Service Plays Thursday 2/3/11

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Thursday, February 3

Miami lost last four games, all by 4 or less points; they're 1-6 in ACC, with only win by point over BC- they're 0-2 as home favorite. Miami is 5-1 in last six series games, taking last three here by 8-10-2 points. ACC home favorites of 8 or less points are 9-5-1 vs spread. Georgia Tech lost its three ACC road games, by 11-25-8 points (0-2 as road dog).

Cleveland State is 6-2 vs Valparaiso in Horizon play, winning all three games here by 6-24-9 points; Vikings (+2) lost 64-58 at Valpo Jan 9, as they shot 38% from floor, 3-16 from arc. CSU won five games in a row since then- they're 4-0 as Horizon home favorite, winning home games by 18-24-12-19. Horizon home favorites of less than 9 points are 15-9. Valparaiso won six of its last seven games, is 2-1 as road dog.

Home side won all five Florida Atlantic-North Texas games; Owls lost last four visits here by 17-9-6-17 points, but they're 8-1 in Sun Belt this season, 4-0 on road, 2-0 as road dog. UNT is 3-1 as home fave, winning home games by 12-17-10-19 points. Sun Belt home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-6. Home team is 7-2 vs spread in UNT's league games.

Home side won last seven Tennessee-Auburn games; Vols lost last three visits here, by 3-1-3 points. Vols won last four SEC games, winning last two by 22-17 points- they're 2-2 as SEC favorite. Auburn is 4-2 as SEC underdog, 1-1 at home- they're 0-3 at home in SEC, losing by 7-5-10 points. SEC home dogs of more than 4 points are 7-1-1 vs spread.

Washington (-19) pounded Oregon State 103-72 Jan 8, its 8th straight series win; Huskies won last three visits here, by 38-26-12 points. OSU lost three in row, six of last seven games; dogs are 4-1 vs spread in their Pac-10 home games. Pac-10 home underdogs of 5+ points are 4-2-1 vs spread. U-Dub is 3-2 on Pac-10 road with wins by 6-11-21 points.

Washington State (-12.5) beat Oregon 77-63 Jan 8; Ducks shot 10-32 on arc. Coogs won two of last three visits here; they're 1-3 on Pac-10 road, with only win by 3 at Stanford. Home side is 7-2 vs spread in Wazzu's Pac-10 games. Pac-10 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-4-1 vs spread. Oregon is 1-3 at home in Pac-10, losing by 19-5-8 points.

Stanford (+11) lost 67-57 at Arizona Jan 9, 4th straight series loss for Cardinal, which lost four of last five games overall, with last three losses by 23-11-8 points. Stanford is 3-2 at home, with losses by 3-8 points. Arizona won last three games but is 2-5 as Pac-10 favorite, 1-1 away from home. Pac-10 home dogs of 5 or less points are 6-4-1 vs spread.

Gonzaga is 14-0 vs Portland last 7 years, winning last seven visits here by 15-16-14-12-22-15-3 points, but Zags lost three of last four games, are 0-2 on WCC road, losing at Santa Clara/USF. Portland is 4-0 at home in WCC, upsetting St Mary's last game. Home team is 7-0 SU in Pilots' WCC games. WCC home underdogs are 3-5 against the spread.

Arizona State lost last seven conference games, but covered three of last four as a road dog. Cal (+2.5) won 65-61 in Tempe Jan 8, holding ASU to 6-21 from arc; Bears had 15 offensive boards in third straight series win. ASU lost last two visits here by 10-16 points. Pac-10 home faves of more than 6 points are 10-8-1 against the spread this season.

Pacific is 4-4 in Big West, with no losses by more than 4 points; Tigers lost three of last four visits to Thunderdome, losing by 15-1-10 points. UCSB is 2-5 as Big West favorite; their last three games were decided by total of 7 points. Big West home favorites of 8 or less points are 6-11 vs spread. Pacific won first meeting 57-54 at home Jan 8 (-2).

Wofford won six of last seven games, with only loss in OT; they're 5-0 on SoCon road, allowing just 65.8 ppg. Charleston (+3) made 7-16 from arc in 77-73 win Jan 8th at Wofford; Cougars are 7-2 in SoCon, 5-0 at home (3-2 as home fave) winning at home by 9-8-21-29-9 points. SoCon home favorites of 8 or less points are 5-9 against the spread.

Murray State won last seven games vs Tennessee State, as Tigers (+13) lost 64-53 at Murray Jan 6, but TSU won all five of its conference home games- they're 5-1 vs spread as OVC underdog, 2-0 as home dog. Racers are 4-1 on OVC road, winning by 2-12-9-13 points- they're 2-6-1 as an OVC fave. OVC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 3-7 vs spread.

Montana (-10) beat Weber State 75-56 Dec 31, third series win in row; Griz won here in Big Sky finals last March, after being down 20 at half. Montana won last six games (5-1 vs spread), winning last three on road by 16-10-21 points. Big Sky home underdogs of 4 or less points are 6-2 vs spread. Weber State won all three of its Big Sky home games.
 
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Write-Up


Thursday, February 3

Hot Teams
-- Calgary won its last five games, outscoring foes 21-11.
-- Bruins won seven of their last ten games.
-- Philly won six of its last eight games.
-- New Jersey won seven of its last nine games.
-- Minnesota won five of its last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Thrashers lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Dallas Stars lost three of their last four games.
-- Predators lost last three games, scoring four goals.
-- Rangers lost four of their last six home games.
-- Maple Leafs lost six of their last eight games. Carolina lost three of its last four road games.
-- Avalanche lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Five of last six Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Boston's last three games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Nashville's last four games.
-- Four of last five New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in Toronto's last dozen games.
-- Last five Colorado games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- None

Series records
-- Home side won last four Calgary-Atlanta games.
-- Bruins won 3-0 at Dallas in LY's meeting.
-- Flyers lost 4-3 in SO at Nashville in LY's meeting.
-- Rangers won their last four games against New Jersey.
-- Carolina won five in row, 10 of last 11 against Toronto.
-- Minnesota won four of last five visits to Denver.
 
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MR EAST

3 UNITS PACIFIC / UC SANTA BARBARA OVER 122.5

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos went 6 games without any team getting to 70 points, but the last 2 they have coughed up 70 in each of them. The Pacific Tigers through their first 14 games vs div-1 competition managed to score 70 points just 2 times, but in their last 5 have averaged 75.2ppg. It is clear this team has caught fire on the offensive end. The Tigers have now played 4 straight to the over. Santa Barbara has now played 6 of their last 8 to the over following an ATS loss. I like this one to go over the total.

 
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Joe Wallace Sports Picks
3 - 1 Last 4 days

Thursday Night 10 unit NCAAB pick:
10 unit - Eastern Washington +14 (9:00pm)

 

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Pair of 10 dime NBA/CBK Plays


10 dime NBA San Antonio +3.5

10 dime CBK UC Davis +3.5

CBK Freeplay Arkansas Little Rock -1.5
 
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Thursday Max Release:
7pm - Valparaiso +7 - 10 unit College Hoops


31 - 21 / L52 plays
 

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NCAA Basketball Picks



Butler at Youngstown State



The Bulldogs look to take advantage of a Youngstown State team that is coming off an 83-61 loss at Illinois-Chicago and is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games following an ATS defeat. Butler is the pick (-12) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 17 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Butler (-12). Here are all of today's games.


THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 3
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST

Game 507-508: Georgia Tech at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 61.696; Miami (FL) 68.357
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 6
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-6)

Game 509-510: Michigan at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 63.738; Ohio State 79.274
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+16 1/2)

Game 511-512: Valparaiso at Cleveland State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 61.182; Cleveland State 66.757
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+7)

Game 513-514: Butler at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 65.104; Youngstown State 47.787
Dunkel Line: Butler by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 12
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-12)

Game 515-516: Loyola-Chicago at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 55.300; Wright State 60.501
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 5
Vegas Line: Wright State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+6)

Game 517-518: Illinois-Chicago at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 45.936; Detroit 58.251
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-10 1/2)

Game 519-520: Louisiana-Monroe at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana-Monroe 41.993; Middle Tennessee State 57.051
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-12)

Game 521-522: South Alabama at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 46.841; Western Kentucky 54.750
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 8
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 10
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+10)

Game 523-524: Denver at Arkansas-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 54.471; Arkansas-Little Rock 56.762
Dunkel Line: Arkansas-Little Rock by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas-Little Rock by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas-Little Rock (-1 1/2)

Game 525-526: Florida Atlantic at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 56.193; North Texas 57.101
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 1
Vegas Line: North Texas by 4
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+4)

Game 527-528: Florida International at Troy (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 45.802; Troy 48.573
Dunkel Line: Troy by 3
Vegas Line: Troy by 4
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+4)

Game 529-530: Tennessee at Auburn (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 67.585; Auburn 54.442
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 13
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 531-532: Washington at Oregon State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 76.363; Oregon State 57.722
Dunkel Line: Washington by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-13 1/2)

Game 533-534: Washington State at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 66.380; Oregon 63.827
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+3 1/2)

Game 735-536: Arizona at Stanford (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 65.193; Stanford 65.554
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+3 1/2)

Game 537-538: Notre Dame at DePaul (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 71.779; DePaul 56.224
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-11 1/2)

Game 539-540: Hawaii at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 52.108; Boise State 63.098
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 11
Vegas Line: Boise State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+12)

Game 541-542: San Jose State at Idaho (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 52.117; Idaho 57.375
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Idaho by 5
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-5)

Game 543-544: Loyola Marymount at San Diego (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 53.554; San Diego 46.803
Dunkel Line: Loyola Marymount by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola Marymount by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (-4 1/2)

Game 545-546: UC Davis at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 52.267; Cal Poly 54.532
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+3 1/2)

Game 547-548: New Mexico State at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 56.890; Fresno State 58.112
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 1
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+1 1/2)

Game 549-550: Pepperdine at St. Mary's (CA) (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 50.813; St. Mary's (CA) 74.034
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 21
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-21)

Game 551-552: CS-Northridge at UC-Riverside (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 50.836; UC-Riverside 52.880
Dunkel Line: UC-Riverside by 2
Vegas Line: UC-Riverside by 3
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+3)

Game 553-554: UC-Irvine at CS-Fullerton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 52.909; CS-Fullerton 54.545
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 1
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (-1)

Game 555-556: Gonzaga at Portland (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 65.562; Portland 60.647
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 5
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 3
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-3)

Game 557-558: Arizona State at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 60.735; California 66.681
Dunkel Line: California by 6
Vegas Line: California by 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+8)

Game 559-560: Pacific at UC-Santa Barbara (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 59.264; UC-Santa Barbara 57.392
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 2
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+2 1/2)

Game 561-562: Furman at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 59.246; The Citadel 53.122
Dunkel Line: Furman by 6
Vegas Line: Furman by 4
Dunkel Pick: Furman (-4)

Game 563-564: Georgia Southern at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 38.867; Chattanooga 49.022
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 10
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 12
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+12)

Game 565-566: Wofford at College of Charleston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 58.516; College of Charleston 63.210
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3 1/2)

Game 567-568: Davidson at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 48.497; Samford 47.081
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Davidson by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+5 1/2)

Game 569-570: Tennessee Martin at Austin Peay (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Martin 44.436; Austin Peay 61.304
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 17
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 15
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-15)

Game 571-572: Montana State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 51.080; Northern Arizona 54.282
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 3
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+8 1/2)

Game 573-574: Morehead State at Jacksonville State (8:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 56.095; Jacksonville State 46.325
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 10
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-7 1/2)

Game 575-576: Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee Tech (8:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 53.158; Tennessee Tech 53.069
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+2 1/2)



Game 577-578: Murray State at Tennessee State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 57.291; Tennessee State 52.992
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-3 1/2)

Game 579-580: Montana at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 57.110; Weber State 56.342
Dunkel Line: Montana by 1
Vegas Line: Montana by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+3 1/2)

Game 581-582: Eastern Washington at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 44.505; Northern Colorado 61.632
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 17
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (-13 1/2)

Game 583-584: Portland State at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 47.923; Sacramento State 45.752
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-1)

Game 591-592: IPFW at IUPUI (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 50.432; IUPUI 57.711
Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 593-594: South Dakota State at Oral Roberts (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 56.846; Oral Roberts 56.922
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 595-596: Oakland at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 62.493; Western Illinois 44.121
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 597-598: North Dakota State at Centenary (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 50.806; Centenary 36.879
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 14
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 

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Today's NHL Picks



Dallas at Boston



The Bruins look to build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 games as a favorite. Boston is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150). Here are all of today's picks.



THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 3
Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Calgary at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.014; Atlanta 10.040
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+105); Over

Game 53-54: Dallas at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.947; Boston 11.958
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under

Game 55-56: Nashville at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.623; Philadelphia 12.135
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-185); Under

Game 57-58: New Jersey at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.950; NY Rangers 11.084
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+130); Over

Game 59-60: Carolina at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.519; Toronto 10.576
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-110); Over

Game 61-62: Minnesota at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.351; Colorado 10.312
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+125); Under
 

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Today's NBA Picks



Miami at Orlando



The Magic look to take advantage of a Miami team that is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 meetings in Orlando. Orlando is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-1). Here are all of today's picks.


THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 3
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Miami at Orlando (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 120.922; Orlando 124.885
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 1; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-1); Under

Game 503-504: Milwaukee at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.602; Golden State 121.865
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 7 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+7 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: San Antonio at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.229; LA Lakers 122.577
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 191
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+3 1/2); Under
 
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20* HIGH ROLLER - SA Spurs +3
15* INNER CIRCLE - The Citadel Bulldogs +4
30* EXECUTIVE - UC Davis Aggies +3.5
10* SUPER BOWL- Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5
 

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