Service Plays Sunday 9/5/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox (-140, 9)

It’s not that the Boston Red Sox are throwing in the towel or anything, but they aren’t kidding themselves about their situation either. They sit 7 ½ games back of the Tampa Bay Rays for the AL Wild Card.

"I don't think we've pulled up the tent yet, we just have to play really well,'' Sunday’s starter Josh Beckett told reporters. "Really, really well.''

Boston is 3-4 in its last seven games. They face Chicago’s Mark Buehrle, who has allowed more than four runs only once in his last six starts.

Pick: White Sox


Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals (-180, 7.5)

It’s pretty hard to go against St. Louis’ Chris Carpenter when he’s at home in a big pressure situation. Carpenter hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in his last 10 starts and is 14-5 on the year. That said, if there’s one team that’s going to put a few crooked numbers on the board against him, it’s the Reds.

Paced by NL Triple Crown candidate Joey Votto, Cincinnati has scored at least five runs in eight of their last 10 games.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sunday Night Baseball: Giants at Dodgers

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Giants have a postseason berth in their sights, but their neighbors to the south have other plans.

*Statistics compiled prior to Saturday night’s game.

Until recently, San Diego seemed like a lock to make the postseason, but the division-leading Padres’ recent slide has left the door open for the Giants to make a run at their first NL West title since 2003.

Starting Off

Jonathan Sanchez (9-8, 3.54) takes the hill for San Francisco in search of a career-best 10th win. Sanchez, San Francisco’s most profitable starter (+490 units), is coming off a strong performance in which he tossed eight innings of one-run ball against Colorado.
He allowed five runs in five innings in his only start against Los Angeles this season, an 8-2 loss on June 30.

Sanchez will face Hiroki Kuroda on Sunday night. The Dodgers’ righthander is under .500 on the year, but has pitched better than his record would indicate.

In his last start, Kuroda (10-11, 3.39) took a no-hitter into the eighth inning in a 3-0 victory over the Phillies. He has lasted at least seven innings in each of his last five starts, a stretch over which he has a 2.78 ERA.

Catching Up

Giants phenom Buster Posey has been as good as advertised since being called up at the end of May. Over 82 games, the young catcher/first baseman has compiled 54 RBIs and a .876 OPS.

Posey, who was just 16 years old the last time San Francisco played postseason baseball, drove in both of his team’s runs in Friday’s series-opening 4-2 loss.

Meanwhile, the Dodgers have gotten a big boost from midseason acquisition Rod Barajas. The 34 year-old journeyman has filled in admirably for Russell Martin, who is out for the season with a hip injury. Since being acquired from the Mets on August 22, Barajas is batting .375 with four homers and eight RBIs in eight games.

The Pen is Mightier…

San Francisco’s bullpen is 27-14 on the year with a 3.38 ERA, third-best in the National League. All-Star closer Brian Wilson leads the NL with 38 saves and has allowed just one run in his last 10 outings.

He is a perfect two-for-two in save opportunities against Los Angeles in 2010. In three innings of work against the Dodgers, Wilson has struck out six without allowing a run.

Wishful Thinking?

The Dodgers are eight games out in the Wild Card race. Their role has seemingly shifted from postseason contender to spoiler, but don’t tell that to Joe Torre.

“I still believe this ballclub has a six- or seven-game winning streak,” Torre told the Dodgers’ official website.

For Los Angeles to make an improbable playoff run, Rafael Furcal will have to make up for lost time. The starting shortstop missed more than a month with a low back strain before making his return on Friday night.

Torre was pleased with Furcal’s approach at the plate, although Furcal committed a costly error in the field, leading to the Giants’ only two runs.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Seattle Storm at Phoenix Mercury (-1.5, 174)

Somehow, some way, the Seattle Storm continue to get the best of the Phoenix Mercury ever time they meet on the court. They have booked blowouts, overtime wins and everything in between as they look to close out the best-of-three series.

At this point, it’s hard to see how Phoenix is going to get the best of Seattle. The Storm are controlling the pace and keeping the Mercury from turning this into a track meet. Looks like it could be curtains for the Mercury.

Pick: Storm


Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty (-4.5, 165)

The Dream had better have done their homework on the Liberty because this is a different club since the All-Star break. New York was just 7-9 at the break but finished the season 15-3.

These two teams split four meetings in the regular season so home court could mean a lot in this series. New York was 15-4 at MSG this year.

Pick: Liberty

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend: Sunday's wagering tips

Weather to watch

Atlanta at Florida – 30 percent chance of isolated thundershowers

Who’s hot

Boston is 8-2 in its last 10 home meetings with the White Sox.

Tampa Bay is 40-15 in its last 55 meetings with Baltimore.

Minnesota is 27-11 in its last 38 overall games.

Colorado has won seven of its last nine meetings with San Diego.

Who’s not

Toronto is 4-10 in its last 14 Sunday games.

Washington is 14-40 in its last 54 road games.

Detroit is 17-36 in its last 53 road games.

St. Louis has lost nine of its last 11 games.

Chicago is 5-13 in its last 18 home games.

Key stat

1 – The number of total runs Seattle starter Felix Hernandez has allowed over his last five starts, spanning 37 innings. He has struck out 48 batters over that span.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Josh Hamilton – knee/back. Hamilton expected to play Saturday after missing some time over the last week with a wonky knee. He had a lubrication shot in his right knee on Tuesday and says it feels better. However, he left Saturday’s game with lower-back stiffness.

Game of the day

Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox

Notable quotable

“That was garbage. That's just bad baseball. It's only the fourth inning. If they're going to hold me on, I'm going to roll out. The circumstances were kind of out of whack, but the game was too early. It was only the fourth inning. If it happened again, I'd do it again. It's one of those things where I'm a hard-nosed player. I'm grimey.”

-Nationals outfielder Nyjer Morgan after he charged the mound in Wednesday’s brawl with the Florida Marlins. Morgan has appealed his eight-game suspension.

Tips and notes

Alex Rodriguez is scheduled to come off the DL on Sunday and it looked like that was a sure thing earlier in the week. Now that doesn’t seem so concrete. He took some BP and fielding drills before Saturday’s game but was non-committal about Sunday’s game, saying his return may need to wait until Monday or Tuesday.

Derek Lowe knows what the issue is with his pitching elbow and he plans on throwing through it. An MRI showed no ligament or tendon damage, but there is a bone chip that’s stuck in the joint. Lowe who’s now 37 and has never been on the DL in his career expects to make his scheduled start Wednesday against Pittsburgh.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Double dragon

boise st. -pk (-125)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BaseBall Crusher

Philadelphia Phillies -145 over the Milwaukee Brewers

 

[goldencontender]

Sunday NCAAF play- GC

On Sunday the NCAAF Bonus Play is on the Under in the Texas tech and SMU game. Rotation numbers 205/206 at 3:30 eastern. This game is nationally televised on ESPN as well. In this series every game has played under the total the past few years. SMU had played under in 17 of 23 games as a road dog from + 10.5 to 21. Texas Tech will not resemble last years team under Mike Leach as they now have defensive minded Tommy Tubberville at the helm. SMU does play an up tempo style under J. Jones. However that may not matter too much as Texas Tech has a solid defense. SMU defense was also much improved last season. With the total sitting at 60 and down from the 61 point opening we will back the under for the Bonus Play. On Sunday I have one Late 90% MLB power system play on the card. On Saturday we started big in NCAAF Cashing all 3 plays. For the Bonus Play take the Under. BOL GC

 

[motor87]

axiumsports

September 5th 2010

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,307.99

Pick #19-England League 1 Soccer-
19)Bet 35.89 to win 31.48 on Brentford/Sheffield Wednesday UNDER 2.5 -114

Pick #20-MLB-
20a)Bet 17.32 to win 18.36 on Florida ML OVER Atlanta +106

20b)Bet 75.37 to win 79.89 on Florida ML OVER Atlanta +106

Pick #21-MLB-
21aa)Bet 17.52 to win 17.01 on Colorado/San Diego UNDER 7 -103
21ab)Bet 36.37 to win 35.31 on Colorado/San Diego UNDER 7 -103

21ba)Bet 17.44 to win 16.93 on Colorado/San Diego UNDER 7 -103
21bb)Bet 158.28 to win 153.67 on Colorado/San Diego UNDER 7 -103

 

[SqueezetheJuice]

Pointwise Collegiate Football Prophecy

Sunday's Action:
Tulsa 31 ECU 24
Texas Tech 51 SMU 27 (Texas Tech has a 5* rating, which is the lowest on a 1-5 scale with 1* being the highest as one of their College Key releases)

Monday's Action:
Navy 27 Mary 24
Boise ST 30 VT 20

 

[SqueezetheJuice]

Pointwise Red Sheet Selection: (89 and above = a superior play)

Texas Tech 55 SMU 27 (Rating 89)

 

[SqueezetheJuice]

Winning Points:

Tulsa 36 ECU 27 (Listed as No Play)

Texas Tech 42 SMU 20 (Listed as No Play)
--------------------------------------------------
Monday:
Maryland 31 Navy 27 (Maryland is a 4* out of 4.5*) 4.5* is a top play

Boise ST 30 VT 33 (Listed as No Play)

 

[SqueezetheJuice]

PowerSweep:

This is their dog play for Monday: MARYLAND (+)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BRYAN LEONARD
CONFERENCE USA GAME OF THE MONTH
Tulsa at East Carolina
Play: Tulsa

Now that the line has dropped back to a touchdown it's time to grab the Golden Hurricane before it rises again on game day. This is a double revenge situation for Tulsa who is still smarting from a 27-24 home loss in the conference closer two years ago to these Pirates. Tulsa was an 11 point favorite in that game. Last year Tulsa dropped a heartbreaking 46-45 decision to 13th ranked Houston the week prior to meeting East Carolina. That game was a back and forth game that took all the air out of the Golden Hurricane. They followed that up by being pummeled 44-17 by tonight's opponent.

Tulsa returns eight starters to an offense that should revert back to previous standards. They averaged 47.2 ppg just two seasons ago. While they have lost five starters who were expected to be in the two deep because of season ending injuries, this remains a very potent scoring unit.

East Carolina is off back to back nine win seasons but they are in a new regime as Ruffin McNeill is now the full time head coach. He led the Pirates in last years 20-17 loss to Arkansas in the Liberty Bowl. East Carolina returns just eight total starters this season and McNeill has spent most of the camp teaching fundamentals to his young and inexperienced squad. The Pirates have played very well at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium posting a 10-2 mark here the past two seasons. But those teams returned veteran casts of 16 starters each season. The last time East Carolina brought back ten starters or less was in 2004 and the team went on to a 2-9 record. We could see a repeat this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHAD GREENE

Tampa Bay Rays RL -1.5

Tulsa Golden Hurricane -7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PITTSBURGH SYNDICATE

Tulsa vs. East Carolina over 59
SMU vs. Texas Tech over 59

Nationals -130
Marlins +102
Brewers vs. Phillies over 9 1/2
Astros vs. D'Backs over 8 1/2
Yankees -1 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Harrrison

September 5, 2010

Daily Lock
Nationals -120 (3 UNITs)


MLB
Tigers -120 (3 UNITs)
Rangers -121 (3 UNITs)


NCAA Football
- Tulsa -7 (2 UNITs)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

E. Carolina
Texas Tech
Dodgers
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLERS DATA

Tigers -125
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 8 runs bet. the Angels and Oakland
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Dunkel


Chicago White Sox at Boston
The White Sox look to build on their 5-1 record in Mark Buehrle's last 6 starts as an underdog. Chicago is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 5

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Florida (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 15.292; Florida (Sanabia) 16.423
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Over

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 14.614; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.241
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-155); Under

Game 905-906: Washington at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Marquis) 14.728; Pittsburgh (Morton) 13.312
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Washington (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-125); Over

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.139; St. Louis (Carpenter) 13.438
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+160); Under

Game 909-910: NY Mets at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 14.271; Cubs (Dempster) 14.822
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2;
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-145); N/A

Game 911-912: Colorado at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.445; San Diego (Richard) 13.667
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under

Game 913-914: Houston at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 16.514; Arizona (Lopez) 15.691
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Over

Game 915-916: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 15.074; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.925
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-140); Under

Game 917-918: Toronto at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Cecil) 15.215; NY Yankees (Hughes) 17.550
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-190); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-190); Over

Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 15.934; Boston (Beckett) 15.358
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Under

Game 921-922: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 15.243; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.542
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+155); Under

Game 923-924: Detroit at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 16.039; Kansas City (Davies) 14.347
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Over

Game 925-926: Texas at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Wilson) 14.499; Minnesota (Blackburn) 16.311
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Under

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 14.366; Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.800
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115); Over

Game 929-930: Cleveland at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Gomez) 13.496; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.856
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-200); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-200); Over