. Their road games average just 8.3 runs per game, compared to 12 at home. The Rockies are an easy OVER the total consideration for bettors, but the reality is that the Rockies are 37-15-3 to the UNDER in their last 55 games as a road dog from +151 to +200. The Brewers are a strong UNDER team when playing at home vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 where they have turned in an 18-7-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 26, including 7-1 to the UNDER in Peralta's last eight starts vs. a losing team. This one stays UNDER.
Complimentary MLB Pick
Game: Colorado @ Milwaukee
Pick: Under 9
The Colorado Rockies have one of the biggest home field advantages in MLB, and tailor their lineup accordingly. It has allowed them to be a better than .500 team at home, but the road is still filled with land mines as they are 15-24. The answer is easy to find. The Rockies average 6.3 runs per game at home, and just a paltry 3.7 on the road. Their road games average just 8.3 runs per game, compared to 12 at home. The Rockies are an easy OVER the total consideration for bettors, but the reality is that the Rockies are 37-15-3 to the UNDER in their last 55 games as a road dog from +151 to +200. The Brewers are a strong UNDER team when playing at home vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 where they have turned in an 18-7-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 26, including 7-1 to the UNDER in Peralta's last eight starts vs. a losing team. This one stays UNDER.
Bob Balfe
Philadelphia Phillies -155
This is about the max I will ever lay in a baseball game and usually it would be for really good teams unlike the Phillies, but the pitcher in this one is much better and the Phils have the better bullpen. Last night the Phillies lost a close game more or less on a bad error by Brown. There has been no better pitcher than Hamels this month and I like the Phillies chances to win this game even with this price being where it is at. Take the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies -155
This is about the max I will ever lay in a baseball game and usually it would be for really good teams unlike the Phillies, but the pitcher in this one is much better and the Phils have the better bullpen. Last night the Phillies lost a close game more or less on a bad error by Brown. There has been no better pitcher than Hamels this month and I like the Phillies chances to win this game even with this price being where it is at. Take the Phillies.
Topshelfpicks
Raider
Philadelphia ML (-154) vs Miami Pretty steep line here, but I like this pitching match up for Philadelphia. Both teams come into this game struggling offensively, but I think the pitching match-up here gives the Phillies a notable advantage. Miami starter Tom Koehler (5-6, 3.74 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, .225 BAA) has average numbers at best overall, but when you at both his home/road splits and his day/night splits, he starts to break down. On the road, he is 2-3 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.51 WHIP, and at night he is 5-3, but with a 4.13 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. In addition, he has struggled recently. In his last 5 starts (30.1 innings) he has surrendered 17 earned runs (5.05 ERA), he has a 1.35 WHIP and he has surrendered an eye popping 14 walks. Go back 6 starts and the numbers get even worse. If there is a saving grace tonight for Koehler, it is that he faces a struggling offense. The Phillies have lost 4 of 5 and only scored 13 runs in that stretch. On the other hand, the Phillies send Cole Hamels to the mound tonight, and in spite of a poor record he has been pitching some outstanding baseball. In his last 5 starts (which only includes one win), he has pitched 37 innings and surrendered just 3 earned runs (0.73 ERA) on just 27 hits. Hamels gets to face a struggling offense himself tonight as the Marlins have scored just 16 runs in their last 5 games and just 30 in their last 10. The way I see this game shaking down is that Miami is sending out a pitcher who has struggled recently, and this could give the Phillies a chance to bust out of their recent slump. Meanwhile, Cole Hamels is pitching like a guy who will keep you in a slump. I think we Philadelphia jump out early to a lead that Hamels should be able to protect. Look for Hamels to give the Phils a good, solid 7 or 8 innings tonight while I doubt Koehler goes 6 for the Marlins. I think we see a 5-2 type Philadelphia win tonight. I would be comfortable laying some on the run line here as well with the Phillies.
Leans
San Francisco ML (-114) over Cincinnati
Detroit ML (-123) over Texas
Carson K - 1* Reds
The Reds have done well against the Giants in the past. In their last 17 games the Reds are 11-6(5-3@SF).
Mike Leake hasn't been that bad on the road this year, 3-2 with a 3.54era. His last start vs. Toronto, 8in, 4h & 1r. Now he will be facing a Giants team that only scored 10 runs in their last 4 games. In those 4 games they are batting .225.
The giants will send out Vogelsong. In his last 3 starts he gave up 13 runs. This month he has a 6.04era and teams are hitting .308 against him. I'll back the Reds in this late one out west.
Raider
Philadelphia ML (-154) vs Miami Pretty steep line here, but I like this pitching match up for Philadelphia. Both teams come into this game struggling offensively, but I think the pitching match-up here gives the Phillies a notable advantage. Miami starter Tom Koehler (5-6, 3.74 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, .225 BAA) has average numbers at best overall, but when you at both his home/road splits and his day/night splits, he starts to break down. On the road, he is 2-3 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.51 WHIP, and at night he is 5-3, but with a 4.13 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. In addition, he has struggled recently. In his last 5 starts (30.1 innings) he has surrendered 17 earned runs (5.05 ERA), he has a 1.35 WHIP and he has surrendered an eye popping 14 walks. Go back 6 starts and the numbers get even worse. If there is a saving grace tonight for Koehler, it is that he faces a struggling offense. The Phillies have lost 4 of 5 and only scored 13 runs in that stretch. On the other hand, the Phillies send Cole Hamels to the mound tonight, and in spite of a poor record he has been pitching some outstanding baseball. In his last 5 starts (which only includes one win), he has pitched 37 innings and surrendered just 3 earned runs (0.73 ERA) on just 27 hits. Hamels gets to face a struggling offense himself tonight as the Marlins have scored just 16 runs in their last 5 games and just 30 in their last 10. The way I see this game shaking down is that Miami is sending out a pitcher who has struggled recently, and this could give the Phillies a chance to bust out of their recent slump. Meanwhile, Cole Hamels is pitching like a guy who will keep you in a slump. I think we Philadelphia jump out early to a lead that Hamels should be able to protect. Look for Hamels to give the Phils a good, solid 7 or 8 innings tonight while I doubt Koehler goes 6 for the Marlins. I think we see a 5-2 type Philadelphia win tonight. I would be comfortable laying some on the run line here as well with the Phillies.
Leans
San Francisco ML (-114) over Cincinnati
Detroit ML (-123) over Texas
Carson K - 1* Reds
The Reds have done well against the Giants in the past. In their last 17 games the Reds are 11-6(5-3@SF).
Mike Leake hasn't been that bad on the road this year, 3-2 with a 3.54era. His last start vs. Toronto, 8in, 4h & 1r. Now he will be facing a Giants team that only scored 10 runs in their last 4 games. In those 4 games they are batting .225.
The giants will send out Vogelsong. In his last 3 starts he gave up 13 runs. This month he has a 6.04era and teams are hitting .308 against him. I'll back the Reds in this late one out west.
GoodFella | MLB Money LineThu, 06/26/14 - 8:05 PM
triple-dime bet
955 WAS (-124) BetOnline vs 956 CHCAnalysis:"MLB Dominator" 3* on WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Listed Pitchers
For starters, I have this game lined -145 so there is definite VALUE for me on this game at this price, that simple. We have two SP going in opposite directions with Fister for these Nationa·ls and Wood for the Cubs. Fister has allowed 2 runs or less in 7 of his L/8 starts & he has a 32/6 K/BB ration of that span. Cubs SP is regressing after a stong start to the season. These Nationals are also very potent vs LH hurlers, as they rank 2nd in batting .AVG and also rank 3rd in .OPS vs said southpaws. Quite simply, they are most potent vs left handed pitching. We also have a definite edge in the ever important bullpens with these Nats (who have their best arms rested in the bullpen) due to them using one of their weaker arms in the bullpen going long yesterday & they only used that one bully arm last night, in Milwaukee. I fully expect Fister to out-pitch Wood and hand the ball over to the Nationals best arms in their strong bullpen. Simply VALUE CITY for me on these Nationals tonight, at this price & in this spot. We're all over these WASHINGTON NATIONALS tonight.
Listed Pitchers
For starters, I have this game lined -145 so there is definite VALUE for me on this game at this price, that simple. We have two SP going in opposite directions with Fister for these Nationa·ls and Wood for the Cubs. Fister has allowed 2 runs or less in 7 of his L/8 starts & he has a 32/6 K/BB ration of that span. Cubs SP is regressing after a stong start to the season. These Nationals are also very potent vs LH hurlers, as they rank 2nd in batting .AVG and also rank 3rd in .OPS vs said southpaws. Quite simply, they are most potent vs left handed pitching. We also have a definite edge in the ever important bullpens with these Nats (who have their best arms rested in the bullpen) due to them using one of their weaker arms in the bullpen going long yesterday & they only used that one bully arm last night, in Milwaukee. I fully expect Fister to out-pitch Wood and hand the ball over to the Nationals best arms in their strong bullpen. Simply VALUE CITY for me on these Nationals tonight, at this price & in this spot. We're all over these WASHINGTON NATIONALS tonight.
