Service Plays Thursday 1/6/11

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
In the poster agreement that all posters agree to when signing up, posters have agreed to NOT post copyrighted information.
Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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****Please note we can post ONLY Picks for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!:103631605
 
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Dunkel

THURSDAY, JANUARY 6
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (12/13)
Game 261-262: Middle Tennessee State vs. Miami (OH) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 72.742; Miami (OH) 76.815
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 4; 53
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 1 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-1 1/2); Over
 
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Hammer the book

college football
rotation 261: 5-units: (8:00 pm) middle tennessee state blue raiders -1
 
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Dr. Bob Bowls

Middle Tenn (-2.0) 23 Miami Ohio 20 (at GoDaddy.com Bowl)
05:00 PM Pacific, 06-Jan-11
lean slightly with Middle Tennessee State. lean Under 46 points
 
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RANDALL THE HANDLE

NCAAF
Miami – Ohio +1.16 over Mid Tenn St.
Mid Tennesee State favored here is ludicrous. The Blue Raiders have dominated the Sun Belt Conference over the past few years and their reputation is one of a quality team with a wicked offense. There was even talk about their QB, Dwight Dasher being a Heisman winner candidate. Dasher had a great season last year but he also had a much better cast around him and frankly, he’s just not that good and neither is the Blue Raiders offense. Dasher can run but his decision-making is questionable at best and his throwing ability is even more questionable. Then we have the Blue Raiders defense or lack thereof. The Blue Raiders allowed an average of almost 200 rushing yards against per game. That is horrifying and while the Blue Raiders rankings are not that bad, it’s only because they played against just about every dreg in the nation. This is a bad 6-6 team Mid Tennessee State club that can’t stop anyone and that’s offense is not even that strong either. The Redhawks are a decent club that went 9-4 and the four games they lost were to Florida, Missouri, Cincinnati and Ohio. They also beat Northern Illinois to close out the season and that was a very good win. Miami, Ohio went 1-11 this season and they have a chance to be the first team in NCAA history to go from one win to 10 in a single calendar year. The Redhawks are the better team on offense, they’re a 100 times better on defense and they have every reason in the world to be jacked up for this Bowl game. Play: Miami Ohio +1.16 (Risking 2 units).
 
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BANG THE BOOK

Thursday's Best Bowl Bet

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs. Miami-OH Redhawks (+2, 28.5)

The top team in the MAC and one of the most underachieving teams in the Sun Belt meet up at the GoDaddy.com Bowl in Mobile, AL on Thursday night’s standalone college football betting affair. The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders will look to finish on top against the Miami Redhawks.

Give the Redhawks all the credit in the world. They really did an outstanding job winning the MAC this year, pulling off the huge upset over the Northern Illinois Huskies in a game that no one really thought they were going to be in a year after going just 1-11. However, Head Coach Mike Heywood did a fantastic job getting his team to believe in his system, and this was the reward. Unfortunately, Heywood won’t be here to coach his old team, as he left for the University of Pittsburgh, a job that he only had for a few weeks before getting fired. The biggest injustice is that QB Zac Dysert, a man that really fought and clawed all season long, probably isn’t going to be ready to play in this game after he lacerated his spleen at the end of the season. In relief, QB Austin Boucher played well and brought this team to this position, as he threw for 831 yards with four scores against just one pick. Do keep an eye on RB Thomas Merriweather as well, who rushed for 821 yards and ten TDs on the campaign.

MTSU really thought that it was going to potentially be a Top 25 team this year, as running the table seemed like a legitimate possibility. However, QB Dwight Dasher and company had to win their final three games of the year just to make it to bowl eligibility, and many wonder why they are playing in this game as the third team from the Sun Belt instead of a more deserving team like the 8-4 Temple Owls that were left home from a bowl. Dasher had a disappointing year that started with a four game suspension. He only threw for 1,377 yards and rushed for 453 yards, accounting for 13 TDs a year after he had 36 total scores and almost 4,000 total yards of offense. RB Phillip Tanner will get the ball a lot in this one as well. He rushed for 852 yards and had 11 visits to the end zone on the campaign. It’s a good thing that this team has four rushers with at least 340 yards this year, because there isn’t a wide receiver that has more than 30 catches. This defense was suspect at times as well, allowing 376.4 yards and 27.5 points per game.

We sort of feel as though we should just toss a coin in the air on this one. These two teams are from vastly different conferences and have vastly different styles of play. Still, we saw Dasher explode last year in MTSU’s bowl game, and we have no doubts that, especially with some extra weeks of preparation, that he can’t send the Blue Raiders out on a high this year.

GODADDY.COM BOWL PICK: Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders +1.5
 
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PICK 'N' ROLL

Thursday's Best NBA Bet

Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings (+5.5, 209.5)

It’s been nearly a week since these teams met and the Kings are still stinging from the butt whipping the Nuggets handed them on New Year’s Day.

Denver dropped Sacramento 104-86 as a 10.5-point home favorite on Saturday, scoring 35 points in the fourth quarter to break the game wide open and coast to an easy ATS victory. The Nuggets actually struggled on offense in that game, notably Carmelo Anthony, who made his return to the floor after missing time following the death of his sister. Anthony went just 6 for 22, scoring 16 points and turning the ball over six times.

"I didn't expect it to be that sloppy, but I mean, I knew the game had to be managed around him a little bit," Nuggets coach George Karl told reporters about Anthony’s performance. "And I think Sacramento played him smart. The shots, I can live with. It's the turnovers and the decisions of playing (to) the crowd."

Anthony appears to have shaken off the rust, scoring 33 points versus the Houston Rockets Monday. Melo also chipped in with five assists and 11 rebounds in the Nuggets’ 113-106 win, which pushed with the 7-point spread.

"I was just trying to be aggressive and get to the rack," said Anthony, who went 13 for 14 from the foul line. "Sometimes they called it; sometimes they didn't. You know, when you shoot 14 free throws, it's hard for them to call every time you get fouled. They're going to miss some calls. But that is one of the strengths of my game, getting to the free throw line, and tonight I was effective at that."

The Nuggets take a four-game winning streak into Wednesday’s game against the Los Angeles Clippers. They are 3-0-1 ATS in that span.

PICK: Denver Nuggets
 
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COLLEGE FUNDS

Thursday's Best NCAAB Bets

Xavier Musketeers at Cincinnati Bearcats (-9, 129)

The revitalization of the Bearcats can be attributed to one main factor: defense.

Cincinnati is at or near the top of nearly every defensive statistic in the NCAA, ranking 3rd in points allowed per game (54.4), 12th in opponents field goal percentage (37.5) and 36th in opponents three-point field goal percentage (29.3). The team also does a great job protecting the glass, posting an absurd plus-11.3 in rebound margin.

However, the Musketeers have recently dominated the Skyline Chili Crosstown Shootout. UC still leads the series, 47-30, but Xavier has claimed 10 of the last 14 games, including three straight.

The Bearcats figure to press the action and try to use a rotation that can go as many as 11 deep to grind down the Musketeers, which tout a roster that has been trimmed perilously thin due to injuries.

“I know our injuries and what-not won’t be an excuse and haven’t been this entire year,” said Xavier senior forward Dante Jackson. “We’re just going to go out there with who we’ve got and see if we can’t get it done.”

Jackson and the Musketeers will try, but they just won’t have enough.

PICK: Cincinnati Bearcats


Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting Illini (-9, 144.5)

The Wildcats sure know how to score the ball.

The team is in the top-50 nationally in points per game (76.8), field-goal percentage (47.4) and three-point percentage (40.8). Combine that with a defense that has coughed up at least 60 points seven times in its past eight games, and it’s no wonder Northwestern has seen the over go 5-2 this year.

And this Illinois team will have no problem getting in an up-tempo game. The Fighting Illini have seen the over go 8-6 this season, but it has hit in each of its past two games – Big Ten tilts against Wisconsin and Iowa, two notoriously slow teams.

The last two meetings between the Wildcats and Fighting Illini also have easily topped the total. Illinois also loves to score at home – the over is 18-8 in its past 26 home games – and Northwestern has no problem putting points on the board on the road, seeing the over go 20-8 in its past 28 road games.

It might sound like a bit of a surprise, but go ahead and expect some fireworks in the Big Ten.

PICK: Over
 
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ICE PICKS

Thursday's Best NHL Bets

St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs (+106, 5)

When you’re as bad as the Toronto Maple Leafs, accountability can be wide spread.

The most recent set of wagging fingers are pointing at Toronto’s blueliners for not chipping in on offense during the team’s most recent skid. The Maple Leafs are just 2-6 in their last eight games, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per contests during that span.

Team captain Dion Phaneuf is under fire, scoring just one goal and picking up six assists this season – with only one of those helpers coming in the past eight games. As a group, Toronto’s defensemen have combined to score only seven goals this year – below half of the NHL average for defensive production (14.9).

“They’re not joining the play they way they should be,” head coach Ron Wilson told the Toronto Star. “As soon as it leaves our zone, they coast up the ice. If they move their feet and got a little bit more involved in the play as the fourth guy, they might have better results.”

The Leafs and their offensively-challenged defensemen take on the Blues, who are one of the best under bets in hockey. St. Louis is 16-21 over/under and has played below the number in four of the last five meetings with Toronto.

PICK: Under

Pittsburgh Penguins at Montreal Canadiens (+106, 5.5)

The Habs may be struggling to put wins together, but they still have the Penguins’ number.

Montreal knocked Pittsburgh out of the playoffs last season and has a win over the Stanley Cup favorites already this year, downing the Pens 3-2 on the road back in October. The Canadiens are 6-3 versus the Penguins in their last nine meetings heading into Thursday's game at the Bell Centre.

In their most recent contest, Montreal scored two third-period goals to sneak away with the win as a +178 underdog. Mike Cammalleri, who was a thorn in the Penguins’ side in the playoffs, netted two of the team’s three goals.

"I plan on playing a lot of games against the Pittsburgh Penguins, so I guess I'll take that as a big form of flattery, to be honest with you," Cammalleri told reporters when he found out Pittsburgh game-planned to stop the forward.

Cammalleri needs a jump start after slumping in recent weeks. He has only two goals in the past 10 games and has gone scoreless through eight heading into Wednesday. Montreal is tough at home, going 9-4 in its last 13 games inside the Bell Centre and carries a 15-5-3-0 home record.

PICK: Montreal Canadiens
 
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Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Thursday's Wagering Tips

Who’s Hot

NCAAB: Villanova Wildcats have seen the over go 12-4 in their past 16 road games.

NBA: Dallas Mavericks have seen the over go 11-4 in their past 15 games overall.

NHL: Buffalo Sabres have seen the over go 9-1-2 in their past 12 games overall.

NHL: Philadelphia Flyers are 6-2 in their past 8 road games.

Who’s Not

NBA: Denver Nuggets are 7-17-2 ATS in their past 26 road games.

NCAAB: Arizona State Sun Devils are 1-7 ATS in their past 8 home games.

NHL: Los Angeles Kings have seen the under go 7-2-1 in their past 10 home games.

NHL: Montreal Canadiens have seen the under go 20-8-3 in their past 31 games overall.

Key Stat

27 – Points for Hawks guard Jamal Crawford in a 108-102 win over the Kings on Tuesday night. It was the seventh time the bench player has led his team in scoring this year. That doesn’t speak much for the play of Atlanta’s starters – it’s the most for any reserve in the NBA this season.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Watch the injury report coming out of Kansas City. The host Chiefs are underdogs to the visiting Ravens, but guard Brian Waters and receiver Dwayne Bowe, two of the team’s three Pro Bowlers, were out of practice on Wednesday with an undisclosed “illness.” Coach Todd Haley refused to say if the duo would be healthy enough to play on Sunday. "We've been together for 17 weeks now, or whatever it's been, and hopefully he's back sooner than later and he rests up and he's back on the field and we're able to continue to work together," quarterback Matt Cassel said. "From a timing standpoint, I think I understand Dwayne's body language, his ability to run certain routes. I think we'll be fine."

Game Of The Day

Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting Illini (-9, 144.5)

Notable Quotable

"I hope John does better than I did, because I stunk at it. The first thing John has to do is learn the culture of the building. He should be ahead of the curve, because he's been around it. And then he has to learn the culture of the league. There's a lot of red tape, and there's a lot of politicking.” – Former Lions GM Matt Millen discussing John Elway taking a similar position with the Denver Broncos.

Tips And Notes

The Anaheim Ducks could soon get a much needed boost to a lethargic offense. Forward Ryan Getzalf suffered a fractured nasal sinus on Dec. 28, but a review early this week sees it healing naturally and it will not require surgery. Getzlaf, who has 37 points in 40 games, will likely be out until early February, but with him pushing for an early return, it means the Ducks are showing no signs of giving up in a tight race for a final playoff spot in the Western Conference

It appears Celtics forward Kevin Garnett took another step toward returning to the court next Wednesday. Garnett, averaging 15 points and 9.5 rebounds per game, could be back as early as next Wednesday as he was lifting weights and participating in light shooting drills yesterday. “Hopefully he's back in two weeks,” Celtics coach Doc Rivers said. “That's really all I know. We have so many games right now, that's the last thing I'm thinking about."

New Orleans Saints running back Pierre Thomas joined Chris Ivory on the IR on Wednesday when the team decided to end his season due to a nagging left ankle injury. The team is still working a struggling Reggie Bush back from a broken leg and journeyman Julius Jones has been less than spectacular in limited action. If the team is to win, it will again fall on the shoulders of quarterback Drew Brees. "That's tough," Brees said. "You can't deny that just because of the physical presence they bring and obviously their productivity."
 
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DCI NCAA CBB

Season
Straight Up: 1726-463 (.788)
ATS: 637-672 (.487)
ATS Vary Units: 2194-2184 (.501)
Over/Under: 615-630 (.494)
Over/Under Vary Units: 941-1044 (.474)

America East Conference
VERMONT 73, Albany 59
Big East Conference
Villanova 70, SOUTH FLORIDA 62
Big Sky Conference
Montana 71, NORTHERN COLORADO 67
Montana State 74, SACRAMENTO STATE 64
NORTHERN ARIZONA 79, Idaho State 64
Big South Conference
Coastal Carolina 92, VMI 87
LIBERTY 71, Charleston Southern 66
PRESBYTERIAN 71, Gardner-Webb 61
WINTHROP 75, UNC Asheville 66
Big Ten Conference
ILLINOIS 75, Northwestern 66
Big West Conference
PACIFIC 66, Cal Poly 53
UC Santa Barbara 70, UC DAVIS 67
Horizon League
LOYOLA (CHICAGO) 70, Detroit 68
Wright State 63, UIC 57
Northeast Conference
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 67, St. Francis (N.Y.) 58
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 70, Sacred Heart 68
Long Island 82, BRYANT 68
MOUNT ST. MARY'S 69, Saint Francis (Pa.) 56
Quinnipiac 72, MONMOUTH 63
Robert Morris 65, WAGNER 62
Ohio Valley Conference
EASTERN KENTUCKY 69, Jacksonville State 58
MOREHEAD STATE 82, Tennessee Tech 63
MURRAY STATE 74, Tennessee State 61
Pacific-10 Conference
ARIZONA 76, California 66
ARIZONA STATE 63, Stanford 59
WASHINGTON 89, Oregon 62
WASHINGTON STATE 75, Oregon State 63
Southern Conference
FURMAN 74, College of Charleston 72
Samford 67, UNC GREENSBORO 62
WOFFORD 72, The Citadel 57
Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA STATE 63, Grambling State 55
Jackson State 63, ALABAMA A&M 58
Prairie View A&M 68, SOUTHERN 66
Texas Southern 75, ALCORN STATE 63
Summit League
IPFW 68, Western Illinois 54
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 77, Oral Roberts 73
OAKLAND 80, Iupui 74
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 91, Centenary 62
Sun Belt Conference
Arkansas State 76, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 71
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 75, South Alabama 65
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 75, Troy 72
WESTERN KENTUCKY 68, Denver 61
West Coast Conference
PEPPERDINE 71, San Diego 66
Saint Mary's 82, LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 68
Western Athletic Conference
Boise State 79, SAN JOSE STATE 76
HAWAI'I 69, Idaho 65
LOUISIANA TECH 68, Fresno State 67
Non-Conference
CINCINNATI 73, Xavier 65
SEATTLE 83, Eastern Washington 76
South Dakota 94, LONGWOOD 82
 
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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 339-155 (.686)
ATS: 244-259 (.485)
ATS Vary Units: 683-718 (.488)
Over/Under: 256-260 (.496)
Over/Under Vary Units: 327-317 (.508)

DALLAS 102, Oklahoma City 95
Denver 107, SACRAMENTO 100
 
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DCI NHL

Season: 186-131 (.587)

BOSTON 3, Minnesota 2
St. Louis 3, TORONTO 2
Philadelphia 3, NEW JERSEY 2
Pittsburgh vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Phoenix vs. COLORADO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. Islanders vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
LOS ANGELES 3, Nashville 2
SAN JOSE 3, Buffalo 2
 

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