NBA DUNKEL
Orlando at Portland
The Magic look to build on their 17-4 ATS record in their last 21 games as a favorite from 1 to 4 1/2 points. Orlando is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-2)
Game 701-702: Boston at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 125.197; Philadelphia 119.380
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 703-704: New Jersey at Dallas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 112.192; Dallas 128.180
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 16; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10 1/2); Over
Game 705-706: Orlando at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 122.380; Portland 117.759
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-2); Over
Orlando at Portland
The Magic look to build on their 17-4 ATS record in their last 21 games as a favorite from 1 to 4 1/2 points. Orlando is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-2)
Game 701-702: Boston at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 125.197; Philadelphia 119.380
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 703-704: New Jersey at Dallas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 112.192; Dallas 128.180
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 16; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10 1/2); Over
Game 705-706: Orlando at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 122.380; Portland 117.759
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-2); Over
NCAAB DUNKEL
Butler at Xavier
The Bulldogs look to take advantage of an Xavier team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. Butler is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Butler (-1)
Game 707-708: Kent State at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 57.623; Florida 68.189
Dunkel Line: Florida by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+13 1/2)
Game 709-710: Butler at Xavier (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 66.687; Xavier 63.190
Dunkel Line: Butler by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 1
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-1)
Game 711-712: Georgetown at Temple (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 72.695; Temple 69.876
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 3
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-1 1/2)
Game 721-722: IUPUI at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 54.921; Ohio State 80.177
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 26 1/2
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+26 1/2)
Butler at Xavier
The Bulldogs look to take advantage of an Xavier team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. Butler is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Butler (-1)
Game 707-708: Kent State at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 57.623; Florida 68.189
Dunkel Line: Florida by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+13 1/2)
Game 709-710: Butler at Xavier (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 66.687; Xavier 63.190
Dunkel Line: Butler by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 1
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-1)
Game 711-712: Georgetown at Temple (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 72.695; Temple 69.876
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 3
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-1 1/2)
Game 721-722: IUPUI at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 54.921; Ohio State 80.177
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 26 1/2
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+26 1/2)
Prediction Machine
Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play
102 8:20 PM @ TEN IND 3.5 -1.3 56.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play
Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win% Boxscore Play
101 8:20 PM Ind @ Ten 21.0 19.7 53.4 Boxscore Play
Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Boxscore Calc Play
102 8:20 PM IND @ TEN 45 40.6 Under 59.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play
102 8:20 PM @ TEN IND 3.5 -1.3 56.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play
Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win% Boxscore Play
101 8:20 PM Ind @ Ten 21.0 19.7 53.4 Boxscore Play
Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Boxscore Calc Play
102 8:20 PM IND @ TEN 45 40.6 Under 59.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
NHL DUNKEL
NY Rangers at Ottawa
The Rangers look to build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. New York is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+105)
Game 1-2: San Jose at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.201; Buffalo 12.530
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-135); Under
Game 3-4: Philadelphia at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.988; Toronto 11.911
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+130); Over
Game 5-6: NY Islanders at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.366; Boston 10.813
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-260); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+220); Over
Game 7-8: Florida at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.095; Washington 12.298
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-250); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-250); Under
Game 9-10: NY Rangers at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.868; Ottawa 10.682
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+105); Over
Game 11-12: Columbus at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.849; St. Louis 11.499
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-150); Under
Game 13-14: Minnesota at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.237; Phoenix 11.374
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-160); Over
Game 15-16: Calgary at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.156; Los Angeles 11.280
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+145); Under
NY Rangers at Ottawa
The Rangers look to build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. New York is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+105)
Game 1-2: San Jose at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.201; Buffalo 12.530
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-135); Under
Game 3-4: Philadelphia at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.988; Toronto 11.911
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+130); Over
Game 5-6: NY Islanders at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.366; Boston 10.813
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-260); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+220); Over
Game 7-8: Florida at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.095; Washington 12.298
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-250); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-250); Under
Game 9-10: NY Rangers at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.868; Ottawa 10.682
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+105); Over
Game 11-12: Columbus at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.849; St. Louis 11.499
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-150); Under
Game 13-14: Minnesota at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.237; Phoenix 11.374
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-160); Over
Game 15-16: Calgary at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.156; Los Angeles 11.280
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+145); Under
SPORTS WAGERS
Philadelphia -½ +1.12 over TORONTO
Please don’t be fooled by the Maple Leafs two recent wins over the Bruins and Caps. It happened and there’s no explanation other than the Caps likely thought they were home free with a 4-1 third period lead. Fact is, nothing has changed for the Leafs. Its offense is a joke, its defense is average at best with no offensive skills at all and its goaltending, the one bright spot this season, is starting to show some wear and tear now. Ron Wilson and Brian Burke are going right back to their buddy tonight, a big mistake, with J.S. Giguere in net against a Flyer team loaded with sniper after sniper after sniper. Why these two morons continue to give Francois Beauchemin ice time is puzzling because he’s hands down the worst defenseman in the NHL and Wilson plays him against the oppositions best. Actually it’s not puzzling, Beauchemin is their buddy too and Burke brought him over from Anaheim for 3.8M per. Dion Phaneuf returns to the lineup with his zero goals and weak defensive skills and that only helps the Flyers chances because Phaneuf will not be sharp when he is out there. Philly has beaten up badly on weak teams all season long and this contest is unlikely to be any different. Philly blew a 4-1 lead last night to San Jose and the best remedy for a loss like that is to get back on the ice as soon as possible. The Leafs were dominated in Pittsburgh for two periods and were down 4-0 going to the third. The Pens took its foot of the gas and the Leafs scored a couple of goals before the Pens woke up again and put them away. Philly should and likely will smoke this host with that stiff Giguere in net. Play: Philadelphia -½ +1.12 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y. Rangers +1.04 over OTTAWA
The Sens are a complete train wreck at the moment and playing at home is certainly not beneficial, as the fans are becoming more frustrated with each passing game. Ottawa has just one win over its last six games at home and that lone win came against the punchless Maple Leafs, 3-0. Ottawa has also scored one goal or less in six of its last eight games and that’s a pretty remarkable number. You would literally have to be somewhat rich or drunk to be laying juice with a team that is probably going to score one goal here. The Rangers have four wins over its last six games and a loss to these Senators in New York this past Sunday can’t be sitting too well with them. That was the last time both these teams played and with four days to think about it, give us a tag with the superior squad. One other note here is that the Sens have not beaten the Rangers twice is a row in over three years and that’s when Ottawa was a lot more appealing than they are right now. Play: N.Y. Rangers +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
SPORTS WAGERS
TENNESSEE +4 over Indianapolis
This line opened on Sunday with the Colts being a 1½-point choice and it’s been absolutely pounded since. Now, we’re like everyone else in figuring that the Colts should wreck this Titans club. In fact, Tennessee not only is playing putrid football, they’re unwatchable. What we’re sure about is that the odds makers didn’t make an error or oversight when they came out with the opening line. They 100% guaranteed knew that in this one single game with not another NFL game to bet on the board tonight that the Colts would get all the money. We repeat, they did not make a mistake. They lines makers could have made Indy a 6½-point favorite here and not swayed a single bet. Tennessee has been shredded two games in a row. They couldn’t move five yards last week and they couldn’t move two yards the week before. Both Jacksonville and Houston ran through them like they were standing still and you know what, they were. Now Peyton Manning is taking a little heat for the first time in years and you know he’s going to be fired up. So, with the Colts being the Colts, with a pissed off Peyton Manning going against an aging and rather useless Kerry Collins, how the hell can anyone bet the Titans here? If this isn’t the trap of the year than nothing is and it says here that you had better be extra cautious in making your wager because the Titans are very likely not only going to cover, but they’re likely to win outright. How do we figure? The oddsmakers told us so when they made the Colts a 1½-point favorite in an isolated Thursday night game. Play Tennessee +4 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
Philadelphia -½ +1.12 over TORONTO
Please don’t be fooled by the Maple Leafs two recent wins over the Bruins and Caps. It happened and there’s no explanation other than the Caps likely thought they were home free with a 4-1 third period lead. Fact is, nothing has changed for the Leafs. Its offense is a joke, its defense is average at best with no offensive skills at all and its goaltending, the one bright spot this season, is starting to show some wear and tear now. Ron Wilson and Brian Burke are going right back to their buddy tonight, a big mistake, with J.S. Giguere in net against a Flyer team loaded with sniper after sniper after sniper. Why these two morons continue to give Francois Beauchemin ice time is puzzling because he’s hands down the worst defenseman in the NHL and Wilson plays him against the oppositions best. Actually it’s not puzzling, Beauchemin is their buddy too and Burke brought him over from Anaheim for 3.8M per. Dion Phaneuf returns to the lineup with his zero goals and weak defensive skills and that only helps the Flyers chances because Phaneuf will not be sharp when he is out there. Philly has beaten up badly on weak teams all season long and this contest is unlikely to be any different. Philly blew a 4-1 lead last night to San Jose and the best remedy for a loss like that is to get back on the ice as soon as possible. The Leafs were dominated in Pittsburgh for two periods and were down 4-0 going to the third. The Pens took its foot of the gas and the Leafs scored a couple of goals before the Pens woke up again and put them away. Philly should and likely will smoke this host with that stiff Giguere in net. Play: Philadelphia -½ +1.12 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y. Rangers +1.04 over OTTAWA
The Sens are a complete train wreck at the moment and playing at home is certainly not beneficial, as the fans are becoming more frustrated with each passing game. Ottawa has just one win over its last six games at home and that lone win came against the punchless Maple Leafs, 3-0. Ottawa has also scored one goal or less in six of its last eight games and that’s a pretty remarkable number. You would literally have to be somewhat rich or drunk to be laying juice with a team that is probably going to score one goal here. The Rangers have four wins over its last six games and a loss to these Senators in New York this past Sunday can’t be sitting too well with them. That was the last time both these teams played and with four days to think about it, give us a tag with the superior squad. One other note here is that the Sens have not beaten the Rangers twice is a row in over three years and that’s when Ottawa was a lot more appealing than they are right now. Play: N.Y. Rangers +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
SPORTS WAGERS
TENNESSEE +4 over Indianapolis
This line opened on Sunday with the Colts being a 1½-point choice and it’s been absolutely pounded since. Now, we’re like everyone else in figuring that the Colts should wreck this Titans club. In fact, Tennessee not only is playing putrid football, they’re unwatchable. What we’re sure about is that the odds makers didn’t make an error or oversight when they came out with the opening line. They 100% guaranteed knew that in this one single game with not another NFL game to bet on the board tonight that the Colts would get all the money. We repeat, they did not make a mistake. They lines makers could have made Indy a 6½-point favorite here and not swayed a single bet. Tennessee has been shredded two games in a row. They couldn’t move five yards last week and they couldn’t move two yards the week before. Both Jacksonville and Houston ran through them like they were standing still and you know what, they were. Now Peyton Manning is taking a little heat for the first time in years and you know he’s going to be fired up. So, with the Colts being the Colts, with a pissed off Peyton Manning going against an aging and rather useless Kerry Collins, how the hell can anyone bet the Titans here? If this isn’t the trap of the year than nothing is and it says here that you had better be extra cautious in making your wager because the Titans are very likely not only going to cover, but they’re likely to win outright. How do we figure? The oddsmakers told us so when they made the Colts a 1½-point favorite in an isolated Thursday night game. Play Tennessee +4 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
Hammer the book
NFL PLAYS
4-UNITS: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ TENNESSEE TITANS (COLTS -3 @ MOST ALL BOOKS)
NBA PLAYS
3-UNITS: NEW JERSEY NETS @ DALLAS MAVERICKS (OVER 187 @ CARIB)
3-UNITS: ORLANDO MAGIC @ PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (PORTLAND -2 @ BET PHOENIX)
COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS
3-UNITS: BUTLER @ XAVIER (OVER 135 1/2 @ WAGERWEB, THE GREEK, CRIS, BOOKMAKER & CARIB)
3-UNITS: GEORGETOWN @ TEMPLE (GTOWN -1 1/2 @ 5DIMES, SPORTSBET & CARIB)
NHL PLAYS
4-UNITS: NEW YORK RANGERS @ OTTAWA SENATORS (NYR ML +115 @ PINNANCLE)
3-UNITS: COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS @ ST. LOUIS BLUES (BLUE JACKETS ML +135 @ PINNANCLE & SPORTSBET)
3-UNITS: CALGARY FLAMES @ LOS ANGELES KINGS (LA KINGS ML -155 @ PINNANCLE)
NFL PLAYS
4-UNITS: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ TENNESSEE TITANS (COLTS -3 @ MOST ALL BOOKS)
NBA PLAYS
3-UNITS: NEW JERSEY NETS @ DALLAS MAVERICKS (OVER 187 @ CARIB)
3-UNITS: ORLANDO MAGIC @ PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (PORTLAND -2 @ BET PHOENIX)
COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS
3-UNITS: BUTLER @ XAVIER (OVER 135 1/2 @ WAGERWEB, THE GREEK, CRIS, BOOKMAKER & CARIB)
3-UNITS: GEORGETOWN @ TEMPLE (GTOWN -1 1/2 @ 5DIMES, SPORTSBET & CARIB)
NHL PLAYS
4-UNITS: NEW YORK RANGERS @ OTTAWA SENATORS (NYR ML +115 @ PINNANCLE)
3-UNITS: COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS @ ST. LOUIS BLUES (BLUE JACKETS ML +135 @ PINNANCLE & SPORTSBET)
3-UNITS: CALGARY FLAMES @ LOS ANGELES KINGS (LA KINGS ML -155 @ PINNANCLE)
Derek Mancini
Today's Winner...
30 Dime release on the Titans plus the points over the Colts. Tennessee is currently between a 3 to 3 1/2 point pup in this game. Go ahcead and buy the 1/2 point insurance on the Titans at anywlere from +3 to +4 1/2.
No way Manning loses back-to-back games in primetime, right? WRONG! Oddsmakers know what the public perception is, and they're playing them like a fiadle, setting a line that looks like a tremendous bargain, when in fact, the Colts could EASILY lose outright here. Say what you will about Tennessee struggling, but the Indy is no better (right now), and laying anything on the road in this spot is just plain silly.
We've known for some time now that this isn't the same Colts team we all remmeber from year's past. Their defense has grown old in a hurry, and what was once a ferocious group of young, heady players is now one of the lesser defenses in the NFL. That is the diffcerence here, as for as bad as the Titans have been, at the very least, they still have their defense to fall back on, which allows 18 ppg on 318 total yards this season. Colts on the other hand, are surrendering 35 ppg over their L3 games!
Bettors love to hate on this Titans offense, and while admit they'v been putrid of late, the return of Kerry Collins will help them tremendously. Yes, I know he had issues against Jacksonville, but he'll have a much easier time against a reeling Colts defense. How do I know that? Because I know the Titans will be able to run the ball effectively on this Indy stop-unit which is getting stampeded on the ground for 171 yards/game (4.5 ypc) over their L3 games! True, the Titans are also having issues against the run of late, but we all know the Colts CAN'T run the football, so that's not nearly as big a factor.
Public bloodbath tonight, as the Titans get back to doing what they do best, running the rock and playing defense. Colts have hidden behind Manning all season, but now that he's strulgling, we've seen them get totally exposed for what they really are: an average football team with a below average defense. Tough match up for Indy, especially on the road. Take the Titans plus the points (remember to buy the 1/2 point insurance) over the Colts Thursday.
Today's Winner...
30 Dime release on the Titans plus the points over the Colts. Tennessee is currently between a 3 to 3 1/2 point pup in this game. Go ahcead and buy the 1/2 point insurance on the Titans at anywlere from +3 to +4 1/2.
No way Manning loses back-to-back games in primetime, right? WRONG! Oddsmakers know what the public perception is, and they're playing them like a fiadle, setting a line that looks like a tremendous bargain, when in fact, the Colts could EASILY lose outright here. Say what you will about Tennessee struggling, but the Indy is no better (right now), and laying anything on the road in this spot is just plain silly.
We've known for some time now that this isn't the same Colts team we all remmeber from year's past. Their defense has grown old in a hurry, and what was once a ferocious group of young, heady players is now one of the lesser defenses in the NFL. That is the diffcerence here, as for as bad as the Titans have been, at the very least, they still have their defense to fall back on, which allows 18 ppg on 318 total yards this season. Colts on the other hand, are surrendering 35 ppg over their L3 games!
Bettors love to hate on this Titans offense, and while admit they'v been putrid of late, the return of Kerry Collins will help them tremendously. Yes, I know he had issues against Jacksonville, but he'll have a much easier time against a reeling Colts defense. How do I know that? Because I know the Titans will be able to run the ball effectively on this Indy stop-unit which is getting stampeded on the ground for 171 yards/game (4.5 ypc) over their L3 games! True, the Titans are also having issues against the run of late, but we all know the Colts CAN'T run the football, so that's not nearly as big a factor.
Public bloodbath tonight, as the Titans get back to doing what they do best, running the rock and playing defense. Colts have hidden behind Manning all season, but now that he's strulgling, we've seen them get totally exposed for what they really are: an average football team with a below average defense. Tough match up for Indy, especially on the road. Take the Titans plus the points (remember to buy the 1/2 point insurance) over the Colts Thursday.
Trace Adams 500* - Indianapolis-Tennessee OVER
Despite the Tennessee offense coming to a relative stand-still (39 total points their last 4 games), I am going to back this Titans-Colts meeting to go OVER the posted total.
I am also well aware of the fact that both meetings last year stayed UNDER the total, and 9 of the last 10 have also stayed LOW, but I just get the feeling that tonight's game will top the posted price (45 points as I type this analysis).
Peyton Manning has been throwing pick-after-pick of late, and you just know that with Indy's lack of a viable running option he is going to have to continue to air the ball out. That being the case, he is either going to continue his turnover trend (which will lead to some short fields for the Titans), or he is going to have a huge night as he bounces back from his recent woes.
Indianapolis has played 3 straight OVERS coming into this game, and have been OVER the total in 4 of their last 5 games overall.
This total is just low enough that I think we are going to see a late score land it in the OVER column.
Play the HIGH at LP Field tonight.
Despite the Tennessee offense coming to a relative stand-still (39 total points their last 4 games), I am going to back this Titans-Colts meeting to go OVER the posted total.
I am also well aware of the fact that both meetings last year stayed UNDER the total, and 9 of the last 10 have also stayed LOW, but I just get the feeling that tonight's game will top the posted price (45 points as I type this analysis).
Peyton Manning has been throwing pick-after-pick of late, and you just know that with Indy's lack of a viable running option he is going to have to continue to air the ball out. That being the case, he is either going to continue his turnover trend (which will lead to some short fields for the Titans), or he is going to have a huge night as he bounces back from his recent woes.
Indianapolis has played 3 straight OVERS coming into this game, and have been OVER the total in 4 of their last 5 games overall.
This total is just low enough that I think we are going to see a late score land it in the OVER column.
Play the HIGH at LP Field tonight.
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