STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAACB KNOWLEDGE
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
________________________________________
Thursday's Notebook
•Home side won last five Arkansas-Kentucky games; Razorbacks lost last five visits to Lexington, with three losses by 17+ points-- they beat Wildcats at buzzer in OT 87-85 Jan 14. Arkansas won five of last six games- their last three road games were decided by total of 8 points. SEC double digit home favorites are 11-12 versus spread. Kentucky won six of its last seven games- they're 4-3 as home favorite, with four home wins by 16+.
•Middle Tennessee won its last nine games, with three of last six wins by 4 or less points; they’re 11-2 in Sun Belt, losing by 5 at Tulsa, by 9 at UTEP (0-1 as road dog). C-USA home favorites of 5+ points are 29-17 versus spread. Louisiana Tech won five of its last six games; they're 5-2 as a home favorite, with six of seven home wins by 15+ points. Bulldogs are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games.
•Green Bay (-11) beat Oakland 83-69 at home Jan 22, holding Grizzlies to 5-21 from arc (Bader was 2-11) in game Phoenix trailed by 5 at 10:03 mark. Green Bay won last three games, all by 14+ points; they're 5-1 on Horizon League road with only loss at Valparaiso when 7-foot-1 Brown didn't play. Horizon home favorites of 5 or less points are 2-6 versus spread. Oakland is 2-4 in last six games, 0-6 versus spread in last six home games.
•Marquette (+3) won 80-72 in OT at Georgetown Jan 20, after trailing by 7 with 3:03 left; Eagles won three of last four series games, winning last four played here, by 12-3-1-14 points. Hoyas won four of last six games but are 1-4 as road underdogs. Marquette won four of its last five games, is 3-2 as home favorite- favorites covered five of their seven home tilts. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-7 versus spread.
•Home teams won six of last eight Tulsa-UTEP games, with home team winning last four; Hurricane lost last three visits to El Paso, by 14-10-9 points, but have won last five games overall, covering last seven- they're 11-2 versus spread in conference. C-USA home favorites of 4 or less points are 11-8 versus spread. UTEP won four of last five at home, with five wins by 10+ points; they're 3-3 as home favorites.
•UCLA (+4) won 70-68 at Oregon Jan 20, snapping 4-game series skid; Ducks won two of last three visits here. Oregon won last three games, is 2-1 as road dog; Ducks lost five of last six road games, with lone win at Washington state. Pac-12 home teams are 11-14 versus spread in games where number was 4 or less points. UCLA won four of last five at home; they're 6-0 as home favorites, with all six home wins by 12+ points.
•UCSB (-2.5) beat Cal-Irvine 80-60 Jan 20, its 4th win in last five series games, but Gauchos lost three of last four visits to Bren Center, losing by 2-3-2 points. Big West home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-3 versus spread. Irvine won five of last six games, is 2-3 as home favorite, with home wins by 18-6-3-18 points. Gauchos won six of last seven games; they're 2-0 as road dog, with Big West losses by 8-2-2 points.
•Long Beach (+6.5) shot 67.4% inside arc, won 92-83 at Hawaii Jan 30, its second win in three Big West games versus Rainbows, who lost here LY by 4. 49ers won seven of last nine games, are 4-1 as home favorites- they've lost at home to UCSB/Irvine. Hawaii won its last four road games, four of last five games overall; they're 1-1 as a road underdog. Big West home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-3 versus spread.
•Oregon State (-8) beat USC 76-75 in OT at home Jan 20, its fifth win in last seven series games; Beavers had 19 offensive boards in first meeting. OSU lost last four road games, with last win at Washington State- they've lost four of last five games overall. Pac-12 home favorites of more than 7 points are 17-15 versus spread. USC lost last eight games, covering one of last five; they've covered only one of their seven home games.
•Chattanooga lost five of last seven games; they're 10-4 after starting 8-0 in Southern Conference. Mocs (-2) beat Western Carolina 83-73 Feb 13, holding WCU to 4-25 from arc. Chattanooga lost its last three road games. WCU won five of last six games, covering last three; they're 6-2 at home in league play, with only loss by 5 to Davidson. SoCon favorites of 7+ points are 13-17 versus spread. WCU forces turnovers 22% of time, best in conference.
•Wofford won five of last six games with Elon, winning two of last three visits here; Terriers won five of last six games; favorites covered all five of their Southern Conference road games. Wofford is 4-2 on conference road, losing by 10-1 at Davidson/Chattanooga. SoCon home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-8-1 versus spread. Elon won its last eight games, covered last four; they are 2-4 as conference home favorites.
•South Dakota State (+8) outscored Denver 7-2 over last 0:36 won 74-73 on road Jan 30 in first Summit League game between these two, Jackrabbits won six of last seven games, are 3-1 as home favorites, 3-2 overall at home, losing to Omaha/North Dakota State. Denver won last three games; dogs covered four of their five conference road games. Favorites are 15-7 versus spread in Summit games where spread was 5 or less points.
•Iowa is 4-5 in its last nine games after a 15-3 start; Hawkeyes allowed 74+ points in four of last six games, are 3-1 as road favorites, with four road wins, all by 7+ points. Indiana lost seven of last ten games, after it got whacked in second half at Wisconsin Tuesday; they're 3-3 at home in conference, 2-1 as home underdogs. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-9 versus spread. This is a rescheduled game from last week.
____________________________________________________________
StatSystems Sports is always looking to deliver the greatest possible product to its customers. More importantly, our team of Experts are always trying to line the pockets of its customers, and this is exactly what we are doing with our brand new Experts Consensus product! Don’t waste your time scouring for the “best looking” option out there; we have already done all the heavy lifting for you. We have taken the picks from all of the handicappers that align on one game and packaged them up for you into one super pick!
Every day we will give you the biggest consensus available in each sport from our roster of handicappers. StatSystems Sports Experts has extreme confidence in its handicapping team and when they align on a selection, they know the books are in for a pounding! Now you can bet with confidence because you know a number of the greatest minds in sports handicapping are backing your play. If you've been following the records, you'll know that the Experts Consensus is riding a crazy 8-1-1 (88.8%) hot streak since it was first introduced on February 14th!
________________________
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after 3 consecutive conference games this season.
The average score was LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT 69.6, OPPONENT 79.8.
-- MEMPHIS is 13-1 OVER (+11.9 Units) off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 80.4, OPPONENT 72.8.
-- IOWA is 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the 1rst half line after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA 37.7, OPPONENT 28.6.
-- OHIO ST is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) the 1rst half total off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OHIO ST 28.3, OPPONENT 26.4.
-- THAD MATTA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was MATTA 73.2, OPPONENT 59.2.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- MONTANA ST is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MONTANA ST 66.5, OPPONENT 73.0.
-- MIDDLE TENN ST is 21-4 UNDER (+16.6 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game since 1997.
The average score was MIDDLE TENN ST 67.9, OPPONENT 71.2.
-- DAVIDSON is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DAVIDSON 47.6, OPPONENT 27.4.
-- MIDDLE TENN ST is 15-1 UNDER (+13.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game since 1997.
The average score was MIDDLE TENN ST 27.9, OPPONENT 28.9.
-- SAUL PHILLIPS is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games as the coach of N DAKOTA ST.
The average score was PHILLIPS 68.0, OPPONENT 66.7.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - A road team versus the money line (WI-MILWAUKEE) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team.
(40-5 since 1997.) (88.9%, +32.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -147
The average score in these games was: Team 73.6, Opponent 66.9 (Average point differential = +6.7)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0, +3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0, +6.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-0, +9.2 units).
-- Play On - Underdogs of 10 or more points (PORTLAND) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, revenging a home loss versus opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
(30-7 since 1997.) (81.1%, +22.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (11-26)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 14.1
The average score in these games was: Team 69.4, Opponent 75.9 (Average point differential = -6.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (56.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
-- Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PACIFIC) - good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games, revenging a road blowout loss versus opponent of 20 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals.
(52-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +33.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (59-12 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.5
The average score in these games was: Team 73.5, Opponent 64.7 (Average point differential = +8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (25.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-13).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (153-104).
-- Play On - A home team versus the 1rst half line (MONTANA ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (>=47.5%) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more against opponent after allowing 85 points or more 2 straight games.
(28-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.8%, +22.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 38.4, Opponent 28.6 (Average first half point differential = +9.8)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (64-49).
-- Play On - Home underdogs of 6 or more points versus the first half line (FORDHAM) - pathetic team - shooting <=42% with a defense of >=45% on the season, after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more.
(33-10 since 1997.) (76.7%, +22.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.1, Opponent 35.9 (Average first half point differential = -5.8)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Thursday’s (2/27/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
_________________________________
hno: 
