Service Plays Thursday 10/21/10

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Ben lee won on Wednesday with the Yankees -$220/Rangers

For Thursday "Mr Chalk" likes the Giants Pk/Phillies.

"Mr Chalk" is 7-7 -$190 for the 2010 MLB playoffs.
 
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Dunkel MLB

Today's MLB Picks

Philadelphia at San Francisco

The Giants look to follow up last night's 6-5 win and build on their 8-2 record in Tim Lincecum's last 10 starts after scoring 5 or more runs in the previous game. San Francisco is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 21
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 919-920: Philadelphia at San Francisco (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 15.699; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.944
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+100); Under
 
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Dunkel NHL

Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at Phoenix

The Coyotes look to build on their 13-3 record in their last 16 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Phoenix is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Coyotes favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 21
Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: NY Rangers at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.993; Toronto 10.678
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+125); Under

Game 3-4: Washington at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.723; Boston 11.335
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Over

Game 5-6: Anaheim at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.683; Philadelphia 11.884
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-200); Under

Game 7-8: Calgary at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.945; Detroit 10.813
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+170); Over

Game 9-10: New Jersey at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.391; Montreal 10.447
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-105); Under

Game 11-12: Dallas at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.088; Florida 12.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-120); Over

Game 13-14: NY Islanders at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.047; Tampa Bay 11.675
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+135); Over

Game 15-16: Pittsburgh at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.653; Nashville 12.321
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-110); Under

Game 17-18: San Jose at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.052; Colorado 10.715
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-130); Under

Game 19-20: Minnesota at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.526; Edmonton 10.107
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-110); Over

Game 21-22: Los Angeles at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 10.281; Phoenix 11.804
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-115); Over
 
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FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

100* Play San Francisco (+105) over Philadelphia

San Francisco has won 5 of the last 6 games and they have also won 9 of the last 12 games vs. Philadelphia at home. Tim Lincecum has won 5 of the last 6 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.57.


NHL Hockey

25* Play Philadelphia (-200) over Anaheim
 

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jeff benton thursday

Jeff Benton THURSDAY'S ACTION

20 DIME College Football selection on UCLA over Oregon in a Pac-10 contest from Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Ore. The Bruins are a 24- to 25-point underdog, with the number fluctduating across the wagering board. So make sure you shop around and get the best of the number, especinlly since 24 can be a key number in college football.








UCLA





As much as I love Oregon, as much as I think Autzen Stadium is one of the toughest stadiums for visiting teams, and as much as UCLA has been wildly inconsietent this year, I just cannot lay this incredibly inflated price with the newly-minted top-ranked Ducks. How inflated is this line? Back in June, Oregon was a 10-point favorite in this game. When the numbers came out this week, Oregon was laying 21. And by Wednesday evening, the line had crossed 24 and hit 25 in some spots.





Translation: There is absolutely no value in laying the chalk with the home team, even if that team is 6-0 with six double-digit wins and has scored at least 42 points in every game (as the Ducks have). After all, since blowing through its three non-conference games – wins over New Mexico, Tennessee and Portland State by a combined tally of 189-13 – Oregon has found the going much tougher. The Ducks rallied to win 42-31 at Arizona State (failing to cover as an 11½-point road favorite); they fell behind Stanford 21-0 and rallied to win 52-31; and they even got behind crappy Washington State, coming back to post a comfortable 43-23 win but failing to cover as a 36½-point road chalk.





So while Oregon’s first three Pac-10 games have all resulted in sizeable victories, not one was by more than 21 points.





Meanwhile, UCLA started the season with ugly losses to Kansas State (31-22 on the road) and Stanford (35-0 at home) and looked hedaded for another long season. But the Bruins rallied to beat nationally ranked Houston (31-13), nationally ranked Texas (34-12) and Washington State (42-28), putting up gaudy rushing numbers in the process. Then, just as it looked like UCLA was hitting its stride, it went to Cal two Saturdays ago and got clobbered 35-7 as a 7½-point underdog (the same Cal that followed up the UCLA win with a 48-7 loss at USC on Saturday).





So why take a shot with the Bruins tonight? More than anything they have a one-dimensional offense – all they do is run the football, averaging 223 yards per game (5.2 yards per game). That pales in comparison to Oregon’s rushing attack (321.2 yards per game, 6.6 yards per carry), but it means that UCLA should be able to control the football (and thus the clock) and shorten the game (the Ducks’ defense is giving up 159.3 rushing ypg in Pac-10 play).





Two more positives for the Bruins: They’ve been very competitive against Oregon recently, losing three of the last four meetings but those three losses were by 14, 7 and 10 points. And its last three trips to Autzen have resulned in two losses (31-24 and 30-20) and a victory (34-26 as an 8½-point underdog). Also, the road team and underdog are both on a 6-2 ATS roll in this series.





Oregon wins, and wins comfortably again, but not by as big a margin as the oddsmakers suggest – look for something along the lines of 37-21.
 
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ICE PICKS

Thursday's Best NHL Bets

Los Angeles Kings at Phoenix Coyotes (-104, 5)

It’s hard to find a team in the NHL that has played better defense so far than the Los Angeles Kings.

Los Angeles has scored just 10 goals this year as a result of its defensive prowess, but have yielded a league-low six goals because of the team‘s attention to its own end.

The Kings are playing the second of back-to-back games on Thursday, but will have starter Jonathan Quick between the pipes, who has a microscopic 0.97 ERA and a .963 save percentage and took the night off Wednesday.

"We know what to expect, we know where their scoring threats are, we do a good job of taking those away," he said. "Instead of getting Grade A chances, they’re getting Grade B or C chances, so that makes my job a lot easier."

Meantime, the Coyotes have a meager eight goals through four games and are without star forward Shane Doan, who will miss the game with a suspension for a dirty hit against the Anaheim Ducks.

Pick: LA Kings


New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs (-140, 5.5)

The hottest team in the league features one of the hottest lines in the game. Who can stop the trio of Mikhail Grabovski, Nikolai Kulemin and Clarke MacArthur?

So far, the three amigos have combined for 13 points in just five games, including a team-high five goals from MacArthur on a meager 13 shots.

“Every game it seems like I've been getting a good opportunity and putting it in," he said. "My linemates have been finding me all over the ice; some of the passes I've gotten this year, I haven't had in years. So I'm going to keep shooting and riding this thing as long as I can.”

On the other bench, it appears the Rangers will continue to be without the services of top forwards Chris Drury and Marian Gaborik who remain sidelined with injuries. The team also will be without forward Vinny Prospal who underwent shoulder surgery on Monday. We don’t know who will score for them either.

Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs
 
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RANDALL THE HANDLE

Pittsburgh -1.02 over NASHVILLE (REG)

TORONTO -½ +1.13 over N.Y. Rangers (REG)

San Jose -½ +1.37 over COLORADO (REG)
 
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Viking Sports Plays NHL


All plays are hat-trick investments except the Kings which is a deuce.

NY Rangers/Toronto under 5’
Washington/Boston under 6
Calgary/Detroit OVER 5’
NJ Devils/Montreal under 5
Minnesota/Edmonton under 5’
LA Kings/ Phoenix OVER 5
 

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HRC PREMIUM NCAA FOOTBALL ACTION-October 23th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************

[391] Air Force |10*|Bet C|OPEN +20.5|B+1/2|CBSC|8:00 pm EST

[364] Arizona |8*|Bet B|OPEN -6.5|B+0|ESPN|10:15 pm EST

[312] Miami Florida |5*|Bet A|OPEN -6.5|B+0|ESPN|7:30 pm EST

[378] Stanford |5*|Bet A|OPEN -34.5|B+0|FCS|5:00 pm EST


note*
This is the "NCAA SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads
 

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