RatedPicks
MLB:
MLB 07/23 Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays pick: Toronto Blue Jays pts: -155 3 units
MLB 07/23 Minnesota Twins at LA Angels pick: LA Angels pts: -150 3 units
MLB 07/23 St Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals pick: St Louis Cardinals pts: -1.5 (+115) 3 units
MLB 07/23 St Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals pick: *BP* St Louis Cardinals pts: -145 5 units
MLB 07/23 Oakland Athletics at NY Yankees pick: over pts: 9 = 4 units
Regards,
Ratedpicks
MLB:
MLB 07/23 Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays pick: Toronto Blue Jays pts: -155 3 units
MLB 07/23 Minnesota Twins at LA Angels pick: LA Angels pts: -150 3 units
MLB 07/23 St Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals pick: St Louis Cardinals pts: -1.5 (+115) 3 units
MLB 07/23 St Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals pick: *BP* St Louis Cardinals pts: -145 5 units
MLB 07/23 Oakland Athletics at NY Yankees pick: over pts: 9 = 4 units
Regards,
Ratedpicks
Wunderdog MLB 2009/07/23
Game: San Francisco at Atlanta (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Atlanta -170 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.8)
Game: San Francisco at Atlanta (1:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Atlanta -1.5 runs +120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)
Game: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (2:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Chicago White Sox -1.5 runs +180 (runline) (risk 2 to win 3.6)
Game: San Francisco at Atlanta (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Atlanta -170 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.8)
Game: San Francisco at Atlanta (1:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Atlanta -1.5 runs +120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)
Game: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (2:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Chicago White Sox -1.5 runs +180 (runline) (risk 2 to win 3.6)
Craig Davis
Thursday's Lineup
75 Dime ---- DIAMONDBACKS (With Haren) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over PIRATES (With Morton)
ARIZONA (with Haren) -1 1/2 runs over PITTSBURGH (with Morton) --- I told you recently that I smelled a big play coming up, didn't I? Well, if all plays out right I might actually have two big plays within a few days of each other. Let's focus on today.
Would it surprise you a bit if the Pirates didn't score a single run tonight? Let me tell you, I wouldn't be surprised. The Buccos scored 8 runs in an 8-7 win over Milwaukee last night in Pittsburgh... now they have to turn around, pack their bags and head out west to the desert. When Pittsburgh scores that many runs in a game, you figure they've used up their arsenal for a few games because they just don't score a ton of runs, on average. The Pirates had previously scored just 17 runs in their last six games, and in one of those games they scored 8. Combine the lack of run scoring from Pittsburgh (especially on the road) with the fact they are facing one of the league's best pitchers in Dan Haren.
Haren has been absolutely SICK in his recent outings, posting a 0.78 ERA and a 0.78 WHIP in his last three starts. That's just not human, is it? His ERA for the season is 1.96 and his WHIP is an incredible 0.80, meaning you rarely see a runner on base when Haren is on the hill. He hasn't allowed more than a single earned run in his last four starts, and before that (ironically, his last loss) he only allowed two earned runs through eight innings (a 2-1 loss to Texas). In fact, only once this season has he even allowed more than three earned runs in a game and only twice has he surrendered more than two earned runs. Yeah, think about that for a minute. Here you have a pitcher who you can pretty much guarantee is going to throw for at least seven innings, he's pretty much likely to allow less than a base runner per inning and probably won't allow more than a run through those seven innings. How can you not like your chances backing this team when Haren is on the mound, especially facing hapless Pittsburgh?
Speaking of Pittsburgh, they have only player that poses a threat with power and one player hitting over .300... and one of them was traded yesterday. Adam LaRoche, the team leader in HRs and RBIs for the Pirates, was traded Wednesday to Boston for two minor league prospects who won't have any impact in 2009. Wow, talk about a kick in the crotch... the only hope for the long ball and runs driven in won't be in uniform tonight when the Pirates arrive in Arizona. Tough break for them; great break for us. And if the team's .251 batting average isn't enough for you to get excited, how about the fact that Haren allows opponents to hit just .179 against him when pitching at home. Wow, it's all shaping up nicely for our side, wouldn't you say?
As for PIttsburgh's pitcher tonight, Charlie Morton, yeah, he's been good but I definitely wasn't impressed with his last road performance. In just four innings of work in Houston, Morton allowed ten hits and five earned runs as the 'Stros blanked the Pirates 5-0. The fact is, Morton has been too "spotty" for me and this is one of those situations where I see him falling flat on his face. Arizona took two of three from Pittsburgh at home last season and Haren garnered a 13-7 win in his only home appearance against the Bucs. He (Haren) also faced them in Pittsburgh in 2008, earning a 4-3 win. Arizona is 6-1 in their last 7 as a favorite, 8-3 in their last 11 vs. righties, and 7-1 in Haren's last eight starts as the favorite. Folks, it's going to be all Arizona tonight. I would not be surprised, at all, if we see the final score somewhere in the neighborhood of 7-1 in favor of the home team. It's time to put our recent profits on the line and really put a hurtin' on your man.
Paid & confirmed by me.
GL!
Thursday's Lineup
75 Dime ---- DIAMONDBACKS (With Haren) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over PIRATES (With Morton)
ARIZONA (with Haren) -1 1/2 runs over PITTSBURGH (with Morton) --- I told you recently that I smelled a big play coming up, didn't I? Well, if all plays out right I might actually have two big plays within a few days of each other. Let's focus on today.
Would it surprise you a bit if the Pirates didn't score a single run tonight? Let me tell you, I wouldn't be surprised. The Buccos scored 8 runs in an 8-7 win over Milwaukee last night in Pittsburgh... now they have to turn around, pack their bags and head out west to the desert. When Pittsburgh scores that many runs in a game, you figure they've used up their arsenal for a few games because they just don't score a ton of runs, on average. The Pirates had previously scored just 17 runs in their last six games, and in one of those games they scored 8. Combine the lack of run scoring from Pittsburgh (especially on the road) with the fact they are facing one of the league's best pitchers in Dan Haren.
Haren has been absolutely SICK in his recent outings, posting a 0.78 ERA and a 0.78 WHIP in his last three starts. That's just not human, is it? His ERA for the season is 1.96 and his WHIP is an incredible 0.80, meaning you rarely see a runner on base when Haren is on the hill. He hasn't allowed more than a single earned run in his last four starts, and before that (ironically, his last loss) he only allowed two earned runs through eight innings (a 2-1 loss to Texas). In fact, only once this season has he even allowed more than three earned runs in a game and only twice has he surrendered more than two earned runs. Yeah, think about that for a minute. Here you have a pitcher who you can pretty much guarantee is going to throw for at least seven innings, he's pretty much likely to allow less than a base runner per inning and probably won't allow more than a run through those seven innings. How can you not like your chances backing this team when Haren is on the mound, especially facing hapless Pittsburgh?
Speaking of Pittsburgh, they have only player that poses a threat with power and one player hitting over .300... and one of them was traded yesterday. Adam LaRoche, the team leader in HRs and RBIs for the Pirates, was traded Wednesday to Boston for two minor league prospects who won't have any impact in 2009. Wow, talk about a kick in the crotch... the only hope for the long ball and runs driven in won't be in uniform tonight when the Pirates arrive in Arizona. Tough break for them; great break for us. And if the team's .251 batting average isn't enough for you to get excited, how about the fact that Haren allows opponents to hit just .179 against him when pitching at home. Wow, it's all shaping up nicely for our side, wouldn't you say?
As for PIttsburgh's pitcher tonight, Charlie Morton, yeah, he's been good but I definitely wasn't impressed with his last road performance. In just four innings of work in Houston, Morton allowed ten hits and five earned runs as the 'Stros blanked the Pirates 5-0. The fact is, Morton has been too "spotty" for me and this is one of those situations where I see him falling flat on his face. Arizona took two of three from Pittsburgh at home last season and Haren garnered a 13-7 win in his only home appearance against the Bucs. He (Haren) also faced them in Pittsburgh in 2008, earning a 4-3 win. Arizona is 6-1 in their last 7 as a favorite, 8-3 in their last 11 vs. righties, and 7-1 in Haren's last eight starts as the favorite. Folks, it's going to be all Arizona tonight. I would not be surprised, at all, if we see the final score somewhere in the neighborhood of 7-1 in favor of the home team. It's time to put our recent profits on the line and really put a hurtin' on your man.
Paid & confirmed by me.
GL!
Handicapper: Wunderdog Sports
Sport: WNBA Basketball
Game: Indiana Fever @ San Antonio Silver Stars - Thursday July 23, 2009 12:30 pm
Detail: WUNDERDOG'S WNBA Early Totals SMASH
Pick: 5 units (Normal) TOTAL: Under 139.5 (-105)
The Indiana Fever have been the biggest surprise in the WNBA as we head to the midpoint of the season. They enter here with a mark of 12-3, and will face the San Antonio Silver Stars in San Antonio. The Silver Stars have one trait that is likely to really show itself against a top team. They can really get after it on defense if playing with the right mindset, and what a better place to display that than at home vs. the league leader. The Silver Stars have shown that as they have played four straight to the UNDER against teams with a winning record. Indiana has made it to the top by playing defense, and currently allow the fewest points per game in the league. There is also a history of low-scoring games between these two as they have played four straight to the UNDER.
Sport: WNBA Basketball
Game: Indiana Fever @ San Antonio Silver Stars - Thursday July 23, 2009 12:30 pm
Detail: WUNDERDOG'S WNBA Early Totals SMASH
Pick: 5 units (Normal) TOTAL: Under 139.5 (-105)
The Indiana Fever have been the biggest surprise in the WNBA as we head to the midpoint of the season. They enter here with a mark of 12-3, and will face the San Antonio Silver Stars in San Antonio. The Silver Stars have one trait that is likely to really show itself against a top team. They can really get after it on defense if playing with the right mindset, and what a better place to display that than at home vs. the league leader. The Silver Stars have shown that as they have played four straight to the UNDER against teams with a winning record. Indiana has made it to the top by playing defense, and currently allow the fewest points per game in the league. There is also a history of low-scoring games between these two as they have played four straight to the UNDER.
Wunderdog
WNBA 7/23
Game: Indiana at San Antonio (12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 139.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Indiana Fever have been the biggest surprise in the WNBA as we head to the midpoint of the season. They enter here with a mark of 12-3, and will face the San Antonio Silver Stars in San Antonio. The Silver Stars have one trait that is likely to really show itself against a top team. They can really get after it on defense if playing with the right mindset, and what a better place to display that than at home vs. the league leader. The Silver Stars have shown that as they have played four straight to the UNDER against teams with a winning record. Indiana has made it to the top by playing defense, and currently allow the fewest points per game in the league. There is also a history of low-scoring games between these two as they have played four straight to the UNDER.
Game: Chicago at Washington (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington -6 (+100) (risk 3 to win 3)
The Chicago Sky have really been an enigma. They have been one of the top defensive teams when playing at home, allowing just 71.8 points per game. That means they hold offenses to what would be a league-low average. The road has been a complete joke as they have played an "old" type defense that allows 88 ppg. That leaves them in a tough spot on the road where they have compiled just a 2-7 mark on the season both SU and ATS. They allow over 10 points per game more on the road (88.3 per contest). So while the offenses in this game are fairly even, Washington has a huge defensive edge (13 ppg difference!). The Mystics are strong from beyond the arc, converting 37.1% of three-pointers and this spells trouble for Chicago who is just 1-7 ATS this year vs. teams that make 33%+ from long range. In games with a total posted at 140+, the Sky are 1-7 ATS this year and I look for that to drop to 1-8 after this game.
Game: Sacramento at New York (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Sacramento +6.5 (+100) (risk 3 to win 3)
The Monarachs have won just one game out of ten on the road this season. The betting public doesn't want to touch them. But, we don't need them to win this game, just cover a large spread. Granted, it's tough to find a reason to like Sacramento when looking at their stats. But, the linesmakers are no dummies. They know this and they are shading their lines. It's often the ugly ducklings like this that cover spreads. New York could get caught off-guard here. They know Sacramento is weak, so a letdown is very possible. They have won three of their last four, which provides more reason to take it easy a bit here. They are also playing on back-to-back nights (with travel) and this is their fourth game in the past week. And in the past, that has not served them well as the Liberty are just 1-8 ATS the past three seasons in this situation. I like the Monarchs plus the points here.
WNBA 7/23
Game: Indiana at San Antonio (12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 139.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Indiana Fever have been the biggest surprise in the WNBA as we head to the midpoint of the season. They enter here with a mark of 12-3, and will face the San Antonio Silver Stars in San Antonio. The Silver Stars have one trait that is likely to really show itself against a top team. They can really get after it on defense if playing with the right mindset, and what a better place to display that than at home vs. the league leader. The Silver Stars have shown that as they have played four straight to the UNDER against teams with a winning record. Indiana has made it to the top by playing defense, and currently allow the fewest points per game in the league. There is also a history of low-scoring games between these two as they have played four straight to the UNDER.
Game: Chicago at Washington (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington -6 (+100) (risk 3 to win 3)
The Chicago Sky have really been an enigma. They have been one of the top defensive teams when playing at home, allowing just 71.8 points per game. That means they hold offenses to what would be a league-low average. The road has been a complete joke as they have played an "old" type defense that allows 88 ppg. That leaves them in a tough spot on the road where they have compiled just a 2-7 mark on the season both SU and ATS. They allow over 10 points per game more on the road (88.3 per contest). So while the offenses in this game are fairly even, Washington has a huge defensive edge (13 ppg difference!). The Mystics are strong from beyond the arc, converting 37.1% of three-pointers and this spells trouble for Chicago who is just 1-7 ATS this year vs. teams that make 33%+ from long range. In games with a total posted at 140+, the Sky are 1-7 ATS this year and I look for that to drop to 1-8 after this game.
Game: Sacramento at New York (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Sacramento +6.5 (+100) (risk 3 to win 3)
The Monarachs have won just one game out of ten on the road this season. The betting public doesn't want to touch them. But, we don't need them to win this game, just cover a large spread. Granted, it's tough to find a reason to like Sacramento when looking at their stats. But, the linesmakers are no dummies. They know this and they are shading their lines. It's often the ugly ducklings like this that cover spreads. New York could get caught off-guard here. They know Sacramento is weak, so a letdown is very possible. They have won three of their last four, which provides more reason to take it easy a bit here. They are also playing on back-to-back nights (with travel) and this is their fourth game in the past week. And in the past, that has not served them well as the Liberty are just 1-8 ATS the past three seasons in this situation. I like the Monarchs plus the points here.
Fantasy sports gametime
YESTERDAY 5- 0 POSTED ON SBR
MLB Baseball
100* Play Toronto (-150) over Cleveland (TOP MLB PLAY)
Cleveland has lost 16 of the last 22 games as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 17 of the last 22 games coming off a combined score of 15 runs or more. Cleveland has lost 51 of the last 81 day games and David Huff has an ERA of 8.38 in road games this season. Toronto has won 3 of the last 4 games and Marc Rzepczynski is 1-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 1.50.
100* Play Atlanta (-165) over San Francisco (TOP MLB PLAY)
San Francisco has lost 6 of the last 7 games and they have also lost 19 of the last 24 road games as an underdog of +125 to +175. Barry Zito has lost 7 of the last 10 games as a road underdog of +100 or higher and he is 5-10 in all games this season with an ERA of 4.89. Atlanta has won 6 of the last 7 games and they have also won 3 consecutive games vs. San Francisco at home this season.
100* Play St. Louis (-150) over Washington (TOP MLB PLAY)
Washington has lost 15 of the last 19 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also lost 47 of the last 65 games after having lost four or five of the last six games. Washington has lost 11 of the last 13 games after allowing one or less runs coming off a division win and they have also lost 12 of the last 13 games when their bullpen has thrown less than three innings over the last two games. Adam Wainwright has won 11 of the last 14 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and he has also won 8 of the last 9 road games.
CFL Football
50* Play Montreal (-14) over Hamilton (CFL FOOTBALL TOP PLAY)
Montreal has won 4 consecutive games vs. Hamilton at home and they have also won 29 of the last 34 games as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points. Montreal is averaging over 44 points a game on offense this season and they are also allowing an average of 17 points a game on defense this season. Hamilton has lost 17 of the last 19 games as a road underdog and they have also lost 12 of the last 13 road games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 56 points.
WNBA Hoops
50* Play San Antonio (+3) over Indiana (TOP WNBA PLAY)
Indiana has lost 18 of the last 27 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total and they have also lost 16 of the last 20 road games against the spread coming off a road win. San Antonio has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games vs. Indiana and they have also covered the spread in 6 consecutive home games coming off two or more losses.
YESTERDAY 5- 0 POSTED ON SBR
MLB Baseball
100* Play Toronto (-150) over Cleveland (TOP MLB PLAY)
Cleveland has lost 16 of the last 22 games as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 17 of the last 22 games coming off a combined score of 15 runs or more. Cleveland has lost 51 of the last 81 day games and David Huff has an ERA of 8.38 in road games this season. Toronto has won 3 of the last 4 games and Marc Rzepczynski is 1-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 1.50.
100* Play Atlanta (-165) over San Francisco (TOP MLB PLAY)
San Francisco has lost 6 of the last 7 games and they have also lost 19 of the last 24 road games as an underdog of +125 to +175. Barry Zito has lost 7 of the last 10 games as a road underdog of +100 or higher and he is 5-10 in all games this season with an ERA of 4.89. Atlanta has won 6 of the last 7 games and they have also won 3 consecutive games vs. San Francisco at home this season.
100* Play St. Louis (-150) over Washington (TOP MLB PLAY)
Washington has lost 15 of the last 19 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also lost 47 of the last 65 games after having lost four or five of the last six games. Washington has lost 11 of the last 13 games after allowing one or less runs coming off a division win and they have also lost 12 of the last 13 games when their bullpen has thrown less than three innings over the last two games. Adam Wainwright has won 11 of the last 14 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and he has also won 8 of the last 9 road games.
CFL Football
50* Play Montreal (-14) over Hamilton (CFL FOOTBALL TOP PLAY)
Montreal has won 4 consecutive games vs. Hamilton at home and they have also won 29 of the last 34 games as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points. Montreal is averaging over 44 points a game on offense this season and they are also allowing an average of 17 points a game on defense this season. Hamilton has lost 17 of the last 19 games as a road underdog and they have also lost 12 of the last 13 road games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 56 points.
WNBA Hoops
50* Play San Antonio (+3) over Indiana (TOP WNBA PLAY)
Indiana has lost 18 of the last 27 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total and they have also lost 16 of the last 20 road games against the spread coming off a road win. San Antonio has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games vs. Indiana and they have also covered the spread in 6 consecutive home games coming off two or more losses.
JUNIOR(June)WILL (BETONEPICKS)
3*(mlb)Tigers-119(French/Washburn)
---------------------
mlb 2009
W/L/P: 62/47/0
Total Units: +33.15
Dime players+$33,150
--------------------------
Juniors year around Dime clients
Bankroll is $126,350
--------------------------
3 unit loser yesterday
3 unit winner monday
3 unit winner tuesday
3*(mlb)Tigers-119(French/Washburn)
---------------------
mlb 2009
W/L/P: 62/47/0
Total Units: +33.15
Dime players+$33,150
--------------------------
Juniors year around Dime clients
Bankroll is $126,350
--------------------------
3 unit loser yesterday
3 unit winner monday
3 unit winner tuesday
