Service Plays Thursday 11/6/08

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10* Take Cleveland (-3) over Denver (NFL Power Play)
8:15 PM EST

Denver
• 1-7 ATS in all games this season
• 2-9 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons
• 0-12 ATS when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points
• 3-13 ATS when playing with 6 days or less of rest



10* Take TCU (-2) over Utah (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST

TCU
• 9-0 ATS coming off two or more conference wins the last 3 seasons
• 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season
• 14-3 ATS when playing in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 years



10* Take Maryland (+3) over Virginia Tech (NCAA Power Play)
7:45 PM EST

Virginia Tech
• 5-9 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons
• 0-2 ATS coming off a two game road trip
• 0-4 SU & ATS coming off a bye week
 

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Drew Gordon..

Courtesy of bigdaveyt and Big Coors Light

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Today's Games...
1. 100,000♦ Virginia Tech
2. 50,000♦ Browns

1. Virginia Tech- First things first, let's begin with the situational angles in this contest. I don't particularly like the way the Terrapins are coming into this game, off back-to-back home wins, including a piss-poor effort against NC State in their last one. They've been known to disappear completely on the road (31-0 loss at Virginia comes to mind), and now face a Virginia Tech team in desperate need of a win.

Speaking of situational angles, its hard to argue against the Hokies, who've lost two straight tough ACC games on the road, and now return home in a must-win redemption game. I just don't see Va. Tech losing a 3rd straight game, especially at home, where they are dominant defensively, allowing just 12 ppg on 292 yards of total offense this season! Look for the Hokies to come into this game highly focused and extremely motivated.

Next, we have to discuss injuries, because the public is completely overreacting to the Hokies QB situation. First of all, latest reports are Glennon is probable, which is music to my ears, because Tyrod Taylor isn't really a quarterback, and Glennon will keep the Terrapins defense honest with his arm. But on the chance that Glennon is out, QB Cory Holt is an adequate backup. Yes, he's only thrown a few passes in his college career, but he's a 5th year senior. In other words, he's intimately familiar with the system, and he proved his worth (somewhat) in limited action in very hostile territory last week at Florida State. Also, as a side note, Maryland RB Scott is listed as probable, so expect he'll play.

Finally, the one thing Va. Tech does really well at home besides defense, is run the football, averaging 203 rushing yards per game in Blacksburg. What people don't realize is this plays right into the weakness of this Terrapins stop-unit, which is allowing 153 rushing yards per game on 4.5 yards per carry on the road this season! With Glennon or Holt leading the huddle, and a solid run game mowing down a vulnerable Terrapins rush defense, look for the Hokies offense to perform just fine tonight at home.

Bottom line, this is a game the Hokies absolutely must win, and don't get too caught up in the QB situation, as they have an adequate backup and a solid run game to compliment him (a QB's best friend). In the end, its the Hokies nasty defense, and desperation to win that earn them the W in this one, as Maryland runs into a wall tonight at Blacksburg.

Take Virginia Tech over Maryland as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Browns- Let's make one thing clear, Brady Quinn has been groomed for this since day 1. He's being put in the absolute best position to win, with a talented offense, at home, against an extremely vulnerable Broncos defense. And enough about the short-week, as Quinn has had a YEAR to prep for this, and you best believe he'll be ready.

But for all the talk about Quinn, the true gamechanger in this contest will be RB Jamal Lewis, who has had his best games at home this season (except against the Ravens, which is understandable). Denver defense has been atrocious on the road, allowing a whopping 206 rushing yards per game this season, and football 101 teaches us, a young QBs best friend is a solid run game, and Quinn WILL have that tonight.

Not only that, but on the flip side, coach Crennel has this Browns defense playing well, allowing 20 ppg on 348 total yards this season. That's a big improvement from last season's debacle, and with the Broncos offense struggling, averaging just 13 ppg on 305 total yards last 3 games, the Browns stop-unit is poised for another strong effort tonight at home.

Finally, from a trend standpoint, there's no question you have to like the Browns, who are a sterling 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Broncos on the other hand, are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games, including ugly SUATS losses at Kanas City and at New England in their last two roadies!

Bottom line, Quinn won't be great, but he'll do just enough to compliment a strong run game led by Jamal Lewis against a porous Broncos defense. Denver was able to rely on its high-powered offense in the early going, but lately, its been anything but high-powered. In the end, look for the Browns to rally behind their new leader, while the Broncos flounder once again on the road!

Take the Browns over the Broncos in this Thursday night NFL match up.
 

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MTi Sports

Houston Rockets at Portland Trail Blazers

The Rockets are 0-7 ATS (-7.1 ppg) on the road with at most one day of rest off a home loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak and 0-4 ATS (-7.9 ppg) as a favorite when facing a conference opponent for the first time in the current season that they beat in their last three meetings from the previous season.

Play on: Portland
 

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Karl Garrett

Maryland at VIRGINIA TECH -3

Going to go with Virginia Tech tonight as the small home favorite, as I really don’t see the Hokies losing their third in a row in this spot. The last time Tech lost 3 in a row in the regular season was back in 2002, so expect a prideful effort from these Hokies tonight under the home lights.

True, V-Tech has a pair of QB’s dealing with ankle sprains, but senior Sean Glennon is listed as probable for this one, and that is good enough for me.

The Hokies have won 25 of their last 28 homes games straight up, and with this price being so small, all we pretty much have to do is win this game for us to cover.

Maryland is just 5-10 against the spread their last 15 on the road, and I think they are due for a road loss in this one tonight. The last time these teams met was back in 2005, Va Tech scoring a 28-9 win at Maryland as the 10-point favorite.

Similar result tonight from Blacksburg. Take the Hokies minus the number.

1♦ VIRGINIA TECH
 

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JEFF BENTON

For Thursday, we’ll turn to College Football and play the Virginia Tech-Maryland game UNDER the total.

Pretty small number here, especially given the fact the first three weekday games this week have easily hurdled over the total. However, there are several key indicators that suggest a low-scoring game in Blacksburg, Va., tonight. First off, Maryland has scored a grand total of 34 points in three road games, all of them going under with combined point totals of 31, 37 and 38. In fact, if you go back to last season, the under is 7-0 in the Terps’ last seven road games, with none of those seven contests featuring more than 40 total points.

Meanwhile, if you go back to 2005, Virginia Tech has played 18 home games against Division I-A foes, and 14 have stayed under the total, including both lined games this year against Western Kentucky (27-13) and Georgia Tech (20-17).

Lastly, when these squads play in these nationally televised Thursday night contests, points historically have been hard to come by. Consider: The under is 7-0 in Virginia Tech’s last seven Thursday games and 8-2 in Maryland’s last 10. Add it all up, and there’s only one way to look at this contest, and that’s UNDER the posted total.

5♦ Maryland-Virginia Tech UNDER
 

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SCOTT DELANEY

Two straight NBA winners right here, and the third time is a charm so let’s bank the Rockets in Portland.

After last night’s seven-point loss in Salt Lake City, I don’t expect Portland to be ready to step on the floor and challenge the rejuvenated Rockets, who had the night off and will be looking to avenge their loss to Boston two nights back.

With nine of Houston’s next 11 on the road, the Rockets need to seize an opportunity to gain some momentum on this current West Coast jaunt, which includes trips to L.A. for a clash with the Lakers, and a stop over in Phoenix.

Nevertheless, the Rockets have been one of the best road teams in the league over the past two seasons, posting back-to-back identical marks of 24-17 away from home. And going back to last season the Rockets have covered 19 of 28 road games.

They’ve also covered 19 of their last 27 that came after one days rest.

This is a win and cover with the road team that is far more talented.

HOUSTON ROCKETS
 

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Nostradamus

Utah +2
Orlando -5
NY Islanders +130
Rangers/Wash Parlay 100/153
Minn/Colo Under 5.5
Los Angelos -135
 

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Play of th YEAR

Utah 23 TCU 17

We have a real good one brewing in Utah tonight when 2 undefeated BCS hopefuls go toe to toe. The Loser will not be playing in January, The winner a possible BCS Bowl bid. That is a lot to play for and as witnessed last week, the Utes have been thinking about this one for weeks.

Last week the Utes barely squeaked by New Mexico 13-10, a game in which they should have walked away with. Plenty of offense but too many miscues. That will not happen again with the well focused Utes. The best player on the field will be Utah QB Brian Johnson. Although we have seen some conservative play from the offensive co-ordinator this year to keep Johnson healthy, tonight the unleash him and allow him to show his duel threat capabilities. This is a must win and nothing will be held back. Johnson comes in #2 in the MWC in pass efficiency behind BYU's Hall. When running the ball the Utes have 2 healthy RB's in Asiata and Mack. Last year Mack rambled for 109 yards against the Frogs defence. Now the Frogs rush defence allows 1.4 ypc but this Utes squad can run the ball. Mind you, Wyoming ran for 113 yards 2 weeks agao against this defense, so possibly, Mack or Asiata can hit the century mark again.

Last week the 13 points was a Utes low. This week they are back on turf so look for more offense still. After all, this Utes team has rushed for over 500 yards in their last 2 games! To make things tougher for the Frogs Defence the Utes will show some option plays tonight.

On to the Frogs offense. I have a big concern with the temperature tonight. Chances of snow and the temp will be cold. Not to the liking of a Texas team that never practices in the cold. Last year QB Dalton was a dismal 20-45 for just 164 yards against the Utes D, This years rendition is even better so Dalton may have a few more problems tonight. Granted Dalton has tossed for 9 TD's and 0 INTS in his last 3 games but just look at the level of competition.

The Utes have won 4 of the last 5 in this series, look for that to move to 5 of 6... How can the Utes be dogs at home? Utah Straight up Winner!
 

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LVTR

Maryland +3


Utah +2

Orlando -5


Bonus Play: Under in Orlando-Phily
 

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ike Huguenin

Maryland (6-2) at Virginia Tech (5-3), 7:30 p.m., ESPN
The buzz: Maryland is atop the ACC Atlantic Division, and Virginia Tech is one of five teams with two losses in the ACC Coastal Division. In other words, this is an important game in the ACC - especially for the Hokies.
The line: Virginia Tech by 2.5. The pick: Virginia Tech 21-20.



TCU (9-1) at Utah (9-0), 8 p.m., CBS College Sports
The buzz: This is one of the biggest games of the month. If Utah wins, the Utes remain in excellent shape for a BCS bid. The same goes for TCU, which already owns a blowout win over BYU. TCU leads the nation in rush defense and is second overall. Utah is eighth in rush defense and is seventh overall.
The line: TCU by 2. The pick: Utah 21-17.
 

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Mountain West Game of the Week

Thursday, November 6
TCU (9-1) at Utah (9-0), 8 EST CBS College Sports
Why to watch: It’s part two of the three part playoff for the Mountain West title. TCU passed round one with flying colors, obliterating BYU with a 32-7 nationally televised statement. Part three will be Utah’s date with BYU on November 22nd, but that could be rendered moot if the Horned Frogs can win this week.

More than just a battle for the Mountain West title, this week’s game has a big impact on the BCS as Utah is ranked eighth and TCU 12th. The BCS has to take a team from a non-BCS conference if it finishes in the top 12, or in the top 16 if a BCS conference champion finishes lower. While Boise State, currently 10th, is likely to end up fitting the criteria, the BCS would likely be more interested in the Mountain West champion considering the league’s out-of-conference success.

Utah, on a ten-game winning streak going back to last year, is coming off one of its rougher performances, squeaking by a mediocre New Mexico 13-10. It was the fourth time this season the Utes had won a game by a touchdown or less, while TCU roared past UNLV 44-14 in yet another blowout. The Horned Frogs have allowed 14 points or fewer in all nine of their wins, with the one loss coming to Oklahoma.

Why TCU might win: Utah is undefeated with the one big win coming over Oregon State. That was by three. The Air Force win was by seven, and the opening day win at Michigan, which seemed like such a big deal at the time, was by two. Basically, every game against a decent team has been a struggle so far for the Utes, with the blowouts coming against teams like Wyoming, Weber State, and Utah State. This isn’t an explosive Utah team; it relies on a decent running game, an efficient passing attack, and defense. However, the offensive line can’t pass block. That’s a big, big problem considering TCU leads the nation in sacks and is fourth in tackles for loss.
Why Utah might win: TCU isn’t just about defense. The offense is second in the Mountain West and leads the league in scoring. However, the attack revolves around a good running game and a strong offensive line. The Utah defensive front doesn’t get to the quarterback like TCU’s does, but it gets into the backfield and is a brick wall, for the most part, against the run. Utah QB Brian Johnson might not have the wheels and mobility he had before suffering a knee injury a few years ago, but he can move just enough to counteract the TCU pass rush by getting to the outside and moving around to keep plays alive.
Who to watch: Everything the amazing TCU defense does has overshadowed the play from sophomore QB Andy Dalton. He was a caretaker over the first half of the season, mostly asked to hand the ball off, make a third down throw here and there, and to not screw up. He did that well, and he was a good runner. After getting knocked out for a few games, he returned to be more of a passer, throwing nine touchdown passes in the last three games after not throwing any in his first five. He hasn’t stopped running with 308 yards and six scores on the year.
What will happen: It’ll be a super-charged defensive battle with each team coming up with big stop after big stop. However, TCU will do a better job of getting into the backfield, and Dalton will be more effective running the ball than Johnson. The power running of the Utes won’t get the job done.
CFN Prediction: TCU 17 … Utah 14 ... Line: TCU -2.5
Must See Rating: (5 The Non-Stop Election Coverage – 1 The Non-Stop Election Analysis) … 5



ACC Game of the Week
Maryland (5-3) at Virginia Tech (5-3), 7:30 EST, ESPN, Thursday, November 6
Why to watch: In a league where all but two teams are in the hunt for a divisional title, every game will hold importance in November. While Maryland has taken over sole possession of first place in the Atlantic, Virginia Tech is clinging for dear life in the Coastal. The Hokies have lost consecutive games to Florida State and Boston College, and both of their primary quarterbacks in a freakishly bad day in Tallahassee. Starter Tyrod Taylor and backup Sean Glennon were in protective boots during the bye week, meaning little-used senior Cory Holt could be at the controls for this pivotal game. The Terrapins have won five of their last six since inexplicably losing to Middle Tennessee, but remain one of the country’s most unpredictable programs. Maryland has injury issues of its own on both sides of the ball, including RB Da’Rel Scott, LB Dave Philistin, and CB Kevin Barnes, so stability will continue to escape it.
Why Maryland might win: How is Virginia Tech going to generate any offense? Things were bad enough in Blacksburg for the nation’s 113th-ranked offense before Taylor and Glennon got hurt. Now, the Hokies may have to give the ball to a player who’s spent most of the year playing wide receiver. And his backup during practice has been massive TE Greg Boone. Even if Taylor does play, a bad ankle will neutralize his dangerous athleticism outside the pocket. Maryland will be able to move linebackers Moise Fokou, Rick Costa, and Alex Wujciak up to the line of scrimmage, daring Holt to beat them with his arm.
Why Virginia Tech might win: The Hokies are still in contention in the ACC because the defense is playing well. Tech ranks 28th overall, and is among the league leaders in sacks and turnover margin. With ends Orion Martin and Jason Worilds applying outside pressure, and linebackers Purnell Sturdivant and Brett Warren clogging running lanes, it’ll control the line of scrimmage and put QB Chris Turner in a position of having to do too much. If Scott is anything less than 100%, the job of moving the ball on the ground will belong to Davin Meggett, who’s talented, but he’s just a true freshman.
Who to watch: The one-on-one battle between Maryland WR Darrius Heyward-Bey and Tech CB Victor Harris will be one of the most entertaining games-within-the game of the entire weekend. Both are dynamic playmakers with next level skills and sizable egos. If Turner locks in on Heyward-Bey too much, Harris will pick his pocket and take his passes the other way.
What will happen: Had Virginia Tech not had a bye last week, getting Holt ready would have been a lot tougher. With time to prepare, however, the senior will be a capable game manager. Plus, it’s not as if he’ll be replacing one of the nation’s prolific passers, so the drop-off won’t be as steep as many expect. The Hokies will survive on the strength of the defense, three Dustin Keys field goals, and the Lane Stadium home crowd on a Thursday night.
CFN Prediction: Virginia Tech 26 … Maryland 20 ... Line: Virginia Tech -3Must See Rating: (5 The Non-Stop Election Coverage – 1 The Non-Stop Election
 
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BRANDON LANG

THURSDAY

15 Dime TCU -

5 Dime Teaser Broncos and Over -


FREE - Maryland/Va Tech Under
 

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Pointwise

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THURSDAY

Maryland 24 - VIRGINIA TECH 17 - (7:45 - ESPN) -- Of course, it all depends on
the spread, as the dog is +144½ pts ATS in Terp games this yr (+134½ in their
4 ACC contests). Rested off taking NCSt in final 0:06, with RB Scott at 718
yds. VT lost QBs Taylor & Glennon in loss to FlaSt, & ranks 114th on offense.


Tcu 30 - UTAH 20 - (8:00) -- 10th-ranked Utes vs 11th-ranked Frogs. Utah still
perfect (9-0), are at 37.5 ppg last 8, behind QB Johnson, & rank 6th on "D".
But TCU is smoking, with a 126-28 pt edge the past 3 wks. Rank 2nd in total
"D", & 1st vs the run. Dalton threw 4 INTs LY, so don't expect such gifts again
 

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Edge= Browns by 3 and OVER...

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NFL Preview - Denver (4-4) at Cleveland (3-5)




By Tony Moss, NFL Editor

(Sports Network) - The Brady Quinn era will begin under the bright primetime lights on Thursday night, when the signal-caller leads the Cleveland Browns into battle against the visiting Denver Broncos.

Quinn, the No. 22 overall pick in the 2007 NFL Draft, will finally get a chance to lead the Cleveland offense after 24 games spent as a backup behind Derek Anderson and, briefly, Charlie Frye.

The highly-decorated former collegian at Notre Dame will be charged with breathing some life into an offense that has been a sputtering disappointment with Anderson at the controls this season, averaging just 17.8 points per game.

Quinn hurt his chances for early playing time by becoming embroiled in an extended contract holdout into 2007 training camp, and began his rookie campaign as the third-string quarterback behind Frye and Anderson.

Then, when Frye faltered, it was seen by most as only being a matter of time before Quinn took the reins of the struggling Browns' attack.

But the previously unknown Anderson altered that script by leading the Browns to a 10-5 record in 15 starts, earning an unlikely Pro Bowl nod and nearly guiding Cleveland to its first playoff appearance since 2002.

Anderson received a three-year contract extension this past offseason, and his status as the team's starting signal-caller was not in question prior to the start of 2008.

But with Cleveland dropping to 3-5 with a 37-27 home loss to the Baltimore Ravens this past Sunday, embattled head coach Romeo Crennel opted to shake things up by inserting Quinn into the lineup.

The native Ohioan has made just one meaningful NFL appearance, completing 3- of-8 passes for 45 yards without a touchdown or turnover in a 20-7 win over the 49ers in Week 17 of last season.

Like the Browns, the Broncos come into Thursday's contest in desperate need of a victory.

Denver enters Week 10 at 4-4, good enough for first place in an AFC West regarded by most as the worst division in football. The Broncos are 1-4 since starting the year 3-0, including consecutive losses to the Jaguars (24-17), Patriots (41-7) and Dolphins (26-17).

Mike Shanahan's club owns a one-game lead over San Diego (3-5) in the West.

SERIES HISTORY

Denver leads the all-time regular season series with Cleveland, 16-5, and has won the last seven meetings dating back to 1991. The Broncos were 17-7 road winners when the teams last met, in Cleveland in 2006. The Browns' most recent win in the series came in 1990, a 30-29 triumph at Mile High Stadium. Denver is 4-0 in Cleveland since last losing to the Browns there in 1989.

In addition to the regular season series, the teams have an extensive history against one another in the postseason. Denver defeated Cleveland to win the AFC Championship in 1986, 1987, and 1989. The Broncos' 23-20 overtime victory in the 1986 game at Cleveland's Municipal Stadium was best known for "The Drive" executed by Denver quarterback John Elway. The Browns were done in the 1987 game at Mile High by a critical goal-line miscue by Cleveland running back Earnest Byner, also known as "The Fumble."

Denver head coach Mike Shanahan is 3-0 in his career against Cleveland, with the wins coming in 2000, 2003, and 2006. The Browns' Crennel is 0-1 against both Shanahan and the Broncos as a head coach.

WHEN THE BRONCOS HAVE THE BALL

As they have for the majority of the season to date, the Broncos figure to emphasize passing the football on Thursday night. Quarterback Jay Cutler (15 TD, 10 INT) leads the AFC in passing yards (2169) as Week 10 begins, but must cut down on his turnovers after firing a season-high three interceptions in last Sunday's loss to the Dolphins. Cutler has six INTs versus five touchdowns during Denver's three-game losing skid. Wideouts Brandon Marshall (51 receptions, 3 TD) and Eddie Royal (46 receptions, 3 TD) have been Cutler's most reliable targets, though Marshall expressed public dissatisfaction about his touches following an outing on Sunday in which he managed just two catches for 27 yards. Tight end Tony Scheffler (16 receptions, 2 TD) remains questionable after missing three games with a groin problem. The Broncos running game has become decimated by injuries, as Michael Pittman (knee) and Andre Hall (hand) were both placed on season-ending injured reserve earlier in the week, and Selvin Young (266 rushing yards, 1 TD) remains questionable with a groin problem. Rookies Ryan Torain and Peyton Hillis could see most of the time in the Denver backfield on Thursday. Hillis, a seventh-round Draft choice out of Arkansas, broke out with seven catches for 116 yards and a touchdown against Miami.

Job number one for the Browns will be guarding against Cutler and the Denver passing game, and Cleveland will have to do a better job in that regard than it did against the Ravens' Joe Flacco last week. Flacco threw for 248 yards and a career-high two touchdowns in the contest, suffering only two sacks on the afternoon. Cornerbacks Eric Wright (35 tackles, 3 INT) and Brandon McDonald (37 tackles, 1 INT) will be charged with slowing Marshall and Royal, and safeties Mike Adams (30 tackles, 2 INT) and Brodney Pool (28 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) will have to help out on the back end. Denver's run game doesn't pose much of a problem on paper, but could look to attack a Cleveland front seven that surrendered close to 200 ground yards last Sunday. Tackle Shaun Rogers (45 tackles, 5 sacks) and inside linebacker D'Qwell Jackson (77 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 1 INT) combined for 20 tackles and two sacks in the game, but no other player in the run-stopping group made a significant impact. For the year, the Browns are 28th in the league against the run (148 yards per game), and the pass rush is tied for 26th in sacks (13).

WHEN THE BROWNS HAVE THE BALL

If nothing else, it is hoped that the presence of Quinn will boost the efficiency of a passing game that ranks next-to-last in NFL completion percentage (49.8), ahead of only the Raiders in the league. Some of that figure is the scatter-armed Anderson's fault, and some has to do with the work of a receiving corps that has underachieved. In last week's loss to Baltimore, wideout Braylon Edwards (26 receptions, 3 TD) dropped a sure touchdown pass to add to his double-digit total of drops on the season. Edwards and tight end Kellen Winslow (26 receptions, 1 TD) will benefit if fragile No. 2 receiver Donte' Stallworth (7 receptions, 1 TD) is able to return from a quadriceps problem that kept him out last week. The Browns have struggled to run the ball for much of the year, as Jamal Lewis (533 rushing yards, 3 TD, 13 receptions) has yet to go over 100 yards this season. Cleveland is tied for last in the league in touchdown rushes with three, though backup running back Jason Wright (8 receptions, 1 TD) scored on a seven-yard touchdown catch last Sunday.

Quinn and his receivers should have little trouble attacking a Broncos defense that ranks 29th in the league overall (387.9 yards per game) and 27th against the pass (243.2 yards per game). Denver has become beset by injuries on the defensive side of the ball with linebacker D.J. Williams (knee) and cornerback Champ Bailey (groin) both out and safety Marlon McCree (ankle) doubtful for Thursday. The strength of the Broncos defense at this stage could be the pass rush, which has collected 20 sacks thus far on the season. Denver notched three of those against Miami last week, including two for 2007 first-round Draft pick Jarvis Moss (9 tackles, 2.5 sacks). The depleted Broncos secondary got a rare interception last week from cornerback Karl Paymah (22 tackles, 1 INT), who also had 12 tackles while subbing for the injured Bailey. Linebackers Nate Webster (64 tackles, 2 sacks) and Jamie Winborn (35 tackles) combined for 15 tackles in the loss, and defensive tackle Dewayne Robertson (12 tackles) made a long-overdue impact with four stops in the contest. The Broncos are allowing 5.1 yards per rush, second-worst in the NFL.

FANTASY FOCUS

Cutler is a pretty good fantasy quarterback because he puts the ball in the air a lot, though his owners would be happier if he was better in the red zone and made fewer mistakes. Marshall and Royal are both worth starting despite their inconsistency, and if he is available, the tight end Scheffler is a worthwhile play. At running back, it looks like the rookie Torain is going to be the guy, but he is an unknown and remains a risk, even as a flex play. Denver kicker Matt Prater has made five kicks from 50+, which makes him a desirable fantasy starter.

Generally, you wouldn't even own a quarterback making his first career start, but Quinn is a decent play because he has good weapons and is playing against an oft-invisible defense. Edwards and Winslow are also strong plays this week, and Lewis might have his best outing of 2008 to date. The Cleveland defense has to stay on the bench, but kicker Phil Dawson should be in lineups.

OVERALL ANALYSIS

Quinn couldn't ask for an easier assignment in his first NFL start, as he gets to operate against a laughably poor secondary and figures to be complemented well by a running game that will have its way with the Denver front seven. The youngster will probably make a mistake or two, but should also be able to make a few big plays in order to boost his confidence. On the other side of the ball, Cutler should be able to keep Denver in the contest against a Browns defense that is no great shakes in its own right, but Cutler has also proven to be subject to a deflating mistake or two to hurt his team's cause. Because the Broncos defense is so poor, Cutler's margin for error is small, and never will that be more apparent than on Thursday night.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Browns 27, Broncos 24
 

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