Service Plays Thursday 10/30/08

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STATFOX


10/30/2008 (305) S FLORIDA at (306) CINCINNATI
Thursday night has been home team or home underdog night in college football once again. The trend is a continuance of recent years and one that StatFox Doug focused on earlier in the season in one of his feature pieces. In this Thursday’s ESPN showdown, we have another high quality home underdog, Cincinnati, as it welcomes South Florida to town. Here is a good Money Line StatFox Super Situation indicating how the short week of rest will benefit the hosts: Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (S FLORIDA) - off a loss against a conference rival, when playing on a Thursday. (31-7 over the last 10 seasons.) (81.6%, +26.2 units. Rating = 4*). Both teams come in off of road losses. The Bearcats are 6-0 ATS in that situation over the last three seasons. In that same time span, they are also a perfect 6-0 ATS against teams with a winning percentage
of 75% or better. Outplay Factor number says Cincy should be favored after applying home field advantage. I agree.
Play: Cincinnati +2.5
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VEGAS EXPERTS

Charlotte Bobcats at Cleveland Cavaliers
Thursday, October 30th, 7:05 ET

You have to like Cleveland tonight considering that Charlotte has never won in this building in their exsistence and due to the fact that the Bobcats just went through an awful, winless preseason. Expect some growing pains for this young team in the first year under new HC Larry Brown, meanwhile, the Cavs are 34-18 ATS at home coming off a cover where they team lost straight up as an underdog. King James and company win big tonight.

Play on: Cleveland

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Insider Sports Report

Charlotte/Cleveland (NBA) OVER 185.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT's Locks

Todays play: The Hornets +2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pure Lock

HOUSTON @ DALLAS 8:05 PM EST
PLAY ON: DALLAS (-) PTS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

Detroit at San Jose (10:35pm)

Detroit is 8-3 in the second of back to back games and they are 35-17-5 after allowing 5 or more goals in their last game. The Red Wings are 65-31-4 their last 100 games vs. the Pacific Division. San Jose is 1-6 their last 7 meetings vs. Detroit including going 0-4 their last 4 games at home against the Wings. The Sharks are 1-5 vs. a team with a winning percentage of over 60%. PLAY ON DETROIT

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy The Moose

Game: Detroit Red Wings at San Jose Sharks Oct 30 2008 10:30PM
Prediction: San Jose Sharks

Reason: Something gotta give in this one tonight. The Wings are 7-1-1 on the year and are a perfect 5-0 on the road. The Sharks are 8-2 on the year and a perfcet 5-0 at home. One very good thing for San Jose is they are catching the Wings on back to back night's and their 4th game in 6 night's so expect them to be a little tired tonight. San Jose is 22-7 in their last 29 at home and will take advantage of a tired Detroit team. Play on the San Jose Sharks -.

 

[davepan927]

John Fina's Free NBA Selection
October 30, 2008

Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers -9.5 (-110)

 

[kidman232]

KELSO

50 Units
So Florida (-2½) over Cincinnati
7:30 PM -- Nippert Stadium
There are many reasons I upgraded this game from 10 units to 50 units but the biggest of those was the simple fact Cincinnati has no quarterback, with the first three guys on the depth chart out with injuries. This means the Bearcats are down to playing the scrubs at quarterback, and that won't get it done against a very good South Florida team still stinging from a 24-20 loss at Louisville on Saturday. To illustrate the decline in Cincinnati's offense since it lost all its quarterback, please note in the first three games of the season the team averaged 37 points per game. In their last four the Bearcats have averaged 19. If one digs deeper, one sees that defenses know the limitations of the offense and key on that. No fact better illustrates this than Cincinnati is 0-for-25 on its last 25 third down conversions. Cincinnati (5-2) will most certainly come to play, and will try to win the game with a good defense, but South Florida (6-2) has all the tools to overcome everything and get the money.
Clear. Winds blowing from the Southeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.

didnt see it posted

 

[davepan927]

POINTWISE

CINCINNATI 26 - South Florida 23 - (7:45 - ESPN) -- Sporadically impressive
Bulls managed just 8 RYs at Louisville (5 sacks), & altho Grothe was 30-of-40,
note 2 picks, & he had 4 LY vs these 'Cats. A 6-0 TO deficit for Cincy in loss to
UConn, but still a solid run "D", while just 30 pts from a 27-3 ATS run.

 

[davepan927]

Matt Rivers Comp
For Thursday take the Hornets in Phoenix.

 

[sportsman362008]

ATS Lock Club
3 S. Florida
3 Over 197 N.O./Phoenix

ATS Financial Package
3 Under S.Florida/Cincy
3 Dallas Mavs

 

[bigdaveyt]

Kelso 50* - SF
ATS Lock Club 3* - SF
Lang (on a little run) 20 dime - SF
-------------
Anyone jumping this train?

 

[MerlotShiraz]

Matty O'Shea | CFB Side
triple-dime bet305 South Florida -2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 306 Cincinnati
Let's take advantage of this must-win situation and cash my Triple Dime Big East Play O' the Month on South Florida

Matty O'Shea | NBA Total
dime bet506 PHO / 505 NOH OVER 197.0 Bodog
Bet the Suns and Hornets to go OVER the total as my Single Dime NBA TV Total Play O' the Day.

 

[ymmit2nd]

Jimmy Moore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, October 30, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: I know the NBA season is only a few days old but that doesn't mean there aren't excellent invesment opportunities. Like Thursday for instance - you can be a big winner along with me on my once a month 7* NBA total of the month! It goes for ONLY $25 and it's guaranteed to win or you don't pay. It's my first 7* play of the young NBA season - don't miss out! 10/29/2008

#503-504 7* Houston - Dallas UNDER 192.5 (8:05 edt) TNT
The Rockets have traditionally been an excellent under team and they know the Mavericks as well as anyone. With Dallas playing their first game of the year they will come out a little slow and Houston knows how to turn up the defense. It all adds up to a great under play at this number. Thank you and good luck.

 

[ymmit2nd]

305 South Florida/Cincinnati Over 51 +1.10 (4 Unit Play)-South Florida is currently bowl eligible but stands at only 1-2 in the Big East Conference and a loss here tonight pretty much ends their bid to win the conference title this year. Cincinnati meanwhile is 1-1 in the Big East Conference but 5-2 on the year and a win here tonight makes them bowl eligible as well as a contender still for the conference title. South Florida has really been struggling to defend the pass this year and last week allowed Louisville to gain 10.1 YPPA and two weeks ago were also ripped by a Pittsburgh squad through the air. I know that Cincinnati struggled last week through the air against Connecticut but the weather conditions were not great and then they lost starting QB Pike in the first half but backup QB Anderson performed well and actually played well the past couple of weeks in the two starting QB's absences. Cincinnati's defense has actually performed pretty well all year but the only truly outstanding offense they have met this year is Oklahoma's and while I am not comparing South Florida's offense to Oklahoma they are capable of putting up some numbers tonight against the Bearcat defense. These two teams could both score at least 28 points tonight and if that happens this game easily cashes on the Over and I think that is the safe play here tonight. The public seems to be betting this game Under so you may get a better number as the game approaches. The weather should not be a factor this evening and I look for some fireworks on ESPN tonight.



Oscarxena Sports

 

[B.S.S.]

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top></TD><TD vAlign=top align=right></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top></TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right></TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>STEAM</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>6000* LATE STEAM NHL PUCK LINE WINNER
4 Philadelphia -1.5 7:05 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[IAM4UK]

sure, after o-2 yesterday hopefully they rebound. they dont stay sucky for long

Hate playing nba this ealry:

steam
POWER LATE STEAM NBA WINNER
502 Cleveland -10 7:05 EST

 

[ymmit2nd]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* PRIVATE PLAYERS BEST BET!
Pick # 1 Ottawa Senators (-115)


RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK!
Pick # 1 Boston Bruins /Calgary Flames Under 5.5 -135



RON RAYMOND'S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER!
Pick # 1 New Orleans Hornets /Phoenix Suns Under 197.5 -110

 

[5dollars]

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Cincinnati (+2.5) over South Florida (NCAA Power Play)
7:45 PM EST

Cincinnati
• 6-0 ATS coming off a road loss the last 3 seasons
• 2-0 ATS in home games when the total is between 49.5 and 56 points
• 2-0 SU & ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less