Service Plays Thursday 5/6/10

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Gina

Thursday, May 6th, 2010 10:10 p.m. est.

Tampa Bay Rays (20-7) at Seattle Mariners (11-16)
(R) Jeff Niemann (1-0) vs. (L) Ryan Rowland-Smith (0-1)

Go with the road Warrios Tampa Bay Rays tonight for a sweep of the struggling Mariners in Seattle. Tampa Bay is 11-1 on the road , including Wednesday's 8-3 victory over Seattle. The Mariners have dropped their last five games.

Tampa Bay's right-hander Jeff Niemann is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in his last three strarts and is 1-0 with a 4.42 ERA in three career starts against the Mariners - all last season.

Seattle's lefthander Ryan Rowland-Smith is 0-0 with a 5.29 ERA in his last three strarts and went 1-0 with a 4.67 ERA in three starts against Tampa Bay.
MLB

Tampa Bay Rays -145


Thursday, May 6th, 2010 8:05 p.m. est.
(3) Atlanta Hawks (53-29) vs. (2) Orlando Magic (59-23)

The Hawks will step up following their embarrassing performance in game one, but Dwight Howard and company will smother Atlanta again. Orlando is 7-1 ATS the last eight battles versus the Hawks.

Orlando Magic -2.5
 
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Play Philadelphia (-220) over St. Louis (Top Play) started already
Play Texas (-145) over Kansas City
 

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jeff benton thursday

0-1 last night MINUS 30 dimes....30-38-3 MINUS 85 dimes since i started posting.

Thursday's Action 15 Dime: ORLANDO MAGIC


Magic

As someone who believes greatly in the NBA playoff “zigzag theory” I wanted to grab the points with the Hawks tonight, I really, really did. After all, the pointspread loser in Game 1 of both the Celtics-Cavs and Lakers-Jazz series came back to cover in Game 2.

But in the end, I couldn’t pull the trigger. I couldn’t pull the trigger because I just absolutely cannot get the images of that Game 1 rout out of my head. Not only did the Hawks lose by 43 points, they got outscored by 39 points in the second and third quarters (60-21).

Seriously, Game 1 was exactly as one-sided as the score indicates. Atlanta made just 28 field goals in 81 attempts, had 35 total rebounds and 24 personal fouls. Orlando made 44 field goals in 84 attempts, had 53 rebounds and 17 fouls. And with Dwight Howard (21 points, 12 rebounds) leading the way, the Magic outscored the Hawks 56-34 in the paint.

Now, it would be one thing if you could just dismiss Game 1 as a fluke. But there’s no way you can. That’s because the Magic have now defeated Atlanta seven times in the last eight meetings, and I’m talking both straight-up and against the number. In the last four meetings in Orlando, here were the final scores:

Orlando 114, Atlanta 71
Orlando 104, Atlanta 86
Orlando 113, Atlanta 81
Orlando 121, Atlanta 87

That’s four wins by an average – an AVERAGE! – of 31.8 points per game!

That’s not a trend, folks. That’s a major, major mismatch. Throw in a 17-point road victory in Atlanta in the first meeting this season, and the Magic’s four wins over the Hawks this year have been by margins of 17, 32, 18 and 43 points.

Guys, the Magic own Atlanta, and both teams know it. And watching the Hawks’ body language throughout Game 1, they looked like a team that’s resigned to a negative outcome. At the same time, the Magic are a team on a freaking mission. Don’t forget, while every other team that locked up its playoff seed rested starters in the final week of the regular season, Orlando coach Stan Van Gundy kept the pedal to the metal. As a result, the Magic come into this game having won a season-best 11 consecutive games, going 10-1 ATS (the only non-cover was a nine-point victory over Charlotte as a 10-point chalk in Game 1 of the opening round).

That 11-game winning streak includes eight double-digit routs, with wins by margins of 43, 15, 10, 14, 20, 15, 27 and 15 points.

Furthermore, since January 20, the Magic are 38-8, and of those 38 wins, 26 have been by 10 points or more!

Finally, consider this: The SU winner has covered the pointspread in each of the last 18 meetings between these teams, and the SU winner is 24-1 ATS in the Hawks’ last 25 playoff games. What that means is if you pick the winner of this game, you’re almost certain to cash your ticket. Well, do you think Atlanta is going to recover from a 43-point deficit in 24 hours and score the upset tonight? Neither do I.

Lay the points as the motivated Magic remain perfect in the playoffs and run their winning streak to a dozen.
 

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*10* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR! 6-0 GOY! RICKENBACH
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1 DIME Chicago Cubs -1.5 RL
1 DIME Florida Marlins -130 ML
2 DIME Tampa Bay Rays -150 ML
1 DIME Milwaukee Brewers +105
1 DIME Orlando Magic -9.5
 
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Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR THURSDAY PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS

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WHITE SOX -180


TAMPA BAY -150
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MILWAUKEE +115
Dodgers
 
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JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Thu, 05/06/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 959 ARI (-135) BetUS vs 960 HOU
Analysis:
Arizona D Backs - 135 on the road tonight vs those Astros

let's break this baby down

Those pesky (9-18) Houston Astros tonight will be the right medicine for the D Haren lead (13-15) Arizona Diamond Backs off a tough loss last night. Haren will spin a gem tonight @ Minute Made park as the stellar right-hander has a 2.61 ERA and 3 consecutive wins over the Astros. Looking at the Houston hurler W. Rodriguez he has been bombed by the D backs as a 9 ERA and a 5.56 ERA will put all our cold cash on the road team tonight. Let's roll the D Backs and Haren tonight as our power ratings have a 2.6 run margin in favor of the Rattle snakes.

PLAY THE D BACKS BIG!!!!!!!!!!!
 
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King Creole | NBA Total Thu, 05/06/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 715 ATL / 716 ORL Over 189.5 BetUS
Analysis:
8:00pm ET / Game Two / ATLANTA HAWKS @ORLANDO MAGIC
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
 
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Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Thu, 05/06/10 - 10:10 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 961 MIL (+110) Bodog vs 962 LOS
Analysis: It's 2* time!
 
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Greg Shaker | MLB Total Thu, 05/06/10 - 10:10 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 961 MIL / 962 LOS Over 9 BetUS
Analysis: MLB: Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers - Over 9 (Bush/Ely) -115 | Unit Value: 3 Unit (TOTAL OF WEEK)
Game Date: 5/6/2010
This play warrents 3 Unit Status.





Greg Shaker | MLB Total Thu, 05/06/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 965 KAN / 966 TEX Over 9.5 BetUS
Analysis: MLB: Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers - Over 9.5 (Davies/Harrison) -115 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 5/6/2010
 
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Johnny Guild

Thursday, May 6th, 2010 8:05 PM EST.
(3) Atlanta Hawks (53-29) vs. (2) Orlando Magic (59-23)

Atlanta has lost nine of their last 12 road games and is 1-7 both straight-up and against the spread in its last 8 clashes versus Orlando. Look for the Hawks to take another whipping from Dwight Howard and crew in Disney Land. Take the Magic tonight at Amway Arena to take a 2-0 series lead and their 12th straight victory. A blowout again is very possible.

Orlando Magic -9.5
 

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