New Mexico at AIR FORCE (-5)
By Sports Gambling Hotline, Featured Handicapper
We are on a 4-1 comp play run our last 5 releases!
Tonight, we must look OVER the total in Colorado Springs, as we feel the linesmakers have the total on this New Mexico-Air Force contest a little under-priced.
New Mexico comes into this one fresh off a 70-point outburst against San Diego State, and while it appears highly unlikely the Lobos are going to put up 70 points tonight, they should be able to get their fair share against a Falcons defense that has allowed 28 or more in 4 of their last 5 games.
Air Force can counter with the fact they are averaging close to 30 points per game through their 7 games this season.
Finally, 3 of the last 4 series meetings have seen a combined total of 51 points or better between the schools.
We have to believe the points will come fast, and furious this Thursday night at Falcon Stadium.
Play on the OVER between New Mexico and Air Force.
2? OVER
New Mexico (+5) at AIR FORCE
By Bobby Maxwell, Featured Handicapper
We're on a 77-68 run with Bonus Plays and tonight we've got a comp winner coming on New Mexico as the Lobos travel to Colorado Springs to take on Air Force.
How can we go against an offense that just put up 70 points? New Mexico beat the crap out of San Diego State 70-7 Saturday as a 16 1/2-point home favorite and today they head to Colorado Springs to take on Air Force and the Falcons' triple option rushing game.
The Lobos led 49-0 at halftime against the Aztecs and piled up 565 yards as compared to 227 yards for San Diego State, and they rushed for 419 yards with RB Rodney Ferguson going for 144 yards and four TDs. New Mexico is on ATS runs of 4-1 in Mountain West Conference play, 19-9-2 on the highway and 18-8 as a visiting underdog.
New Mexico is 15th in the country at 224 rushing yards per game while Air Force is third in the country, averaging 300 rushing yards per contest. But the Lobos average 5.8 yards per carry, more than a yard better than Air Force averages.
The Lobos beat Air Force 34-31 last year and ended a three-game losing streak to the Falcons.
New Mexico certainly knows how to put points on the board and we're counting on the Lobos' defense being to stop the Air Force offense a few times. It might turn out to be a shootout, but we like New Mexico in this one.
4? NEW MEXICO
New Mexico (+5) at AIR FORCE
By Drew Gordon, Featured Handicapper
Its pretty easy to look over the past history of this series and see Air Force has covered 4 straight meetings. However, before you go jumping on the home team's bandwagon, you have to consider the strides the Lobos have made over the their last 4 games...
Starting with a nice win and cover at New Mexico State, the Lobos have really put it together over their last 4 games, going 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS. Many point to their 70-7 destruction of San Diego State last week as a reason to back New Mexico here, but that's not why I'm doing it. We know the Lobos can run the ball behind RB Rodney Ferguson, but what's been most impressive of late is their defense, allowing 9 ppg on 269 total yards over their last 3 games! Its the improved play of their stop-unit (held explosive BYU to 21 points at home), that makes all the difference in this one.
Another fact most bettors might not know about the Lobos is despite averaging less overall rushing yards per game than Air Force (223 vs 300), New Mexico averages far more yards per carry (5.8 yards/carry vs 4.6 yards/carry). This is significant, in that, the Falcons defense will have a hard time stopping such an efficient rushing attack... Just like they did in last season's 34-31 loss at New Mexico, where Rodney Ferguson rushed for 146 yards and 2 TDs!
Finally, many are concerned about the Lobos short week of prep time versus Air Force's vaunted option offense, but let me be the one to tell you: don't be. Coach Long is well-versed in defending the option, and in fact, has allowed just under 300 yards per game in their last 2 meetings with Air Force. In the end, I don't see more than field goal separating these two run-based squads, so the play here rests squarely on the Lobos.
Take New Mexico plus the points over Air Force in this college foobtall match up.
2? NEW MEXICO
New Mexico (+5) at AIR FORCE
By Michael Cannon, Featured Handicapper
I’m on a 4-0 run with my Bonus Plays after sweeping the college gridiron Saturday and the NFL on Sunday!
Take the points with New Mexico tonight when they visit Air Force.
The Lobos destroyed San Diego State 70-7 on Saturday, and while they won’t put up that many points tonight, I do expect some of that momentum to carry over into this game.
Air Force runs that dreaded triple-option, but New Mexico’s running game isn’t too shabby. The Lobos rank 15th in the nation with 224 rushing ypg, and they average an eye-popping 5.8 yards per rush.
New Mexico is also on ATS runs of 5-0 on grass, 4-1 in conference play, 19-9-2 on the road and 18-8 as a visiting dog.
Air Force has failed to cash in seven of its last 10 when coming off a non-cover, and they are also just 1-6 the week before taking on Army.
Take the points with New Mexico as they keep it within the number on the road.
3? NEW MEXICO