Wunderdog
Game: Detroit at Minnesota (Sunday 9/26 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 42.5 -110
The Detroit Lions were supposed to be better this year. Instead, they are again losing games. While they are 0-2 straight up, they have covered the number twice. But, things just never seem to change for this team, especially on the road. They have now dropped their last 21 games on the road, and the defense takes center stage as the culprit. The Lions defense allowed 33.7 points per game on the road a year ago, so this should be the breakout week for the Vikings. Minnesota has scored just 19 points in two games but their average simply isn't going to stay there. And, getting the Lions at home is the recipe for a change. If Minnesota gets their expected 30+ here, it doesn't leave much scoring to be done by the Lions to push this one over the total. The Vikings managed a minimum of 27 points per game at home a year ago, and following an ATS loss the OVER has cashed in at 24-10-2 in their last 36. The Lions are 17-7 to the OVER when posted as a dog of 10.5 or more in their last 24. In their last ten games when allowing 28+ points, the Lions have gone OVER nine times. Under Brad Childress, this Vikings team is 20-10 OVER after an ATS loss and 10-2 OVER following a back-to-back ATS losses. This one goes OVER the total.
Game: Detroit at Minnesota (Sunday 9/26 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 42.5 -110
The Detroit Lions were supposed to be better this year. Instead, they are again losing games. While they are 0-2 straight up, they have covered the number twice. But, things just never seem to change for this team, especially on the road. They have now dropped their last 21 games on the road, and the defense takes center stage as the culprit. The Lions defense allowed 33.7 points per game on the road a year ago, so this should be the breakout week for the Vikings. Minnesota has scored just 19 points in two games but their average simply isn't going to stay there. And, getting the Lions at home is the recipe for a change. If Minnesota gets their expected 30+ here, it doesn't leave much scoring to be done by the Lions to push this one over the total. The Vikings managed a minimum of 27 points per game at home a year ago, and following an ATS loss the OVER has cashed in at 24-10-2 in their last 36. The Lions are 17-7 to the OVER when posted as a dog of 10.5 or more in their last 24. In their last ten games when allowing 28+ points, the Lions have gone OVER nine times. Under Brad Childress, this Vikings team is 20-10 OVER after an ATS loss and 10-2 OVER following a back-to-back ATS losses. This one goes OVER the total.
Doug Williams
Atlanta Falcons +3.5 at New Orleans Saints -3.5
The NFC’s top teams do battle this weekend as the Atlanta Falcons head to New Orleans to face the New Orleans Saints. Atlanta easily covered the -7 point spread against the Arizona Cardinals. New Orleans followed up a close win over Minnesota on the opening day of the NFL season with another close win Monday night, this time on the road against San Francisco to go 0-2 ATS. I think they will easily cover the 3.5 at home in this matchup.
Pick: NO to Cover the -3.5
New York Jets +2 at Miami Dolphins -2
The first game for the Dolphins at home this season, and the Jets are hitting the road for the first time.
I think the Dolphins are still underrated, even after they beat the Vikings on their home field last week.
However, in their last action, New York was a 28-14 winner at home against the Patriots. They covered the 3 point spread as underdogs.
This will be a close one, hense the 2 point spread. The Dolphins listed as 2-point favorites versus the Jets and I think that they'll cover that.
Pick: Miami to Cover the -2
Detroit Lions +11.5 at Minnesota Vikings -11.5
The Vikings are listed as -11.5 point favorites versus the Lions, that is a huge line. Last week Detroit covered the 6.5 point spread as underdogs against the Eagles, so we know they're not as bad as their reputation.
Minnesota will win this, but not by that margin, so get on Detroit to Cover this before the line moves.
Pick: Detroit to Cover the +11.5
San Diego Chargers -5.5 at Seattle Seahawks +5.5
The Chargers covered the 7 point spread as favorites 38-13 in their most recent outing at home against the Jaguars. Seattle was a 31-14 loser on the road against the Broncos. This was opposite fortunes for both sides in comparison to week 1.
This week I think the Chargers are going to bounce back and pummel the Seahawks at Qwest Field.
Pick: San Diego to Cover the -5.5
Atlanta Falcons +3.5 at New Orleans Saints -3.5
The NFC’s top teams do battle this weekend as the Atlanta Falcons head to New Orleans to face the New Orleans Saints. Atlanta easily covered the -7 point spread against the Arizona Cardinals. New Orleans followed up a close win over Minnesota on the opening day of the NFL season with another close win Monday night, this time on the road against San Francisco to go 0-2 ATS. I think they will easily cover the 3.5 at home in this matchup.
Pick: NO to Cover the -3.5
New York Jets +2 at Miami Dolphins -2
The first game for the Dolphins at home this season, and the Jets are hitting the road for the first time.
I think the Dolphins are still underrated, even after they beat the Vikings on their home field last week.
However, in their last action, New York was a 28-14 winner at home against the Patriots. They covered the 3 point spread as underdogs.
This will be a close one, hense the 2 point spread. The Dolphins listed as 2-point favorites versus the Jets and I think that they'll cover that.
Pick: Miami to Cover the -2
Detroit Lions +11.5 at Minnesota Vikings -11.5
The Vikings are listed as -11.5 point favorites versus the Lions, that is a huge line. Last week Detroit covered the 6.5 point spread as underdogs against the Eagles, so we know they're not as bad as their reputation.
Minnesota will win this, but not by that margin, so get on Detroit to Cover this before the line moves.
Pick: Detroit to Cover the +11.5
San Diego Chargers -5.5 at Seattle Seahawks +5.5
The Chargers covered the 7 point spread as favorites 38-13 in their most recent outing at home against the Jaguars. Seattle was a 31-14 loser on the road against the Broncos. This was opposite fortunes for both sides in comparison to week 1.
This week I think the Chargers are going to bounce back and pummel the Seahawks at Qwest Field.
Pick: San Diego to Cover the -5.5
SR COMPUTER PICKS 17-12-3 ATS YTD
Sunday, September 26th, 2010 (Eastern Time)
1:00 p.m. San Francisco 49ers @ Kansas City Cheifs San Francisco 49ers -3
1:00 p.m Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings -11
1:00 p.m Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots New England Patriots -14 ***
1:00 p.m Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints -4
1:00 p.m Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants Tennessee Titans -3
1:00 p.m Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens -11
1:00 p.m Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans Dallas Cowboys +3
1:00 p.m Pittsburgh Steelers @Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
1:00 p.m Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers +3
4:05 pm Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Philadelphia Eagles -3
4:05 pm Washington Redskins @ St. Louis Rams St. Louis Rams +3½
4:15 pm Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos Indianapolis Colts -5½
4:15 pm Oakland Raiders @ Arizona Cardinals Oakland Raiders +4½
4:15 pm San Diego Chargers@ Seattle Seahawks San Diego Chargers --5½
8:20 pm New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins New York Jets +2
Monday, September 27th, 2010 (Eastern Time)
8:30 pm Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears Green Bay Packers -3
Sunday, September 26th, 2010 (Eastern Time)
1:00 p.m. San Francisco 49ers @ Kansas City Cheifs San Francisco 49ers -3
1:00 p.m Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings -11
1:00 p.m Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots New England Patriots -14 ***
1:00 p.m Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints -4
1:00 p.m Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants Tennessee Titans -3
1:00 p.m Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens -11
1:00 p.m Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans Dallas Cowboys +3
1:00 p.m Pittsburgh Steelers @Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
1:00 p.m Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers +3
4:05 pm Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Philadelphia Eagles -3
4:05 pm Washington Redskins @ St. Louis Rams St. Louis Rams +3½
4:15 pm Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos Indianapolis Colts -5½
4:15 pm Oakland Raiders @ Arizona Cardinals Oakland Raiders +4½
4:15 pm San Diego Chargers@ Seattle Seahawks San Diego Chargers --5½
8:20 pm New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins New York Jets +2
Monday, September 27th, 2010 (Eastern Time)
8:30 pm Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears Green Bay Packers -3
GINA
NFL Schedule
Sunday, Setember 26, 2010, 1:00 p.m. est.
Cleveland Browns (0-2) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1)
M&T Bank Stadium - Baltimore, Maryland
Cleveland Browns are dreadful both on offense and defense. Look for the Ravens to have a good day at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday bulldozing the Brown. Baltimore has won the last four meetings versus Cleveland, going 4-0 ATS.
Baltimore Ravens - 11
Sunday, Setember 26, 2010, 1:00 p.m. est.
Detroit Lions (0-2) at Minnesota Vikings (0-2)
Mall of America Field - Minneapolis, Minnesota
Detroit Lions offense lead by quarterback Shaun Hill will have a big task against the stingy Vikings defense. Contrary, look for old man Brett Favre to have a lovely day in Minneapolis and get his rhythm back. Go with the Favre and company to shred the Lions with a relentless passing attack. Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings verus the Vikings in Minnesota.
Minnesota Vikings -11
Sunday, Setember 26, 2010, 4:05 p.m. est.
Washington Redskins (1-1) at St. Louis Rams (0-2)
Edward Jones Dome - St. Louis, Missouri
The Skins’ deplorable defense will get a break facing St. Louis’ horrible offense. Go with McNabb to put up the most of the points in a low scoring contest. The total has gone 'under' in five of the last 6 meetings and I believe we will see another low scoring battle. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in St. Louis.
Washington Redskins -4
Over -39
NFL Schedule
Sunday, Setember 26, 2010, 1:00 p.m. est.
Cleveland Browns (0-2) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1)
M&T Bank Stadium - Baltimore, Maryland
Cleveland Browns are dreadful both on offense and defense. Look for the Ravens to have a good day at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday bulldozing the Brown. Baltimore has won the last four meetings versus Cleveland, going 4-0 ATS.
Baltimore Ravens - 11
Sunday, Setember 26, 2010, 1:00 p.m. est.
Detroit Lions (0-2) at Minnesota Vikings (0-2)
Mall of America Field - Minneapolis, Minnesota
Detroit Lions offense lead by quarterback Shaun Hill will have a big task against the stingy Vikings defense. Contrary, look for old man Brett Favre to have a lovely day in Minneapolis and get his rhythm back. Go with the Favre and company to shred the Lions with a relentless passing attack. Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings verus the Vikings in Minnesota.
Minnesota Vikings -11
Sunday, Setember 26, 2010, 4:05 p.m. est.
Washington Redskins (1-1) at St. Louis Rams (0-2)
Edward Jones Dome - St. Louis, Missouri
The Skins’ deplorable defense will get a break facing St. Louis’ horrible offense. Go with McNabb to put up the most of the points in a low scoring contest. The total has gone 'under' in five of the last 6 meetings and I believe we will see another low scoring battle. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in St. Louis.
Washington Redskins -4
Over -39
Mr A
Sunday, September 26th, 2010 1:00 p.m. est
Cleveland Browns (0-2) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1)
M&T Bank Stadium - Baltimore, Maryland
Baltimore Ravens -11
Oddsmakers line:
Baltimore as a -11 point home favorite over Cleveland with the total listed at 37'over'
Sunday, September 26th, 2010 4:05 p.m. est
Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1)
Jacksonville Municipal Stadium - Jacksonville, Florida
Jacksonville Jaguars +3
Oddsmakers line:
Philadelphia as a -3 point road favorite over Jacksonville with the total listed at 44½'over'
Sunday, September 26th, 2010 4:15 p.m. est
San Diego Chargers (1-1) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)
Qwest Field - Seattle, Washington
San Diego Chargers -4½
Oddsmakers line:
San Diego as a -4½ point road favorite over Seattle with the total listed at 44½'over'
Sunday, September 26th, 2010 8:20 p.m. est
New York Jets (1-1) at Miami Dolphins (2-0)
Sun Life Stadium - Miami Gardens, Florida
Miami Dolphins -2½
Monday, September 27th, 2010 8:30 p.m. est
Green Bay Packers (2-0) at Chicago Bears (2-0)
Soldier Field - Chicago, Illinois
Chicago Bears +3
Sunday, September 26th, 2010 1:00 p.m. est
Cleveland Browns (0-2) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1)
M&T Bank Stadium - Baltimore, Maryland
Baltimore Ravens -11
Oddsmakers line:
Baltimore as a -11 point home favorite over Cleveland with the total listed at 37'over'
Sunday, September 26th, 2010 4:05 p.m. est
Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1)
Jacksonville Municipal Stadium - Jacksonville, Florida
Jacksonville Jaguars +3
Oddsmakers line:
Philadelphia as a -3 point road favorite over Jacksonville with the total listed at 44½'over'
Sunday, September 26th, 2010 4:15 p.m. est
San Diego Chargers (1-1) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)
Qwest Field - Seattle, Washington
San Diego Chargers -4½
Oddsmakers line:
San Diego as a -4½ point road favorite over Seattle with the total listed at 44½'over'
Sunday, September 26th, 2010 8:20 p.m. est
New York Jets (1-1) at Miami Dolphins (2-0)
Sun Life Stadium - Miami Gardens, Florida
Miami Dolphins -2½
Monday, September 27th, 2010 8:30 p.m. est
Green Bay Packers (2-0) at Chicago Bears (2-0)
Soldier Field - Chicago, Illinois
Chicago Bears +3
PointSpread Pros
Year Wins Losses Pct
2010 14 16 47%
2009 132 104 56%
2008 149 95 61%
2007 130 98 57%
Favorite Spread Underdog Simulator Pick % Confident Of Covering
NO 4.5 ATL ATL
CIN 3.0 CAR CIN
MIN 10.5 DET DET
WAS 3.5 STL STL
SF 2.5 KC KC
ARZ 4.0 OAK OAK
BAL 10.5 CLE CLE
MIA 2.0 NYJ MIA
SD 6.0 SEA SEA
NYG 3.0 TEN TEN
IND 6.0 DEN DEN
GB 3.0 CHI GB
PIT 2.5 TB TB
HOU 3.0 DAL HOU
PHI 3.0 JAX JAX
NE 13.5 BUF BUF
Year Wins Losses Pct
2010 14 16 47%
2009 132 104 56%
2008 149 95 61%
2007 130 98 57%
Favorite Spread Underdog Simulator Pick % Confident Of Covering
NO 4.5 ATL ATL
CIN 3.0 CAR CIN
MIN 10.5 DET DET
WAS 3.5 STL STL
SF 2.5 KC KC
ARZ 4.0 OAK OAK
BAL 10.5 CLE CLE
MIA 2.0 NYJ MIA
SD 6.0 SEA SEA
NYG 3.0 TEN TEN
IND 6.0 DEN DEN
GB 3.0 CHI GB
PIT 2.5 TB TB
HOU 3.0 DAL HOU
PHI 3.0 JAX JAX
NE 13.5 BUF BUF
THE GOLD SHEET'S SOLID GOLD ALERT
THIS WEEK’S TWO-UNIT PLAY FROM THE TOP HANDICAPPERS FROM THE
OLDEST AND MOST RESPECTED SPORTS ADVISORY COMPANY IN THE WORLD!
Updated 9/24/2010 11:00 AM
Two Units CINCINNATI BENGALS (-3½) over Carolina -Home
Sunday, Sept. 26 10:00 AM Pacific
— Cincy has a big edge at QB, with veteran Carson Palmer vs. rookie Jimmy Clausen, who will be making his first NFL start. Clausen is 7 of 15 with no TDs and 1 interception so far this season.
— Clausen is likely to be confused at times vs. the Cincinnati zone-blitz defense, which is excels in coverage and is difficult even for veterans to read.
— The Bengals are especially good at CB, with veterans Leon Hall, Johnathan Joseph and Adam Jones.
— The Bengals picked off Baltimore's Joe Flacco four times last week.
— Insiders report Clausen has still not regained 100% mobility after offseason toe surgery. He could be vulnerable to a pass rush after the Panthers have given up eight sacks in the first two games.
— The Carolina defense misses the excellent pass rush of DE Julius Peppers, now with Chicago. The Panthers have collected only one sack in the first two games.
— Cincinnati's pass offense has received a big boost this season with an improved receiving corps that now includes Terrell Owens and highly-regarded rookie slot man Jordan Shipley and top draft pick TE Jermaine Gresham.
— The Bengals are stepping down in class after having to open the season vs. Super Bowl contenders New England and Baltimore.
— Cincy's kicking game appears improved with the addition of Mike Nugent, who is 6 of 6 on FGs so far this season.
— The Bengals have one of the best kickoff and punt return games in the NFL, with Bernard Scott, Adam Jones, and Quan Cosby.
Predicted Score: CINCINNATI 27 - Carolina 10
THIS WEEK’S TWO-UNIT PLAY FROM THE TOP HANDICAPPERS FROM THE
OLDEST AND MOST RESPECTED SPORTS ADVISORY COMPANY IN THE WORLD!
Updated 9/24/2010 11:00 AM
Two Units CINCINNATI BENGALS (-3½) over Carolina -Home
Sunday, Sept. 26 10:00 AM Pacific
— Cincy has a big edge at QB, with veteran Carson Palmer vs. rookie Jimmy Clausen, who will be making his first NFL start. Clausen is 7 of 15 with no TDs and 1 interception so far this season.
— Clausen is likely to be confused at times vs. the Cincinnati zone-blitz defense, which is excels in coverage and is difficult even for veterans to read.
— The Bengals are especially good at CB, with veterans Leon Hall, Johnathan Joseph and Adam Jones.
— The Bengals picked off Baltimore's Joe Flacco four times last week.
— Insiders report Clausen has still not regained 100% mobility after offseason toe surgery. He could be vulnerable to a pass rush after the Panthers have given up eight sacks in the first two games.
— The Carolina defense misses the excellent pass rush of DE Julius Peppers, now with Chicago. The Panthers have collected only one sack in the first two games.
— Cincinnati's pass offense has received a big boost this season with an improved receiving corps that now includes Terrell Owens and highly-regarded rookie slot man Jordan Shipley and top draft pick TE Jermaine Gresham.
— The Bengals are stepping down in class after having to open the season vs. Super Bowl contenders New England and Baltimore.
— Cincy's kicking game appears improved with the addition of Mike Nugent, who is 6 of 6 on FGs so far this season.
— The Bengals have one of the best kickoff and punt return games in the NFL, with Bernard Scott, Adam Jones, and Quan Cosby.
Predicted Score: CINCINNATI 27 - Carolina 10
CKO
10 *BALTIMORE over Cleveland
You generally need extra reasons before laying double digits in an NFL game. And this contest provides those reasons. Not only have the Ravens slammed the Browns to the tune of 115-40 in winning and covering the last four meetings, but Baltimore also needs to “check itself” after generating only two TDs and 20 total points in its first two games. Moreover,QB Joe Flacco can be expected to pay extra attention to detail after his four interceptions in last week’s 15-10 loss in Cincinnati. This will be the home debut for new, reliable Raven WRs Anquan Boldin & T.J. Houshmandzadeh. And TE Todd Heap appears to be healthy and in excellent form with 10 recs. in the first two games. Ray Rice gives the hosts a big rushing edge over Cleveland’s sub-par RB crew. HC John Harbaugh is 11-5 vs. the spread his first two years at home.
NINE-RATED GAMES: ...CINCINNATI (-31⁄2) at Carolina (NFL)—Bengals have been a terrible favorite, but with Jimmy Clausen starting for Panthers, just do the math: 1st-yr QBs = TOs...SAN FRANCISCO (Pick ‘em; estimated) over Kansas City—K.C. is rolling, but Niners have the power running and nasty defense that will give Chiefs problems; like S.F. even more if off loss on Monday night to New Orleans.
TOTALS: UNDER (461⁄2) in the Dallas-Houston Game—Dallas still trying to get things together on offense; defense still rugged...UNDER in the Green Bay- Chicago Game (Monday Night)—With RB Ryan Grant gone, Bears find it easier to keep Aaron Rodgers under control; Pack’s Clay Matthews going “nuts” with six sacks in two games.
10 *BALTIMORE over Cleveland
You generally need extra reasons before laying double digits in an NFL game. And this contest provides those reasons. Not only have the Ravens slammed the Browns to the tune of 115-40 in winning and covering the last four meetings, but Baltimore also needs to “check itself” after generating only two TDs and 20 total points in its first two games. Moreover,QB Joe Flacco can be expected to pay extra attention to detail after his four interceptions in last week’s 15-10 loss in Cincinnati. This will be the home debut for new, reliable Raven WRs Anquan Boldin & T.J. Houshmandzadeh. And TE Todd Heap appears to be healthy and in excellent form with 10 recs. in the first two games. Ray Rice gives the hosts a big rushing edge over Cleveland’s sub-par RB crew. HC John Harbaugh is 11-5 vs. the spread his first two years at home.
NINE-RATED GAMES: ...CINCINNATI (-31⁄2) at Carolina (NFL)—Bengals have been a terrible favorite, but with Jimmy Clausen starting for Panthers, just do the math: 1st-yr QBs = TOs...SAN FRANCISCO (Pick ‘em; estimated) over Kansas City—K.C. is rolling, but Niners have the power running and nasty defense that will give Chiefs problems; like S.F. even more if off loss on Monday night to New Orleans.
TOTALS: UNDER (461⁄2) in the Dallas-Houston Game—Dallas still trying to get things together on offense; defense still rugged...UNDER in the Green Bay- Chicago Game (Monday Night)—With RB Ryan Grant gone, Bears find it easier to keep Aaron Rodgers under control; Pack’s Clay Matthews going “nuts” with six sacks in two games.
GOLD SHEET EXTRA
ST LOUIS RAMS
St. Louis is getting closer to notching its first win of 2010, losing its first two games by only six points total. And we are not afraid to buck Washington when it invades the Edward Jones Dome on Sunday, especially considering its poor recent chalk marks (1-4 last season, 6-13 since 2007, and no covers the last thee vs. the Rams). Moreover, new Skins HC Mike Shanahan was a big underachiever as chalk in his recent years at Denver, dropping 16 of his last 19 as a favorite with the Broncos.
ST LOUIS RAMS
St. Louis is getting closer to notching its first win of 2010, losing its first two games by only six points total. And we are not afraid to buck Washington when it invades the Edward Jones Dome on Sunday, especially considering its poor recent chalk marks (1-4 last season, 6-13 since 2007, and no covers the last thee vs. the Rams). Moreover, new Skins HC Mike Shanahan was a big underachiever as chalk in his recent years at Denver, dropping 16 of his last 19 as a favorite with the Broncos.
Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
Streaking
Cole Hamels (12-10, 2.93 ERA), Philadelphia Phillies
Just like his team, Cole Hamels is on fire. He’s 5-0 with a minuscule 0.82 ERA over his last six starts. The under has cashed in eight of his last nine outings.
Hamels early-season struggles seem like a distant memory. The talented lefty credits Roy Halladay and Roy Oswalt with his turnaround.
"You don't have to be that guy," Hamels told reporters after the Braves to one run on six hits in eight innings of work. "You don't have to carry the whole team on your back. When you have one big-time guy, that puts pressure on you."
Fausto Carmona (12-14, 3.79 ERA), Cleveland Indians
The Indians have only won twice in Carmona’s last nine starts but the big righty is pitching much better these days. He’s held opponents to three or fewer runs in each of his last five starts.
The under has cashed in five of his last six appearances and he’s given Cleveland quality starts in four of his last five outings.
Brian Duensing (10-2, 2.19 ERA), Minnesota Twins
If you haven’t seen much of Duensing this season, you’ll get your chance in the postseason. The 27-year-old lefty looks like Minnesota’s No. 3 starter behind Francisco Liriano and Carl Pavano.
He has eight quality starts in his last nine starts and the Twins are 7-2 in his last nine turns in the rotation.
Slumping
Livan Hernandez (10-12, 3.75 ERA), Washington Nationals
The man with the bionic arm appears to be tiring. Hernandez was only charged with five earned runs in his last start, but Houston touched home eight times with the Dominican native in the game.
He’s been charged with four or more runs in four of his last six trips to the mound and 2-7 in his last nine appearances.
Streaking
Cole Hamels (12-10, 2.93 ERA), Philadelphia Phillies
Just like his team, Cole Hamels is on fire. He’s 5-0 with a minuscule 0.82 ERA over his last six starts. The under has cashed in eight of his last nine outings.
Hamels early-season struggles seem like a distant memory. The talented lefty credits Roy Halladay and Roy Oswalt with his turnaround.
"You don't have to be that guy," Hamels told reporters after the Braves to one run on six hits in eight innings of work. "You don't have to carry the whole team on your back. When you have one big-time guy, that puts pressure on you."
Fausto Carmona (12-14, 3.79 ERA), Cleveland Indians
The Indians have only won twice in Carmona’s last nine starts but the big righty is pitching much better these days. He’s held opponents to three or fewer runs in each of his last five starts.
The under has cashed in five of his last six appearances and he’s given Cleveland quality starts in four of his last five outings.
Brian Duensing (10-2, 2.19 ERA), Minnesota Twins
If you haven’t seen much of Duensing this season, you’ll get your chance in the postseason. The 27-year-old lefty looks like Minnesota’s No. 3 starter behind Francisco Liriano and Carl Pavano.
He has eight quality starts in his last nine starts and the Twins are 7-2 in his last nine turns in the rotation.
Slumping
Livan Hernandez (10-12, 3.75 ERA), Washington Nationals
The man with the bionic arm appears to be tiring. Hernandez was only charged with five earned runs in his last start, but Houston touched home eight times with the Dominican native in the game.
He’s been charged with four or more runs in four of his last six trips to the mound and 2-7 in his last nine appearances.
Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-140, 10.5)
The Boston Red Sox are 6.5 games out of first in the American League East and trail the Wildcard race by 5.5 games. Needless to say, the BoSox season is all but over.
But don’t tell that to the team. Boston isn’t accepting a spoiler role in Sunday’s finale with the Yankees nor is it folding before the final week of the schedule is played.
"I don't think spoiler is what we're looking at," outfielder Bill Hall told the New York Post. "We want to sweep the series, and go to Chicago and sweep there too. We're looking to win out. I don't think anybody in our clubhouse is throwing in the towel, and not taking a spoiler role. If we knock them out, it's going to be us going in. That's not really a spoiler role, that's a motivation for us to try to make it to the playoffs."
The Red Sox opened the series with the Yankees by taking a 10-8 win Friday night. As of Saturday, Boston is just 4-10 in the last 14 meetings between these rivals in the Bronx, but it has won back-to-back games in Yankee Stadium going back to August 9.
Pick: Boston
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
If the New York Mets weren’t already pissed at the Philadelphia Phillies for past September wars, they sure are now following Chase Utley’s full-bodied slide on Ruben Tejada in the Phillies 3-2 win Friday night.
Utley took out the Mets second baseman during the fifth inning, attempting to break up a 5-4-3 double play started by third baseman David Wright. Philadelphia’s slugger slid late, taking Tejada with him as he crossed the bag.
While Tejada doesn’t hold a grudge against Utley, who ask if he was OK after the collision, the same can’t be said for the rest of the New York clubhouse, which painted a target on Utley and any other Philly infielder for the remainder of this series.
"Nobody is going to go and push us around - we're going to have our teammates' backs," Wright told reporters. "I think cooler heads will prevail, but we've got to let them know that we didn't appreciate it.
"(Utley) is a second baseman, if he wants guys sliding like that into him, then it's perfectly fine. He knows how to play the game and if he doesn't mind guys coming in like that when he's turning a double play, we don't have any problem with it."
Bettors can expect infielders and base runners to be watching their backs during Sunday’s finale, keeping stolen bags at a minimum. Heading into Saturday's Game 2, these teams have played under the total in six of their last seven meetings and boast a 7-21 over/under count in their last 28 head-to-head clashes.
Pick: Under
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-140, 10.5)
The Boston Red Sox are 6.5 games out of first in the American League East and trail the Wildcard race by 5.5 games. Needless to say, the BoSox season is all but over.
But don’t tell that to the team. Boston isn’t accepting a spoiler role in Sunday’s finale with the Yankees nor is it folding before the final week of the schedule is played.
"I don't think spoiler is what we're looking at," outfielder Bill Hall told the New York Post. "We want to sweep the series, and go to Chicago and sweep there too. We're looking to win out. I don't think anybody in our clubhouse is throwing in the towel, and not taking a spoiler role. If we knock them out, it's going to be us going in. That's not really a spoiler role, that's a motivation for us to try to make it to the playoffs."
The Red Sox opened the series with the Yankees by taking a 10-8 win Friday night. As of Saturday, Boston is just 4-10 in the last 14 meetings between these rivals in the Bronx, but it has won back-to-back games in Yankee Stadium going back to August 9.
Pick: Boston
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
If the New York Mets weren’t already pissed at the Philadelphia Phillies for past September wars, they sure are now following Chase Utley’s full-bodied slide on Ruben Tejada in the Phillies 3-2 win Friday night.
Utley took out the Mets second baseman during the fifth inning, attempting to break up a 5-4-3 double play started by third baseman David Wright. Philadelphia’s slugger slid late, taking Tejada with him as he crossed the bag.
While Tejada doesn’t hold a grudge against Utley, who ask if he was OK after the collision, the same can’t be said for the rest of the New York clubhouse, which painted a target on Utley and any other Philly infielder for the remainder of this series.
"Nobody is going to go and push us around - we're going to have our teammates' backs," Wright told reporters. "I think cooler heads will prevail, but we've got to let them know that we didn't appreciate it.
"(Utley) is a second baseman, if he wants guys sliding like that into him, then it's perfectly fine. He knows how to play the game and if he doesn't mind guys coming in like that when he's turning a double play, we don't have any problem with it."
Bettors can expect infielders and base runners to be watching their backs during Sunday’s finale, keeping stolen bags at a minimum. Heading into Saturday's Game 2, these teams have played under the total in six of their last seven meetings and boast a 7-21 over/under count in their last 28 head-to-head clashes.
Pick: Under
Sunday Night Baseball: Red Sox at Yankees
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-130, 10.5)
Boston trails New York by 6.5 games going into Saturday’s action, but the Red Sox play five of their remaining nine games against their arch rivals.
Spoiler Alert
The Red Sox knocked the Yankees off their perch atop the AL East Friday night, but it’s the longest of longshots that the Sox will steal their rival’s playoff spot.
Still, Boston 3B/OF Bill Hall is aiming high.
“I don’t think spoiler is what we’re looking at,” Hall told reporters after Friday’s victory. “We want to sweep the series and go to Chicago and sweep there too. We’re looking to win out.”
The next best thing for Boston would be to prevent the Yankees from winning the division, a goal that is well within reach.
No Dice
Boston sends Diasuke Matsuzaka to the mound Friday night, a scary proposition for Boston backers. It’s been a long season for Dice-K (9-6, 4.86 ERA), but he’s been especially bad of late, allowing at least four earned runs in each of his last seven starts.
Matsuzaka has faced the Yankees only once in 2010, an 11-9 loss at Yankee Stadium on May 17. He avoided taking the loss thanks to a late-inning Red Sox rally, but Matsuzaka was clearly overmatched, allowing seven earned runs on nine hits and failing to make it out of the fifth inning.
Plan B
The Yankees will counter with right-hander Dustin Moseley. Phil Hughes was originally slated to make the start, but manager Joe Girardi bumped Hughes to Wednesday in an effort to limit his workload. Hughes has already logged 169 1/3 innings in his first full big-league season as a starter.
Moseley has been shaky for the Yankees, but had one of his best outings of the season in his only appearance against the Red Sox. Moseley limited Boston to two runs over 6 1/3 innings and earned the win in a 7-2 victory on Aug. 8.
Mr. September
After struggling at the plate for the last three months, Alex Rodgriguez has found his stroke in September. Rodriguez homered twice and drove in three runs in Friday’s series opener.
A-Rod is batting .333 for the month, and boasts an impressive 1.056 OPS. His six September home runs are more than he has hit in any other month. The Yankees’ already-potent lineup is a different animal altogether when Rodriguez is on his game.
Problems for Papelbon
Red Sox closer Jonathan Papelbon has struggled mightily this season. His ERA (3.94) and WHIP (1.20) are higher than in any season since he took over the closer’s job in 2006. Papelbon has blown a career-high seven saves and his K/BB ratio (2.96:1) is also his worst since ‘06.
Papelbon’s woes have prompted some to wonder aloud if a switch to young fireballer Daniel Bard is in order, but manager Terry Francona has stood behind Papelbon.
“We’ve talked about how he set the bar higher,” Francona told the Boston Globe this week. “He’s not there right now. But that doesn’t mean he can’t really be good. I also don’t think it means you immediately take that guy out of that role.”
Papelbon got the save on Friday night, but did allow one run on a Mark Teixeira home run.
Trends
New York is 3-4 at home and 7-6 overall vs. Boston in 2010.
Boston has won five straight on the road and is 7-3 in their last 10.
The over is 6-1 in Diasuke Matsuzaka’s last seven starts.
The Yankees have lost three in a row and are 3-6 in their last nine home games.
The over is 5-2 in New York’s last seven.
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-130, 10.5)
Boston trails New York by 6.5 games going into Saturday’s action, but the Red Sox play five of their remaining nine games against their arch rivals.
Spoiler Alert
The Red Sox knocked the Yankees off their perch atop the AL East Friday night, but it’s the longest of longshots that the Sox will steal their rival’s playoff spot.
Still, Boston 3B/OF Bill Hall is aiming high.
“I don’t think spoiler is what we’re looking at,” Hall told reporters after Friday’s victory. “We want to sweep the series and go to Chicago and sweep there too. We’re looking to win out.”
The next best thing for Boston would be to prevent the Yankees from winning the division, a goal that is well within reach.
No Dice
Boston sends Diasuke Matsuzaka to the mound Friday night, a scary proposition for Boston backers. It’s been a long season for Dice-K (9-6, 4.86 ERA), but he’s been especially bad of late, allowing at least four earned runs in each of his last seven starts.
Matsuzaka has faced the Yankees only once in 2010, an 11-9 loss at Yankee Stadium on May 17. He avoided taking the loss thanks to a late-inning Red Sox rally, but Matsuzaka was clearly overmatched, allowing seven earned runs on nine hits and failing to make it out of the fifth inning.
Plan B
The Yankees will counter with right-hander Dustin Moseley. Phil Hughes was originally slated to make the start, but manager Joe Girardi bumped Hughes to Wednesday in an effort to limit his workload. Hughes has already logged 169 1/3 innings in his first full big-league season as a starter.
Moseley has been shaky for the Yankees, but had one of his best outings of the season in his only appearance against the Red Sox. Moseley limited Boston to two runs over 6 1/3 innings and earned the win in a 7-2 victory on Aug. 8.
Mr. September
After struggling at the plate for the last three months, Alex Rodgriguez has found his stroke in September. Rodriguez homered twice and drove in three runs in Friday’s series opener.
A-Rod is batting .333 for the month, and boasts an impressive 1.056 OPS. His six September home runs are more than he has hit in any other month. The Yankees’ already-potent lineup is a different animal altogether when Rodriguez is on his game.
Problems for Papelbon
Red Sox closer Jonathan Papelbon has struggled mightily this season. His ERA (3.94) and WHIP (1.20) are higher than in any season since he took over the closer’s job in 2006. Papelbon has blown a career-high seven saves and his K/BB ratio (2.96:1) is also his worst since ‘06.
Papelbon’s woes have prompted some to wonder aloud if a switch to young fireballer Daniel Bard is in order, but manager Terry Francona has stood behind Papelbon.
“We’ve talked about how he set the bar higher,” Francona told the Boston Globe this week. “He’s not there right now. But that doesn’t mean he can’t really be good. I also don’t think it means you immediately take that guy out of that role.”
Papelbon got the save on Friday night, but did allow one run on a Mark Teixeira home run.
Trends
New York is 3-4 at home and 7-6 overall vs. Boston in 2010.
Boston has won five straight on the road and is 7-3 in their last 10.
The over is 6-1 in Diasuke Matsuzaka’s last seven starts.
The Yankees have lost three in a row and are 3-6 in their last nine home games.
The over is 5-2 in New York’s last seven.
Bettors' best friend: Sunday's wagering tips
Lines to watch
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots – Bills opened +12.5 but are now at +14.5 or +15.
San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs – Chiefs opened +1.5 but are now +3.
Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers – total is down to 37.5 after opening at 40.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins – opened as a pick ‘em but Jets are -2 now.
Weather to watch
Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers – 50 percent chance of showers.
San Diego Chargers at Seattle Seahawks – 40 percent chance of showers.
Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars – 50 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins – 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms.
Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals – 30 percent chance of showers.
Who’s hot
San Francisco 49ers are 13-6-4 ATS in their last 23 games.
Cleveland Browns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
Arizona Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last eight on grass.
Seattle Seahawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 3.
Indianapolis Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.
New York Jets are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 meetings with Miami.
Minnesota Twins are 9-2 in their last 11 Sunday games.
Tampa Bay Rays are 27-10 in their last 37 home games.
Who’s not
New Orleans Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last eight as a favorite.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Dallas Cowboys are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Cincinnati Bengals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
New York Giants are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.
Jacksonville Jags are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games and 8-20 in their last 28 overall.
St. Louis Rams are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games.
Pittsburgh Pirates are 17-47 in their last 64 Sunday games.
Washington Nationals are 3-11 in their last 14 Sunday games.
Key stat
157.5 – Yards per game the Houston Texans are averaging on the ground, which is No. 1 in the NFL through two weeks. Arian Foster has 300 rushing yards and three touchdowns so far. The Texans averaged 92.2 rushing yards per game last season, good for 30th overall in the league.
Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked
Knowshon Moreno (hamstring), Denver Broncos – Moreno pulled a hamstring in Friday morning’s practice and could miss the next two weeks. He was averaging 2.8 yards per carry through the first two games of the year and had a pair of rushing touchdowns. Laurence Maroney is expected to fill in as Denver’s No. 1 rushing option.
Game of the day
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans
Notable quotable
"A young quarterback needs time to mature as he grows in the game. I don't think Kolb has lost one thing. He's a franchise quarterback. He will win games, and championships, for the Eagles. But I think it's a different deal when you go out there and can't make a mistake or you're going to get crucified, which is the way this thing might have gone if he went back in there now." – Philadelphia Eagles coach Andy Reid on his decision to start Mike Vick over Kevin Kolb at quarterback this week. Reid initially denied making the statement to Sports Illustrated writer Peter King, but later said that it is an accurate quote.
Tips and notes
Arizona Cardinals running back Beanie Wells is expected to make his season debut in some capacity Sunday when the Oakland Raiders come to town. Cardinals coach Ken Whisenhunt finally admitted that Wells has been out since the club’s last preseason game after he underwent arthroscopic knee surgery and not merely a knee bruise like he had been telling everyone. Arizona is set as a 4.5-point favorite.
It looks like the Green Bay Packers will have the left side of their offensive line ready to face the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. Left tackle Chad Clifton and left guard Daryn Colledge are both listed as probable after missing some practice time this week. Clifton has a couple of sore knees and Colledge picked up a right knee injury in Thursday’s practice. Green Bay is pegged as a 3-point road favorite.
Tennessee Titans quarterback Vince Young will start this week against the Giants after spending some time on the bench last week, but will need to get a handle on his fumbling issues in a hurry. He is tied for second in the NFL with three fumbles through two games and has put the ball on the ground six times if you include preseason play. Titans QB coach Dowell Loggains says Young just needs to work on his fundamentals of ball security. Tennessee is set as a 3-point underdog at New York.
Lines to watch
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots – Bills opened +12.5 but are now at +14.5 or +15.
San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs – Chiefs opened +1.5 but are now +3.
Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers – total is down to 37.5 after opening at 40.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins – opened as a pick ‘em but Jets are -2 now.
Weather to watch
Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers – 50 percent chance of showers.
San Diego Chargers at Seattle Seahawks – 40 percent chance of showers.
Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars – 50 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins – 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms.
Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals – 30 percent chance of showers.
Who’s hot
San Francisco 49ers are 13-6-4 ATS in their last 23 games.
Cleveland Browns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
Arizona Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last eight on grass.
Seattle Seahawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 3.
Indianapolis Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.
New York Jets are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 meetings with Miami.
Minnesota Twins are 9-2 in their last 11 Sunday games.
Tampa Bay Rays are 27-10 in their last 37 home games.
Who’s not
New Orleans Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last eight as a favorite.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Dallas Cowboys are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Cincinnati Bengals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
New York Giants are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.
Jacksonville Jags are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games and 8-20 in their last 28 overall.
St. Louis Rams are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games.
Pittsburgh Pirates are 17-47 in their last 64 Sunday games.
Washington Nationals are 3-11 in their last 14 Sunday games.
Key stat
157.5 – Yards per game the Houston Texans are averaging on the ground, which is No. 1 in the NFL through two weeks. Arian Foster has 300 rushing yards and three touchdowns so far. The Texans averaged 92.2 rushing yards per game last season, good for 30th overall in the league.
Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked
Knowshon Moreno (hamstring), Denver Broncos – Moreno pulled a hamstring in Friday morning’s practice and could miss the next two weeks. He was averaging 2.8 yards per carry through the first two games of the year and had a pair of rushing touchdowns. Laurence Maroney is expected to fill in as Denver’s No. 1 rushing option.
Game of the day
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans
Notable quotable
"A young quarterback needs time to mature as he grows in the game. I don't think Kolb has lost one thing. He's a franchise quarterback. He will win games, and championships, for the Eagles. But I think it's a different deal when you go out there and can't make a mistake or you're going to get crucified, which is the way this thing might have gone if he went back in there now." – Philadelphia Eagles coach Andy Reid on his decision to start Mike Vick over Kevin Kolb at quarterback this week. Reid initially denied making the statement to Sports Illustrated writer Peter King, but later said that it is an accurate quote.
Tips and notes
Arizona Cardinals running back Beanie Wells is expected to make his season debut in some capacity Sunday when the Oakland Raiders come to town. Cardinals coach Ken Whisenhunt finally admitted that Wells has been out since the club’s last preseason game after he underwent arthroscopic knee surgery and not merely a knee bruise like he had been telling everyone. Arizona is set as a 4.5-point favorite.
It looks like the Green Bay Packers will have the left side of their offensive line ready to face the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. Left tackle Chad Clifton and left guard Daryn Colledge are both listed as probable after missing some practice time this week. Clifton has a couple of sore knees and Colledge picked up a right knee injury in Thursday’s practice. Green Bay is pegged as a 3-point road favorite.
Tennessee Titans quarterback Vince Young will start this week against the Giants after spending some time on the bench last week, but will need to get a handle on his fumbling issues in a hurry. He is tied for second in the NFL with three fumbles through two games and has put the ball on the ground six times if you include preseason play. Titans QB coach Dowell Loggains says Young just needs to work on his fundamentals of ball security. Tennessee is set as a 3-point underdog at New York.
Hilton Contest
Selection # of Times Selected
NYG -3 33
TEN +3 55
NE -13 86
BUF +13 14
BAL -10.5 94
CLE +10.5 14
PIT -2.5 79
TB +2.5 43
CIN -3.5 85
CAR +3.5 51
NO -4.5 21
ATL +4.5 137
SF -3 60
KC +3 52
MIN -11 36
DET +11 59
HOU -3 33
DAL +3 121
WAS -3.5 77
STL +3.5 24
PHI -3 32
JAX +3 59
IND -6 52
DEN +6 30
SD -5.5 22
SEA +5.5 59
ARI -4 33
OAK +4 45
MIA -2.5 69
NYJ +2.5 47
GB -3 48
CHI +3 55
Selection # of Times Selected
NYG -3 33
TEN +3 55
NE -13 86
BUF +13 14
BAL -10.5 94
CLE +10.5 14
PIT -2.5 79
TB +2.5 43
CIN -3.5 85
CAR +3.5 51
NO -4.5 21
ATL +4.5 137
SF -3 60
KC +3 52
MIN -11 36
DET +11 59
HOU -3 33
DAL +3 121
WAS -3.5 77
STL +3.5 24
PHI -3 32
JAX +3 59
IND -6 52
DEN +6 30
SD -5.5 22
SEA +5.5 59
ARI -4 33
OAK +4 45
MIA -2.5 69
NYJ +2.5 47
GB -3 48
CHI +3 55
