Service Plays Thursday 11/6/08

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IndianCowboy

Maryland Terrapins @ Virginia Tech Hokies
3 units Maryland Terrapins +3 (POD)
 

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Trace Adams

Trace Adams

1500* - Utah Utes, 500* - Denver-Cleveland OVER
Talk about a huge clash this Thursday night! Here you have TCU coming in with just 1 loss on the season, while Utah is still unbeaten, and BCS dreaming.



The Utes saw Ball State torch Northern Illinois last night, and while Utah is facing a much stiffer test than the Cardinals did last night, Utah has had TCU's number of late, winning outright in the last pair of meetings, and losing by just 3 back in 2005 to the Frogs.



No doubt TCU's defense has been tighter than a virgin on prom night, but this is a very tough spot for the Horned Frogs who played on the road (in a romp at UNLV), last Saturday, and now must travel to play in altitude for their second straight roadie off short rest.



The Frogs are just 2-5 straight up their last 7 Thursday nighters - although they did crush BYU 32-7 on Thursday night a few weeks ago - while Utah is 15-3 straight up in the month of November their last 18.



Not crazy about laying the small road wood with TCU tonight, as Utah has been a home dog only twice since Kyle Whittingham has been the coach, and they are a perfect 2-0 both straight up, and against the spread.



Go with the Utes!



1500♦ - Utah Utes



In the NFL, I am looking for the points to pile up in Cleveland tonight.



True, Brady Quinn is getting his first start for the Browns, but the Denver defense is one injured bunch, and they have been giving up points at an alarming clip. The Broncos are allowing an average of almost 30 points per game over their last 7 games!



Meanwhile, Cleveland was up 27-13 on Sunday at home against Baltimore, and allowed 24 unanswered as they lost 37-27. Cleveland's defense had actually looked solid prior to the Ravnes uprising, as they hadn't allowed over 17 in any of their previous 4 contests. I have a feeling the defense is going to get gouged here.



The Broncos are currently on a 9-3-1 OVER clip their last 13 on the road, and I don't see that trend revealing an UNDER to us in this one tonight.



The offenses dictate tonight, as Denver and Cleveland put some big numbers up on the Browns Stadium scoreboard tonight.



500♦ - Denver-Cleveland OVER

bought and paid for therefore confirmed
 

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Brian King


Maryland football is the bastard step child in the D.C Regions legion of College Football fans. You will find Ohio State fans, Penn State fans and of course Wahoos and Hokies, more than you can stand. But Maryland is the school everyone ignores and pushes to the side.

Not tonight. Ralph Friedgen has turned this program around. I am so impressed with Maryland this year. They have hit the bumps in the road but they have performed at other times in an outstanding fashion. And despite that loss to UVA I think they are the best College Football program in the region (VA / MD / DC) in 2008.

They have the ACC's top rusher in Da'Rel Scott who has a question mark over him tonight but word around College Park is he will be on the field tonight looking to help Maryland get by Virginia Tech. The Hokies meanwhile have concerns of their own with Tyrod Taylor and Sean Glennon's status in doubt. Not that going to their third string QB would matter for this abysmal Hokies offense. Beamer has relied on defense and special teams all season but tonight he faces a team in Maryland that has its own proud Special Teams unit and a defense that is pretty damn tough (remember that hit on that Cal receiver who threw up on the field...if you have not seen it here it is http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KFYB9ZEWs94)

Maryland also, unlike Tech, has an offense capable of putting points on the board. A key match up tonight will be Heyward-Bey versus the Tech secondary. If Chris Turner can get the ball to Heyward-Bey and avoid any costly mistakes Maryland will have a fairly easy time tonight.

Prior to dropping three in a row to Tech Maryland had won six straight in the series. Look for the Terps to get the big win tonight and take another step towards an ACC Title shot in a fiercely fought contest that the Terps should at least be able to stay inside the number. In their five games against unranked opponents this year the Terps have only been outscored 110-106. No way a deficient Tech team that is a dismal 0-4 SU and ATS after a bye week runs away with this. Look for Maryland to keep it close with a chance to win it in the fourth quarter. Maryland plus the points is the play tonight.





MARYLAND (+3) 25 Dimes










One of the first lessons I learned was to ride a streak until it ends. I do not always follow this rule. Tonight I will. Thursday Night home dog has been solid all year and we find Utah in that spot tonight. This is a huge game for the school with a planned black out and a capacity crowd in what may be some unpleasant weather conditions.

TCU is a Texas team not acclimated to the environment they find themselves playing in tonight with cold temps and a possibility of snow. This is the Utes house and they find themselves playing for a lot in this game tonight including a continued run at a perfect season and a potential January bowl date. The loser meanwhile will not be playing in January.

TCU is on their second straight road game and traveling on a short week to altitude. I am giving Utah the clear advantage here coming off a short week as well but playing at home off a mistake prone game last week against New Mexico. The Utes had nine penalties a muffed punt and a late interception while threatening in their 13-10 win. We catch them here at a great price off that uninspired effort last week while TCU has been steamrolling opponents on their way to rattling off 5 straight by an average of 28.4 ppg.

Thing is Utah has won nine straight at home, they are averaging 39 ppg, they have a 15-3 SU mark in November including 5-3 on Thursdays. All this and they hold a 4-1 SU advantage over TCU with an average score of 24-15. Meanwhile TCU is just 2-5 SU on Thursdays and their defense will be facing a very stiff challenge from veteran signal caller Brian Johnson and a Utah rushing game that has rushed for 520 yards over their last two games. We will see tonight if TCU is the real deal and their third ranked scoring defense and leading run defense can slow this Utah stampede. The Utes faithful will be out in force and the team that makes less mistakes wins. With Sophomore Andy Dalton at QB I see TCU losing the turnover battle.

Last year Andy Dalton struggled against Utah in a 27-20 Utes victory. He threw four picks in that game and now travels as a sophomore to Utah where the welcome will be anything but friendly. Utah has won four of the five meetings with TCU and everyone is jumping on this TCU bandwagon. Problem is those people are a week late to that party. Utah tonight in a thriller that will be closer than it should. Take Utah and the points to get it done tonight.

UTAH (+1') 25 Dimes
 

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phil steel's northcoast sports // 2 star clev-3 // marquis-utah+1- // top opinions tcu under 43,den over 46 // reg opinions v tech-3,v tech under 41- // THESE PLAYS ARE PAID AND CONFIRMED
 

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Trace Adams

1500* - Utah Utes, 500* - Denver-Cleveland OVER
Talk about a huge clash this Thursday night! Here you have TCU coming in with just 1 loss on the season, while Utah is still unbeaten, and BCS dreaming.



The Utes saw Ball State torch Northern Illinois last night, and while Utah is facing a much stiffer test than the Cardinals did last night, Utah has had TCU's number of late, winning outright in the last pair of meetings, and losing by just 3 back in 2005 to the Frogs.



No doubt TCU's defense has been tighter than a virgin on prom night, but this is a very tough spot for the Horned Frogs who played on the road (in a romp at UNLV), last Saturday, and now must travel to play in altitude for their second straight roadie off short rest.



The Frogs are just 2-5 straight up their last 7 Thursday nighters - although they did crush BYU 32-7 on Thursday night a few weeks ago - while Utah is 15-3 straight up in the month of November their last 18.



Not crazy about laying the small road wood with TCU tonight, as Utah has been a home dog only twice since Kyle Whittingham has been the coach, and they are a perfect 2-0 both straight up, and against the spread.



Go with the Utes!



1500♦ - Utah Utes



In the NFL, I am looking for the points to pile up in Cleveland tonight.



True, Brady Quinn is getting his first start for the Browns, but the Denver defense is one injured bunch, and they have been giving up points at an alarming clip. The Broncos are allowing an average of almost 30 points per game over their last 7 games!



Meanwhile, Cleveland was up 27-13 on Sunday at home against Baltimore, and allowed 24 unanswered as they lost 37-27. Cleveland's defense had actually looked solid prior to the Ravnes uprising, as they hadn't allowed over 17 in any of their previous 4 contests. I have a feeling the defense is going to get gouged here.



The Broncos are currently on a 9-3-1 OVER clip their last 13 on the road, and I don't see that trend revealing an UNDER to us in this one tonight.



The offenses dictate tonight, as Denver and Cleveland put some big numbers up on the Browns Stadium scoreboard tonight.



500♦ - Denver-Cleveland OVER
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Ryan "Huge" Campbell

tonights play: Utah +2

hes 2-0 since being posted on this board (hit: steelers +2.5 and ball state -9). still think hes a good fade, but do as u like.
 

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Robert Ferringo

1-Unit Play. Take Maryland (+3) over Virginia Tech (7:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 6)
 

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John Fina
Football for November 6, 2008

NCAA - 3 units on Maryland/Virginia Tech Over 40.5 (-110)

NCAA - 3 units on TCU -1.5 (-110)

2-Team NCAA Football Parlay (Risk: 1 Unit - Payout: 2.5 Units):
-Maryland/Virginia Tech Over 40.5
-TCU -1.5
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Bryan Leonard's Rare 4* TV Game of the Month (Thursday)

TCU at Utah We have said all along that the Horned Frogs are the best team in the Mountain West Conference and Vegas agrees making them a 2 point road favorite at undefeated Utah. The only blemish for TCU was a 35-10 loss at Oklahoma. The Sooners were looking to avenge their last home loss which came in 2005 when this same TCU program beat Oklahoma 17-10 on the road. Even in defeat the Horned Frogs were only outgained 435-314 but a 4-0 turnover disadvantage took them completely out of their game. TCU's most impressive victory this season was a 32-7 beat down of previous unbeaten BYU. They also took care of Stanford 31-14 winning the yardage battle 378-193. The TCU defense has held eight different opponents to their season low yardage, the most of any FBS squad. They also rank as the second best defense in the country right behind USC. They have held 7 of their 10 opponents this season to under 10 points. Simply put this offense is amazing and we can't see the Utes putting many points on the board. Utah is a perfect 9-0 on the season with their most impressive victories being a 31-28 home victory over Oregon State and a 25-23 win at Michigan. They were outgained in the win over the Beavers 405-337 and lowly Toledo also beat Michigan on the road. So despite the lofty ranking and the undefeated record Utah has done nothing to deserve all this credit. Much has been made about Utah beating TCU the last two seasons but this is a far better Horned Frogs team. Head coach Gary Patterson talked about that in his weekly press conference saying that the last time his team faced Utah QB Andy Dalton was a very raw and inexperienced player. Now he is a confident leader who has improved immensely from a season ago. In that game Utah won 27-20 and they had a plus three turnover advantage. Considering that TCU has only turned the ball over 11 times in 10 games we don't see that being a problem in this game. TCU has the better depth which is big at this time of season. Patterson said that every time his team has gotten a big lead this season he has rested his starters and that has helped his team stay relatively injury free. The second string defense played a great deal last week against UNLV and they still held the solid Rebel offense to 14 points and 175 total yards. TCU has allowed more than 14 points once all season, to Oklahoma one of the best offenses in the country. Utah is solid offensively but we can't expect more than 17 points from the host here. Look for the superior defense of the Horned Frogs to be the difference as TCU wins a low scoring physical game. PLAY TCU
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<DT class=dtPgTop>Sat, 11/08/08 - 2:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet <DT>160 Nebraska 0.0 (-110) Bodog vs 159 Kansas <DD>Analysis: *** NCAAFB 3* POD-CAST PLAY of the WEEK ***

Guys, I wanted to let my Subscribers in on the Pod-Cast Play which I will be passing along this evening, when we do this week's show...
This is a 3* BEST BET and with the "Outfits" already taking a position on Nebraska and "steaming" them as soon as the number was posted...we may see followers push this number to where we can possibly set up a middle, like the last time (KENT ST)...But we will cross that bridge when we get to it...but for know, let's go ahead and make a 3 Unit bet on Nebraska...
</DD>vegas-runner | NFL Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
<DT>108 CLE (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 107 DEN <DD>Analysis: *** NFL & NCAAFB 3* MIXED TEASER : BEST BET of the DAY ***


BROWNS +4 & UNDER 49 TCU/UTAH (3*)...Teaser...
</DD>
 

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IndianCowboy

Maryland Terrapins @ Virginia Tech Hokies
3 units Maryland Terrapins +3 (POD)
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Sports Firm

Texas Christian Horned Frogs at Utah Utes
Play Under 43

Christian Horned Frogs at Utah Utes
Play Utah

Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic
Play Under 192

Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic
Play 76ers
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Dontcallmejerom--

EARLY SATURDAY TEASER 6pts

MINNESOTA -2
GEORGIA TCH +10


He will release 2 more teasers and 3-5 SU plays.
 

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Rock or Blade

Any one Have the Rock or Blade?

Chuck Luck is 5 * on TCU
 

GL today!!!!!!!!
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BOB BALFE

NFL Football
Cleveland -3 over Denver
Both teams are playing on a short week, but this will hurt Denver more due to the Travel and spending their nights in a hotel. Cleveland made the switch to Brady Quinn who is perfectly capable of running this offense. Denver has some running back issues and they have a rookie fullback. I do not see the Broncos running to much on Cleveland tonight. If you make a team unbalanced you can go for interceptions and really put them away. We all saw what Cleveland did on MNF to the Giants. This team is perfectly capable of winning big games. Also, Cleveland knows that another loss with all but crush their chance at a playoff spot. Look for Cleveland to have a good offensive game against a very bad Broncos defense. Take the Browns.

College Football
Maryland/Vtech Under 41.5
Maryland is the true definition of hot and cold. You never know what team you are going to get. Virginia Tech usually always plays good home defense and should slow up the Terps Da'Rel Scott. Scott is a great running back, but his shoulder has been slowing him down and I don't see him putting up a lot of yards tonight. When Tech is on offense they will be slowed by both QB's having Ankle injuries. We all are so used to Beamer Ball and VTech getting special teams TD's however it seems like this team is just not as good as they were in years pasts. Both teams should step it up on defense keep this low scoring. Take the Under.

Utah +1.5 over TCU
Both of these teams are outstanding and credit has to be given to TCU's defense. TCU has not allowed more than 14 pt's in any game except for their loss vs Oklahoma. Utah's defense is not far behind and I do like Brian Johnson their QB in a big game like this. Both teams can run the ball well, but yards will be hard to come by tonight. I do give the passing edge slightly to Utah and this home crowd and sub freezing temperatures have to favor the Utes who are used to the cold. Take Utah.

NBA Basketball
Trailblazers +5 over Rockets
 
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ASA

Pro Football Picks
11/6/2008
7:15:00 PM CLEVELAND BROWNS (-3)
over Denver Broncos
ASA's 3-Star #108 @ Cleveland Browns (-3) over Denver Broncos - 7:15 pm CST
 
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Kanesline
(POD)

11/06/08

NFL Thursday Night
Football

NFL Channel

Denver Broncos at
Cleveland Browns

Denver Broncos by 1

Projected Score:

Denver Broncos 21

Cleveland Browns 20

Pick:Take Denver Broncos +3.5

Trend to Watch:

Play on Denver Broncos using the moneyline in all games
against a team with a losing record. They are 7-1. We will
take the spread in lieu of the moneyline for the play of the
day.

System Picks

Football

11/06/08 NCAAF spreads (college football)

11/06/08 Maryland Terrapins +2.5

11/06/08 TCU Horned Frogs -1.5

11/06/08 NCAAF Totals (college football)

11/06/08 None

11/06/08 NFL Totals

11/06/08 Denver Broncos/Cleveland Browns
UNDER 46

11/06/08 NFL Moneylines

11/06/08 Denver Broncos moneyline +154
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