EVAN ALTEMUS3 Units West Virginia -10
Sharp bettors have brought this line down to -10 at most locations with square books having it at -10.5. However, there are a few factors that make West Virginia worthy of a bet in this game. South Florida's offense has been horrendous after changing it around under head coach Skip Holtz. Quarterback B.J. Daniels stats have been horrible, and South Florida's highest point totals have been 31 against Florida Atlanta and 24 points against Western Kentucky. Daniels has a horrible 4/7 touchdown to interception ratio and is only completing 52% of his passes. In addition, the Bulls are coming off of a game where they only had 219 yards against Syracuse. West Virginia has just as good, if not better, of a defense than Syracuse, and they have the added advantage of playing at home. In addition, West Virginia was able to play LSU very tough just a few weeks ago on the road, while South Florida got dominated by Florida, even though the Gators are not playing well this season. In fact, Florida just got defeated at home by LSU, making the West Virginia/LSU game even more important to this game. In addition, West Virginia wants this game badly. They have been beaten by South Florida in three out of the last four years, with the Bulls covering the spread in all of those games. Because of those losses, they are very motivated to finally beat South Florida. The Bulls and Mountaineers are as far apart now as they have been over the last few years in performance and current standing. West Virginia has a great quarterback in Geno Smith and Noel Devine is a little healthier this week. Also, this game is the first conference game from West Virginia, so they will be very focused on this game. Look for West Virginia to cover this point spread by about a touchdown.
Sharp bettors have brought this line down to -10 at most locations with square books having it at -10.5. However, there are a few factors that make West Virginia worthy of a bet in this game. South Florida's offense has been horrendous after changing it around under head coach Skip Holtz. Quarterback B.J. Daniels stats have been horrible, and South Florida's highest point totals have been 31 against Florida Atlanta and 24 points against Western Kentucky. Daniels has a horrible 4/7 touchdown to interception ratio and is only completing 52% of his passes. In addition, the Bulls are coming off of a game where they only had 219 yards against Syracuse. West Virginia has just as good, if not better, of a defense than Syracuse, and they have the added advantage of playing at home. In addition, West Virginia was able to play LSU very tough just a few weeks ago on the road, while South Florida got dominated by Florida, even though the Gators are not playing well this season. In fact, Florida just got defeated at home by LSU, making the West Virginia/LSU game even more important to this game. In addition, West Virginia wants this game badly. They have been beaten by South Florida in three out of the last four years, with the Bulls covering the spread in all of those games. Because of those losses, they are very motivated to finally beat South Florida. The Bulls and Mountaineers are as far apart now as they have been over the last few years in performance and current standing. West Virginia has a great quarterback in Geno Smith and Noel Devine is a little healthier this week. Also, this game is the first conference game from West Virginia, so they will be very focused on this game. Look for West Virginia to cover this point spread by about a touchdown.
DR BOB
Rotation #120 Michigan State (-7) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Rotation #123 NC State (-7) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Rotation #125 Vanderbilt (+14 1/2) 2-Stars at +14 or more.
Rotation #133 Iowa State (+23 1/2) 3-Stars at +21 or more, 2-Stars down to +19.
Rotation #153 California (+2 1/2) 2-Stars at +1 or more, 3-Stars at +3.
Rotation #156 Nebraska (-9 1/2) 2-Stars at -10 or less.
Rotation #176 Toledo (-3) 3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars up to -4.
Rotation #177 Oklahoma State (+3) 4-Stars at +3 or more, 3-Stars down to +1 (2-Stars to -1).
Rotation #180 Texas A&M (-3) 2-Stars at -3 at -120 odds or better.
Rotation #198 Hawaii (+7) 3-Stars at +7 or more, 2-Stars down to +4.
Rotation #199 Arkansas State (+11) 2-Stars at +10 or more.
Rotation #206 Troy State (-19) 3-Stars at -20 or less, 2-Stars up to -21.
Strong Opinions
Rotation #138 Ball State (-14) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.
Rotation #141 Baylor (-1) Strong Opinion at -1 or better.
Rotation #151-152 SMU-Navy UNDER (53) Strong Opinion Under 51 points.
Rotation #157 Boston College (+22) Strong Opinion at +21 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +24.
Rotation #168 TCU (-29) Strong Opinion at -30 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -28.
Rotation #120 Michigan State (-7) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Rotation #123 NC State (-7) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Rotation #125 Vanderbilt (+14 1/2) 2-Stars at +14 or more.
Rotation #133 Iowa State (+23 1/2) 3-Stars at +21 or more, 2-Stars down to +19.
Rotation #153 California (+2 1/2) 2-Stars at +1 or more, 3-Stars at +3.
Rotation #156 Nebraska (-9 1/2) 2-Stars at -10 or less.
Rotation #176 Toledo (-3) 3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars up to -4.
Rotation #177 Oklahoma State (+3) 4-Stars at +3 or more, 3-Stars down to +1 (2-Stars to -1).
Rotation #180 Texas A&M (-3) 2-Stars at -3 at -120 odds or better.
Rotation #198 Hawaii (+7) 3-Stars at +7 or more, 2-Stars down to +4.
Rotation #199 Arkansas State (+11) 2-Stars at +10 or more.
Rotation #206 Troy State (-19) 3-Stars at -20 or less, 2-Stars up to -21.
Strong Opinions
Rotation #138 Ball State (-14) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.
Rotation #141 Baylor (-1) Strong Opinion at -1 or better.
Rotation #151-152 SMU-Navy UNDER (53) Strong Opinion Under 51 points.
Rotation #157 Boston College (+22) Strong Opinion at +21 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +24.
Rotation #168 TCU (-29) Strong Opinion at -30 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -28.
