Service Plays Thursday 12/17/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL

NFL

Indianapolis at Jacksonville

The Colts look to build on their 15-5-1 ATS record in their last 21 road games. Indianapolis is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Colts favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

Game 301-302: Indianapolis at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 141.372; Jacksonville 130.995
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 10 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-3); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings (-200, 5.5)

Rick Tocchet is fed up. After watching his team lose its eighth game in nine tries, the Lightning head coach decided there needed to be a shakeup.

Forwards Alex Tanguay and Jeff Halpern were benched for Tuesday’s game against the Predators. Tampa Bay lost 4-7 despite dressing eight defensemen.

“We have to get this thing straighten out,” Tocchet told the St. Petersburg Times. “We lose because teams are better than us, you can live with that. But there are some games wewere outplaying a team and for whatever reason we just went the other way.

“It’s mind boggling and it’s not going to happen any more. If I have to play a defenseman at center because we don’t have a guy doing a job, we’re going to do it until we do other things. But right now, I can only control the guys that are here.”

Tanguay, who has just four goals in 32 games, wasn’t surprised by the benching.

“What’s there to say? I try my hardest. I guess it’s not good enough. The team is slumping and I’m a big part of it.”

Those don’t sound like words of a motivated player.

Pick: Red Wings


Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers (-120, 5.5)

It’s funny how things go sometimes. The Oilers won five of six games on their road trip and they had time off to prepare for the Kings on Tuesday.

Maybe that’s why Edmonton coach Pat Quinn was beside himself after his club fell 3-2.

“I haven’t felt angry this year,” he told the Edmonton Sun. “But I am angry about how we played. We have lots of goddamn excuses, but the result is the same.”

Expect the Oilers to put together a more complete game Thursday against the visiting Predators.

Pick: Oilers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls (-2.5, 198)

You know things aren’t going well for your team when it losses and the players are telling reporters they’re happy about their effort.

''Even though we lost, this was a winning-type effort,'' Bulls guard Kirk Hinrich told the Chicago Sun-Times following a nine-point loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. ''I thought everybody played hard. You could tell there was a sense of urgency there.''

So, Chicago lets a sick and banged up Kobe Bryant score 42 points and suddenly everyone’s feeling good in the Bulls locker room?

''I really think since the Golden State game [on Friday], we've played hard,'' Luol Deng said. ''I think we're headed in the right direction. We just have to keep playing like this.''

What a bunch of loser talk. That Golden State game is Chicago’s only win in its last seven games and it needed overtime to finish off the Warriors.

Things aren’t good in the Windy City.

Everyone wants Derrick Rose to take over when the Bulls are struggling to score, but the point guard has reservations of going into ball-hog mode.

“People say they want me to shoot the ball more, but I’m the point guard; I can’t do that. I‘ve got to pass the ball to people and get people open,” Rose told the Chicago Tribune. “Taking over as a point guard is getting people open and shooting here and there.”

Until the Bulls figure out how to maximize Rose’s role, they’ll struggle to fill up the hoop. That doesn’t bode well going against the fast-paced Knicks.

Pick: Knicks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL LONG SHEET

Week 15

Thursday, December 17

INDIANAPOLIS (13 - 0) at JACKSONVILLE (7 - 6) - 12/17/2009, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL SHORT SHEET

Week 15

Thursday, 12/17/2009

INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE, 8:20 PM ET NFL
INDIANAPOLIS: 6-0 ATS on Thursdays
JACKSONVILLE: 3-12 ATS in home games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL ADDITIONAL

Week 15

Trend Report

Thursday, December 17

8:20 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. JACKSONVILLE
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL WRITE-UP


Week 15 NFL games

Thursday, December 17

Colts (13-0) @ Jaguars (7-6)-- Not sure how lomg Indy plays starters here at Jacksonville team fighting for playoff spot; Jags (+7) lost 14-12 in opener at Indy in Week 1, outrushing Colts 114-71 but gaining just 228 yards for game. Colts are 6-0 vs spread on road, winning away games by 4-21-22-36-2-8 pts. Jaguars scored three TDs on last 31 drives; in last five games, they have total of just 17 second half points. Game sold out, first Jacksonville home game to do so this season. Last four Jaguar games stayed under total. Visiting teams are 6-3 vs spread in AFC South games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GOLD SHEET

NCAA

FLORIDA ST. over Auburn by 9 to 12—08-DNP
TROY over New Orleans by 13 to 16—08-TROY -7' 83-72
DENVER over Florida Intl. by 12 to 15—08-FIU -5 59-57
FRESNO ST. over UC Davis by 10 to 13—08-Fsu +4' 71-70

NBA

CHICAGO 97 - New York 95—Chicago covering about once a week; NY
7-3 L10 vs. spread thru 12/5. 08-CHI -7' 105-100 (215), NY -2 102-98 (209), CHI -8 110-103 (220)

Orlando 110 - MIAMI 91—09-Mia +9' 99-98 (193); 08-ORL -8' 86-76 (190), MIA +7' 103-97 (193), ORL -9 122-99 (191), Orl -2' 101-95 (193) CABLE TV—TNT

PORTLAND 97 - Phoenix 91—08-PHO -8' 107-96 (193), PHO -5' 102-92 (198), PORT -4 124-119 (204), PORT -6' 129-109 (222) CABLE TV—TNT

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GOLD SHEET

*Indianapolis 20 - JACKSONVILLE 19—Indy 6-0 vs. line on the road so far TY! But the dynamics a bit different now that the top AFC seed has been secured, along with the record reg.-season win streak (22 and counting). Remember, Jim Caldwell was on Tony Dungy’s staff the last time Colts got to 13-0 (2005) and were then distracted by “perfect” talk, eventually falling short of the Super Bowl. So, no surprise if Peyton Manning and others get an early rest despite 16-0 beckoning invitingly. Postseason-minded Jacksonville (currently AFC No. 6 seed) has played Indy tough enough lately to suggest it can take this one to the wire. TV—NFL NETWORK

 

[Casher808]

LuckyDaySports.com

Thursday’s Comp Play

NFL

Take UNDER (43) in the Indianapolis at Jacksonville game

 

[dacooler]

Ben Burns | NFL Side Thu, 12/17/09 - 8:20 PM
*triple-dime bet 302 JAC 3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 301 IND
Analysis: I'm taking the points with JACKSONVILLE.

While the Saints may care about trying to achieve a perfect season, I really don't think its that important to the Colts - they've been here before and their goal is to win the Super Bowl. That said, I expect the Jags to be the hungrier team and look for them to rise to the occasion and end the Colts' perfect season. *10 Main Event

Paid and confirmed by me.

I can't post the pick detail or CPAW will delete it anyway so this is just a portion of the write up.


I don't delete the write ups because I take joy out of it, they can shut us down for that.

 

[LLXC13]

Nick Parsons

PICK: Jacksonville Jaguars Your pick will be graded at: 3
TITLE: *10* #1 NFL SHOCKER OF SEASON! 22-10/69% REASON FOR PICK: With their collective "backs-against-the-wall" I look for the Jaguars to do just enough to come away with the ATS victory or outright win in this one:


*10*

 

[Grecman]

David Banks
Member Selection

Under Bulls/Knicks

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow

NBA

1 unit Portland -2.5

 

[Anthonyd4]

Big Al Thursday GOY---Jags


Fargo 10*---Jags

 

[Grecman]

Fade this faggot...

Brandon Lang

25 DIME - JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS - (if 3 you buy to 3 1/2, if 2 1/2 you buy 3. Make sure you get 3 to 3 1/2 if you can.) - I have a home underdog playing for their season against a foe they are very familiar with. Points are at a premium.

So many times the NFL season is about motivation. Who has it and who doesn't.

For my dollar, 100% of the motivation of this football game falls squarely on the shoulders of this Jags team.

Win and playoff hopes are alive. Lose and for all intents and purposes your season is over.

The blood, sweat, and hardwork you put forth all year long comes down to one home game against your arch rival who you always play tough.

The Jags are 7-2-1 ATS last 10 versus Indy. They played them very tough week one and most certainly will play them tough here.

Trust me folks, this Jags team has buried me. They did last year at home against the Steelers, and earlier this year at San Francisco.

But I won't let that take away from the 100% belief they are the right side of this game and I am going down swinging on what I feel is the right side.

Let us first start with the fact that the Jags have only lost back-to-back games once this year and that was their first 2 games of the year against Indy and the Arizona Cardinals week 2.

While Indy will rest injured players most notably Freeney and Mathis, only their two best pass rushers, the Jags get back their 2 best defense players in Rashean Mathis and John Henderson.

I have made big money with the Colts this year. They were my 75 dime winner over the Ravens. They were my 40 dime winner over the Broncos last week. They were a 15 dime winner over the Patriots.

However they are in a really bad emotional flat spot here facing a team playing in front of their biggest crowd of the year playing for season and I am getting points.

It's no secret the Jags are a terrible home favorite as evidenced by their 2-12 ATS run last 14 time laying points at home but they are not the favorite tonight, they are the home dog.

The Jags have been a home dog twice this year and they took care of business in both contests.

They were catching 3 from the Titans and blasted them 37-17, and they were catching 2 from the Texans and took care of them 23-18.

People, all things considered, I just can't see the Colts matching the intensity the Jags will have in this game for 60 minutes after accomplishing every regular season goal they had to start the year.

Division title. First round bye. Homefield advantage to the Super bowl. Mission accomplished last week over Denver.

After this game the Colts have a home game versus the physical Jets #1 defense and #1 run game in the NFL then go to cold Buffalo to finish the season.

If you accept the fact 16-0 was never a goal and isn't something they are hanging their hat on, it is then you realize the home dog is the play in this game tonight.

NFL is about intensity. Who has it to start with, who can match it and who can sustain it for 60 minutes.

The intensity for this game across the board is with the Jags and I will grab the 3 1/2 points with the home dog against an opponent they are very familiar with and comfortable playing against and covering against.

I've always said for whatever reason the Jags matchup well with Indy. They did in week one and they will here tonight.

Last point. The last 6 times Indy has tried to sweep the Jags in the regular season, they are 0-6 ATS. That is good enough for me.

Call this "Custard's Last Stand" and I will call for Jacksonville to fair a bit better than good old Custard did against the Indians.

FREE SELECTION - NEW YORK KNICKS

 

[Lt.Dan]

RAS:

All for 1 Unit

707 Auburn +10'

714 Fresno -13'

718 E'ville -10

 

[saku]

TheInsiderSports

12.17

Soccer Europa League
double chance: Bate Borisov - Draw +102
3/10
SIA

Volleyball Champions League Women, Pool D
Sant Orsola Asystel Novara -205
3/10
5dimes

 

[Pound]

I have Stan Sharp on the way. His plays will be uploaded by 5:30 pn EST