Service Plays Thursday 2/10/11

Search

New member
Joined
Nov 8, 2008
Messages
619
Tokens
Wow, totally disagree, do you guys understand the law of averages, given a line your are less than 50 percent likely to choose a winner, multiply that by 5 or six picks a night, and your avg of a winning margin goes down significantly.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 8, 2008
Messages
619
Tokens
I don't even take into account the vig in that equation, boys those pretty buildings in Vegas were built off the 3-3, 4-4 nights we've all had.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
SportsWagers



This one is pretty much a no-brainer, as the Penguins have more casualties than a Quentin Tarantino movie. Sid the Kid remains out, as does Evgeni Malkin and Mark Letustu. Joining that extreme talent on the rack is Chris Kunitz and the suspended Matt Cooke. Combined that group of five has collected 185 points this season. Right now the Pens would have trouble beating Edmonton, the Islanders and every other team in the league. Pittsburgh’s chance of beating a Kings team that has woke up and is playing outstanding is slim at best. L.A. has won five of six and its only loss over that stretch came in OT at Minnesota. During their current run the Kings have beaten some of the hottest teams in the business in the Sharks (San Jose’s only loss in its last nine), the Flames (Calgary’s only loss in its last nine) and Boston club that is in the midst of an 11-3 run. If you make one wager today, this should be it because the Kings should probably be about –130 favorite. Of course anything can happen but this is value at its best. Get on it early because it’s not going to be long before you’ll be laying a small tag. Play: Los Angeles +101 (Risking 2.5 units).

CBB PLAYS
ST. JOHN’S +109 over Connecticut

These Big East home pups have been pure gold this season and this one has a great chance to cash too. The Johnny’s struggle on the road, but get them in their own barn and it’s like Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde. The Red Storm is 8-3 at home with double-digit wins over Northwestern, West Virginia, Duke and Notre Dame. They also have a win over the Hoyas at MSG. The Johnny’s are 5-5 in the conference and they’re just a single game back of the Huskies. UConn is just 6-4 in the conference and has dropped two of three. They needed a serious rally to beat Seton Hall on Saturday, as they trailed by 10 with eight minutes to go. They eventually won by a deuce to avoid a three-game losing streak. The Huskies are beating the lower-tier teams in the Big East but they’re having trouble with the rest. They’ve lost to Louisville, Pitt, Notre Dame and Syracuse while beating the likes of Marquette, Seton Hall, Providence, South Florida (in OT) and DePaul. They have one win against a ranked Big-East opponent when they beat Nova by two. Play: #508 St. John’s +109 (Risking 2 units).

GEORGIA TECH +109 over Florida St.

Let’s assume for a moment that Yellow Jackets G-F Brian Oliver was not injured. The Seminoles would probably be the exact same price here, that being a small 1½-point favorite. Oliver wasn’t having a great year by any stretch but he was still the team’s third option and was averaging just over 10 a game. The Jackets are just 10-12 overall and 3-6 in the conference and they’ve dropped three in a row and four of their last five. FSU is 16-7 overall and third in the conference behind North Carolina and Duke. Thing is, the Seminoles have dropped four of their last five on the road (including a loss at Alabama) with only win over that stretch coming against the Hurricanes by two. Florida State’s last two road games were blowout losses at North Carolina by 20, and at Clemson by 18. This is not a team you want to play on the road right now. They don’t shoot particularly well, nor do they take care of the rock and that makes winning on the road a daunting task at best. When a player goes down, like in the case of Brian Oliver, it opens the door for others to step in and show what they can do. Expect a strong effort from Tech tonight in a game they absolutely have a great chance to win. Play: #510 Georgia Tech +109 (Risking 2 units).

VANDERBILT –6½ over Alabama

We usually find some value in the dogs but in this case we find an underlay on the Commodores. What’s interesting is that the Tide is 7-1 in the conference while the Commodores are just 4-4. Thing is, the Tide resides in the West of the SEC and that group features a whole bunch of nobodies. Alabama has some skewed stats because of a weak schedule and outside of a two-point win over Kentucky they’ve lost to every other good team they’ve played. On the road, against its last ranked opponent, the Crimson Tide lost by 18. They really have a lot of wins against garbage squads that include the likes of Toledo, Pepperdine, Lipscomb, Southeastern Louisiana, Auburn, LSU, South Alabama and the list goes on. The Commodores are battle tested and they’re good. At Mizzou earlier in the year they lost in OT. They have home wins over #8 North Carolina and #21 St. Mary’s, the latter by 19. Vandy is coming off a four-point OT at #23 Florida St followed by an 18-point blowout win over the Gamecocks. They do everything better than the Tide and should have no trouble whatsoever of putting this team away early and staying there. Play: #532 Vanderbilt –6½ (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).
 

Member
Joined
Sep 17, 2010
Messages
8,815
Tokens
Of course I understand "the vig".
But placing three well handicapped $ 500 bets is better than one $ 1,500 bet, especially in football or baseball.
Basketball, too.
(EXAMPLE: I bet on South Carolina in bowl game football, their superstar RB got hurt in the first 2 minutes.... but I won the other bets for the day.)
 

New member
Joined
Jan 7, 2011
Messages
476
Tokens
its funny to hear theses guys trying to explain the more games id better to spread the risk....lol....please let me be your bookie
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
CRAIG DAVIS

BIG SKY CONFERENCE BLOWOUT
40 DIME Weber State

BONUS COLLEGE HOOPS ACTION
20 DIME Minnesota
10 DIME San Francisco
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,121,113
Messages
13,591,179
Members
101,055
Latest member
hoanglongtelecom
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com