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King Creole
CLE / ORL Over 190.5
21-7 O/U last 6 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE teams playing off BB SU losses (CAVS). HOME teams are 16-5 O/U in this situation (CAVS). Home FAVS of 6 > points have gone 8-2 O/U.... and a PERFECT 4-0 O/U in the last 4 seasons.
3-0 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE home favs of 8 < points playing off a SU road FAVORITE loss (CAVS).
4-0 O/U last 8 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE teams playing off a SU LOSS.... SU LOSS... SU WIN... and SU LOSS (3-1 series deficit).... providing the OU line is 184 or more points (CAVS).
13-2 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVES when the previous game went "OVER the TOTAL' (CAVS).
5-0 O/U since 2000: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE home teams (in Rounds 2, 3, or 4) when BOTH teams scored 110 > points in the previous game.
In a DESPERATE situation for the home team, I think the "OVER" is worth a small look this evening.....
King Creole
CLE / ORL Over 190.5
21-7 O/U last 6 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE teams playing off BB SU losses (CAVS). HOME teams are 16-5 O/U in this situation (CAVS). Home FAVS of 6 > points have gone 8-2 O/U.... and a PERFECT 4-0 O/U in the last 4 seasons.
3-0 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE home favs of 8 < points playing off a SU road FAVORITE loss (CAVS).
4-0 O/U last 8 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE teams playing off a SU LOSS.... SU LOSS... SU WIN... and SU LOSS (3-1 series deficit).... providing the OU line is 184 or more points (CAVS).
13-2 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVES when the previous game went "OVER the TOTAL' (CAVS).
5-0 O/U since 2000: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE home teams (in Rounds 2, 3, or 4) when BOTH teams scored 110 > points in the previous game.
In a DESPERATE situation for the home team, I think the "OVER" is worth a small look this evening.....
Dr Baseball Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, May 28, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: Last year we 120-65 for +$4140 playing $100 per game and our GRAND SLAM Selections are now 412-184 the past FOUR COMBINED! We were also 24-7 in the Playoffs last year. Today we are featuring another GRAND SLAM BASEBALL WINNER and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $35 and PAY ONLY AFTER YOU WIN!! 21-4 RUN!! 5/28/2009
GRAND SLAM BASEBALL WINNER
Boston w/Beckett -130 1:10 EST
Date: Thursday, May 28, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: Last year we 120-65 for +$4140 playing $100 per game and our GRAND SLAM Selections are now 412-184 the past FOUR COMBINED! We were also 24-7 in the Playoffs last year. Today we are featuring another GRAND SLAM BASEBALL WINNER and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $35 and PAY ONLY AFTER YOU WIN!! 21-4 RUN!! 5/28/2009
GRAND SLAM BASEBALL WINNER
Boston w/Beckett -130 1:10 EST
Thursday's winner ...
30 Dime: CAVALIERS in the First Half ONLY (minus the points vs. Magic)
SPECIAL NOTE: This is a first-half play on Cleveland ONLY! Again, you're to play Cleveland minust the points in the first half!
Cavaliers (First Half ONLY)
Surprised? Surprised after riding the Magic four straight times and cashing four straight winners in this series that I would jump off Orlando tonight in Game 5 despite the fact it has all the momentum while the Cavaliers have all the pressure. Despite the fact the Magic have OWNED Cleveland? Despite the fact I’ve been telling you for more than a week now that Orlando is a terrible matchup for the Cavaliers? Allow me to explain.
First off, even though they’ve had major problems with the Magic for the last two-plus seasons, I have no doubt that the Cavaliers are going to win this game tonight and force a Game 6. Not to go all Oliver Stone on you, but you can be sure that the NBA has sent word to its officiating crew tonight to, well, let’s just say protect the home team, much the same way that the Lakers were protected versus the Nuggets last night. I am not, however, 100 percent confident that Cleveland can cover this big number for the entire game, because, A) they haven’t shown all season they can cash against Orlando, and B) they’ve been prone to second-half collapses in this series.
On the other hand, the Cavs have been an outstanding first-half team in this series. Get this: In Games 1 and 2 at home, Cleveland led Orlando 63-48 and 56-44 at the break, easily cashing the first-half ticket in both games. Then in Game 3 in Orlando, the Cavs trailed just 42-41 after two periods, but they came back in Game 4 on Tuesday and had a 58-50 halftime advantage.
In fact, if you check out Cleveland’s boxscores in their six playoff home games so far, you’ll see they led at halftime in every contest by the following margins: 12, 14, 5, 24, 15 and 12 points. And they covered the spread in five of those six games, and with one more bucket in Game 1 against Atlanta, the Cavs would be 6-for-6 in first halves at home.
Bottom line: If there’s one thing I’m absolutely certain of tonight it’s that the Cavs are going to come out like a team possessed, and nobody more so than LeBron James. At the same time, the Magic have come out flat in the first half in every game of this series so far, getting outscored by an average margin of 54.5 to 46. Now, up 3-1 in this series, it would only be natural for Orlando to lack focus and intensity in this contest, at least early on. If that happens, there’s a very good chance the Cavaliers will go into the locker room at the half up 20-plus points.
Simply put, without question the best value on the board tonight is the first half of this Game 5 showdown in Cleveland. Look for the Cavaliers to make an early statement and pounce on Orlando from the opening tip and cash easily.
30 Dime: CAVALIERS in the First Half ONLY (minus the points vs. Magic)
SPECIAL NOTE: This is a first-half play on Cleveland ONLY! Again, you're to play Cleveland minust the points in the first half!
Cavaliers (First Half ONLY)
Surprised? Surprised after riding the Magic four straight times and cashing four straight winners in this series that I would jump off Orlando tonight in Game 5 despite the fact it has all the momentum while the Cavaliers have all the pressure. Despite the fact the Magic have OWNED Cleveland? Despite the fact I’ve been telling you for more than a week now that Orlando is a terrible matchup for the Cavaliers? Allow me to explain.
First off, even though they’ve had major problems with the Magic for the last two-plus seasons, I have no doubt that the Cavaliers are going to win this game tonight and force a Game 6. Not to go all Oliver Stone on you, but you can be sure that the NBA has sent word to its officiating crew tonight to, well, let’s just say protect the home team, much the same way that the Lakers were protected versus the Nuggets last night. I am not, however, 100 percent confident that Cleveland can cover this big number for the entire game, because, A) they haven’t shown all season they can cash against Orlando, and B) they’ve been prone to second-half collapses in this series.
On the other hand, the Cavs have been an outstanding first-half team in this series. Get this: In Games 1 and 2 at home, Cleveland led Orlando 63-48 and 56-44 at the break, easily cashing the first-half ticket in both games. Then in Game 3 in Orlando, the Cavs trailed just 42-41 after two periods, but they came back in Game 4 on Tuesday and had a 58-50 halftime advantage.
In fact, if you check out Cleveland’s boxscores in their six playoff home games so far, you’ll see they led at halftime in every contest by the following margins: 12, 14, 5, 24, 15 and 12 points. And they covered the spread in five of those six games, and with one more bucket in Game 1 against Atlanta, the Cavs would be 6-for-6 in first halves at home.
Bottom line: If there’s one thing I’m absolutely certain of tonight it’s that the Cavs are going to come out like a team possessed, and nobody more so than LeBron James. At the same time, the Magic have come out flat in the first half in every game of this series so far, getting outscored by an average margin of 54.5 to 46. Now, up 3-1 in this series, it would only be natural for Orlando to lack focus and intensity in this contest, at least early on. If that happens, there’s a very good chance the Cavaliers will go into the locker room at the half up 20-plus points.
Simply put, without question the best value on the board tonight is the first half of this Game 5 showdown in Cleveland. Look for the Cavaliers to make an early statement and pounce on Orlando from the opening tip and cash easily.
thks jb and frankiee
ur welcome
Randall the Handle
Atlanta +1.14 over ARIZONA PINNACLE
Dan Haren is the ace of this staff but so what. He pitches for a team that is offensively challenged in a big way and the team is just 4-5 when Haren starts. One of those team wins came against the A’s in which Haren allowed five runs but the Snakes won 8-7. A close look comparing Haren to Derek Lowe reveals that Lowe has been sharper and induces quite a bit more ground balls than Haren and at this park that’s a key stat. In fact, Haren has induced just 38% of his outs on the ground while Lowe has induced 59% and that’s a significant edge in Lowe’s favor. Also consider LD% (line drive percentage), which reveals that Haren has allowed 23% of balls hit to be line drives while Lowe has allowed just 14%. The D-Backs are just 10-17 at home, the bullpen has been a complete disaster this past week and frankly, I just don’t see where the D-Backs have an edge. Play: Atlanta +1.14 (Risking 2 units).
Tampa Bay –½ +1.09 over CLEVELAND (1st 5 innings) PINNACLE
The blew a seven run lead on Tuesday and a five run lead yesterday and if nothing else, the Rays have to be tired of hearing how they’ve lost 17 straight games at the Jake (or is it Progressive Field?). Anyway, Jeff Niemann definitely looks like a keeper. This guy is getting better with each passing start and in fact, has allowed just four earned runs over his last 14 innings pitched. When he first arrived he was issuing far too many walks but it appears he trusts his stuff more, as he’s only issued one walk over his last two starts in 14 frames. The number of jacks he’s allowed is a bit concerning but the opposing pitcher is not. David Huff has allowed 14 hits, three bombs and 13 runs in his two starts covering just 6.2 innings. His WHIP and ERA over those two starts is 2.85 and 17.55, respectively. Ouch. He has yet to make it out of the fourth inning in either start and one of those starts came against these Rays just 11 days ago. Huff can’t be feeling too confident and his ticket back to the minors will very likely get punched after this one. Note the 12PM start. Play: Tampa Bay -½ +1.12 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).
ur welcome
Randall the Handle
Atlanta +1.14 over ARIZONA PINNACLE
Dan Haren is the ace of this staff but so what. He pitches for a team that is offensively challenged in a big way and the team is just 4-5 when Haren starts. One of those team wins came against the A’s in which Haren allowed five runs but the Snakes won 8-7. A close look comparing Haren to Derek Lowe reveals that Lowe has been sharper and induces quite a bit more ground balls than Haren and at this park that’s a key stat. In fact, Haren has induced just 38% of his outs on the ground while Lowe has induced 59% and that’s a significant edge in Lowe’s favor. Also consider LD% (line drive percentage), which reveals that Haren has allowed 23% of balls hit to be line drives while Lowe has allowed just 14%. The D-Backs are just 10-17 at home, the bullpen has been a complete disaster this past week and frankly, I just don’t see where the D-Backs have an edge. Play: Atlanta +1.14 (Risking 2 units).
Tampa Bay –½ +1.09 over CLEVELAND (1st 5 innings) PINNACLE
The blew a seven run lead on Tuesday and a five run lead yesterday and if nothing else, the Rays have to be tired of hearing how they’ve lost 17 straight games at the Jake (or is it Progressive Field?). Anyway, Jeff Niemann definitely looks like a keeper. This guy is getting better with each passing start and in fact, has allowed just four earned runs over his last 14 innings pitched. When he first arrived he was issuing far too many walks but it appears he trusts his stuff more, as he’s only issued one walk over his last two starts in 14 frames. The number of jacks he’s allowed is a bit concerning but the opposing pitcher is not. David Huff has allowed 14 hits, three bombs and 13 runs in his two starts covering just 6.2 innings. His WHIP and ERA over those two starts is 2.85 and 17.55, respectively. Ouch. He has yet to make it out of the fourth inning in either start and one of those starts came against these Rays just 11 days ago. Huff can’t be feeling too confident and his ticket back to the minors will very likely get punched after this one. Note the 12PM start. Play: Tampa Bay -½ +1.12 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).
Dave malinsky
4* BALTIMORE ORIOLES (Hernandez)-110 over Detroit Tigers (Galarraga)
For a team in last place, the Baltimore Orioles have played some decent baseball being in the A.L. East simply does that to a team. What is also does is to under-rate them when stepping out of that difficult division, one that is a collective 10 games over .500 against outside competition this season. This game provides a classic example. 28 of 47 Baltimore games have come against teams that currently sport winning records, while only 16 of 45 Detroit opponents are over .500. And the David Hernandez vs. Armando Galarraga matchup gives us the tools to take advantage this opportunity. The Orioles have been careful to not rush Hernandez, but his numbers show that he is more than ready for the challenge of a Major League mound. He was given a full season at AA ball LY, working to a 10-4/2.68 with 166 strikeouts vs. only 112 hits allowed, and in eight starts at AAA this season it was a 3-1/2.91 with a dominating count of 60 strikeouts vs. only 33 hits allowed. He enters on a run of back-to-back shutouts in which he struck out 20 while allowing only five hits, and not only does his presence bring a spark tonight, but also the fact that the rest of the team is on a major high after making that dramatic rally to beat Toronto on Wednesday, getting a season-high 18 hits in the process (six different players had multiple hits). They were particularly buoyed by the return of Luke Scott, who went 2-4 with a home run and three rbi?s, and the addition of another big left-handed bat matters in this matchup against Galarraga. There may not have been a bigger surprise in the Major Leagues Ly than the Detroit right-hander, an unheralded prospect that turned in a solid 13-7/3.03 campaign. But after getting off to a good start this season the wheels have come off ? he has worked to an 0-4/9.93 over five May starts, and has been every bit as bad as that suggests, with eight home runs allowed in 22.2 innings, and more walks than strikeouts through that span. And it was not as though he was pitching batting practice in the All Star game ? the five teams he has faced in May are a collective 30 games under .500. His biggest weakness is allowing the long ball to left-handed hitters, with 25 blasts in 466 at-bats the past two seasons, and the combination of the Oriole lineup and the friendly right field wall at Camden Yards makes this a particularly difficult matchup for him.
4* BALTIMORE ORIOLES (Hernandez)-110 over Detroit Tigers (Galarraga)
For a team in last place, the Baltimore Orioles have played some decent baseball being in the A.L. East simply does that to a team. What is also does is to under-rate them when stepping out of that difficult division, one that is a collective 10 games over .500 against outside competition this season. This game provides a classic example. 28 of 47 Baltimore games have come against teams that currently sport winning records, while only 16 of 45 Detroit opponents are over .500. And the David Hernandez vs. Armando Galarraga matchup gives us the tools to take advantage this opportunity. The Orioles have been careful to not rush Hernandez, but his numbers show that he is more than ready for the challenge of a Major League mound. He was given a full season at AA ball LY, working to a 10-4/2.68 with 166 strikeouts vs. only 112 hits allowed, and in eight starts at AAA this season it was a 3-1/2.91 with a dominating count of 60 strikeouts vs. only 33 hits allowed. He enters on a run of back-to-back shutouts in which he struck out 20 while allowing only five hits, and not only does his presence bring a spark tonight, but also the fact that the rest of the team is on a major high after making that dramatic rally to beat Toronto on Wednesday, getting a season-high 18 hits in the process (six different players had multiple hits). They were particularly buoyed by the return of Luke Scott, who went 2-4 with a home run and three rbi?s, and the addition of another big left-handed bat matters in this matchup against Galarraga. There may not have been a bigger surprise in the Major Leagues Ly than the Detroit right-hander, an unheralded prospect that turned in a solid 13-7/3.03 campaign. But after getting off to a good start this season the wheels have come off ? he has worked to an 0-4/9.93 over five May starts, and has been every bit as bad as that suggests, with eight home runs allowed in 22.2 innings, and more walks than strikeouts through that span. And it was not as though he was pitching batting practice in the All Star game ? the five teams he has faced in May are a collective 30 games under .500. His biggest weakness is allowing the long ball to left-handed hitters, with 25 blasts in 466 at-bats the past two seasons, and the combination of the Oriole lineup and the friendly right field wall at Camden Yards makes this a particularly difficult matchup for him.
GINA
Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers
Go with the Magic in a close fight. The underdog has covered the spread in 11 of the last 15 contests in this rivalry and Orlando is 7-0 ATS in the last seven battles in Cleveland.
Orlando Magic +7½
Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks
Go with the Braves with Derek Lowe on the hill. The right-hander is 5-1 with a 3.54 ERA in his last six starts and 4-1 with a 1.91 ERA in his last six starts against Arizona. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have lost seven of its last nine home games and Arizona's right-hander Dan Haren has struggle in his last three starts.
Atlanta Braves +105
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Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers
Go with the Magic in a close fight. The underdog has covered the spread in 11 of the last 15 contests in this rivalry and Orlando is 7-0 ATS in the last seven battles in Cleveland.
Orlando Magic +7½
Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks
Go with the Braves with Derek Lowe on the hill. The right-hander is 5-1 with a 3.54 ERA in his last six starts and 4-1 with a 1.91 ERA in his last six starts against Arizona. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have lost seven of its last nine home games and Arizona's right-hander Dan Haren has struggle in his last three starts.
Atlanta Braves +105
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