STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NBA KNOWLEDGE
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________
Betting Notes - Thursday
•Hot Teams
-- Oklahoma City won 15 of its last 17 games.
-- Heat won 11 of its last 14 game (3-1-1 vs. spread in last five).
-- Rockets won their last eight games (6-2 vs. spread).
•Cold Teams
-- Milwaukee lost 19 of its last 22 games.
-- Nuggets lost last five games, are 0-6 versus spread in last six.
-- Golden State split its last six home games.
•Totals
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Four of last five Heat-Thunder games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Golden State games stayed under.
•Series Records
-- Nuggets won their last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder lost six of last seven games with Miami.
-- Rockets won 17 of last 20 games with Golden State.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- HOUSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after 4 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 111.4, OPPONENT 101.0.
-- GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 100.9, OPPONENT 85.7.
-- MILWAUKEE is 9-26 (-19.6 Units) against the 1rst half line in a home game where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 52.1, OPPONENT 54.1.
-- HOUSTON is 45-19 UNDER (+24.1 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 48.8, OPPONENT 48.2.
-- SCOTT BROOKS is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) in home games after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.
The average score was BROOKS 106.7, OPPONENT 103.1.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- GOLDEN STATE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 107.7, OPPONENT 100.2.
-- GOLDEN STATE is 23-12 UNDER (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 103.5, OPPONENT 97.5.
-- OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-32 (+15.8 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.5, OPPONENT 49.4.
-- DENVER is 22-9 OVER (+12.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was DENVER 54.9, OPPONENT 56.0.
-- LARRY DREW is 10-34 ATS (-27.4 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game in all games he has coached since 1996.
The average score was DREW 94.4, OPPONENT 104.3.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (MILWAUKEE) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(42-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (89.4%, +33.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -164
The average score in these games was: Team 103.1, Opponent 93.8 (Average point differential = +9.3)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +1.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-3, +15.3 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (170-50, +57.8 units).
-- Play On - Any team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 Reb/G) - 42+ games.
(38-13 since 1996.) (74.5%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (44-8)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 9.1
The average score in these games was: Team 111.8, Opponent 98.9 (Average point differential = +12.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (44.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-6).
-- Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good excellent shooting teams (>=47%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) after 42+ games.
(30-8 since 1996.) (78.9%, +21.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 203.4
The average score in these games was: Team 97.7, Opponent 97.7 (Total points scored = 195.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (61.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
-- Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a good team (60% to 75%).
(27-6 since 1996.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.3, Opponent 49.2 (Average first half point differential = +0)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
-- Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (DENVER) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season against an extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games.
(49-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.2%, +30.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.8, Opponent 55.2 (Total first half points scored = 106.9)
The situation's record this season is: (10-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (102-80).
Note: Get today’s complete NBA report by heading on over to Thursdays (2/20/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________
Betting Notes - Thursday
•Hot Teams
-- Oklahoma City won 15 of its last 17 games.
-- Heat won 11 of its last 14 game (3-1-1 vs. spread in last five).
-- Rockets won their last eight games (6-2 vs. spread).
•Cold Teams
-- Milwaukee lost 19 of its last 22 games.
-- Nuggets lost last five games, are 0-6 versus spread in last six.
-- Golden State split its last six home games.
•Totals
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Four of last five Heat-Thunder games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Golden State games stayed under.
•Series Records
-- Nuggets won their last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder lost six of last seven games with Miami.
-- Rockets won 17 of last 20 games with Golden State.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- HOUSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after 4 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 111.4, OPPONENT 101.0.
-- GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 100.9, OPPONENT 85.7.
-- MILWAUKEE is 9-26 (-19.6 Units) against the 1rst half line in a home game where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 52.1, OPPONENT 54.1.
-- HOUSTON is 45-19 UNDER (+24.1 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 48.8, OPPONENT 48.2.
-- SCOTT BROOKS is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) in home games after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.
The average score was BROOKS 106.7, OPPONENT 103.1.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- GOLDEN STATE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 107.7, OPPONENT 100.2.
-- GOLDEN STATE is 23-12 UNDER (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 103.5, OPPONENT 97.5.
-- OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-32 (+15.8 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.5, OPPONENT 49.4.
-- DENVER is 22-9 OVER (+12.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was DENVER 54.9, OPPONENT 56.0.
-- LARRY DREW is 10-34 ATS (-27.4 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game in all games he has coached since 1996.
The average score was DREW 94.4, OPPONENT 104.3.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (MILWAUKEE) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(42-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (89.4%, +33.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -164
The average score in these games was: Team 103.1, Opponent 93.8 (Average point differential = +9.3)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +1.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-3, +15.3 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (170-50, +57.8 units).
-- Play On - Any team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 Reb/G) - 42+ games.
(38-13 since 1996.) (74.5%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (44-8)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 9.1
The average score in these games was: Team 111.8, Opponent 98.9 (Average point differential = +12.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (44.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-6).
-- Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good excellent shooting teams (>=47%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) after 42+ games.
(30-8 since 1996.) (78.9%, +21.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 203.4
The average score in these games was: Team 97.7, Opponent 97.7 (Total points scored = 195.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (61.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
-- Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a good team (60% to 75%).
(27-6 since 1996.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.3, Opponent 49.2 (Average first half point differential = +0)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
-- Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (DENVER) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season against an extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games.
(49-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.2%, +30.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.8, Opponent 55.2 (Total first half points scored = 106.9)
The situation's record this season is: (10-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (102-80).
Note: Get today’s complete NBA report by heading on over to Thursdays (2/20/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAACB KNOWLEDGE
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
Thursday's Notebook
•Memphis (-14) made 12-19 from arc, ran out to a 29-5 lead and crushed Rutgers 101-69 Feb 4 at home, but Tigers lost last two road games, at SMU/UConn. Memphis is 3-0 as a road favorite. Rutgers lost nine of its last 12 games- they got beat by 48 at Louisville in last game. Knights are 2-2 as home dogs, with home losses by 7-11-12 points. AAC home underdogs of 9+ points are 2-4 against spread.
•Michigan State won last five games versus Purdue, winning last two visits to Mackey Arena by 14-13 points; Spartans are just 3-4 last seven games, but are 6-0 versus spread on road, 4-0 as road favorites, with four five road wins by 14+ points. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-8 versus spread. Purdue won four of last five home games, but is 0-2 as a home underdog- their home losses were by 9-14 points.
•Green Bay's 7-1 C Brown sat out 75-60 (-2) home loss at Valparaiso on Jan 29; Crusaders shot 64% inside arc with Brown on bench- he's played 27+ minutes in every game since, with Phoenix winning four of the five, but they've failed to cover last four home games. Horizon home favorites of 8+ points are 7-9 versus spread. Valparaiso won seven of its last nine games, is 3-2 as road underdog, with only road losses by 5-19 points.
•UTEP won six of last seven games with Tulane, winning last three by 2-9-12 points, but they're 2-3 in last five visits here. Miners won nine of last 10 games overall, are 2-0 as road favorites- they covered eight of last 10 games. C-USA home underdogs of 6 or less points are 8-5 versus spread. Tulane won three of last four games, covered six of last eight- they've won their last three home games.
•Gonzaga (-8.5) beat BYU 84-69 Jan 25, making 10-22 from arc, 65.6% inside arc in Bulldogs' fifth straight series win- they split two visits to Provo, winning by 5 here LY. WCC home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-3 versus spread. Gonzaga won nine of last ten games, last four on road in WCC, but they lost last road game at Memphis. BYU won five of its last six games; they’re 7-0 SU at home in conference this season.
•Georgetown/Seton Hall split last six meetings; Pirates (+6.5) won 67-57 at Georgetown Jan 18, making 11-20 from arc in game they trailed by 9 at half. Seton Hall lost last three games overall and five of last six home games. Georgetown had 3-game win streak snapped last games- they're 2-4 on Big East road, winning at Butler/DePaul. Big East home teams are 8-6 versus spread if number was 3 or less points.
•Oregon State (-2.5) outscored Washington State 19-1 on foul line in 66-55 win at Pullman Jan 22, Beavers' second straight series win after losing five of six to Cougars before that. WSU won two of last three visits here; they lost last four games overall, are 1-5 as road dogs, with five of six losses on road by 18+ points. Pac-12 home favorites of 9+ points are 15-10 versus spread. Underdogs covered four of Beavers' five home games.
•St Mary's won its last 17 games versus San Francisco, winning last seven in this gym; Gaels split their last six games, are 4-3 on WCC on road, not as strong as usual- they beat Dons 88-73 (-9) at home Jan 11, making 11 of 21 from arc in game where both sides shot 59% inside arc. WCC home teams are 14-15 versus spread in games if spread was less than 5. Dons are 5-2 at home in WCC- they covered five of their last six games.
•USC lost its last five games, but covered last two on road; Trojans lost 79-71 (+6) in OT to Stanford Jan 26, making just 19-30 on line. USC is 5-3 in last eight series games, winning two of last three visits to Farm. Stanford won three of last four games, covered eight of last ten- they're 3-1 as home favorites, but lost two home games to Cal/Arizona. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 12-9 versus spread.
•Connecticut (-12) made 12-23 from arc, beat Temple 90-66 at home Jan 21; Huskies won six of last seven games, are 2-1 as road favorites, winning road games by 10-11-20 points (3-3 SU). Owls upset SMU last game; they're 2-10 in AAC, 2-3 in last five games, 2-2 as home dogs, losing home games by 7-10-4-24 points. AAC home underdogs are 7-14 against spread. Six of last seven Temple losses are by 10+ points.
•Canisius won six of last eight games but lost last two at home; they won 86-74 (+2.5) at Quinnipiac Jan 25, holding Bobcats to 6-27 from the arc. Road team covered last six Canisius games; Griffins are still 5-3 as home favorites, despite losing last two. Quinnipiac won last four games, three by 8 or less points- they won last three road games, two in overtime. MAAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 12-14 versus spread.
•Duke won nine of last ten games, covered eight of last nine; Blue Devils are 9-2 in last 11 games versus North Carolina, winning three of last four in Dean Dome, with wins by 10-1-16 points. Tar Heels won/covered their last seven games, they won last five at home, are 0-2 as ACC underdogs. Duke is shooting 42% from arc in ACC; UNC holds teams to 31% on arc. ACC home teams are 10-19 versus spread if number was 4 or less points.
•Hawaii (+6) tied game with late trey, won 90-86 in OT at Irvine, Jan 25, in game where Anteaters' 7-6 center Ndiaye fouled out in only 22:00 on court. Teams split last four meetings; Irvine lost by 4 here LY. Big West home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-3 versus spread. Hawaii won three in row overall, are 3-2 as home favorites, winning at home by 31-14-9, losing to Long Beach/UCSB. Irvine won last four, allowing 54.8 ppg.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- N ILLINOIS is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N ILLINOIS 57.7, OPPONENT 63.9.
-- E CAROLINA is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was E CAROLINA 64.9, OPPONENT 61.8.
-- MARSHALL is 0-13 (-14.3 Units) against the 1rst half line after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MARSHALL 27.8, OPPONENT 40.5.
-- DENVER is 31-8 UNDER (+22.2 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997.
The average score was DENVER 29.7, OPPONENT 26.7.
-- BRIAN WARDLE is 18-1 ATS (+16.9 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points as the coach of WI-GREEN BAY.
The average score was WARDLE 67.8, OPPONENT 65.4.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- JACKSONVILLE ST is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game after 15+ games since 1997.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE ST 70.3, OPPONENT 71.0
-- UC-IRVINE is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was UC-IRVINE 67.3, OPPONENT 61.4.
-- E MICHIGAN is 11-1 (+9.9 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 27.2, OPPONENT 23.5.
-- WEBER ST is 13-1 OVER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games since 1997.
The average score was WEBER ST 37.0, OPPONENT 32.6.
-- JOE SCOTT is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was SCOTT 69.7, OPPONENT 49.4.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +135 to -155 (GONZAGA) – an excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against a good shooting team (45-47.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's).
(206-56 since 1997.) (78.6%, +106.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -178
The average score in these games was: Team 72.5, Opponent 65.3 (Average point differential = +7.1)
The situation's record this season is: (39-12, +15.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (77-24, +32 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (117-32, +58.7 units).
-- Play On - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (UC-RIVERSIDE) - a good rebounding team - giving up <=9 offensive rebounds/game on the season, revenging a close loss versus opponent of 3 points or less, off a road loss by 10 points or more.
(40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (6-46 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.4
The average score in these games was: Team 61.3, Opponent 71.6 (Average point differential = -10.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (26.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (112-85).
-- Play Against - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (NEBRASKA) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less.
(26-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31.5, Opponent 28.7 (Average first half point differential = +2.8)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (43-24).
-- Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (TENNESSEE TECH) – a poor three point shooting team (<=32%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher.
(30-6 since 1997.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 34.1, Opponent 30.4 (Average first half point differential = +3.6)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Thursday’s (2/20/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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Thursday's Notebook
•Memphis (-14) made 12-19 from arc, ran out to a 29-5 lead and crushed Rutgers 101-69 Feb 4 at home, but Tigers lost last two road games, at SMU/UConn. Memphis is 3-0 as a road favorite. Rutgers lost nine of its last 12 games- they got beat by 48 at Louisville in last game. Knights are 2-2 as home dogs, with home losses by 7-11-12 points. AAC home underdogs of 9+ points are 2-4 against spread.
•Michigan State won last five games versus Purdue, winning last two visits to Mackey Arena by 14-13 points; Spartans are just 3-4 last seven games, but are 6-0 versus spread on road, 4-0 as road favorites, with four five road wins by 14+ points. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-8 versus spread. Purdue won four of last five home games, but is 0-2 as a home underdog- their home losses were by 9-14 points.
•Green Bay's 7-1 C Brown sat out 75-60 (-2) home loss at Valparaiso on Jan 29; Crusaders shot 64% inside arc with Brown on bench- he's played 27+ minutes in every game since, with Phoenix winning four of the five, but they've failed to cover last four home games. Horizon home favorites of 8+ points are 7-9 versus spread. Valparaiso won seven of its last nine games, is 3-2 as road underdog, with only road losses by 5-19 points.
•UTEP won six of last seven games with Tulane, winning last three by 2-9-12 points, but they're 2-3 in last five visits here. Miners won nine of last 10 games overall, are 2-0 as road favorites- they covered eight of last 10 games. C-USA home underdogs of 6 or less points are 8-5 versus spread. Tulane won three of last four games, covered six of last eight- they've won their last three home games.
•Gonzaga (-8.5) beat BYU 84-69 Jan 25, making 10-22 from arc, 65.6% inside arc in Bulldogs' fifth straight series win- they split two visits to Provo, winning by 5 here LY. WCC home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-3 versus spread. Gonzaga won nine of last ten games, last four on road in WCC, but they lost last road game at Memphis. BYU won five of its last six games; they’re 7-0 SU at home in conference this season.
•Georgetown/Seton Hall split last six meetings; Pirates (+6.5) won 67-57 at Georgetown Jan 18, making 11-20 from arc in game they trailed by 9 at half. Seton Hall lost last three games overall and five of last six home games. Georgetown had 3-game win streak snapped last games- they're 2-4 on Big East road, winning at Butler/DePaul. Big East home teams are 8-6 versus spread if number was 3 or less points.
•Oregon State (-2.5) outscored Washington State 19-1 on foul line in 66-55 win at Pullman Jan 22, Beavers' second straight series win after losing five of six to Cougars before that. WSU won two of last three visits here; they lost last four games overall, are 1-5 as road dogs, with five of six losses on road by 18+ points. Pac-12 home favorites of 9+ points are 15-10 versus spread. Underdogs covered four of Beavers' five home games.
•St Mary's won its last 17 games versus San Francisco, winning last seven in this gym; Gaels split their last six games, are 4-3 on WCC on road, not as strong as usual- they beat Dons 88-73 (-9) at home Jan 11, making 11 of 21 from arc in game where both sides shot 59% inside arc. WCC home teams are 14-15 versus spread in games if spread was less than 5. Dons are 5-2 at home in WCC- they covered five of their last six games.
•USC lost its last five games, but covered last two on road; Trojans lost 79-71 (+6) in OT to Stanford Jan 26, making just 19-30 on line. USC is 5-3 in last eight series games, winning two of last three visits to Farm. Stanford won three of last four games, covered eight of last ten- they're 3-1 as home favorites, but lost two home games to Cal/Arizona. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 12-9 versus spread.
•Connecticut (-12) made 12-23 from arc, beat Temple 90-66 at home Jan 21; Huskies won six of last seven games, are 2-1 as road favorites, winning road games by 10-11-20 points (3-3 SU). Owls upset SMU last game; they're 2-10 in AAC, 2-3 in last five games, 2-2 as home dogs, losing home games by 7-10-4-24 points. AAC home underdogs are 7-14 against spread. Six of last seven Temple losses are by 10+ points.
•Canisius won six of last eight games but lost last two at home; they won 86-74 (+2.5) at Quinnipiac Jan 25, holding Bobcats to 6-27 from the arc. Road team covered last six Canisius games; Griffins are still 5-3 as home favorites, despite losing last two. Quinnipiac won last four games, three by 8 or less points- they won last three road games, two in overtime. MAAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 12-14 versus spread.
•Duke won nine of last ten games, covered eight of last nine; Blue Devils are 9-2 in last 11 games versus North Carolina, winning three of last four in Dean Dome, with wins by 10-1-16 points. Tar Heels won/covered their last seven games, they won last five at home, are 0-2 as ACC underdogs. Duke is shooting 42% from arc in ACC; UNC holds teams to 31% on arc. ACC home teams are 10-19 versus spread if number was 4 or less points.
•Hawaii (+6) tied game with late trey, won 90-86 in OT at Irvine, Jan 25, in game where Anteaters' 7-6 center Ndiaye fouled out in only 22:00 on court. Teams split last four meetings; Irvine lost by 4 here LY. Big West home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-3 versus spread. Hawaii won three in row overall, are 3-2 as home favorites, winning at home by 31-14-9, losing to Long Beach/UCSB. Irvine won last four, allowing 54.8 ppg.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- N ILLINOIS is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N ILLINOIS 57.7, OPPONENT 63.9.
-- E CAROLINA is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was E CAROLINA 64.9, OPPONENT 61.8.
-- MARSHALL is 0-13 (-14.3 Units) against the 1rst half line after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MARSHALL 27.8, OPPONENT 40.5.
-- DENVER is 31-8 UNDER (+22.2 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997.
The average score was DENVER 29.7, OPPONENT 26.7.
-- BRIAN WARDLE is 18-1 ATS (+16.9 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points as the coach of WI-GREEN BAY.
The average score was WARDLE 67.8, OPPONENT 65.4.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- JACKSONVILLE ST is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game after 15+ games since 1997.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE ST 70.3, OPPONENT 71.0
-- UC-IRVINE is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was UC-IRVINE 67.3, OPPONENT 61.4.
-- E MICHIGAN is 11-1 (+9.9 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 27.2, OPPONENT 23.5.
-- WEBER ST is 13-1 OVER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games since 1997.
The average score was WEBER ST 37.0, OPPONENT 32.6.
-- JOE SCOTT is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was SCOTT 69.7, OPPONENT 49.4.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +135 to -155 (GONZAGA) – an excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against a good shooting team (45-47.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's).
(206-56 since 1997.) (78.6%, +106.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -178
The average score in these games was: Team 72.5, Opponent 65.3 (Average point differential = +7.1)
The situation's record this season is: (39-12, +15.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (77-24, +32 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (117-32, +58.7 units).
-- Play On - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (UC-RIVERSIDE) - a good rebounding team - giving up <=9 offensive rebounds/game on the season, revenging a close loss versus opponent of 3 points or less, off a road loss by 10 points or more.
(40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (6-46 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.4
The average score in these games was: Team 61.3, Opponent 71.6 (Average point differential = -10.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (26.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (112-85).
-- Play Against - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (NEBRASKA) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less.
(26-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31.5, Opponent 28.7 (Average first half point differential = +2.8)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (43-24).
-- Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (TENNESSEE TECH) – a poor three point shooting team (<=32%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher.
(30-6 since 1997.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 34.1, Opponent 30.4 (Average first half point differential = +3.6)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Thursday’s (2/20/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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NCAA Basketball Picks
Duke at North Carolina
The Blue Devils come into their contest with the Tar Heels tonight with a 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games at Chapel Hill. Duke is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
Duke at North Carolina
The Blue Devils come into their contest with the Tar Heels tonight with a 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games at Chapel Hill. Duke is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
| THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 20 Time Posted: 11:30 a.m. EST |
| Game 507-508: North Texas at Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 47.986; Florida International 55.092 Dunkel Line: Florida International by 7 Vegas Line: Florida International by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-4 1/2) |
| Game 509-510: Middle Tennessee State at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 58.214; Charlotte 59.421 Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 1 Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 4 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4) |
| Game 511-512: UL-Monroe at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 46.806; Georgia State 65.574 Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 19 Vegas Line: Georgia State by 14 Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-14) |
| Game 513-514: Tulsa at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 58.188; Florida Atlantic 59.845 Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Tulsa by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+4 1/2) |
| Game 515-516: Rice at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rice 43.960; Old Dominion 57.558 Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-9 1/2) |
| Game 517-518: Alabama at Texas A&M (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 60.230; Texas A&M 59.202 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1; 127 Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 1 1/2; 122 Dunkel Pick: Alabama (+1 1/2); Over |
| Game 519-520: Memphis at Rutgers (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 67.979; Rutgers 61.584 Dunkel Line: Memphis by 6 1/2; 146 Vegas Line: Memphis by 9 1/2; 151 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+9 1/2); Under |
| Game 521-522: UAB at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UAB 56.623; Marshall 52.838 Dunkel Line: UAB by 4 Vegas Line: UAB by 1 Dunkel Pick: UAB (-1) |
| Game 523-524: WI-Milwaukee at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 55.841; Youngstown State 53.768 Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 2 Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+5 1/2) |
| Game 525-526: Toledo at Bowling Green (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 58.483; Bowling Green 53.622 Dunkel Line: Toledo by 5; 137 Vegas Line: Toledo by 3; 142 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-3); Under |
| Game 527-528: Michigan State at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 72.756; Purdue 64.830 Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 8; 146 Vegas Line: Michigan State by 4; 140 Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-4); Over |
| Game 529-530: Towson at Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Towson 57.545; Northeastern 51.871 Dunkel Line: Towson by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Northeastern by 1 Dunkel Pick: Towson (+1) |
| Game 531-532: Penn State at Nebraska (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 61.611; Nebraska 71.258 Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 9 1/2; 142 Vegas Line: Nebraska by 5; 136 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-5); Over |
| Game 533-534: Louisiana Tech at East Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 63.635; East Carolina 56.569 Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 7 Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+9 1/2) |
| Game 535-536: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 58.978; Northern Illinois 50.955 Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 8 Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-4 1/2) |
| Game 537-538: Valparaiso at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 58.546; WI-Green Bay 59.888 Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 9 Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+9) |
| Game 539-540: TX-San Antonio at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 45.643; Southern Mississippi 68.642 Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 23 Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 20 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-20 1/2) |
| Game 541-542: TX-Arlington at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 52.160; Arkansas State 55.877 Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 7 Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (+7) |
| Game 543-544: UTEP at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 61.808; Tulane 52.334 Dunkel Line: UTEP by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: UTEP by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-5 1/2) |
| Game 545-546: Troy at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Troy 45.846; UL-Lafayette 59.960 Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 14 Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-10 1/2) |
| Game 547-548: South Alabama at Texas State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 44.816; Texas State 53.853 Dunkel Line: Texas State by 9 Vegas Line: Texas State by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas State (-2 1/2) |
| Game 549-550: Gonzaga at BYU (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 66.281; BYU 69.629 Dunkel Line: BYU by 3 1/2; 144 Vegas Line: BYU by 1 1/2; 150 Dunkel Pick: BYU (-1 1/2); Under |
| Game 551-552: Portland at San Diego (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 57.386; San Diego 61.494 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4 Vegas Line: San Diego by 2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-2) |
| Game 553-554: Georgetown at Seton Hall (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 65.537; Seton Hall 64.651 Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 1; 128 Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 1 1/2; 134 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+1 1/2); Under |
| Game 555-556: Connecticut at Temple (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 69.943; Temple 62.817 Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 7; 150 Vegas Line: Connecticut by 9 1/2; 146 Dunkel Pick: Temple (+9 1/2); Over |
| Game 557-558: Washington State at Oregon State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 54.162; Oregon State 67.481 Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 13 1/2; 139 Vegas Line: Oregon State by 9 1/2; 134 Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-9 1/2); Over |
| Game 559-560: St. Mary's at San Francisco (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 62.774; San Francisco 59.816 Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 3 Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 1 Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (-1) |
| Game 561-562: Pacific at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 55.487; Santa Clara 58.652 Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 3 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara |
| Game 563-564: CS-Fullerton at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 45.707; Cal Poly 54.775 Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 9 Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (-7 1/2) |
| Game 565-566: UC-Riverside at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 45.776; UC-Santa Barbara 63.843 Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 18 Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-14 1/2) |
| Game 567-568: Long Beach State at UC-Davis (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 57.147; UC-Davis 52.385 Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 5 Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+7 1/2) |
| Game 569-570: Pepperdine at Loyola Marymount (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 58.167; Loyola Marymount 54.408 Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 4; 142 Vegas Line: Loyola Marymount by 1; 147 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+1); Under |
| Game 571-572: USC at Stanford (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: USC 55.967; Stanford 72.954 Dunkel Line: Stanford by 17; 149 Vegas Line: Stanford by 14; 144 Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-14); Over |
| Game 573-574: UC-Irvine at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 55.929; Hawaii 61.401 Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Hawaii by 3 Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-3) |
| Game 575-576: Furman at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Furman 39.389; Wofford 56.350 Dunkel Line: Wofford by 17 Vegas Line: Wofford by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-13 1/2) |
| Game 577-578: Georgia Southern at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 44.277; Chattanooga 49.856 Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 8 Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+8) |
| Game 579-580: Western Carolina at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 47.512; Appalachian State 43.143 Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-1 1/2) |
| Game 581-582: Quinnipiac at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Quinnipiac 56.312; Canisius 58.823 Dunkel Line: Canisius by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Canisius by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Quinnipiac (+5 1/2) |
| Game 583-584: Fairfield at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 44.610; Niagara 52.450 Dunkel Line: Niagara by 8 Vegas Line: Niagara by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-5 1/2) |
| Game 585-586: Tennessee Tech at Tennessee Martin (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 46.247; Tennessee Martin 45.584 Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 1 Vegas Line: Tennessee Martin by 2 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+2) |
| Game 587-588: Eastern Illinois at Belmont (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 42.914; Belmont 59.356 Dunkel Line: Belmont by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: Belmont by 14 Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-14) |
| Game 589-590: NE-Omaha at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 53.849; South Dakota 52.219 Dunkel Line: NE-Omaha by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: South Dakota by 2 Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (+2) |
| Game 591-592: SIU-Edwardsville at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 48.109; Tennessee State 45.653 Dunkel Line: SIU-Edwardsville by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 2 Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+2) |
| Game 593-594: Jacksonville State at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 45.790; SE Missouri State 49.030 Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 3 Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 6 Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+6) |
| Game 595-596: Northern Colorado at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 49.097; Northern Arizona 45.057 Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 4 Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 1 Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (-1) |
| Game 597-598: Marist at St. Peter's (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Marist 52.076; St. Peter's 52.128 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Marist (+2 1/2) |
| Game 599-600: Western Illinois at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 48.323; Denver 61.618 Dunkel Line: Denver by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Denver by 11 Dunkel Pick: Denver (-11) |
| Game 601-602: Weber State at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 55.268; Montana 52.352 Dunkel Line: Weber State by 3 Vegas Line: Montana by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+1 1/2) |
| Game 603-604: Idaho State at Montana State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 47.000; Montana State 51.562 Dunkel Line: Montana State by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Montana State by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-2 1/2) |
| Game 605-606: Portland State at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 49.048; Southern Utah 40.111 Dunkel Line: Portland State by 9 Vegas Line: Portland State by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-4 1/2) |
| Game 607-608: North Dakota at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 51.019; Sacramento State 47.988 Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 3 Vegas Line: North Dakota by 1 Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (-1) |
| Game 609-610: Duke at North Carolina (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duke 77.199; North Carolina 71.878 Dunkel Line: Duke by 5 1/2; 148 Vegas Line: Duke by 1 1/2; 151 Dunkel Pick: Duke (-1 1/2); Under |
Today's NBA Picks
Miami at Oklahoma City
The Heat head to Oklahoma City tonight carrying a 6-1 ATS record in the last 7 games versus the Thunder. Miami is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3). Here are all of today's picks.
Miami at Oklahoma City
The Heat head to Oklahoma City tonight carrying a 6-1 ATS record in the last 7 games versus the Thunder. Miami is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3). Here are all of today's picks.
| THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 20 Time Posted: 11:30 a.m. EST |
| Game 501-502: Miami at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.126; Oklahoma City 123.479 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 212 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3; 206 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over |
| Game 503-504: Denver at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 108.847; Milwaukee 112.908 Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 4; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 4 1/2; 204 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+4 1/2); Under |
| Game 505-506: Houston at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 124.193; Golden State 123.208 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 207 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 212 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+1); Under |
Ecks and Bacon
Ben lee won his three team six point teaser on Wednesday
(1) Kansas from -14 to -8/TCU (W)
(2) Dayton from -7 to -1/LaSalle (W)
(3) UCLA from +2 to +8/California (W)
E&B are coming back with a three team six point teaser in college basketball for Thursday.
(1) Memphis from -8 to -2/Rutgers
(2) Nebraska from -5 to +1/Penn State
(3) Georgetown from +2 to +8//Seton Hall
Ecks and Bacon is 2-1 +$70 for week seventeen and 56-72-2 -$1543.
All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted
Ben lee won his three team six point teaser on Wednesday
(1) Kansas from -14 to -8/TCU (W)
(2) Dayton from -7 to -1/LaSalle (W)
(3) UCLA from +2 to +8/California (W)
E&B are coming back with a three team six point teaser in college basketball for Thursday.
(1) Memphis from -8 to -2/Rutgers
(2) Nebraska from -5 to +1/Penn State
(3) Georgetown from +2 to +8//Seton Hall
Ecks and Bacon is 2-1 +$70 for week seventeen and 56-72-2 -$1543.
All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted
GC: NCAAB PLay
Thursday card has the 6* West Coast Conference Play of the Year from a 46-2 angle and a 5* Blowout. The NBA Remains at or near the top and has 2 big totals one is a 5* on TNT. NCAAB Play below
On Thursday the NCAAB Play in Colonial League action is on Towson. St. Game 529 at 7:00 eastern. Towson is quietly 2nd in the Colonial Conference and just knocked off the #1 team in Delaware. Tonight they take on a medicore Northeastern team that has lost 13 of 15 vs winning teams and all 3 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. In lined home games they have failed to cover 7 of 8. Towson has home loss revenge in this one and has won 10 of 12 vs losing teams and 3 of 4 on the road in this line range. When playing teams ranked 200 or worse in the RPI Scale they have registered 14 of their 17 wins. Look for them to get their revenge and even the season series tonight. On Thursday don't miss the big 4 game card with 2 Perfect system NBA Totals from system that combine to go 29-0. One is a 5* on TNT. NBA Remains at or near the top of several major leader boards. In college hoops we have the 6* West Coast Game of the Year from a 46-2 long term indicator, there is also an early 5* Blowout with 9 big angles and a solid system. Jump on now and flatten your book like a short stack at IHOP. For the free NCAAB Play take Towson. St. GC
Thursday card has the 6* West Coast Conference Play of the Year from a 46-2 angle and a 5* Blowout. The NBA Remains at or near the top and has 2 big totals one is a 5* on TNT. NCAAB Play below
On Thursday the NCAAB Play in Colonial League action is on Towson. St. Game 529 at 7:00 eastern. Towson is quietly 2nd in the Colonial Conference and just knocked off the #1 team in Delaware. Tonight they take on a medicore Northeastern team that has lost 13 of 15 vs winning teams and all 3 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. In lined home games they have failed to cover 7 of 8. Towson has home loss revenge in this one and has won 10 of 12 vs losing teams and 3 of 4 on the road in this line range. When playing teams ranked 200 or worse in the RPI Scale they have registered 14 of their 17 wins. Look for them to get their revenge and even the season series tonight. On Thursday don't miss the big 4 game card with 2 Perfect system NBA Totals from system that combine to go 29-0. One is a 5* on TNT. NBA Remains at or near the top of several major leader boards. In college hoops we have the 6* West Coast Game of the Year from a 46-2 long term indicator, there is also an early 5* Blowout with 9 big angles and a solid system. Jump on now and flatten your book like a short stack at IHOP. For the free NCAAB Play take Towson. St. GC
Sports Wagers
USA vs Canada
USA +155 over Canada
Friday, February 20. 12:00 PM EST. Regulation only. We’re not concerned one bit that the Canadians struggled to defeat Latvia. The media, like they always do, blew it way out of proportion. Latvia looked like a team playing another sport out there while Canada looked like they were on a 60-minute power-play. The Canadians ran into a hot goaltender, much like the Russians did back in 1980 when a little known goaltender by the name of Jim Craig caught fire for a couple of weeks. Craig’s NHL career consisted of 30 games for three different NHL teams. Fact is, if Canada and Latvia played that game over 10 times, Canada would go 10-0 and probably outscore the Latvians by six goals each game. Wagering against the Canadians here has nothing to do with their 2-1 narrow victory over Latvia. Canada’s Olympic victories occurred against Norway, Austria, Finland in OT and Latvia. There are at least 20 guys on each one of those teams that if they were American born, they would not come close to even being considered to play for the U.S. Canada has not been tested. Its defense has been tremendous but they have not faced anything close to what the Americans bring. You can go up and down that Canadian roster and not one player can say that he’s satisfied with his performance so far. The Canadians have struggled to score goals the entire tournament, they have now lost one of its best players in John Tavaras and they have not had to deal with any pressure in their own end yet. That all changes here.
Outside of a close game against the Russians in the second game of the tournament, the Americans have toyed with the opposition by scoring 20 times in four games while allowing just six goals against. The Americans have adapted to the European rink with ease by looking like they’ve been playing on it their entire careers. The Americans have gelled together better than any other team in this event and certainly better than the Canadians. That said, only an idiot would say the Canadians have no chance here. However, in terms of value, the Americans should not be the underdog in this game because they have been the best team in the tournament and it’s not even close. At +155 in regulation, win or lose, the price here on the Americans is a big time overlay and we’re on it.
USA vs Canada
USA +155 over Canada
Friday, February 20. 12:00 PM EST. Regulation only. We’re not concerned one bit that the Canadians struggled to defeat Latvia. The media, like they always do, blew it way out of proportion. Latvia looked like a team playing another sport out there while Canada looked like they were on a 60-minute power-play. The Canadians ran into a hot goaltender, much like the Russians did back in 1980 when a little known goaltender by the name of Jim Craig caught fire for a couple of weeks. Craig’s NHL career consisted of 30 games for three different NHL teams. Fact is, if Canada and Latvia played that game over 10 times, Canada would go 10-0 and probably outscore the Latvians by six goals each game. Wagering against the Canadians here has nothing to do with their 2-1 narrow victory over Latvia. Canada’s Olympic victories occurred against Norway, Austria, Finland in OT and Latvia. There are at least 20 guys on each one of those teams that if they were American born, they would not come close to even being considered to play for the U.S. Canada has not been tested. Its defense has been tremendous but they have not faced anything close to what the Americans bring. You can go up and down that Canadian roster and not one player can say that he’s satisfied with his performance so far. The Canadians have struggled to score goals the entire tournament, they have now lost one of its best players in John Tavaras and they have not had to deal with any pressure in their own end yet. That all changes here.
Outside of a close game against the Russians in the second game of the tournament, the Americans have toyed with the opposition by scoring 20 times in four games while allowing just six goals against. The Americans have adapted to the European rink with ease by looking like they’ve been playing on it their entire careers. The Americans have gelled together better than any other team in this event and certainly better than the Canadians. That said, only an idiot would say the Canadians have no chance here. However, in terms of value, the Americans should not be the underdog in this game because they have been the best team in the tournament and it’s not even close. At +155 in regulation, win or lose, the price here on the Americans is a big time overlay and we’re on it.
| Last 30 Days | 16 | 31 | 0.00 | -21.98 |
| Season to Date | 114 | 147 | 0.00 | -11.07 |
Sports Wagers NBA
Denver @ MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE +153 over Denver
The Nuggets came off the break with a game effort at home against Phoenix, losing by just five points but taking the Suns to OT in the process. The Nuggets played hard but they still lost and their losing streak has hit five. The Nuggets are banged up and they don’t have an adequate backup point guard ever since Nate Robinson went down. The Nuggets are in a state of crisis, losing their last four games before the break by a combined 110 points. With a roster worth significantly less than the sum of its parts, it's hard to believe Denver won't be making a deal at the deadline or be very active in the offseason. Denver is in a bad state of mind and its chances of losing on the road are greater than its chances of winning, even against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is a train wreck also but at least they know they are in rebuild mode. The Bucks had a nice win to open their post All-Star portion of the schedule and one victory does wonders to a teams’ psyche. They were a lot of positives from that victory as well. Brandon Knight was 12-for-12 from the free throw line and had seven assists. Milwaukee scored 22 points off of 15 Orlando turnovers. Caron Butler was 7-for-13 from 3-point range and Milwaukee out-rebounded Orlando 43-37. The Bucks may actually be better without Larry Sanders. Sanders’ is a problem child that caused nothing but disruption and tension since signing a big contract in August. The Bucks looked better without him and had plenty of energy in their win over the Magic. In summarizing, neither one of these teams can be trusted but as a road favorite the Nuggets are fade material right now and that’s the way we’ll play it.
Denver @ MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE +153 over Denver
The Nuggets came off the break with a game effort at home against Phoenix, losing by just five points but taking the Suns to OT in the process. The Nuggets played hard but they still lost and their losing streak has hit five. The Nuggets are banged up and they don’t have an adequate backup point guard ever since Nate Robinson went down. The Nuggets are in a state of crisis, losing their last four games before the break by a combined 110 points. With a roster worth significantly less than the sum of its parts, it's hard to believe Denver won't be making a deal at the deadline or be very active in the offseason. Denver is in a bad state of mind and its chances of losing on the road are greater than its chances of winning, even against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is a train wreck also but at least they know they are in rebuild mode. The Bucks had a nice win to open their post All-Star portion of the schedule and one victory does wonders to a teams’ psyche. They were a lot of positives from that victory as well. Brandon Knight was 12-for-12 from the free throw line and had seven assists. Milwaukee scored 22 points off of 15 Orlando turnovers. Caron Butler was 7-for-13 from 3-point range and Milwaukee out-rebounded Orlando 43-37. The Bucks may actually be better without Larry Sanders. Sanders’ is a problem child that caused nothing but disruption and tension since signing a big contract in August. The Bucks looked better without him and had plenty of energy in their win over the Magic. In summarizing, neither one of these teams can be trusted but as a road favorite the Nuggets are fade material right now and that’s the way we’ll play it.
| Yesterday | 1 | 2 | 0.00 | -2.10 |
| Last 30 Days | 12 | 13 | 0.00 | -1.18 |
| Season to Date | 41 | 43 | 0.00 | +0.72 |
Sports Wagers CBK
Penn State @ NEBRASKA
Penn State +5 -104 over NEBRASKA
Five weeks ago, Nebraska stood at 0-4 in the Big Ten and 8-8 overall. You may recall what happened next. Ohio State came to Lincoln, ranked No. 17 in the nation and when the final buzzer sounded the Cornhuskers were ahead 68-62. Since then, Nebraska has won five of seven and they’ve also won three in a row capped by Sunday’s stunning upset win in Michigan by nine points. The Huskers are now an even 6-6 in Big Ten play and with four home games still to be played, what was once unthinkable, an above .500 finish in conference, would appear to be very much in reach. With that victory over Michigan and sudden turnaround, the Huskers stock is higher than it’s been all season and that provides us with a nice sell-high opportunity. Not only can we sell high but we get the Huskers in a huge letdown spot as well. This is a Nebraska team that still ranks 339th in the country in assists, 276th in rebounding and 286th in points per game. That’s not exactly the type of squad you want to buy at an inflated price.
Penn State is just 4-9 in the conference and just 13-13 overall. However, the Nittany Lions have many close calls and they also have a couple of nice wins. PSU defeated the Buckeyes also, in Ohio State no less and they are 3-3 over their past six Big-10 games. The Nittany Lions starting five is without question superior to the Huskers starting five. PSU has an edge in almost every key statistical category over Nebraska and they are in a better situational spot as well. The home-court edge may also work in our favor here. Since 2005, home teams are 14,145-14,776 (48.9 percent) against the spread (ATS) in regular season games, which indicates that visitors have an advantage in terms of ATS performance. This does not mean that visitors play better overall or straight up but that lines are potentially shaded further than needed, based on mainstream media and recreational bettors overvaluing home-court advantage. This is as good a spot as any to take advantage of the all the things that make a home-favorite overvalued.
Penn State @ NEBRASKA
Penn State +5 -104 over NEBRASKA
Five weeks ago, Nebraska stood at 0-4 in the Big Ten and 8-8 overall. You may recall what happened next. Ohio State came to Lincoln, ranked No. 17 in the nation and when the final buzzer sounded the Cornhuskers were ahead 68-62. Since then, Nebraska has won five of seven and they’ve also won three in a row capped by Sunday’s stunning upset win in Michigan by nine points. The Huskers are now an even 6-6 in Big Ten play and with four home games still to be played, what was once unthinkable, an above .500 finish in conference, would appear to be very much in reach. With that victory over Michigan and sudden turnaround, the Huskers stock is higher than it’s been all season and that provides us with a nice sell-high opportunity. Not only can we sell high but we get the Huskers in a huge letdown spot as well. This is a Nebraska team that still ranks 339th in the country in assists, 276th in rebounding and 286th in points per game. That’s not exactly the type of squad you want to buy at an inflated price.
Penn State is just 4-9 in the conference and just 13-13 overall. However, the Nittany Lions have many close calls and they also have a couple of nice wins. PSU defeated the Buckeyes also, in Ohio State no less and they are 3-3 over their past six Big-10 games. The Nittany Lions starting five is without question superior to the Huskers starting five. PSU has an edge in almost every key statistical category over Nebraska and they are in a better situational spot as well. The home-court edge may also work in our favor here. Since 2005, home teams are 14,145-14,776 (48.9 percent) against the spread (ATS) in regular season games, which indicates that visitors have an advantage in terms of ATS performance. This does not mean that visitors play better overall or straight up but that lines are potentially shaded further than needed, based on mainstream media and recreational bettors overvaluing home-court advantage. This is as good a spot as any to take advantage of the all the things that make a home-favorite overvalued.
| Yesterday | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +2.00 |
| Last 30 Days | 7 | 17 | 0.00 | -21.20 |
| Season to Date | 20 | 33 | 0.00 | -28.78 |
