Dr. Bob Sports
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Dallas Cowboys @
Minnesota Vikings[/h][h=4]Rotation: 301, Odds: Minnesota Vikings +3, Total: 44
Game Analysis[/h]A Thursday game in which two teams had a full week of rest to prepare post their Thanksgiving losses will feature two of the slowest tempo teams in the NFL. The Cowboys are one of the best teams at chewing clock, averaging 29.7 seconds per play (2nd slowest in the league), as they play with leads in an attempt to keep their below average defense off the field. Dallas has the highest offensive success rate in the league at 54.4%, which is even more impressive considering their run-heavy offense (51.9% run), the next closest team, the Bills, is a full 3% points behind them. Minnesota plays with the 6th slowest adjusted tempo although their offense has not been good, ranking 25th in efficiency and 31st in explosiveness, as they want to induce variance on the offensive side. Minnesota has a negative yards per play differential and has benefited from a +12 turnover differential that helped them get off to their fast start, but has since tapered off along with their record (1-5 since starting 5-0). The advanced stats model sees two teams who chew clock and value on the Under, so UNDER (44) is a Strong Opinion. Lean to Dallas (-3).
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Game Analysis[/h]A Thursday game in which two teams had a full week of rest to prepare post their Thanksgiving losses will feature two of the slowest tempo teams in the NFL. The Cowboys are one of the best teams at chewing clock, averaging 29.7 seconds per play (2nd slowest in the league), as they play with leads in an attempt to keep their below average defense off the field. Dallas has the highest offensive success rate in the league at 54.4%, which is even more impressive considering their run-heavy offense (51.9% run), the next closest team, the Bills, is a full 3% points behind them. Minnesota plays with the 6th slowest adjusted tempo although their offense has not been good, ranking 25th in efficiency and 31st in explosiveness, as they want to induce variance on the offensive side. Minnesota has a negative yards per play differential and has benefited from a +12 turnover differential that helped them get off to their fast start, but has since tapered off along with their record (1-5 since starting 5-0). The advanced stats model sees two teams who chew clock and value on the Under, so UNDER (44) is a Strong Opinion. Lean to Dallas (-3).
