Frank Rosenthal
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 02, 2008
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MLB
957 BREWERS-130 SB
959 DODGERS+155 SB
962 RAYS-175 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO
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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
306 SO FL-13 SB+
OVER 48 SB
308 UAB+3.5 SB
309 OREGON ST+12 SB+
UNDER 53.5 SB
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 02, 2008
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MLB
957 BREWERS-130 SB
959 DODGERS+155 SB
962 RAYS-175 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
306 SO FL-13 SB+
OVER 48 SB
308 UAB+3.5 SB
309 OREGON ST+12 SB+
UNDER 53.5 SB
Utah -11 (POD)
This might be the most interesting line movement of all. The line opened up at -8.5 and has quickly jumped to -11 and -11.5. This in part due to Utah needing a big win over Oregon State as the Beavers did beat USC to pad their own resume for a BCS birth. After all, Utah is competing the likes of BYU and Boise State for a BCS Birth coming from a school that is not one of the more well known conferences. I won't too much in detail about this game, but the long story short, do you really think Oregon State to get fired up and do well this game? This is the same Oregon State team that lost on the road to Stanford despite being favored by roughly a field goal. This is the same Oregon State team that lost to Penn State by five possessions. This is the same Utah team that drills teams at home and I think Oregon State has a big let down today. Look for Utah to absolutely pummel this team on national television to make a stronger case for a BCS Bowl Birth bid. I would not want to be a Beaver fan today. I think the Utes might just kill them.
UAB +3.5
The total for this game opened up at -4 and has actually gone down slightly to -3 in favor of the home dog UAB. There is no real line movement on the total, although with the line moving towards the home dog, it usually means an over. But, a bit more research needs to be done on this game before coming to that conclusion. This is an interesting game from the Conference USA. After all, Marshall leads the East portion of the Conference at 2-0 and Rice leads the West portion of the conference at 3-0. Memphis ranks top 20 on the nation in offense and top 75 roughly in defense. Yet, this is a game that UAB could do very well in. I understand that most of the public is on Memphis here to the tune of 63%. Why? Because they are 2-4 as compared to UAB being 1-4? In this early part of the season, just because a team has one more win before conference play has really started makes no sense. Do you realize how tough it is to win on the road in College Football - especially in conference play? Extremely tough. Just ask the USC Trojans who played Oregon State. UAB lost to this Memphis team 9-25 last year so they do have revenge and they come home after a tough loss to the Vols on the road. I wouldn't be surprised to see UAB win this game outright.
VEGAS RUNNER
vegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
309 Oregon St. 11.5 (-110) Bodog vs 310 Utah
Analysis:
** 2* WAGER **
Thu, 10/02/08 - 9:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Total Double-Dime Bet
310 Utah / 309 Oregon St. Under 53.5 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis:
** 2* TOTAL **
I am hoping that with more and more money coming in on the OVER...we are able to get an even higher number to go UNDER with...Because of the early start in MLB (Mil/Phi), I had to Upload the play now, but I just wanted to stress that we are definately holding out for the best number possible, and will jump on UNDER 54 immediately if available...VR
Thu, 10/02/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Total Double-Dime Bet
308 UAB / 307 Memphis Over 57.5 BetUS
Analysis: ** 2* TOTAL **
Thu, 10/02/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
308 UAB 4.0 (-120) Bodog vs 307 Memphis
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER ** (Buy the 1/2 Point)
Thu, 10/02/08 - 7:45 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
306 South Florida -13.5 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 305 Pittsburgh
Analysis: *** NCAAFB "Prime-Time" 3* BEST BET OF THE DAY ***
Thu, 10/02/08 - 6:05 PM vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
957 MIL (-122) SportBet vs 958 PHI
Analysis:
** 2* ML WAGER ** (Sabathia vs Myers)
Many are saying that CC has to be tired pitching on 3 days rest...but if you look closely you will notice that during the final stretch, the Brewers were already conditioning him for exactly this situation...and I expect him to come in ready to go...
Yesterday in the forums I covered some of the factors for this match-up...So rather than go over them again today, let's instead see where and why things may change this evening...
Yesterday was on the 2nd time Lidge had to throw more than 30 pitches in an inning, and although the Brewers didn't get to him, they did make him go deep in the count...That may really play a crucial role in this one because after throwing 35 pitches, without a night off like the last time he did it...The Brewers should come to the park feeling that this time they will get to the Phils pen...
Finally, the way the Phils scored their runs yesterday is another reason the Brewers should be feeling they can get the split on the road...and with their Ace on the mound...I see no reason why that won't happen...
The books I've spoken to are much heavier on the Phils for this one, as was expected when you make them a home dog...and the number should continue dropping as more of it comes in...Now I know from experience that many of the outfits will be buying up some dog money because they absolutely love a home dog anytime they can get it...so it's more of a situational play for them, much more than it is a capped play...because I am sure that their ratings come up with many of the same numbers that I do, which is also evident by the oddsmakers who brought the Brewers out as a fav...So in this spot, I have never feared hearing the outfits may be looking to back the dog...
So let's see if we can pick up 2 Units in this one and have them go back to Milwaukee with a 1-1 series tie...VR
vegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
309 Oregon St. 11.5 (-110) Bodog vs 310 Utah
Analysis:
** 2* WAGER **
Thu, 10/02/08 - 9:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Total Double-Dime Bet
310 Utah / 309 Oregon St. Under 53.5 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis:
** 2* TOTAL **
I am hoping that with more and more money coming in on the OVER...we are able to get an even higher number to go UNDER with...Because of the early start in MLB (Mil/Phi), I had to Upload the play now, but I just wanted to stress that we are definately holding out for the best number possible, and will jump on UNDER 54 immediately if available...VR
Thu, 10/02/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Total Double-Dime Bet
308 UAB / 307 Memphis Over 57.5 BetUS
Analysis: ** 2* TOTAL **
Thu, 10/02/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
308 UAB 4.0 (-120) Bodog vs 307 Memphis
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER ** (Buy the 1/2 Point)
Thu, 10/02/08 - 7:45 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
306 South Florida -13.5 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 305 Pittsburgh
Analysis: *** NCAAFB "Prime-Time" 3* BEST BET OF THE DAY ***
Thu, 10/02/08 - 6:05 PM vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
957 MIL (-122) SportBet vs 958 PHI
Analysis:
** 2* ML WAGER ** (Sabathia vs Myers)
Many are saying that CC has to be tired pitching on 3 days rest...but if you look closely you will notice that during the final stretch, the Brewers were already conditioning him for exactly this situation...and I expect him to come in ready to go...
Yesterday in the forums I covered some of the factors for this match-up...So rather than go over them again today, let's instead see where and why things may change this evening...
Yesterday was on the 2nd time Lidge had to throw more than 30 pitches in an inning, and although the Brewers didn't get to him, they did make him go deep in the count...That may really play a crucial role in this one because after throwing 35 pitches, without a night off like the last time he did it...The Brewers should come to the park feeling that this time they will get to the Phils pen...
Finally, the way the Phils scored their runs yesterday is another reason the Brewers should be feeling they can get the split on the road...and with their Ace on the mound...I see no reason why that won't happen...
The books I've spoken to are much heavier on the Phils for this one, as was expected when you make them a home dog...and the number should continue dropping as more of it comes in...Now I know from experience that many of the outfits will be buying up some dog money because they absolutely love a home dog anytime they can get it...so it's more of a situational play for them, much more than it is a capped play...because I am sure that their ratings come up with many of the same numbers that I do, which is also evident by the oddsmakers who brought the Brewers out as a fav...So in this spot, I have never feared hearing the outfits may be looking to back the dog...
So let's see if we can pick up 2 Units in this one and have them go back to Milwaukee with a 1-1 series tie...VR
DR BOB
bob
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UAB 31 Memphis (-3.5) 30
05:00 PM Pacific Time Thursday, Oct-02 - I’ll call for a minor upset with UAB
S. FLORIDA (-13.5) 28 Pittsburgh 15
04:45 PM Pacific Time Thursday, Oct-02 - Stats Matchup
This looks like a good game to pass.
Utah OR St is a best best, looks like UT as the line is on its way up...
bob
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UAB 31 Memphis (-3.5) 30
05:00 PM Pacific Time Thursday, Oct-02 - I’ll call for a minor upset with UAB
S. FLORIDA (-13.5) 28 Pittsburgh 15
04:45 PM Pacific Time Thursday, Oct-02 - Stats Matchup
This looks like a good game to pass.
Utah OR St is a best best, looks like UT as the line is on its way up...
Last edited by a moderator:
Erik Scheponik
Oregon State vs. Utah (NCAAF)
Oct 2, 2008 9:00 PM EDT
Play: Utah
Beavers primed for a letdown off of monumental USC upset and will be walking into a beehive tonight in Salt Lake City. Utes will be in revenge mode for season opening loss last season, a game in which they lost QB Johnson and others to injury. Utah was one of the nation's most injury-riddled teams last season, and with those players back, they are more experienced than the 14 returning starters that they list coming ito the season. They are 9-1-1$ as home favorites of 11 >, and have dominate a decent schedule including at Michigan and at Air Force. They are a more experienced team than OSU and hold a big special teams advantage in this game. I think they will jump out early and never look back against a Beavers squad that is a bit nicked up on defense, and in a bad fundamental spot after shocking the world last Thursday. Mountain West continues to be underrated despite 7-2 bowl record last 2 seasons, and a nice OOC resume this season. Utah by 14
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Oregon State vs. Utah (NCAAF)
Oct 2, 2008 9:00 PM EDT
Play: Utah
Beavers primed for a letdown off of monumental USC upset and will be walking into a beehive tonight in Salt Lake City. Utes will be in revenge mode for season opening loss last season, a game in which they lost QB Johnson and others to injury. Utah was one of the nation's most injury-riddled teams last season, and with those players back, they are more experienced than the 14 returning starters that they list coming ito the season. They are 9-1-1$ as home favorites of 11 >, and have dominate a decent schedule including at Michigan and at Air Force. They are a more experienced team than OSU and hold a big special teams advantage in this game. I think they will jump out early and never look back against a Beavers squad that is a bit nicked up on defense, and in a bad fundamental spot after shocking the world last Thursday. Mountain West continues to be underrated despite 7-2 bowl record last 2 seasons, and a nice OOC resume this season. Utah by 14
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