Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Ottawa -165
For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on the home side in this situation:
The Blues (22-20-7) have won five of six after a 4-3 overtime victory at Montreal last night; I believe they are prime for a letdown and believe they'll falter in the back-to-back situation.
The Blues coughed up a 3-1 lead in the third period, when Montreal tied the score with 33 seconds remaining in regulation on a goal by Mike Cammalleri; St. Louis is lucky to have skated away with that OT victory, but have to be tired collectively for tonight's contest.
St. Louis might be 5-1 its last six, but it always struggles on the road; 2-4 its last six.
On the other side of the court: The surging Senators could have veteran forward Milan Michalek back in the lineup tonight when they try for a season-high fifth straight victory - and fifth straight over the visiting St. Louis Blues.
Michalek’s return could only provide a boost for the Senators (26-21-4), who beat Chicago 4-1 at home Tuesday for their fourth straight victory after losing a season-high five in a row.
The Senators have outscored their opponents 15-4 during the winning stretch after being outscored 22-5 during their recent skid.
First, AHL call-up Mike Brodeur won two straight, beating New York and Montreal. And then, in a little more than 24 hours and with Brodeur battling the flu, Brian Elliott chalked up victories over Boston and Chicago; with No. 1 goalie Pascal Leclaire on the shelf still from injury, the Sens goaltenders have "turned it around".
Not only are the Sens 4-1 their last five, they are also 12-5 their last 17 at Scotiabank place.
Bottom line: "That just shows we can compete with anybody in the league," said Elliott. "Not only can we compete, we can get a convincing win. We just have to trust in our system and we can compete with anybody on any given night when we're all on the same page."
Look for OTTAWA to improve to 17-11 (+4.4 units) when playing against a team with a losing record and for St. Louis to fall to 3-9 (-8.8 units) in non-conference games!
9* Ottawa -165