Sportswagers - NFLHouston @ JACKSONVILLE
Houston -3½ +100 over JACKSONVILLE
Proving the adage that there's no better deodorant that winning, the Jaguars have erased most of the negative feedback of their 0-8 start over the past month and seem to have a new energy about them. With three wins in four games including back-to-back road wins, the Jags are no longer the laughing stock of the NFL. That honor goes to the Houston Texans, who have the least amount of wins in the league (2) and have lost 10 straight. Combine the two and we have the Jaguars stock up and the Texans stock sinker lower, thus creating this cheap price on the visitor. Now, we’re usually not in favor of spotting road points, especially in a prime time games but we’ll confidently make an exception here. You see, the Jaguars are pure garbage. They have yet to win a game at home all season and their five home losses were by 26, 34, 18, 32 and 13 points, respectively. Don’t be fooled by the Jags recent run of success, as they won three of their past four games because the opposition figured all they had to do was show up. The Texans won’t have that mindset. No way.
Houston’s dignity is on the line here. This was a team that many figured a lock to make the playoffs with a true chance of winning it all. The Texans won their first two games and subsequently have dropped 10 straight. One of those losses occurred just two weeks ago when these same Jags went into Houston and defeated the Texans 13-6. Under the best of circumstances, it’s difficult for teams of equal talent to defeat the same team twice in a year. Thing is, these two aren’t equal. Now the inferior team will attempt to defeat the superior one twice in three weeks. A close look shows the Texans could easily be on a 6-0 run right now after a 1-point loss to KC, a 3-point loss to Indy, a three-point loss to Arizona, a five-point loss to Oakland, a 7-point loss to Jacksonville and a four point loss last week to New England. The Texans also have a 3-point loss to Seattle earlier in the year. So while the Jags were getting smoked by every team in the league and we do mean smoked, the Texans have been really unlucky without a single bounce going their way in the crucial final few minutes of any of those games. It should be noted that in last week’s four-point loss to the Patriots, New England was not flagged for even one penalty. How is that possible in this day and age of flag happy refs? That just further details the bad luck surrounding the Texans. Teams that play great defense do not lose 10 in a row and the Texans defense is ranked #3 in the NFL behind Carolina and Seattle. Combined, that pair is 20-4. What we also like here is that Case Keenum is a gamer. He hates to lose and injects energy into the entire team. Houston is not this bad and will prove so in their final prime time game of the year. Losing to the Jags twice in three weeks is not an option and what we expect to see from the superior Texans is 10 weeks of frustration being taken out on this wretched host.