Service Plays Thursday 03/12/09

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Bullitt
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Play: 4 Unit Play. #717. Take Indiana +9 over Penn State

Play: 4 Unit Play. #723. Take NC State +1.5 over Maryland

Play: 4 Unit Play. #725. Take Virginia +4.5 over Boston College

Play: 4 Unit Play. Take the Phoenix Suns +4.5 over the Cleveland Cavaliers
INDIAN COWBOY

4 Unit Play. #717. Take Indiana +9 over Penn State (Thursday @ 5pm est). I know, hold your nose. But, we took two ugly dogs yesterday in Depaul +9.5 and Southern Methodist +11 and they both cashed for us, so let's take a dog that we are getting almost that many points in Indiana. Yes, Indiana is horrible, pathetic, blah, blah, blah. But, do you think the regular season every matters worth of diddly in this conference tournament? Heck, Depaul went 0-16 in conference tourney games - 0-16! And, yet this team defeated Georgetown and was giving all Providence can handle from start to finish. Indiana actually defeated Iowa at home and covered countless games at home. This game is played in Indianapolis for starters, Indiana lost to Penn State by just 3 points on the road and 10 points at home. Believe it or not, Indiana matches up well with Penn State even if is their scrubs and essentially non-scholarship players. If you are Penn State, how do you get your boys up for this first round game against the Hoosiers? Indiana comes into this game getting trounced by 24 to Wisconsin on the road, they face a team that they lost to at home by 10, then went on the road to just lose by 3, they are catching 9 points in a total of 123, and this is the same Penn State team that lost in double-overtime to Iowa and 6 conference games on the road. Penn State is used to playing the role of the spoiler, but now, they are favored and this is a new role for them that they will get used to. Let's take the points as Indiana should be game from start to finish and they will get some home cooking calls in our favor as well.

4 Unit Play. #723. Take NC State +1.5 over Maryland (Thursday @ 7pm est). This is a gutsy call. I can dig it. But, I like it here as the ACC Tourney is held in Atlanta and places this game on a neutral footing. I am also no fan of Maryland as I think they are over-rated frankly. I don't believe the ACC is overrated - I just think Maryland is overrated. The terps are similar to when the Cavs sit around and watch Lebron go to work at times when they sit around and Vasquez does all the work. NC State is a team that plays the great concept of "team basketball". Remember, this team beat NC State by 11 on the road earlier this year so this is a revenge game for NC State. I can easily see Maryland looking over the shoulder of NC State to their next opponent and they just might get their head caught in some headlights. Folks, I think Maryland is going to be in some serious trouble today along with Boston College for that matter. Remember 70% of the public loves Maryland here and why? This is not a home game for them. NC State has had luck on this floor defeating Georgia Tech 21, this team beat Wake at home, beat Virginia and Boston College at home as well. Heck, they even beat Miami of Florida at home as well. No, this team is not at home, but I am stating this to say, that this team has potential and when they play together, they can certainly accomplish a lot. I believe the line is revealing here and that Maryland is in for a big awakening and exit in the first round when all is said and done. The thing with Maryland is that when they stink, they stink bad such as their 41 point loss to Duke and 29 point loss to Clemson. NC State comes in with a more spirited attitude and takes the cake here today in Hotlanta.

4 Unit Play. #725. Take Virginia +4.5 over Boston College (Thursday @ 9:20pm est). Another upset in the making today. Let me ask you something - what has Boston College done on the road this year? BC lost to NC State by 5, lost to Miami of Florida by 11 and although this team is a 21 win team, they are in for trouble here today. The last time these two teams played, I don't believe Virginia was playing its best basketball when they lost to BC at home by 10. This Cavalier team remembers that loss when these two lock horns again today. Virginia shoots 74.5% from the free throw line and if they can attack the basket, they will win this game as they have some solid spot up 3-point shooters. I understand that this team was 4-12 this year in conference play - but I also understand that this team went 3-4 to close out the year, and they can certainly call on the barons of an upset here as if Virginia gets going early, BC can get rattled easily. I just don't feel BC is playing their best basketball heading into the tournament as this team barely defeated Tech at home by 1 point and I think they are going to be deer caught in headlights as well as I don't see BC getting "up" for this game as well. Don't be surprised to see both Virginia and NC State make the upset today against their respective opponents. I have a feelingg the public simply gets burned today with BC as they did with Texas A&M yesterday. The Cavaliers are 5-0-2 ATS as underdogs in their last 7 neutral site games and BC is just 1-7 ATS against teams with a SU (straight up) losing record as this team just simply does not "get-up" for weaker teams.

4 Unit Play. Take the Phoenix Suns +4.5 over the Cleveland Cavaliers (Friday @ 10:30pm est). We are 2-1 on the week as roll into Sunday. Let's cash the Thursday ticket with the Phoenix Suns at home against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The public for the most part should love the Cavs here, and we will gladly go the other way. Remember, we took the Clippers just on Tuesday against the Cavs and the fact they won that game by coming back makes me like this pick even more. After all, you never want to go against a Cavs team that comes off a loss - but it is ok to go against a Cavs team that comes off a win in which they were fortunate. This reduces the "edge" that this team has from coming off a loss. Speaking of edge, the Phoenix Suns will have some tonight against the Cavs. From the fact that this team has lost five straight, returned home from a four game road swing in which they lost all four SU, including a home loss against Dallas, this team will be more than fired up to go against Lebron and company. There are certain situations when the Phoenix Suns will make sense and there are certain situations when they step up. This is one such situation. This game is on TNT, which is renowned for Underdogs covering and the Suns will use this game as a stepping stone to attempt to make a run out West. The Suns are the same team that beat the Lakers at home with no Amare winning 118-111 and there are just times when they step up. This will be one of those games as with the likes of Nash, O'Neal, Richardson, Hill, Barnes and Barbosa, the Suns can get this done. Remember, this was the exact same line when the Suns hosted the Lakers and won Outright as a small home dog as well and they desperately need a win once again and will step up on TNT to do so as a likely Outright Winner.

Good luck,
 

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Stu's 2500 Dime High Roller Western Conference Game of the Year

L.A. Lakers (194') at San Antonio Spurs (-3) - 8:05 pm EST



Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown





SAN ANTONIO SPURS (-3) 2500 Dime High Roller


Here ya go guys, Good Luck!!
 

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so STu feiner pick is lakers over spurs and pitt over wv?

See what i'm sayin, we knew whick was going to get the pick from earlier today. See its people like this that ruin these forums, posting fake fucking picks! thank you whick for the real pick -

Stu's 2500 Dime High Roller Western Conference Game of the Year

L.A. Lakers (194') at San Antonio Spurs (-3) - 8:05 pm EST


Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown


SAN ANTONIO SPURS (-3) 2500 Dime High Roller


Here ya go guys, Good Luck!!

<!-- / message -->
 

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Drew Gordon - Bought, paid, confirmed.

Drew Gordon
Today's Games...

1. 200,000♦ Maryland
2. 50,000♦ California
3. 50,000♦ Virginia

1. Maryland- This isn't just a must-win for the Terrapins, this is a must-win for revered coach Gary Williams, who's facing an incresingly vocal chorus of critics that are calling for the long-time architect of Maryland basketball to call it a day. I don't care on what side of the fence you lie on, but fact remains, everyone from the coaching staff on down to the water boy knows Maryland MUST WIN this game.

Besdies the obvious motivational factor mentioned above, the Terps got lucky to get such a favorable match up in this contest, because truth be told, the Wolf Pack is just as road weary (if not worse), than Maryland. Both teams struggled on the road this season, but unlike NC State, who lost its only neutral court game this season to Davidson, Maryland is 2-2 in those contests this year, including a big-time upset win over Michigan State! Any 'Capper worth his salt will tell you that you have to examine road play when considering these neutral court games, and in this case, the edge goes to Maryland.

Remember guys, these two teams played just under two weeks ago, with the Terps taking it to the Wolf Pack 71-60, in Raleigh no less! In that contest, Terps star G Greivis Vasquez dominated the Wolf Pack defense, scoring 33 points, dishing out 5 assists, and committing only 1 turnover! Terrapin-backers will tell you, when Vasquez plays well, Maryland usually wins, and I see more of the same in this one! In fact, most of the Maryland backcourt played well, as Hayes chipped in 9 points and 4 assists, and Tucker 7 points! In other words, Maryland will win win the battle of the guards, while Maryland forwards Milbourne and Neal equalize the Wolf Pack's slight edge down-low.

Finally, while NC State had a solid run going in late January thru mid-February, winning against Miami-Florida and Wake Forest to name a few, this team has tailed off since then. Barely beating Virginia, losing at Wake, losing to Maryland at home, a surprise win against un-motivated Boston College team, followed by a loss at Miami... Not exactly consistent basketball, and I expect to see more of that tonight. Maryland is the better, more motivated team in this contest, and while the game will be relatively close, the Terrapins get the solid win & cover, quieting their critics for at least one more day!

Take Maryland over NC State as your top-rated play of the day.

2. California- Is Southern Cal's modest 2-game win streak supposed to make me forget about their absolutely horrendous month of February? Trojans lost 6 of 7 games last month (2-5 ATS), including some pretty questionable home losses (see Washington State), and some pretty ugly road effort (see at Stanford). So what if they beat sorry-ass Oregon and Oregon State in back-to-back home games?! You know recent play is a HUGE factor when 'capping conference tourney games, and clearly Southern Cal has NOT been playing well.

True, the Bears have lost 3 of their last 5 games, but I don't consider losses to the cream of the PAC-10 crop (UCLA and at Arizona State) too disheartening. True, their road loss at Oregon State was disappointing, but who did they beat in the very next game? That's right, Southern Cal, in their wild 81-78 home win in OT back on February 26th! Much like that game, I expect this game will be highly competitive, but Cal simply has too much firepower in the end.

Speaking of firepower, its no secret guard play is the key to tourney play, you've heard it repeated again and again in the media, and for once, they're dead-on. The backcourt duo of Randle and Christopher (29 points in last meeting) is the key to this contest, because clearly they are the better guard duo. If not for USC's Daniel Hackett getting hot in their last meeting, that game would've never been close, and I suspect the Trojans backcourt will get out-played even worse tonight.

True, the Bears have no answer for Taj Gibson, but with Robertson playing really well of late (avergaing 19 ppg L3 games), and Boykin and Wilkes anchoring the paint, Cal has more than enough frontcourt play to at least equalize USC's edge down-low. However, on the flip side, you can rest-assured the Trojans have no way of equalizing Randle and Christopher.

Finally, one strong trend has emerged over the course of the last 8 meetings between these two schools... The favorite is a solid 6-2 ATS over that span! Once again, we expect a very competitive contest here, but the edge in backcourt is the difference here, as when it comes down to it, the Bears have the playmakers necessary to win a tight contest.

Take California over Southern Cal in this college hoops match up.

3. Virginia- I don't expect many people to agree with this play, but I could care less. Sometimes when a line on a contest is THIS fishy, you have to go with your first instict, which is to avoid the incredible trap set by Vegas in this match up. But let's dig a little deeper...

So you tell me why a team that won 10 games this season, including just ONE on the road, is only a relatively slight underdog against a 21-win rock-solid Boston College team? You may not like the answer, but oddsmakers know what they're doing, and to think they are going to give us a "hand out" in this contest is totally ridiculous. With a huge majority of the betting public on the Eagles in this spot, I simly cannot allow my clients to fall prey to this trap.

So, how do the Cavaliers do it? Well, it comes down to a couple key match ups, because we know BC's Tyrese Rice and Virginia's Sylven Landesberg will play well, but after that it comes down to players like G Mamadi Diane, who's been great when given minutes. Note, he had a real breakout in his last contest versus Maryland, playing 34 minutes, scoring 23 points, and finally taking some of the heat off of Landesberg! He's a senior, and with his time running VERY short, look for Diane to relish in his extended role tonight.

Herein lies the problem for Boston College, because in their last meeting - an 80-70 Eagles road win and cover - the only player they had to worry about was Landesberg, who dropped 32 points on BC in that contest. Fuck, Diane played only 4 minutes, and the rest of Virginia's guards played awful (Jones & Baker combined to go 4 of 22 overall)! Look for a much more focused effort tonight from a Cavaliers team that's playing for all the marbles tonight.

Finally, I know full well the Cavaliers were terrible on the road this season, going 1-9 SU, BUT they were not a particularly bad bet, going 6-4 ATS away over that span! Add in the fact that Boston College's defense on the road is just as bad as the Cavaliers (both teams allow about 75 ppg away), and don't tell me the Eagles are a "lock" here, because they're not. In the end, we're making this a small play, but rest-assured, following the herd on Boston College is a mistake here, as Virginia will grab the cash tonight.

Take Virginia plus the points over Boston College in this college hoops match up

-------

Bought, paid, confirmed -- GL!
 

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Larry Ness
REASON FOR PICK: Gary Williams is in his 20th season coaching his alma mater. He led the Terps to the Final 4 in 2001 (lost to Duke) and returned in 2002, this time winning the national championship by beating Indiana, 64-52. However, those "glory years' seem decades ago. That's what three NIT appearances in a four-year stretch will do. Some people argue that Maryland's a "bubble team" this year but I'm not one of them. The Terps are just 18-12 overall, including a losing record in the ACC (7-9). They did upset North Carolina at College Park on Feb 21 but the Terps lost the first meeting to the Tar Heels 108-91 in Chapel Hill, went 0-2 vs Duke plus lost to both Wake and Clemson. The Terps capped their regular season with a 68-63 loss at 10-17 Virginia (4-12 in the ACC). Just what about that record spells "at-large?" The Terps did beat tonight's opponent (NC State) in Raleigh 71-60, but don't expect 6-6 swingman Vazquez (17.2-5.4-4.8) to go for 33 points like he did in that game. In fact, NC State's lineup should be a tough one for Maryland to handle. Head coach Sidney Lowe is now going with a "big" lineup and Maryland's best two inside players are a pair of 6-7 forwards, Milbourne (12.2-4.2) and Neal (8.2-4.3). NC State's 6-6 swingman Fells (11.6-3.5) missed the team's finale with a groin injury but he's listed as probable for this game. PG Gonzalez (6.7-3.3 APG) joins him in the backcourt and as previously stated, Lowe starts the 6-9 Costner (13.6-6.1), the 6-9 McCauley (12.4-7.8) and the 6-8 Smith (10.2-4.5) across his frontline. The 6-9 Horner (6.2-3.9) is also getting more time, as he's averaged 9.7 PPG over NC St's last seven games. By game's end, Milbourne and Neal will really be missing the graduated Gist (15.9-7.9) and Osby (11.5-6.5), both around 6-8 or 6-9, from LY's team. Whatever hopes the Terps had of grabbing an at-large bid will disappear here, as the Wolfpack do what Lowe's former coach Jimmy V made famous. That is, "survive and advance!" Tourney Underdog Shocker on NC State (7*).

Larry Ness
REASON FOR PICK: It's hard to argue against the job first-year head coach Din Verlin has done at Idaho. The Vandals had won a total of 24 games the previous four years but this season, Verlin has led them to a winning conference mark (9-7), as well as a 16-14 overall record. I guess a coach learns a thing or two sitting beside Stew Morrill for 15 years (first at Colorado St and then at Utah State). The team's best player is 6-2 Washington State transfer Mac Hopson, who has averaged 16.6 PPG, 5.0 RPG and 5.8 APG. Former CC player Watson (10.5-3.6) plus two returning seniors, Morris (6.2) and Brown (4.8), round out the team's backcourt. Up front is the 6-10 Jefferson (9.1-4.4) at center, surrounded by 6-7 Brazilian-import de Souza (8.6) and the 6-6 Wiley (8.4-5.6). What's NOT to like about this 'story?' The answer is NOTHING but the Vandals drew a bad opponent in this game. La Tech went just 14-17 overall (6-10 in the WAC) but the Bulldogs have really played well down the stretch. The team lost 6-10 Cooper (11.7-7.10 in mid-January but instead of that hurting the team, the team's gotten better. Kyle Gibson (13.0-3.4) and Guyton (11.9-3.3) are a solid backcourt duo, with Ashaolu (5.0-4.0) and Loe (4.6) adding depth. The 6-10 Rolle (12.0-7.3) has picked up the slack after Cooper's loss, while the 6-5 Brandon Gibson (6.2) and the 6-8 Jackson (5.2-3.7) complete the main group of contributors. The Bulldogs won at Nevada on Feb 5, 78-75 (as 13.5-point underdogs) and then "hung tough" at Utah State on Feb 7, losing by just eight points (as a 17-point underdog). Those two ATS wins began a seven-game ATS winning streak over an eight-game stretch, with the Bulldogs going 6-2 SU (included a non-lined win). That ATS winning streak came to an end in the team's last regular season game, a 66-58 loss at Idaho. The LAST team Idaho wants to see again is La Tech (other than Utah St, of course) and I expect the Bulldogs to end Don Verlin's very successful first-season at Idaho, tonight in Reno (on a bad note!). Las Vegas Insider on La Tech (8*).
 

Bullitt
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Johnnie's Picks

3/12/09

B.C. == -4.5
Maryland == -2.0
Washington St. == O/121.50

Cleveland == -4.5
Lakers == -2.5
 

Bullitt
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a-10 comp play golden contender card

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On Tursday night at the comp play is on R.Island.Game 732 at 6:30 eastern.RI.is a solid 16-2 as a favorite this year,has a better record vs winning teams than Duquesne and they are 3-1 off a loss.Duquesne is a terrible 0-3 su-ats vs teams who score 77 or more and 1-18 su in this role since 1997.For tonights card I have a 90% system play in the nba and a huge conference triple angle college play contact at .Back RI. here tonight as the Bonus Play. bol GC-
 
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Vegas Runner 2* Personal TNT

Over 194 San Antonio vs. LA Lakers

GLTA

Vegas Runner (2-0 so far Kentucky & Marquette...This guy is a huge anti public player). His 3*'s and higher have been solid.

2* Virginia +5 Personal Play

3* Ohio +1 (Conference Game of The Week)

2* Vanderbilt -3 Personal Play

3* West Virginia +4.5 BEST BET OF THE DAY!!!

2* USC -1.5 Personal Play

GLTA
 

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Vegas Runner via twitter... heading into the night 2-0
Unofficial play..... 1* Duquesne +3.5.
 

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Maddux Sports

Hockey
#59 - NHL - 3 units on Florida +115
#61 - NHL - 3 units on Washington +105
#65 - NHL - 3 units on NY Islanders +235
#69 - NHL - 3 units on Carolina +115
#75 - NHL - 3 units on Atlanta +145
 

Bullitt
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

BIG EAST TOURNAMENT
(at New York)

West Virginia (22-10, 14-15 ATS) vs. (2) Pittsburgh (28-3, 16-8-1 ATS)

West Virginia jumped out to an 18-point halftime lead against Notre Dame on Wednesday and cruised to a 74-62 victory, cashing as a six-point favorite. The Mountaineers, who shot just 36 percent from the field by had a 44-27 rebounding edge, are 6-2 in their last eight games (5-3 ATS), and they’ve been doing it with defense, giving up 59.7 ppg in their last six outings. The SU winner is 12-2 ATS in the team’s last 14 contests, all in Big East play.

Pittsburgh rolls in the conference tourney on a three-game SU and ATS winning streak, including Saturday’s impressive 70-60 victory over No. 1 UConn as a 4½-point home chalk. The Panthers started the season with 16 consecutive victories, and their three losses all came on the road in Big East play (69-63 at Louisville, 67-57 at Villanova and 81-73 at Providence). Despite being a heavy favorite in almost every game, Pitt is on a 10-3 ATS run (all in Big East play), and the SU winner has covered the spread in 13 of the team’s last 14 games.

The Panthers have advanced to the Big East title game seven times in the last eight years, winning two championships, including last year when they went 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Going back to 2006, Jamie Dixon’s squad is 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS in this event. The Mountaineers, who advanced to the conference semifinals last year, are 3-1 (2-2 ATS) in their last four tourney contests.

Pitt swept the season series from West Virginia this year, winning 79-67 as a one-point road underdog and 70-59 as an 8½-point home chalk. The Panthers have won six of the last seven meetings (5-2 ATS) and are 13-5-1 ATS in the last 19 series clashes. Finally, the favorite is 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16.

Pitt is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as a favorite, 7-1 ATS in its last eight against teams with a winning record, while West Virginia is 4-2 ATS as an underdog dating to last season.

The under is 6-3 in the last nine confrontations in this rivalry. Also, the under is 8-2 in West Virginia’s last 10 overall, 3-0 in its last three at neutral venues and 3-0 in Pitt’s last three neutral-site contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PITT and UNDER


(18) Syracuse (24-8, 15-13 ATS) at (3) Connecticut (27-3, 12-13 ATS)

Syracuse ran its SU and ATS winning streak to five in a row with Wednesday’s 89-74 beatdown of Seton Hall as a 7½-point favorite. The Orange shot 57 percent from the field, went 9-for-18 from three-point land, set a tournament record with 30 assists on 37 field goals and saw five players score in double digits, and they won easily despite a putrid 6-for-20 effort from the foul line.

UConn had a three-game winning streak snapped in Saturday’s 70-60 loss at Pitt as a 4½-point road underdog. Since losing their Big East opener to Georgetown (74-63 as a seven-point home favorite) on Dec. 29, the Huskies are 16-2 SU, with both losses coming to Pitt. However, Jim Calhoun’s squad comes into the tournament in a 2-6 ATS slump.

With their 63-49 blowout of the Orange at home a month ago, the Huskies improved to 7-4 SU and ATS in the last 11 meetings in this rivalry. The winner cashed in each of those 11 contests, and the favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight clashes.

Since the ugly loss at UConn on Feb. 11, the Orange have been unstoppable offensively, tallying 86 points or more in six of seven games and averaging 86.1 ppg during this stretch. Furthermore, Jim Boeheim’s squad has topped the 80-point mark in 20 of its 32 games this season, including 12 of 19 Big East contests. However, tonight they go up against a Huskies team that gives up just 62 ppg and ranks fourth in the nation in field-goal defense (37.7 percent).

Going back to 2003, Syracuse is on a 9-2 SU and 8-2-1 ATS run in the Big East tournament at Madison Square Garden. Conversely, UConn has gotten bounced in the first round of the tournament each of the last three years (0-3 ATS), and the Huskies 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last five tournament contests. In fact, since winning the 2004 national championship, the Huskies have failed to cover in 12 consecutive postseason games.

UConn is 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a favorite, but the Huskies are 4-0 SU and 3-1 at neutral sites this season. Meanwhile, despite cashing in four straight games (all in conference) and going 3-0 SU and ATS at neutral venues, Syracuse is 2-6 ATS in its last eight as an underdog.

The Orange have topped the total in 12 of their 19 Big East games, including seven of the last 11, and the over is 5-1 in their last six neutral-site contests. However, the under is 15-5 in UConn’s last 20 games overall (13-5 in Big East play), and the under is 11-4 in the last 15 head-to-head battles.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


BIG 12 TOURNAMENT
(at Oklahoma City, Okla.)

Oklahoma State (21-10, 13-11-1 ATS) vs. Oklahoma (27-4, 13-12-1 ATS)

Oklahoma State blew out Iowa State 81-67 as a 10½-point favorite in Wednesday’s opening-round Big 12 tournament action for its seventh win in its last eight games (8-0 ATS). The Cowboys, who used a 46-point second half against Iowa State to rally from a three-point halftime deficit, get a quick rematch with rival Oklahoma. OSU’s only loss in the last month came Saturday in Norman, an 82-78 setback to the Sooners, though it covered as a nine-point road underdog.

Oklahoma had lost three of four SU and ATS before beating the Cowboys on Saturday. The Sooners get it done with offense, averaging 79.5 points a game and shooting 48.8 percent from the floor this season, good for seventh in the nation. Player-of-the-Year candidate Blake Griffin is a one-man wrecking crew for the Sooners, averaging 22.1 points, 14.2 rebounds and 63.4 percent shooting. Griffin went for 33 points and 14 boards in Saturday’s win over the Cowboys.

In addition to beating the Cowboys at home Saturday, Oklahoma scored an 89-81 victory at Oklahoma State back on Jan. 26, covering as a 2½-point road chalk. The Sooners have won five consecutive meetings in this rivalry (3-2 ATS) and seven of the last eight (4-3-1 ATS). Also, the favorite is on a 7-4-1 ATS run in the Bedlam Rivalry.

Oklahoma has won its opening round game in the Big 12 tournament each of the last two years, but it has failed to cover in seven straight tourney games (3-4 SU). Meanwhile, Oklahoma State is on an 11-3 SU and 8-5-1 ATS roll in the tournament, including back-to-back championships in 2003 and 2004.

Oklahoma State is on ATS streaks of15-6-2 in neutral-site games and 6-1-1 in the Big 12 tournament. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has gone 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 overall, and the Sooners are a perfect 3-0 (2-1 ATS) in neutral-site games this season.

The Cowboys have stayed under the total in four of six overall, while the Sooners have topped the total in nine of their last 13. Both matchups between these two this season also soared over the posted number after the previous four stayed under the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OKLAHOMA STATE


Texas Tech (14-18, 10-14-1 ATS) vs. (14) Missouri (25-6, 14-10 ATS)

Texas Tech pulled off an early upset in the Big 12 tournament on Wednesday, rallying from a 19-point halftime deficit to shock Texas A&M 88-83 as a 6½-point underdog. The Red Raiders, who had lost seven of eight coming into the tourney (3-5 ATS), outscored the Aggies 59-35 in the second half to win for just the fourth time in 17 conference contests this season. Tech has now cashed in three straight and four of its last five, all as an underdog.

Missouri, which had a bye in Wednesday’s first round, closed the season with a 96-86 loss at Texas A&M on Saturday, failing as a two-point road chalk. The Tigers have followed up a seven-game winning streak (6-1 ATS) by losing two of three both SU and ATS. DeMarre Carroll is Missouri’s leader, putting up 17.1 points and 7.3 rebounds per contest while shooting 56.7 percent from the floor.

These two squared off back on Jan 24 in Missouri with the Tigers scoring a 97-86 win but coming nowhere near covering as an 18½-point favorite. The Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in the last six head-to-heat battles.

Missouri has not won a Big 12 tourney contest since 2005, going 0-3 SU and ATS the last three years, and it is 2-5 SU and ATS in this event dating back to 2004. Texas Tech had failed to cover in three straight tournament games prior to last night.

Despite covering in three straight overall, Texas Tech is on ATS slides of 4-8-1 on a neutral court and 3-7 after a spread-cover. Meanwhile, Missouri has cashed in seven of its last 10 overall and 10 of 15 (all in the Big 12), going 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a favorite. Also, the Tigers went 2-2 SU and ATS on neutral courts this season.

The Red Raiders are on “over” runs of 22-7-2 overall, 19-7-1 in Big 12 action, 4-1-1 on a neutral court and 18-6-2 as ‘dogs, and the Tigers topped the total in three of their last four to close out the regular season. These two flew over the 159½-point total in their lone meeting this season, finishing at 193, making the over 6-2 in the last eight years in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


ACC TOURNAMENT
(at Atlanta)

N.C. State (16-13, 15-8-1 ATS) vs. Maryland (18-12, 11-10-2 ATS)

North Carolina State takes a 7-2 ATS streak into the ACC tourney but has gone just 4-5 SU in that span, all in conference play. The Wolfpack lost to Miami (Fla.) 72-64 Saturday, narrowly covering as an 8½-point road underdog to move to 3-1 ATS in their last four starts (1-3 SU). N.C. State dropped its lone neutral-court game this season to Davidson, 72-67, though it cashed as an eight-point underdog.

Maryland scored a stunning home upset of then-No. 3 North Carolina three weeks back, then went 1-3 SU and ATS in its final four games. The Terps nearly knocked off Wake Forest before falling 65-63 as a 1½-point home pup March 3, then closed with Saturday’s 68-63 road loss to Virginia as a two-point favorite.

Since winning the ACC tournament in 2004, Maryland has failed to get out of the first round in three of the last four years, going 1-4 SU and ATS. The Wolfpack have bowed out of this event twice in the last three years, including in 2008 when they fell 63-50 to Miami, Fla., as a five-point underdog. However, in 2007, N.C. State went 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS, advancing to the title game before losing to North Carolina.

Maryland has owned this rivalry lately, going 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in the last five clashes, including a 71-60 road win as a four-point underdog less than two weeks ago.

The Terps are on ATS skids of 2-4 overall and 2-7 in neutral-site outings, though they went 2-2 SU and ATS at neutral sites this season. Meanwhile, despite cashing in seven of their last nine overall, the Wolfpack are 6-16-2 ATS in their last 24 starts following a SU defeat.

The under for Maryland is on rolls of 4-0 overall, 5-0 on neutral floors, 5-2 on Thursday and 7-2-1 after a non-cover, and the under for N.C. State is on a 4-1 stretch. Also, the under is 4-2 in the last six series meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Virginia (10-17, 10-12 ATS) vs. Boston College (21-10, 13-13 ATS)

Virginia closed out an otherwise disappointing regular season with Saturday’s 68-63 upset win of Maryland as a two-point home underdog, ending a four-game SU and three-game ATS losing skid. In between starting the ACC season with a four-point overtime win at Georgia Tech on Dec. 28 and Saturday’s victory over Maryland, the Cavaliers went 2-12 in ACC play and 3-13 overall. During their 1-4 season-ending struggle, they averaged just 61.4 ppg on 42.2 percent shooting.

Boston College struggled with consistency throughout the ACC campaign, and that was evident down the stretch as the Eagles went 3-4 (2-5 ATS), alternating SU wins and losses in their last six games. On Saturday, they barely edged lowly Georgia Tech 67-66, falling way short as an 8½-point home favorite. B.C.’s defense was disappointing throughout the league season, giving up at least 66 points in every game.

The Eagles went to Virginia on Feb. 4 and cruised to an 80-70 victory as a one-point favorite. Prior to that, the Cavaliers had won three of four in this rivalry, going 4-0 ATS.

Boston College has won all three opening-round ACC tournament games since joining the league in 2006 (2-1 ATS), but is 1-3 ATS in its last four tourney games overall. The Cavs have dropped three straight conference tournament games (0-3 ATS), including consecutive opening-round losses the last two years.

Virginia is in ATS slumps of 1-6-1 at neutral sites, 0-5 on Thursday and 3-8 after a spread-cover. Boston College is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 neutral-site games and 7-2 ATS in its last nine on Thursday.

The under is on streaks of 6-0 for Virginia overall (all in ACC play), 9-2 for Virginia on Thursday, 4-0 for Boston College overall (all in ACC play), 4-1 for Boston College at neutral sites. However, the last three meetings in this rivalry have gone over the posted total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON COLLEGE



PAC-10 TOURNAMENT
(at Los Angeles)

Arizona (19-12, 18-12 ATS) vs. (23) Arizona State (22-8, 16-10 ATS)

Arizona State snapped a three-game SU and 1-3 ATS losing skid with Saturday’s season-ending 83-66 rout of Cal as a seven-point favorite. The 83 points were the most scored by the Sun Devils since opening Pac-10 play with a 90-60 rout at Stanford. Prior to the slump, Arizona State had won five in a row (4-1 ATS).

Like their rivals, the Wildcats put the brakes on a lengthy losing streak Saturday, routing Stanford 101-87 as a six-point favorite to end a four-game SU slide (2-2 ATS). Arizona was a streaky team in conference play, having a seven-game Pac-10 winning streak (6-1 ATS) sandwiched around three- and four-game losing skids (3-4 ATS overall).

The Sun Devils will try to make it five in a row over their rivals from Tucson in this quarterfinal matchup, having swept the regular-season series with a 53-47 road win as a 2½-point underdog and a 70-68 home victory as an eight-point chalk. ASU is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and the favorite has covered in nine of the last 13 clashes.

In Pac-10 tourney action, Arizona State has dropped six straight (2-4 ATS) while the Wildcats have won four of their last five opening-round tourney contests (3-2 ATS) but overall Arizona is on a 1-3 SU and ATS slide in this event. Also, the winner has cashed in each of the Wildcats’ last nine Pac-10 tournament contests.

Arizona is on ATS runs of 9-3 overall (8-3 in Pac-10 play) and 17-8 in neutral-site games, while the Sun Devils are on positive ATS streaks of 7-3 on Thursdays and 5-2 in neutral-site games.

The Wildcats are on “over” runs of 7-1 overall, 5-0 on neutral courts, 24-11 on Thursdays and 7-1 against Pac-10 foes. For Arizona State, the over is on streaks of 4-0 on a neutral court, 4-1 overall and 4-1 on Thursdays. However, in the last seven series clashes, the under is on a 6-1 run, with the lone “over” occurring in the most recent meeting on Feb. 22.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


USC (18-12, 14-14 ATS) vs. California (22-9, 16-12 ATS)

The Trojans are trying build off a modest two-game SU and ATS winning streak to close the season after losing six of seven (2-5 ATS) Pac-10 games in February. USC crushed Oregon 80-66 as a 13-point favorite a week ago, then blew out Oregon State 68-52 on Saturday as a 12-point chalk in the season finale.

Cal alternated SU wins and losses in its last six games (2-4 ATS) and got beat soundly at Arizona State on Saturday 83-66, failing to cover as a seven-point ‘dog. The Golden Bears have failed to score more than 68 points in any of their last four defeats, but they’ve topped 77 points in five of their last six victories (5-1 ATS).

The home team won both matchups between these two this season, but the Trojans got the cash in each outing, winning 73-62 at home as five-point favorites and losing 81-78 at Cal in overtime on Feb. 26, but cashing as a four-point pup. Still, the chalk is 6-2 ATS in the last eight series meetings.

USC has won its last two opening-round Pac-10 tournament games (1-1 ATS), while the Bears are 3-0 SU and ATS the last three years in their opening tourney contest.

The Trojans come into this one 6-1 ATS in their last seven as a neutral-site ‘dog, but just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 after a spread-cover and 1-4 ATS in their last five as an underdog. Cal is 4-1 ATS in its last five as neutral-site favorite, but just 1-4 ATS in its last five overall.

USC has stayed under the total in nine of 11 neutral-site contests, but it closed the season on a 7-4 “over” run (3-1 “over” in the last four). Meanwhile, the Golden Bears are riding “over” streaks of 8-3 overall, 26-8 against Pac-10 teams, 20-8 on Thursdays and 5-0 in neutral-site games. Finally, the over is on a 7-0 run in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Washington State vs. (15) UCLA (24-7, 15-14-1 ATS)

Washington State clobbered Oregon 62-40 as a nine-point favorite in opening-round play Wednesday. The Cougars dominated across the board, outshooting the Ducks 58 percent to 26 percent and finishing with a 36-21 rebounding edge en route to their fourth win in the last five games (4-0-1 ATS).

UCLA’s run of three straight regular-season Pac-10 titles ended this year, as the Bruins finished in second place, one game behind Washington. However, they enter this year’s tournament on a four-game winning streak (3-0-1 ATS), including a pair of blowout home victories over Oregon State (79-54) and Oregon (94-68).

The SU winner is 11-1-1 in UCLA’s last 13 games and 12-0-1 in Washington State’s last 13.

The Cougars’ current 4-1 SU run began with a stunning 82-81 upset of UCLA in Los Angeles as a 13 ½-point underdog on Feb. 21, as Wazu ended a nine-game slide in this rivalry. The Bruins won the first clash in Pullman, Wash., 61-59, but failed to cover as a five-point road chalk. Prior to this season, UCLA had cashed in three consecutive meetings.

The Bruins are the defending Pac-10 tournament champs and have cut down the nets twice in the last three years, but they’ve failed to cash in three of their last four conference tourney contests. Meanwhile, Washington State has not made it out of the second round since the Pac-10 re-started the tournament early this decade, going 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS in its last six appearances.

UCLA’s 3-0-1 ATS run comes on the heels of an 0-4 ATS slide (1-3 SU), and going back to last year’s postseason, the Bruins are 8-2 SU at neutral sites, but only 4-6 ATS. The Cougars’ recent surge comes after a 2-7 SU slump and a 4-11 ATS nosedive, and they’re 3-1 SU and ATS at neutral venues this season.

The Bruins have topped the total in 13 of their last 14 games (all in the Pac-10), with both of this year’s meetings against Washington State hurdling the posted price. Conversely, the under is 7-1 in the Cougars’ last eight (the lone “over” coming at UCLA last month).

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


SEC TOURNAMENT
(at Tampa, Fla.)

Vanderbilt (19-11, 12-14-1 ATS) vs. Alabama (17-13, 12-12-1 ATS)

Vanderbilt ended the regular season on a high note, winning and cashing in its last three games, including a 75-67 road upset of SEC regular-season champ LSU as a 9½-point pup just last week. The Commodores followed that with Sunday’s 75-58 rout of Arkansas as an eight-point home chalk and enters this tournament on a 7-3 SU (6-4 ATS) run. Vandy went 2-0 SU and ATS on neutral floors this year, though those wins came against Drake and Virginia Commonwealth.

Alabama followed a four-game losing skid with a 4-1 SU and ATS surge to end the regular season, capped by a 70-67 upset of host Tennessee as a 13-point ‘dog Sunday. Over the last five games, the Crimson Tide have averaged 81.6 ppg – after averaging just 71.2 ppg in their first 25 games – while allowing 73 ppg. But on the road this year, ‘Bama has been outscored by four ppg (77-73).

Vanderbilt is 6-3 SU and 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in this rivalry, but Alabama has cashed in the last two contests, most recently losing 79-74 in early February but covering as a seven-point road pup. The underdog is also 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine head-to-head battles.

The Commodores have beaten the spread in nine of their last 11 neutral-site contests and they’re 3-0 ATS as a favorite of less than five points, but they are on ATS dips of 2-10 in Thursday games, 2-5 in the SEC tournament and 2-5 following a pointspread win. The Crimson Tide are on positive ATS runs of 5-1 overall (all in SEC play), 5-1 at neutral sites and 5-1 against winning teams, but they’re 1-4 SU (2-3 ATS) in the SEC tourney dating to 2005.

The over for Vandy is on streaks of 5-1 against winning teams and 8-3 on Thursday, and the over for ‘Bama is on rolls of 5-1 overall, 4-0 after a SU or ATS win, 13-3 on Thursday and 6-2 at neutral sites. Finally, the over is on a 5-2-1 run in the last eight meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Arkansas (14-15, 11-11 ATS) vs. Florida (22-9, 9-14-1 ATS)

Florida limped to the regular-season finish line, going 1-3 SU and ATS in its last four games, but that victory came in Saturday’s finale, a 60-53 home win over Kentucky as a 5½-point chalk. Florida, which is on a 3-7 ATS plunge (4-6 SU), has averaged 78.2 ppg this season, an even 10 ppg better than its opponents, but over the last five starts, the Gators are in a near dead heat, scoring 72.6 ppg while allowing 72.2.

Arkansas took a 12-1 SU record into conference play this season, then went a dismal 2-14 SU and 6-10 ATS in the SEC, losing eight straight games at one point. The Razorbacks got bounced by Vanderbilt 75-58 Sunday as an eight-point road pup to end the regular season. Over the past five games, Arkansas has averaged 76.6 ppg and given up 82, and on the road this season, the Hogs have been outscored by more than 10 ppg (77.8-67.7).

The Gators were the three-time defending SEC tournament champions heading into last year’s event, winning nine straight games (7-1-1 ATS). However, they got dumped in the opening round last year, losing 80-69 to Alabama as a 3½-point favorite. Meanwhile, Arkansas has reached the tournament title game each of the last two years, falling to Florida in 2007 and Georgia in 2008.

Florida is 4-1 SU in the last five games in this rivalry – including a pair of wins in the SEC tournament – but has gone just 2-2-1 ATS, including an 80-65 home win laying 10½ points in January, this year’s lone meeting. The favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven clashes.

The Gators are on a 2-5 ATS slide overall, they’ve failed to cover in their last four neutral-site contests and they’re 5-10 ATS as a favorite of less than 15 points this season. However, they carry positive ATS streaks of 9-2 on Thursday, 5-2-1 after a SU win and 9-4 against teams with a losing record. The Razorbacks have actually split the cash in their last six SEC games, but they are in pointspread ruts of 2-6 against winning teams and 4-9-1 after a non-cover.

The over for Florida is on stretches of 5-2 overall (all in the SEC), 4-1 at neutral sites and 8-2 on Thursday, and the over for Alabama is on runs of 4-1 overall, 4-1 at neutral sites and 9-4 on Thursday. However, the under has hit in the last three clashes in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


NBA

L.A. Lakers (51-13, 33-31 ATS) at San Antonio (43-20, 33-28-2 ATS)

The Lakers finish off a three-game road trip with a stop at the AT&T Center to face the rival Spurs in a meeting of the top two teams in the Western Conference.

Thanks to a monster second-half performance, keyed mainly by Kobe Bryant, Los Angeles rallied for a 102-96 upset victory at Houston last night as a 3½-point underdog. The Lakers, who entered the game in a 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS slump, trailed 51-40 at halftime, then outscored the Rockets 62-45 from there, with Byrant scoring 31 of his 37 points in the final 24 minutes. With the win, Phil Jackson’s squad ended a three-game SU and ATS drought on the highway.

San Antonio dropped Charlotte 100-86 Tuesday night as a 5½-point chalk for its third straight win and cover, all on its home floor, to move to 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five starts. The Spurs, with the NBA’s third-best scoring defense at 93.4 ppg, have outscored opponents by about six points per game at home (98.6-92.4) this season, and in the past five games overall, they’re outscoring opponents by nearly 13 ppg (102.2-89.4).

Los Angeles has cashed in four straight meetings in this rivalry (3-1 SU), rolling 99-85 as a 7½-point chalk at home on Jan. 25, after covering 11 days earlier as a three-point pup in a 112-111 loss at the AT&T Center. The Lakers beat the Spurs in last year’s best-of-7 conference finals in five games (3-2 ATS).

The Lakers are on ATS upswings of 20-7-2 as an underdog and 5-2 playing on no rest, but they also carry negative ATS streaks of 2-4 against the West, 2-4 against winning teams and 2-4 on the road. Meanwhile, along with their current 4-1 ATS run, the Spurs are on pointspread rolls of 6-1 at home, 7-0 as a favorite, 6-0 as a home chalk, 9-2-1 against the Pacific Division, 9-3 against winning teams and 9-3-1 after a day off.

The over for Los Angeles is on tears of 11-5-1 on the road and 6-1 going on no rest, and the over for San Antonio is on stretches of 6-0 against teams with a winning percentage above .600 and 8-3 in the Western Conference. However, the under is on streaks of 5-1 for the Lakers overall, 6-1 for the Spurs against winning teams and 15-5 for San Antonio against Pacific Division foes.

Finally, in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in six of the last seven meetings overall and nine of the last 11 clashes at the AT&T Center.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN ANTONIO
 

Bullitt
Joined
Dec 9, 2008
Messages
5,782
Tokens
Craig Trapp

NC State vs. Maryland
Play: Maryland -1.5

Maryland has created a tough spot for themselves with an unexplainable loss to end the regular season. The loss at Virginia puts them under 500 in the ACC at only 7-9. Maryland most likely needs to win a minimum of two games to feel confident about their chances come Selection Sunday. Greivis Vasquez is the key to this team when he scores over 20 points and also is getting others involved Maryland can beat anyone. But when teams take him away they can lose to anyone. NC State lost by 11 earlier this year to Maryland in a game that Maryland really dominated. NC State has 4 players in double figures and don't rely on one player to carry them. Spreading the scoring around is a good thing but unfortunately they don't really have a go to player come the end of games. NC State lost a ton of close games this year with no leader or players stepping up to take and make the big one. Motivation for this team might be a problem and if they get down early they might just quit. Betting Trends: Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NC State have not beat Maryland ATS in the last 5 meeting and Maryland is in a must win game. Spells trouble for the Wolfpack and a blowout is a high probability in this one. SCORE MAR 76 - NCST 61


USC vs. California
Play: California -1.5

The PAC 10 conference overall has had a disappointing year. Most experts had USC as a definite NCAA tourney team in the preseason but not many picked CAL as one. CAL has outplayed all expectations and Coach Montgomery has shown why so many saw him as a top Coach while he was at Stanford. Both teams could really use this win and this game will probably be a very physical match up.

Even scoring has been the key for a big improvement at CAL this year, led by guard Jerome Randle averaging over 17 points and 4 assists a game. Coach Montgomery has brought his success that he had at Stanford over to the Bears. A year ahead of time this team will make the big dance as most likely a #7 seed.

USC has played tough defense all year and most games dominate the glass also. But in almost every loss they have struggled on the offensive end. Poor and inconsistent outside shooting has really let them down in some key games this year. Most likely need 2 wins to have any chance of making the big dance.

Recent Trends:

Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.

Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Head to head Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Talent between these teams is pretty close and maybe USC is a little more athletic. This game is going to be won in a close one and the team that comes with better effort will win this game. Coach Montgomery has proven that his games win the game they are supposed to win so we are going to take CAL. SCORE CAL 69 - USC 62
 

Bullitt
Joined
Dec 9, 2008
Messages
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The Soccer Expert
58-24 SOCCER SIDES AND TOTALS
12-13 SOCCER PARLAYS
13-13 NBA ( AMERICAN BASKETBALL)
14-8 NCAAB ( COLLEGE BASKETBALL)

Football:
UEFA CUP(12/03/09)
Time:12:00 AM
Hamburg v Galatasaray Time Of First Goal
Bet: After 27min.
UEFA CUP(12/03/09)
Time:2:45 PM
Marseille v Ajax
Bet:Under 2.5
 

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