Service Plays Thursday 6/12/14

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Andre Gomes

I’ve waited all day long to see if we could grab SAS+6 but ultimately we didn't have any success…actually, every time the line went MIA-5.5, it moved back pretty quickly.

I understand that the Heat has a great record after losing one game in the playoffs in the Big 3 era, but the Spurs had 7 straight home games winning by +15 points and lost at home in G2, or the Heat was 8-0 at home in the playoffs but lost game 3 at home…

Miami might win tonight’s game but this spread of 5 points is just too much against this Spurs team.

Even though the Spurs crushed the Heat in the last game, it wasn’t the typical game in which MIA packed in and saved some energy for tonight…NO! The Heat gave everything in the second half! LeBron James played 40 minutes! MIA actually made a nice run in the 3rd quarter but they literally ran out of gas in the 4th quarter – a bad sign for tonight!

SAS’s role players will be the MVP of this series! Unlike MIA that has several players playing subpar basketball: Chalmers, Cole and Ray Allen, the Spurs’ role players are stepping up right now. It is weird to watch the Spurs’ killing the Heat w/ “merely OK” games from Duncan, Parker and Ginobili.

MIA needs LeBron to play like a superhuman and indeed he was a beast in G2 but the Heat barely defeated the Spurs in the game! I expect a somehow similar scenario for tonight…I have no doubt that MIA will bounce back in terms of energy and focus, but the Spurs will be ready for the challenge and they don’t deserve to be such “underdogs” in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707 San Antonio Spurs (+5.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
 

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The Sheep's Moves


  • •708 Miami ml -240 $1000
  • 1961 Milwaukee -145 (1st 5) $1000
  • 961 Over 7 (-125) mil-nym $1000
  • 967 Over 7 (-125) det-cws $1000
  • 966 Boston -160 $1000
  • 751 Under 156 Pho/Conn wnba $1000

Rooster's Moves


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PGF's Moves / Parlay Tickets


  • STRAIGHT BET [1961] TOTAL o3½-125 (1H MIL BREWERS vrs 1H NY METS) ( K LOHSE -R / J NIESE -L ):
  • STRAIGHT BET [1961] 1H MIL BREWERS -115 ( K LOHSE -R / J NIESE -L ):
 

Just another squirrel lookin' fer a nut!
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2Halves2Win:

2* GAME: Spurs-Heat o196.5 (-110: Risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)

ADDING:

0.25* GAME: Spurs ML (+210: Risking 0.25 units to win 0.525 units) - TBD (TBDu)
 

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NBA playoffs

Spurs scored 41 points in first quarter, 71 in first half Tuesday; their eFG% was over 100% in first quarter, second time they've done that in this series. Home team won 12 of last 17 series games, but lost two of three in this series; Spurs lost seven of last nine visits here. Nine of last 12 Miami games went over total; seven of last eleven San Antonio games stayed under. Spurs are just 4-5 on road in playoffs, 3-2 vs spread when getting points. Heat is 8-1 SU at home in playoffs, 6-3 vs spread. Miami was -22 in 40:05 that Lebron James sat out in first three games. Spurs scored 110-111 points in their two wins, 96 in their loss.

Over is 50-37 in playoffs this season.
Favorites are 35-52 in playoffs this season.

how can a fg % be OVER 100%?
 

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