Bob Balfe (YTD -- NBA 69-48 / NCAA 54-44)
NBA Basketball
Nuggers/Warriors Under 226.5
The reason this game will stay under is because of Chauncey Billups. We saw when he was in Detroit the way that he can control the tempo of games. He is a bigger and stronger body than the run-and gun guards for the Warriors and will present problems for their offense the entire night. Denver is an extremely better team, but knows that GS can score at ease. The strategy for the Nuggets is to control the tempo of the game and methodically defeat the Warriors on their home court. Look for Golden State to commit a lot of turnovers and shoot well below their average tonight. Take the under.
College Basketball
Tulsa +18 over Duke
I really thought the oddsmakers would set this line around 13 or 14 points because Tulsa is a surprisingly strong team on the road. It is also advantageous for us that these teams haven't met in over a decade. Ben Uzoh is definitely an underrated stud that really hasn't seen anybody in the country able to stop him. He is stronger and faster than Nolan Smith and will win that matchup tonight. Overall, Duke is obviously the better team, but they definitely should not win by more than 15 points tonight. This is not an 18-point discrepancy in talent between these two teams. Take Tulsa!
NBA Basketball
Nuggers/Warriors Under 226.5
The reason this game will stay under is because of Chauncey Billups. We saw when he was in Detroit the way that he can control the tempo of games. He is a bigger and stronger body than the run-and gun guards for the Warriors and will present problems for their offense the entire night. Denver is an extremely better team, but knows that GS can score at ease. The strategy for the Nuggets is to control the tempo of the game and methodically defeat the Warriors on their home court. Look for Golden State to commit a lot of turnovers and shoot well below their average tonight. Take the under.
College Basketball
Tulsa +18 over Duke
I really thought the oddsmakers would set this line around 13 or 14 points because Tulsa is a surprisingly strong team on the road. It is also advantageous for us that these teams haven't met in over a decade. Ben Uzoh is definitely an underrated stud that really hasn't seen anybody in the country able to stop him. He is stronger and faster than Nolan Smith and will win that matchup tonight. Overall, Duke is obviously the better team, but they definitely should not win by more than 15 points tonight. This is not an 18-point discrepancy in talent between these two teams. Take Tulsa!
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
10* Denver/Golden State Under 227
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under"
Denver hasn’t played since a 114-105 home win over Boston on Sunday, and now faces one of the league’s doormats. The Nuggets have scored at least 123 points in winning each of their last five games against the Warriors.
Denver has made the most of its opportunities against Golden State, which has the second-worst record in the West. The Warriors, 2-2 on a six-game homestand, will be without second-leading scorer Corey Maggette (20.3 points per game) for the third straight contest due to a hamstring injury.
Denver doesn't play to a lot of "unders"; that said it has seen the total dip below the number in 16 of 27 road games.
On the other side of the court: Golden State had one of its worst shooting performances of the season Tuesday, making 37.9 percent of its attempts in a 110-102 loss to Philadelphia. Two days earlier, the Warriors shot 53.6 percent in a 108-104 victory over Atlanta; I expect an offensive letdown this evening as well.
Keep in mind that the total has in fact gone "under" the number in four of Golden States last five overall.
Bottom line: The absence of George Karl I believe will effect the Nuggets tonight and without Maggette in the lineup I expect the Warriors to continue to struggle; no need to overanalyze this one; when taking into account these strong "under" trends these teams exhibit in this position, and these other factors, the sharp money in this one is indeed on the UNDER!
10* Denver/Golden State Under 227
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under"
Denver hasn’t played since a 114-105 home win over Boston on Sunday, and now faces one of the league’s doormats. The Nuggets have scored at least 123 points in winning each of their last five games against the Warriors.
Denver has made the most of its opportunities against Golden State, which has the second-worst record in the West. The Warriors, 2-2 on a six-game homestand, will be without second-leading scorer Corey Maggette (20.3 points per game) for the third straight contest due to a hamstring injury.
Denver doesn't play to a lot of "unders"; that said it has seen the total dip below the number in 16 of 27 road games.
On the other side of the court: Golden State had one of its worst shooting performances of the season Tuesday, making 37.9 percent of its attempts in a 110-102 loss to Philadelphia. Two days earlier, the Warriors shot 53.6 percent in a 108-104 victory over Atlanta; I expect an offensive letdown this evening as well.
Keep in mind that the total has in fact gone "under" the number in four of Golden States last five overall.
Bottom line: The absence of George Karl I believe will effect the Nuggets tonight and without Maggette in the lineup I expect the Warriors to continue to struggle; no need to overanalyze this one; when taking into account these strong "under" trends these teams exhibit in this position, and these other factors, the sharp money in this one is indeed on the UNDER!
Tony George
Cleveland -2.5
Paul Pierce is out for Boston, a huge loss, Cleveland Playing with revenge here after an opening day loss at home to Boston. An aging team in the Celtics, and although neither team playing any defense as of late, the Cavs will buckle down and exact some revenge with a deeper, younger team and more power in the paint. Play 1 Unit on Cleveland.
Cleveland -2.5
Paul Pierce is out for Boston, a huge loss, Cleveland Playing with revenge here after an opening day loss at home to Boston. An aging team in the Celtics, and although neither team playing any defense as of late, the Cavs will buckle down and exact some revenge with a deeper, younger team and more power in the paint. Play 1 Unit on Cleveland.
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</td> <td valign="top"> Enjoy Cavs-Celtics! Bet on Bucks to Win and Nuggets/Warriors to Slow Down
ThisProGambler | February 25, 2010 at 1:57 pm | Tags: basketball, basketball news, bet on sports, betting, Boston Celtics, Cleveland Cavaliers, Corey Maggette, Dallas Mavericks, Danny Granger, Denver Nuggets, free picks, gambling, Golden State Warriors, handicapping, Indiana Pacers, LeBron James, Miami Heat, Milwaukee Bucks, NBA, New Orleans Hornets, Notre Dame, Paul Pierce, picks, Pittsburgh Panthers, sports betting, sports blog, tips, TNT | Categories: Daily Plays, NBA | URL: http://wp.me/pN794-8w
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The front end of the TNT Doubleheader should be a great game with the Boston Celtics hosting the Cleveland Cavaliers. LeBron gets his guys up for these big games (12-6 vs Top Ten teams), and the Celtics may be missing Paul Pierce (who has a bad thumb and the flu! - do they have a doctor in Boston to keep these guys healthy?) But, the line may have been adjusted too far, giving Boston 3 Points (down to 2 1/2 in some places), so I'm just going to enjoy the game. But, fear not, I've found an edge in the other two NBA games.
Take Milwaukee Bucks in Pick'Em at Indiana Pacers. This game jumped off the books, looking almost as easy as last nights Pitt v. Notre Dame Match-up! And, you know what happened there. It was the ugliest game I've seen in a while; certainly the worst game the Panthers have played this year - all with Notre Dame missing their top scorer! At Pitt -1, the game was heavily bet on the Panthers side. I looked to figure out if we all fell into some type of trap, but I haven't found it (and I'm not big on conspiracy theories). Which brings me to the Bucks game? It's deja vu all over again! OK, not completely, because Danny Granger will, it appears, be putting on his Pacers jersey and playing (he scored 20 points in Chicago last night after previously missing the Dallas game for "personal reasons"). But, the Milwaukee Bucks are playing good basketball. Last night they moved into a tie for the 7th Playoff Sport with the Miami Heat (they were in the 9th spot just a couple of days ago) by defeating SU and ATS the New Orleans Hornets, who are also trying to remain playoff viable in the West. It was the Bucks 4th straight victory, giving them a 7-3 record in their last 10 SU and ATS. They've played well Against the Spread on the Road all year (62% - the same, by the way, that they play at home), and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Indiana Pacers, who have nothing left to play for as a team, finished a long 1-3 road trip last night by losing to Chicago. They've been beat by the Bucks twice this year SU and ATS. Yet, this game went up a Pick'em! Maybe the Pacers are being given something for a revenge game, but I don't see that at this stage of the season. And, I can find all kinds of reasons to move the line in the other direction. Of course, as a Pick'em game, the early money is heavily on the Bucks. I'm going to follow it. Take the Bucks to Win.
Take Under 227 in the Nuggets/Warriors Game. These two teams have lit it up in the 3 previous games they played this year with Totals of 241, 245, 244 (Denver won all three)! And, while the numbers aren't in the stratosphere, they've played some high scoring games with others - in their last five games, the totals have averaged 214 Points. But, tonight is a good opportunity for this number to come down - maybe still high, but below 227. How many more players can the Golden State Warriors lose and still put up these kind of points? Now, Corey Maggette -their second leading scorer - has been added to the long list of fallen warriors (he has a hamstring injury and is expected back, maybe late next week). The Denver Nuggets have not played since Sunday when they put up a big win against the Boston Celtics. They should come out a little sluggish. Plus, earlier this month, the Nuggets followed big emotional wins against the Lakers and the Cavaliers with sluggish offensive performances (in fact, they lost both games). They are on national TV (TNT) but you can bet the Nuggets are already thinking about their nationally televised game Sunday vs the Lakers (they play Detroit in between). Take the Under 227 in the Nuggets/Warriors game.
</td> <td valign="top"> Enjoy Cavs-Celtics! Bet on Bucks to Win and Nuggets/Warriors to Slow Down ThisProGambler | February 25, 2010 at 1:57 pm | Tags: basketball, basketball news, bet on sports, betting, Boston Celtics, Cleveland Cavaliers, Corey Maggette, Dallas Mavericks, Danny Granger, Denver Nuggets, free picks, gambling, Golden State Warriors, handicapping, Indiana Pacers, LeBron James, Miami Heat, Milwaukee Bucks, NBA, New Orleans Hornets, Notre Dame, Paul Pierce, picks, Pittsburgh Panthers, sports betting, sports blog, tips, TNT | Categories: Daily Plays, NBA | URL: http://wp.me/pN794-8w
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The front end of the TNT Doubleheader should be a great game with the Boston Celtics hosting the Cleveland Cavaliers. LeBron gets his guys up for these big games (12-6 vs Top Ten teams), and the Celtics may be missing Paul Pierce (who has a bad thumb and the flu! - do they have a doctor in Boston to keep these guys healthy?) But, the line may have been adjusted too far, giving Boston 3 Points (down to 2 1/2 in some places), so I'm just going to enjoy the game. But, fear not, I've found an edge in the other two NBA games.
Take Milwaukee Bucks in Pick'Em at Indiana Pacers. This game jumped off the books, looking almost as easy as last nights Pitt v. Notre Dame Match-up! And, you know what happened there. It was the ugliest game I've seen in a while; certainly the worst game the Panthers have played this year - all with Notre Dame missing their top scorer! At Pitt -1, the game was heavily bet on the Panthers side. I looked to figure out if we all fell into some type of trap, but I haven't found it (and I'm not big on conspiracy theories). Which brings me to the Bucks game? It's deja vu all over again! OK, not completely, because Danny Granger will, it appears, be putting on his Pacers jersey and playing (he scored 20 points in Chicago last night after previously missing the Dallas game for "personal reasons"). But, the Milwaukee Bucks are playing good basketball. Last night they moved into a tie for the 7th Playoff Sport with the Miami Heat (they were in the 9th spot just a couple of days ago) by defeating SU and ATS the New Orleans Hornets, who are also trying to remain playoff viable in the West. It was the Bucks 4th straight victory, giving them a 7-3 record in their last 10 SU and ATS. They've played well Against the Spread on the Road all year (62% - the same, by the way, that they play at home), and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Indiana Pacers, who have nothing left to play for as a team, finished a long 1-3 road trip last night by losing to Chicago. They've been beat by the Bucks twice this year SU and ATS. Yet, this game went up a Pick'em! Maybe the Pacers are being given something for a revenge game, but I don't see that at this stage of the season. And, I can find all kinds of reasons to move the line in the other direction. Of course, as a Pick'em game, the early money is heavily on the Bucks. I'm going to follow it. Take the Bucks to Win.
Take Under 227 in the Nuggets/Warriors Game. These two teams have lit it up in the 3 previous games they played this year with Totals of 241, 245, 244 (Denver won all three)! And, while the numbers aren't in the stratosphere, they've played some high scoring games with others - in their last five games, the totals have averaged 214 Points. But, tonight is a good opportunity for this number to come down - maybe still high, but below 227. How many more players can the Golden State Warriors lose and still put up these kind of points? Now, Corey Maggette -their second leading scorer - has been added to the long list of fallen warriors (he has a hamstring injury and is expected back, maybe late next week). The Denver Nuggets have not played since Sunday when they put up a big win against the Boston Celtics. They should come out a little sluggish. Plus, earlier this month, the Nuggets followed big emotional wins against the Lakers and the Cavaliers with sluggish offensive performances (in fact, they lost both games). They are on national TV (TNT) but you can bet the Nuggets are already thinking about their nationally televised game Sunday vs the Lakers (they play Detroit in between). Take the Under 227 in the Nuggets/Warriors game.
