WUNDERDOG
Game: Connecticut at Detroit (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Detroit -7 (-105) (risk 5 to win 4.8 )
These teams will meet for the second time in three days and ultimately they will play three times over a six-game period. This series will go a long way to determine who comes out of the Eastern Conference as the top team. Connecticut took the opener in rather easy fashion, coming away with an impressive 17-point win in Uncasville Tuesday night. So why are they suddenly a six-point underdog here? Good teams don't forget embarrassing losses very quickly. Their loss occurred in their last game, so the mental edge changes for this one as well as the home court. These are two huge and decisive factors in the WNBA this year. Also worth noting is that the Shock have been an average team on the road at 5-4. At home they remain the only unbeaten team in the WNBA at 5-0, winning each game by an average of 10 points. The WNBA has also featured a huge edge to teams that allowed 80 points in their last game when matching up against a team that scored 80 in their last game. These teams, which are represented by Detroit tonight, have been 51-18 ATS over the last 69 games. Plenty of reasons for the Shock to keep working their home-court magic and come away with an impressive home win.
Game: Connecticut at Detroit (7:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Detroit -244 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 2.1)
For all the reasons we like the Shock to cover this game, it also presents value on the moneyline. When coming off a road loss by 10 points or more, WNBA teams that have a winning record on the season, have gone 111-31 against the moneyline. Add in revenge as we stated above and you have the makings of a lot of value here.
Game: San Antonio at Houston (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 141 -105 (risk 3 to win 2.9)
San Antonio lost their first home game of the season to Houston in their last game. It is easy to look back and see what happened. Mentally they took the court thinking if they showed up they would win. San Antonio had won their previous five games and for one reason. They made a defensive commitment. They had allowed just 64.6 points per game in those five, so what do you think the mindset will be here? Lesson learned! They are going to come out playing the type of game that turned a 3-4 start into a 5-0 run. Houston dropped their first five games of the season allowing 78 ppg. They have now tightened things up on the defensive end are now allowing just 68.6 ppg in their last three home tilts. This game certainly looks like one of those games with a defensive signature and mindset so we will play the UNDER here.
Game: Phoenix at Chicago (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 175.5 +100 (risk 3 to win 3)
Is there a total that can hold this Phoenix team to playing under? Not in this range and in this type of matchup. As the season has progressed the pace has gotten faster, especially when the emphasis has been run, run, and run. They are perfecting this type of play. Over the last four games, they have featured 765 points or 193 a game. The Sky has been no stranger to high-scoring games either, as they have allowed over 90 a game in their last three. These teams played in the 100s last time they met, and we don't see this one staying out of the 90s, so OVER gets the call.
Game: Washington at Los Angeles (10:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 143.5 -105 (risk 3 to win 2.9)
This is a Sparks? team that scores and scores consistently. They have yet to be held under 70 points in any of their 13 games thus far, and their lowest output at home has been 76 and has averaged 82 at home this year. A simple way to look at this one is if they get their average of 82, as a 12-point favorite, that says 70 for Washington or a game that should play in the 150s. Interesting side note to this one is that Washington has played 19 straight OVERS when they allow 79 or more in a game, so if the Sparks score even three points less than their average, there are still lots of signals for playing the OVER here. The Sparks are also 25-7 to the OVER against bad teams, those winning at a rate between 25-40% of their games. We will back the OVER here
Game: Connecticut at Detroit (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Detroit -7 (-105) (risk 5 to win 4.8 )
These teams will meet for the second time in three days and ultimately they will play three times over a six-game period. This series will go a long way to determine who comes out of the Eastern Conference as the top team. Connecticut took the opener in rather easy fashion, coming away with an impressive 17-point win in Uncasville Tuesday night. So why are they suddenly a six-point underdog here? Good teams don't forget embarrassing losses very quickly. Their loss occurred in their last game, so the mental edge changes for this one as well as the home court. These are two huge and decisive factors in the WNBA this year. Also worth noting is that the Shock have been an average team on the road at 5-4. At home they remain the only unbeaten team in the WNBA at 5-0, winning each game by an average of 10 points. The WNBA has also featured a huge edge to teams that allowed 80 points in their last game when matching up against a team that scored 80 in their last game. These teams, which are represented by Detroit tonight, have been 51-18 ATS over the last 69 games. Plenty of reasons for the Shock to keep working their home-court magic and come away with an impressive home win.
Game: Connecticut at Detroit (7:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Detroit -244 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 2.1)
For all the reasons we like the Shock to cover this game, it also presents value on the moneyline. When coming off a road loss by 10 points or more, WNBA teams that have a winning record on the season, have gone 111-31 against the moneyline. Add in revenge as we stated above and you have the makings of a lot of value here.
Game: San Antonio at Houston (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 141 -105 (risk 3 to win 2.9)
San Antonio lost their first home game of the season to Houston in their last game. It is easy to look back and see what happened. Mentally they took the court thinking if they showed up they would win. San Antonio had won their previous five games and for one reason. They made a defensive commitment. They had allowed just 64.6 points per game in those five, so what do you think the mindset will be here? Lesson learned! They are going to come out playing the type of game that turned a 3-4 start into a 5-0 run. Houston dropped their first five games of the season allowing 78 ppg. They have now tightened things up on the defensive end are now allowing just 68.6 ppg in their last three home tilts. This game certainly looks like one of those games with a defensive signature and mindset so we will play the UNDER here.
Game: Phoenix at Chicago (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 175.5 +100 (risk 3 to win 3)
Is there a total that can hold this Phoenix team to playing under? Not in this range and in this type of matchup. As the season has progressed the pace has gotten faster, especially when the emphasis has been run, run, and run. They are perfecting this type of play. Over the last four games, they have featured 765 points or 193 a game. The Sky has been no stranger to high-scoring games either, as they have allowed over 90 a game in their last three. These teams played in the 100s last time they met, and we don't see this one staying out of the 90s, so OVER gets the call.
Game: Washington at Los Angeles (10:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 143.5 -105 (risk 3 to win 2.9)
This is a Sparks? team that scores and scores consistently. They have yet to be held under 70 points in any of their 13 games thus far, and their lowest output at home has been 76 and has averaged 82 at home this year. A simple way to look at this one is if they get their average of 82, as a 12-point favorite, that says 70 for Washington or a game that should play in the 150s. Interesting side note to this one is that Washington has played 19 straight OVERS when they allow 79 or more in a game, so if the Sparks score even three points less than their average, there are still lots of signals for playing the OVER here. The Sparks are also 25-7 to the OVER against bad teams, those winning at a rate between 25-40% of their games. We will back the OVER here
VERNON CROY
Thursday, June 26, 2008
Handicapper: VERNON CROY
Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -103 Toronto Blue Jays Play Title: 20 Unit MLB Super Smash of the Week
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
20 Units, Take Toronto ML, The Reds are just 2-6 this season on the road with a moneyline of -100 to -125 and they are just 9-19 this season when playing a team with a losing record. The Reds are just 15-26 on the road this season and they are hitting just .226 as a team over their last 7 games previous to last night?s game. The Jays are starting to hit the ball a lot better and their bullpen has been solid at home this season with an ERA of just 2.87 over 97.3 innings. The Jays are 6-2 this season when Jesse Litsch (7-4, 4.06 ERA) has pitched as a dog and he has only allowed walked 7 batters over his last 10 starts. I look for Litsch to bounce back strong at home tonight after a couple of rough starts and the Reds bullpen have struggled on the road this season with an ERA of 4.61. We are getting great value here with the Toronto Blue Jays so take them as my MLB Super Smash of the Week as my huge overall MLB run continues.
Thursday, June 26, 2008
Handicapper: VERNON CROY
Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -103 Toronto Blue Jays Play Title: 20 Unit MLB Super Smash of the Week
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
20 Units, Take Toronto ML, The Reds are just 2-6 this season on the road with a moneyline of -100 to -125 and they are just 9-19 this season when playing a team with a losing record. The Reds are just 15-26 on the road this season and they are hitting just .226 as a team over their last 7 games previous to last night?s game. The Jays are starting to hit the ball a lot better and their bullpen has been solid at home this season with an ERA of just 2.87 over 97.3 innings. The Jays are 6-2 this season when Jesse Litsch (7-4, 4.06 ERA) has pitched as a dog and he has only allowed walked 7 batters over his last 10 starts. I look for Litsch to bounce back strong at home tonight after a couple of rough starts and the Reds bullpen have struggled on the road this season with an ERA of 4.61. We are getting great value here with the Toronto Blue Jays so take them as my MLB Super Smash of the Week as my huge overall MLB run continues.
Ok. Last comment. I'll stop this stuff now. I've helped people out by buying Garrett when was hot and some others, then got shit load of YWN plays. But all I did was ask for NSA and posted them once and got attacked for it and don't know why. Its someones choice to go with a play or not but don't get after someone for asking for or buying someones picks. GL TO EVERYONE
Last edited by a moderator:
This post should be framed!
This is the most direct, meaningful post I've seen in this forum. I know the supporters are all copying the message and letting you know they agree with you. I have to also as this message deserves to be listed as the second post EACH day for the next week or so right after the services listings that can't have the write-ups posted. Well worded and your efforts has been always appreciated from this area. Please keep up the great work. Thanks.
This is the most direct, meaningful post I've seen in this forum. I know the supporters are all copying the message and letting you know they agree with you. I have to also as this message deserves to be listed as the second post EACH day for the next week or so right after the services listings that can't have the write-ups posted. Well worded and your efforts has been always appreciated from this area. Please keep up the great work. Thanks.
WILD BILL
Thursday, June 26
Tampa -120 (2 units)
St Louis +125 (5 units)
Under 8 Dodgers-Sox (2 units)
White Sox +110 (2 units)
Under 8 Twins-Padres (2 units)
Under 8 1/2 Phils-A's (4 units)
Phils +185 (4 units)
Cleveland -160 (5 units)
Yankees -140 (5 units)
Reds -110 (1 unit)
Under 8 Reds-Jays (5 units)
Astros -120 (2 units)
Thursday, June 26
Tampa -120 (2 units)
St Louis +125 (5 units)
Under 8 Dodgers-Sox (2 units)
White Sox +110 (2 units)
Under 8 Twins-Padres (2 units)
Under 8 1/2 Phils-A's (4 units)
Phils +185 (4 units)
Cleveland -160 (5 units)
Yankees -140 (5 units)
Reds -110 (1 unit)
Under 8 Reds-Jays (5 units)
Astros -120 (2 units)
Everyone needs to calm down, you all did start barking at PC because he was wondering was NSA's picks were one day. This is a guy that has posted at least 60 tout plays for us. This bickering needs to end. CPAW if you see NSA you should post it, as you do all other touts whether we are keeping a record of them or not. Lets be honest now just about all touts are scams, dont get me they make us money, but theres no reason to knock NSA day in and day out. Should we start knocking Lovell and June next or how about Lang or Budin, what do you think, WHOS NEXT????
hno:
