?
Yesterday 2-3 bur 29-13 i believe since i climbed aboard at 2-0 going with him today again.......gl
Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padres Jun 26 2008 3:35PM
PICK: under
Your pick will be graded at: 8 WSEX
EXPERT: David Malinsky
TITLE: Three for the Money
REASON FOR PICK: 4* MINNESOTA/SAN DIEGO Under
We saw a rare explosion of runs in Petco Park last night, which sets us up here in a couple of ways - 1. It keeps the value solid, for while it was an explosion of runs, it was not necessarily an offensive showcase (Minnesota had nine of 15 base-runners score, a rather efficient evening); 2. Because the game was not close in the latter stages, all key bullpen arms are rested and ready, and these two bring some quality arms. That leaves it up to Scott Baker and Jonathan Banks to get things started, and they bring plenty to the table.
We cashed a 4* ticket behind Baker in his last start vs. Arizona, and the best way to set his side of this equation is to go right back to that analysis - ”Scott Baker’s 2-2/3.71 does not raise a lot of eyebrows, and that works in our favor. His command has been outstanding, with a terrific ratio of 42 strikeouts vs. only nine hits allowed, and in terms of consistency, note that he has only allowed more than three runs once, a windy night in Texas in which Minnesota out-slugged the Rangers 12-6. We certainly do not hold that game against him. He is more than capable of keeping up that form against an Arizona offense that lacks patience (only two teams have more strikeouts), and also confidence away from Chase Field. So we are absolutely buying in at the right time with him, and do not be surprised if it is the first of many such investments to come.”
It indeed was the first of many investments. He continued his command of the strike zone against the Diamondbacks, with seven strikeouts vs. only one walk, and with 16 K’s in his last two starts it shows an emerging confidence in his stuff. If you throw strikes and force the Padres to make things happen with their bats you are on your way here in Petco.
Meanwhile Banks has been nothing short of brilliant since being called up. A 1.62 ERA over 33.1 innings speaks volumes, and as a starter he has had a sparkling ratio of 15 strikeouts vs. only one walk again. Once again we put that control emphasis into play in Petco - if nothing is given away to opposing offenses the challenge of getting around the basis is magnified, and Banks may catch an additional break with Joe Mauer likely to sit out - with a day game following a night game, no DH, and a long plane ride back to Minnesota afterwards, they are scheduling him for a day off (though that is subject to change, of course). And with all of those bullpen arms ready, Banks does not have to be asked to go more than a solid six innings, which he is capable of vs. a Minnesota lineup getting a first look at this stuff.
Although this Park can play a little higher in summer day games, note that it is a mild day in San Diego - the high is not expected to top 67 degrees. That negates any daytime issues, and leaves us with solid value.
RECOMMENDED SPORTSBOOKS: BoDog Sportsbook 5Dimes
Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres OFF
OFF
7.5
-115 -110
7.5
-114 -105
Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 26 2008 3:10PM
PICK: under
Your pick will be graded at: 8 WSEX
EXPERT: David Malinsky
TITLE: Three for the Money
REASON FOR PICK: 6* CHICAGO/LOS ANGELES Under
After cashing a 6* Under in the opener between these two on Tuesday it was a sin of omission to not come right back last night, but trusting Eric Stults, along with our belief that Gavin Floyd has been an over-achiever, kept us on the sidelines. So when a journeyman left-hander completely shut the White Sox down, not allowing a run or an extra base hit in working his first-ever (and last?) Major League complete game, it speaks volumes about the Chicago issues that we presented on Tuesday. Give the White Sox a setting in which the ball can carry, and they can mash with the best. But put them in a park in which it takes some offensive finesse to score, and it is simply not their game. And that is one of the prime reasons why we are set up for another low-scoring affair today.
How much have those windy offensive explosions on the South Side impacted the overall perception of the White Sox? How about this - they have gone Under in 10 of their last 12 road games, and 24 of the last 33. Now they are also facing Clayton Kershaw at the wrong time, as he slowly develops the polish to go with his outstanding stuff (26 strikeouts in 29 innings). And with Kershaw only allowing three home runs so far, we are not concerned with that aspect of the game, particularly with his lefty presence, and the lack of a DH, keeping Jim Thome sidelined again, to add to the absence of Paul Konerko. And the complete game from Stults leaves all arms available from an outstanding Dodger bullpen.
The Dodgers find runs difficult to come by as well. John Danks has not been raising eyebrows despite a 2.80 ERA over 86.2 innings. And in truth we might even be able to classify him as better than that. Division rival Minnesota saw him in three starts LY, and that helped the Twins to have some good approaches against him this season. But in the 12 starts against anyone other than Minnesota it has been a sparkling 1.72 allowance. So why is there not more respect? Largely because Danks has been in the wrong place at the wrong time in terms of distribution - he has only four wins, and in eight of 15 starts allowed two runs or less without winning. His most recent run has seen him hold the Rockies and Cubs to just one run over 12 innings in his last two starts, with more strikeouts than hits allowed in those games. Yet all he could walk away with were a pair of no-decisions. That helps to make him an under-valued commodity here, and his task could be made even easier if the Dodgers sit Jeff Kent and Russell Martin, as planned.
Like the Dodgers, the White Sox bring a bullpen that is not only strong, but has all key arms rested and ready. That ensures against any late-game shenanigans here in what will be a pitchers afternoon at Chavez Ravine.
RECOMMENDED SPORTSBOOKS: BoDog Sportsbook 5Dimes
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers OFF
OFF
8
-103 -105
8
-110 -105
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays Jun 26 2008 7:07PM
PICK: Cincinnati Reds
Your pick will be graded at: -115 5Dimes
EXPERT: David Malinsky
TITLE: Three for the Money
REASON FOR PICK: 4* CINCINNATI over TORONTO?
If there were any questions about Edinson Volquez being able to maintain his lofty numbers they have been answered most affirmatively in his recent outings. Five starts back it was a solid home outing against an Atlanta team that has hit right-handers harder than anyone else in the National League. Four starts back he shut out what had been a sizzling Philadelphia offense at the time, on the road in a hitter’s park. Three starts ago he checked a Florida lineup on three hits, those same Marlins that are #1 in the Major’s in home runs. And the last two have been solid outings against the Red Sox and Yankees. So what are we left with? A pitcher that has clearly been the best in the game this season, taking on a mediocre lineup and a struggling mound opponent. That does not call for this price range.
Here are the Volquez bottom lines - a 10-2/1.71 in which he has been remarkably consistent; how about a 5-2/1.60 on the road and a 5-0/1.83 at home? He has not allowed more than three runs in any start, and in 11 of 14 outings gave up one run or none. A ratio of 110 strikeouts vs. only 66 hits allowed is off the charts, and in 93.1 innings as a starter he has only allowed two home runs. Now a Toronto offense that lacks experience against him becomes the next victim.
We went to the well with a 4* ticket against Jesse Litsch in his last outing, and the bottom line is that Major League hitters are catching up to his limited stuff. Yes, he has great control. But with only 96 strikeouts in 199.2 career innings there is not the kind of pop needed to be anything more than a journeyman. Now hitters are learning to lay off of those pitches on the edges of the strike zone, and when Litsch has to work towards the middle of the plate he is nothing special at all. Over his last four starts it has been an 0-3/6.46, with 33 hits allowed in 23.2 innings, five of them leaving the park. And his particular problems against left-handers (.306 so far in his career) becomes even more pronounced against a Cincinnati offense that will load up from that side.
Yesterday 2-3 bur 29-13 i believe since i climbed aboard at 2-0 going with him today again.......gl
Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padres Jun 26 2008 3:35PM
PICK: under
Your pick will be graded at: 8 WSEX
EXPERT: David Malinsky
TITLE: Three for the Money
REASON FOR PICK: 4* MINNESOTA/SAN DIEGO Under
We saw a rare explosion of runs in Petco Park last night, which sets us up here in a couple of ways - 1. It keeps the value solid, for while it was an explosion of runs, it was not necessarily an offensive showcase (Minnesota had nine of 15 base-runners score, a rather efficient evening); 2. Because the game was not close in the latter stages, all key bullpen arms are rested and ready, and these two bring some quality arms. That leaves it up to Scott Baker and Jonathan Banks to get things started, and they bring plenty to the table.
We cashed a 4* ticket behind Baker in his last start vs. Arizona, and the best way to set his side of this equation is to go right back to that analysis - ”Scott Baker’s 2-2/3.71 does not raise a lot of eyebrows, and that works in our favor. His command has been outstanding, with a terrific ratio of 42 strikeouts vs. only nine hits allowed, and in terms of consistency, note that he has only allowed more than three runs once, a windy night in Texas in which Minnesota out-slugged the Rangers 12-6. We certainly do not hold that game against him. He is more than capable of keeping up that form against an Arizona offense that lacks patience (only two teams have more strikeouts), and also confidence away from Chase Field. So we are absolutely buying in at the right time with him, and do not be surprised if it is the first of many such investments to come.”
It indeed was the first of many investments. He continued his command of the strike zone against the Diamondbacks, with seven strikeouts vs. only one walk, and with 16 K’s in his last two starts it shows an emerging confidence in his stuff. If you throw strikes and force the Padres to make things happen with their bats you are on your way here in Petco.
Meanwhile Banks has been nothing short of brilliant since being called up. A 1.62 ERA over 33.1 innings speaks volumes, and as a starter he has had a sparkling ratio of 15 strikeouts vs. only one walk again. Once again we put that control emphasis into play in Petco - if nothing is given away to opposing offenses the challenge of getting around the basis is magnified, and Banks may catch an additional break with Joe Mauer likely to sit out - with a day game following a night game, no DH, and a long plane ride back to Minnesota afterwards, they are scheduling him for a day off (though that is subject to change, of course). And with all of those bullpen arms ready, Banks does not have to be asked to go more than a solid six innings, which he is capable of vs. a Minnesota lineup getting a first look at this stuff.
Although this Park can play a little higher in summer day games, note that it is a mild day in San Diego - the high is not expected to top 67 degrees. That negates any daytime issues, and leaves us with solid value.
RECOMMENDED SPORTSBOOKS: BoDog Sportsbook 5Dimes
Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres OFF
OFF
7.5
-115 -110
7.5
-114 -105
Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 26 2008 3:10PM
PICK: under
Your pick will be graded at: 8 WSEX
EXPERT: David Malinsky
TITLE: Three for the Money
REASON FOR PICK: 6* CHICAGO/LOS ANGELES Under
After cashing a 6* Under in the opener between these two on Tuesday it was a sin of omission to not come right back last night, but trusting Eric Stults, along with our belief that Gavin Floyd has been an over-achiever, kept us on the sidelines. So when a journeyman left-hander completely shut the White Sox down, not allowing a run or an extra base hit in working his first-ever (and last?) Major League complete game, it speaks volumes about the Chicago issues that we presented on Tuesday. Give the White Sox a setting in which the ball can carry, and they can mash with the best. But put them in a park in which it takes some offensive finesse to score, and it is simply not their game. And that is one of the prime reasons why we are set up for another low-scoring affair today.
How much have those windy offensive explosions on the South Side impacted the overall perception of the White Sox? How about this - they have gone Under in 10 of their last 12 road games, and 24 of the last 33. Now they are also facing Clayton Kershaw at the wrong time, as he slowly develops the polish to go with his outstanding stuff (26 strikeouts in 29 innings). And with Kershaw only allowing three home runs so far, we are not concerned with that aspect of the game, particularly with his lefty presence, and the lack of a DH, keeping Jim Thome sidelined again, to add to the absence of Paul Konerko. And the complete game from Stults leaves all arms available from an outstanding Dodger bullpen.
The Dodgers find runs difficult to come by as well. John Danks has not been raising eyebrows despite a 2.80 ERA over 86.2 innings. And in truth we might even be able to classify him as better than that. Division rival Minnesota saw him in three starts LY, and that helped the Twins to have some good approaches against him this season. But in the 12 starts against anyone other than Minnesota it has been a sparkling 1.72 allowance. So why is there not more respect? Largely because Danks has been in the wrong place at the wrong time in terms of distribution - he has only four wins, and in eight of 15 starts allowed two runs or less without winning. His most recent run has seen him hold the Rockies and Cubs to just one run over 12 innings in his last two starts, with more strikeouts than hits allowed in those games. Yet all he could walk away with were a pair of no-decisions. That helps to make him an under-valued commodity here, and his task could be made even easier if the Dodgers sit Jeff Kent and Russell Martin, as planned.
Like the Dodgers, the White Sox bring a bullpen that is not only strong, but has all key arms rested and ready. That ensures against any late-game shenanigans here in what will be a pitchers afternoon at Chavez Ravine.
RECOMMENDED SPORTSBOOKS: BoDog Sportsbook 5Dimes
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers OFF
OFF
8
-103 -105
8
-110 -105
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays Jun 26 2008 7:07PM
PICK: Cincinnati Reds
Your pick will be graded at: -115 5Dimes
EXPERT: David Malinsky
TITLE: Three for the Money
REASON FOR PICK: 4* CINCINNATI over TORONTO?
If there were any questions about Edinson Volquez being able to maintain his lofty numbers they have been answered most affirmatively in his recent outings. Five starts back it was a solid home outing against an Atlanta team that has hit right-handers harder than anyone else in the National League. Four starts back he shut out what had been a sizzling Philadelphia offense at the time, on the road in a hitter’s park. Three starts ago he checked a Florida lineup on three hits, those same Marlins that are #1 in the Major’s in home runs. And the last two have been solid outings against the Red Sox and Yankees. So what are we left with? A pitcher that has clearly been the best in the game this season, taking on a mediocre lineup and a struggling mound opponent. That does not call for this price range.
Here are the Volquez bottom lines - a 10-2/1.71 in which he has been remarkably consistent; how about a 5-2/1.60 on the road and a 5-0/1.83 at home? He has not allowed more than three runs in any start, and in 11 of 14 outings gave up one run or none. A ratio of 110 strikeouts vs. only 66 hits allowed is off the charts, and in 93.1 innings as a starter he has only allowed two home runs. Now a Toronto offense that lacks experience against him becomes the next victim.
We went to the well with a 4* ticket against Jesse Litsch in his last outing, and the bottom line is that Major League hitters are catching up to his limited stuff. Yes, he has great control. But with only 96 strikeouts in 199.2 career innings there is not the kind of pop needed to be anything more than a journeyman. Now hitters are learning to lay off of those pitches on the edges of the strike zone, and when Litsch has to work towards the middle of the plate he is nothing special at all. Over his last four starts it has been an 0-3/6.46, with 33 hits allowed in 23.2 innings, five of them leaving the park. And his particular problems against left-handers (.306 so far in his career) becomes even more pronounced against a Cincinnati offense that will load up from that side.
SCOTT FERRALL
CLEVELAND -165 over San Francisco--Cliff Lee's not giving up anything to the Giants in this one against Cain. TAKE THE UNDER 8 RUNS
Pirates +130 over Yankees--Maholm's pitched well lately and the Yanks have struggled against lefty's. Mussina gets a taste of Pittsburgh's bats at PNC. The Bucs are tougher than anyone gives them credit for, especially at home. I'm on THE OVER 8 RUNS
REDS -120 over Jays--Volquez isn't afraid to pitch anywhere. This one won't be easy aginst Litsch. The Reds just play well when Volquez is on the mound-like they did against the Yankees last Friday night when he schooled them in the Bronx
Houston -125 over Texas--Millwodd won't have fun at Minute Maid in this one. Wandy Rodriguez gets it done at home for the Stros over the Rangers. Texas isn't the same when Hamilton is injured
CLEVELAND -165 over San Francisco--Cliff Lee's not giving up anything to the Giants in this one against Cain. TAKE THE UNDER 8 RUNS
Pirates +130 over Yankees--Maholm's pitched well lately and the Yanks have struggled against lefty's. Mussina gets a taste of Pittsburgh's bats at PNC. The Bucs are tougher than anyone gives them credit for, especially at home. I'm on THE OVER 8 RUNS
REDS -120 over Jays--Volquez isn't afraid to pitch anywhere. This one won't be easy aginst Litsch. The Reds just play well when Volquez is on the mound-like they did against the Yankees last Friday night when he schooled them in the Bronx
Houston -125 over Texas--Millwodd won't have fun at Minute Maid in this one. Wandy Rodriguez gets it done at home for the Stros over the Rangers. Texas isn't the same when Hamilton is injured
39-21 L60, Yesterday 2-0 (BOS Red Sox"W",CHI Cubs"W")
Handicapper: Andre Gomes
Sport: WNBA Basketball
Game: Sacramento Monarchs @ Minnesota Lynx - Thursday June 26, 2008 8:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Bonus Play*) ATS: Minnesota Lynx -3.5 (-105)
After five losses in a row, Minny finally won a game again! And they did in a great fashion, having the biggest win of the season. They can be very important for them, as they are a young team with three rookies playing major minutes and when these girls have confidence, Minny is one of the most dangerous teams in the league. In that losing streak, the team never lost by double digits points, in fact they lost 3 of those matches by a maximum of 4 points and their lack of confidence didn't provide them the spark to finish off the games. This is not the case today for Minny, as they won their last game and they will receive Sacramento today. It's curious to see that Sacramento is one of the teams which defeated Minny during their five game losing streak. So like the Liberty in their last game, this will also be a revenge game for the Lynx, a spot that they have handled in a great fashion last Tuesday.
Sacramento comes to this game in a terrible mood, as they lost by 73-78 at Indiana two days ago, a game that the Monarchs leaded by as many as 18 points, but they ended up losing after only being capable to score 26 points during the second half. This is a huge contrast of spirit between Minny and Sacramento. I expect a good revenge game for the Lynx today. My power rankings appointed Minny as favorites by 7 points, so 5 points has a lot of value. Take Minny in here.
Sport: WNBA Basketball
Game: Sacramento Monarchs @ Minnesota Lynx - Thursday June 26, 2008 8:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Bonus Play*) ATS: Minnesota Lynx -3.5 (-105)
After five losses in a row, Minny finally won a game again! And they did in a great fashion, having the biggest win of the season. They can be very important for them, as they are a young team with three rookies playing major minutes and when these girls have confidence, Minny is one of the most dangerous teams in the league. In that losing streak, the team never lost by double digits points, in fact they lost 3 of those matches by a maximum of 4 points and their lack of confidence didn't provide them the spark to finish off the games. This is not the case today for Minny, as they won their last game and they will receive Sacramento today. It's curious to see that Sacramento is one of the teams which defeated Minny during their five game losing streak. So like the Liberty in their last game, this will also be a revenge game for the Lynx, a spot that they have handled in a great fashion last Tuesday.
Sacramento comes to this game in a terrible mood, as they lost by 73-78 at Indiana two days ago, a game that the Monarchs leaded by as many as 18 points, but they ended up losing after only being capable to score 26 points during the second half. This is a huge contrast of spirit between Minny and Sacramento. I expect a good revenge game for the Lynx today. My power rankings appointed Minny as favorites by 7 points, so 5 points has a lot of value. Take Minny in here.
Was thinking the same things. By the way, have you bought plays from any other cappers on that site besides Comp Crushers, Hitman, etc? I notice how Computer, Hitman, Experts and all of them advertise pretty much the same, and when you get the play it says team name then w/pitcher name. For example on all of there plays it says something like Florida w/Hendrickson 12:10 est. Just wondering if others like Benjamin, Big AL, and all of them list it the same as well.
Steve Zukiel Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, June 26, 2008
$50.00 Guaranteed: Here It Is Folks! Another Historic Guaranteed 70 Unit MLB GOY! Win Or You Pay Nothing! Have Won ALL THREE 70 Unit Plays I Have Released By NEARLY 30 RUNS!!!! 29-14 L43 Overall! First Pitch Goes After 2:00 PM EST! 6/25/2008
Major League Baseball
Philadelphia vs Oakland
Thursday, June 26th, 2008
3:35 pm est 12:35 pm pacific
Line: Oakland(-170)
Rating: Guaranteed 70 Unit MLB Game Of The Year
In this contest, my money is on the Oakland A's
This report was done before last night's game was finalized.
These two teams have been heading in opposite directions. The Phillies have lost six straight, getting outscored 31-11 in the process. The A's meanwhile have won three of four and seven of their last 10. The pitching matchup also heavily favors Oakland as they have Rich Harden on the hill against Philadelphia's Adam Eaton. Harden has been all that and a bag of chips this season. The right-hander is a perfect 4-0 while sporting an ERA of 2.44. The A's have had great success with him on the hill as well, having won eight of his 10 overall starts. In fact, Harden has allowed more than two earned runs only twice all season. Adam Eaton meanwhile has been going the other way. Eaten is just 2-5 on the year and sports an ERA of 4.94. Things are even worse on the road, where he is 0-3, the team has won just two of his eight overall road starts, and his ERA is at 5.09. In his last two starts he has gone 0-2 and in just 11 2/3 innings of work, the right-hander has allowed 21 hits and nine runs. YUCK! Harden has owned the NL this season. In three starts, he has gone 2-0, the team has won all three and in 18 2/3 innings, he has allowed just two runs on 10 hits, walking just five while striking out 22. Oakland wins for fun.
STEVE ZUKIEL TAKES THE OAKLAND A'S OVER THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES AS MY GUARANTEED 70 UNIT MLB GAME OF THE YEAR
Date: Thursday, June 26, 2008
$50.00 Guaranteed: Here It Is Folks! Another Historic Guaranteed 70 Unit MLB GOY! Win Or You Pay Nothing! Have Won ALL THREE 70 Unit Plays I Have Released By NEARLY 30 RUNS!!!! 29-14 L43 Overall! First Pitch Goes After 2:00 PM EST! 6/25/2008
Major League Baseball
Philadelphia vs Oakland
Thursday, June 26th, 2008
3:35 pm est 12:35 pm pacific
Line: Oakland(-170)
Rating: Guaranteed 70 Unit MLB Game Of The Year
In this contest, my money is on the Oakland A's
This report was done before last night's game was finalized.
These two teams have been heading in opposite directions. The Phillies have lost six straight, getting outscored 31-11 in the process. The A's meanwhile have won three of four and seven of their last 10. The pitching matchup also heavily favors Oakland as they have Rich Harden on the hill against Philadelphia's Adam Eaton. Harden has been all that and a bag of chips this season. The right-hander is a perfect 4-0 while sporting an ERA of 2.44. The A's have had great success with him on the hill as well, having won eight of his 10 overall starts. In fact, Harden has allowed more than two earned runs only twice all season. Adam Eaton meanwhile has been going the other way. Eaten is just 2-5 on the year and sports an ERA of 4.94. Things are even worse on the road, where he is 0-3, the team has won just two of his eight overall road starts, and his ERA is at 5.09. In his last two starts he has gone 0-2 and in just 11 2/3 innings of work, the right-hander has allowed 21 hits and nine runs. YUCK! Harden has owned the NL this season. In three starts, he has gone 2-0, the team has won all three and in 18 2/3 innings, he has allowed just two runs on 10 hits, walking just five while striking out 22. Oakland wins for fun.
STEVE ZUKIEL TAKES THE OAKLAND A'S OVER THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES AS MY GUARANTEED 70 UNIT MLB GAME OF THE YEAR
