Service Plays Thursday 10/01/09

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st bernadine group - 10/1

for tonight:
john keelen(abats computer simulator) 2* colorado +17

angelo desimone - 2* s.miss/uab under 59.5

lillefty(matt dennehy) -
1* texas/la angels under 9...after ending last month with a 12-0 GOY win let's start out this month slowly with some one star plays. Texas offense struggling w/out it stars, millwood pitching pretty well last 2 times out. Later in the game sunset will throw shadows over the field making it hard to hit, thanks to odd starting time for game. It all adds up to another 6 or 7 run game. For those looking for more action to play I have 2 other games on the card tonight

good luck,
lillefty

brady lessard(crystal ball) released one play for saturday

NORTHERN ILLINOIS -6.5 over WESTERN MICHIGAN for THREE STARS.
I remain one of the best of all time...................I feel like when John Lennon said the Beatles were bigger than Jesus. I'm not bigger than Jesus, but I am bigger than the Beatles.
Crystal Ball is out!

that is all I see for now on their site!!

Let's do october right!!
Zags!!
 
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Tom Freese

Colorado at West Virginia
Pick: West Virginia -16

West Virginia is in a 68-32 ATS System tha says to Play On any team with a turnover margin of -1 a game or more on the season after 2 straight games with a turnover margin of 2 or worse. The Mountaineers are 4-1-1 ATS after allowing more than 40 points in their last game. Factor in revenge from a loss to the Buffaloes last year in Boulder and it will be all Mountaineers in this one. Colorado is 8-20 ATS their 28 games as underdogs and they are 3-8 ATS their last 11 games overall. The Buffaloes are 3-9 ATS after allowing less than 20 points in their last game and they are 0-4 ATS their last 4 October games. 10* PLAY WEST VIRGINIA
 
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Marc Lawrence

Colorado vs. West Virginia
Play: West Virginia -17

When the Mountaineers host the Buffaloes in Morgantown Thursday night they will do so knowing that Game Four favorites, playing with a week of rest, are 22-3 ATS when playing a non-conference opponent a win. We improve to 20-0 ATS since 1984 if the opponent is off a win of four or more points and favorite is off a win or loss of less than 20 points. With Colorado 2-10 ATS away off a win versus non-conference foes, look for West Virginia to come up big here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on West Virginia.
 

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Deano

HRC LINE EDGES-October 1st

Thank You for your Purchase!

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB COMP ACTION=-

========================
Type: -=Straight=-
========================

All listed games ran through AI giving
us the best edge available

*******************************
NOTEABLE LINE EDGES
*******************************

Game: Colorado @ West Virginia (-17)
Edge: WEST VIRGINIA by single digits

Game: S. Mississippi @ UAB (+10)
Edge: S. MISSISSIPPI by 15

**** Edge is who's winning the game, so Col. would be the cover****
 
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Black Widow

6* Widow Wiseguy CU/WVU ESPN Thursday Night ATS SLAUGHTER on Colorado +17.5(-115 Sportsinteraction)

The Colorado Buffaloes couldn't have gotten off to a worse start this season, losing to Colorado State and Toledo. But they came back with a 24-0 win over Wyoming the following week, and now they are working on a bye week before meeting up with West Virginia Thursday. Look for Colorado to come out with their best performance of the season tonight with some extra practice time to work out the kinks. WVU is a bit overrated this season, and they should not be more than a two touchdown favorite to beat the Buffaloes. The Mountaineers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. WVU beat Liberty 33-20 in their opener and beat East Carolina 35-20 in their next home game. Colorado is much better than they've played to start this season, and they'll come out and show it Thursday in another nail biter similar to CU's 17-14 home win over WVU last season. Take the Buffaloes and the points.
 

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Blog Randizzle:

CFB:Colorado @ W-VA
Time: 7:35 pm est *ESPN*
The Pick: (20 Units)*COLORADO +17.5 (BUY 1 POINT)* *POD PLAY* *FREE PREVIEW FOR NON-MEMBERS*



CFB:So Miss @ Uab
Time: 8:05 pm est *CBSC*
The Pick: (10 Units)*SO MISS -9 (BUY 1/2)* *FREE NON MEMBERS PREVIEW & MEMBERS PLAY*
 

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I owe the board one

Stan Sharp | CFB Total Thu, 10/01/09 - 7:45 PM <SUP>eY </SUP>

<DT> double-dime bet 103 Colorado / 104 West Virginia Under 56.5 BetUS <DD>Analysis: Stan is Betting WVU/COLORADO UNDER. Stan notes that most of the Country will be betting the Over in this game but Stan feels Colorado will have trouble scoring tonight and when you are betting an Over you need to know that both teams can get points. Stan also notes that WVU� has no reason to run the score up on National TV tonight so he expects WVU to be running the Ball a lot in the second half which will shorten the game. Stan has this game totaling between 45-49 points. TAKE WVU/COLORADO UNDER as STAN'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL VEGAS INSIDER GAME and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

</DD><DD>Paid and confirmed by me</DD>
 

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Cajun-Sports CFB Executive Thursday


*Wed Results 3* w/LA Tech Win (1-0 ATS TW)

Game: Colorado Buffalos @ West Virginia Mountaineers

Time: 7:30PM EST (ESPN)

Line: West Virginia Mountaineers -16.5

Graded Selection: 3* West Virginia Mountaineers

Analysis:

The Colorado Buffalos make a trip to Morgantown for a Thursday night game versus the host West Virginia Mountaineers. Both teams were idle last week and they are coming off different outcomes in their last game with the Buffalos finally getting a win albeit against lowly Wyoming while the Mountaineers suffered a tough road loss at Auburn a game in which they led 14 to 0 early before turnovers finally cost them the game.

The Buffalos head coach Dan Hawkins is riding on a hot seat even with the win over Wyoming. In the win over the Cowboys they rushed for 151 yards and only managed 175 through the air. They will have to improve dramatically on that performance if they hope to get a win versus the Mountaineers.

Prior to facing Wyoming the Buffalos defense allowed 305 yards rushing and 319 yards passing to Toledo in a 54 to 38 road loss. Colorado has shown little improvement from that performance and they can expect a similar outcome on Thursday night.

This situation favors the host for several reasons one being we know that teams coming off rest playing game four of the season and installed as a favorite have won the money at a rate of 94-68 ATS. If they are facing a team coming off a SU win in their last game the record improves to 53-24 ATS and if they are facing a non-conference opponent the record is a blistering 22-3 ATS.

Another key element is non-conference underdogs playing away from home with rest and coming off a non-conference favorite win, they have been over-valued and over-confident as evidenced by this CFB System that says From Game 3 on, play AGAINST a non-conference road/neutral site underdog of 3½-18½ points with 11+ days rest off a non-conference favorite SU win vs. an opponent with less than 13 days rest. These road teams are 0-18 ATS and fail to cover the number by 13.2 points per game.

West Virginia’s problem in their last game can easily be corrected by simply hanging onto the football; if they had done that against Auburn they would have come out of there with a win. They rushed for 207 yards and passed for another 302 in the loss while their “D” held Auburn’s high powered attack to only 100 yards rushing and 300 through the air. Six turnovers spell defeat in most cases no matter whom you are playing and they were a huge factor in the loss to Auburn. We expect the Mountaineers to have a much better outing against the Buffalos.

The West Virginia offense is solid even without Pat White scoring ninety-eight points in three games and ranked 12th in the nation in total offense. WV RB Devine is averaging 6.3 yards per carry and will face a Buffs “D” that has trouble stopping the run. When the Buffs are on offense they have struggled rushing the ball ranking 109th in the nation in that department so taking time off the clock with a ball control scheme seems very unlikely for Colorado in this game.

Colorado is 2-10 ATS on the road off a SU win against a non-conference opponent, 5-13 ATS when facing a non-conference opponent and 4-15 ATS as a road underdog. West Virginia is 12-2 both straight up and against the spread during the regular season when both teams have rest and their winning percentage is below .750. The Mountaineers are 20-11 ATS off a bye and 7-1 ATS as a non-conference host.

West Virginia is playing with legitimate revenge here for a 17 to 14 overtime loss last season in Boulder. They have Syracuse on deck while Colorado has a big meeting with Big 12 rival Texas next on their schedule. We will back the host here as West Virginia rolls past the Buffs on Thursday night in Morgantown.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 3* West Virginia 41 Colorado 17
 
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To confirm:

PICK: UAB
Your pick will be graded at: 10 Belmont
EXPERT: Ben Burns
REASON FOR PICK: I'm taking the points with UAB. I respect the Golden Eagles. They're a solid and very experienced team. However, I feel that this is a tough spot for them to be laying double-digits. Last week, the Golden Eagles traveled to Kansas and went toe-to-toe with a Top 25 opponent. They played hard and covered the spread but lost the game outright. That snapped a lengthy winning streak, which dated back to last season. For a team which had dreams of finishing with an undefeated season, that can be difficult to bounce back from - even if those dreams were a bit unrealistic. Here, they'll be playing the middle of three road games and they've got another BCS school, former CUSA rival Louisville (now in the Big East) on deck. In other words, they could easily overlook lowly UAB. It should also be noted that the Golden Eagles are expected to be without both RB Damion Fletcher and WR DeAndre Brown, both of whom are very important to this offense.

On the other hand, the Blazers should be fully focused on the task at hand. For starters, this is a rare home game. They've got a brutal schedule, as they've just played two on the road and their next three games, following a bye, will also be on the road. That means that they should know they need to make the most of their opportunity here at home. Additionally, the Blazers have had this game circled as the Golden Eagles completely destroyed them last season, winning by a score of 70-14.

The Blazers haven't forgotten that game as they returned 18 starters from last year's team, including dual-threat quarterback Joe Webb. In addition to throwing for 612 yards and five touchdowns, Webb also has 432 yards and four TD's on the ground. While I won't go as far as calling them as talented as their guests, I do feel that this is the best UAB team which Neil Callaway has had.

The Blazers have split their two games here. The victory came in blowout fashion (44-24 over Rice) and the loss was by only two points, 35-33 vs. SMU. Looking back further and we find that the Blazers are 3-3 SU their last six home games but that all three losses came by four points or less. I expect this one to also come down to the wire as the revenge-minded Blazers, who are 4-0 ATS their last four against teams with a winning record, prove to be the 'hungrier' team and come away with at least the cover. *8 Roast
 

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