Hondo
Hondo saddles up with Colts
Hondo made it a week’s worth of losses on Saturday when the Yankees again came up bone dry in Canada to reduce the earnings to 3,511 ameches.
Sunday: Mr. Aitch expects to hit paydirt with the Colts, who are laying minimal points against the Chargers — 20 units.
Hondo saddles up with Colts
Hondo made it a week’s worth of losses on Saturday when the Yankees again came up bone dry in Canada to reduce the earnings to 3,511 ameches.
Sunday: Mr. Aitch expects to hit paydirt with the Colts, who are laying minimal points against the Chargers — 20 units.
SB Professor Original NFL Picks 9/25
System plays:
Washington +3
NY Jets +3
Other plays:
Baltimore -1
Green Bay -3
Carolina -3
Pittsburgh -4
(All plays tracked at released points, assuming -110 line)
3-Game Chase System Follow: 3-0, +3 units (next play: A, risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Follow: 3-2, +3 units (next play: risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
Simple Follow: 3-2, +0.8 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
3-Game Chase System Fade: 2-0, +0.9 units (next play: B, risk 2.31 to win 2.1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Fade: 2-3, +0.9 units (next play: risk 2.31 to win 2.1 units)
Simple Fade: 2-3, -1.3 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
Additional Plays Overall Record: 0-0, +/-0 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
Streaks (does not include pushes): none
A bets: 1W-2L, Win%: 33.3%
B bets: 2W-0L, Win%: 100.0%
C bets: 0W-0L, Win%: 0.0%
System plays:
Washington +3
NY Jets +3
Other plays:
Baltimore -1
Green Bay -3
Carolina -3
Pittsburgh -4
(All plays tracked at released points, assuming -110 line)
3-Game Chase System Follow: 3-0, +3 units (next play: A, risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Follow: 3-2, +3 units (next play: risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
Simple Follow: 3-2, +0.8 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
3-Game Chase System Fade: 2-0, +0.9 units (next play: B, risk 2.31 to win 2.1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Fade: 2-3, +0.9 units (next play: risk 2.31 to win 2.1 units)
Simple Fade: 2-3, -1.3 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
Additional Plays Overall Record: 0-0, +/-0 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
Streaks (does not include pushes): none
A bets: 1W-2L, Win%: 33.3%
B bets: 2W-0L, Win%: 100.0%
C bets: 0W-0L, Win%: 0.0%
Marc Lawrence LTS
*** NFL - Jaguars +1.5
After arguably the best off-season of any team in the NFL, the Jaguarshave started the new campaign where they’ve begun three of the lastfour years – in a 0-2 hole. This despite the fact they have managedto outyard both opponents. Thus, it’s gut-check time in Jacksonvillethis Sunday when they host the upstart 2-0 Ravens who enter off 5and 6-point wins over Cleveland and Buffalo, respectively. Hardly aweinspiring, to say the least. The good news for Jack is the fact that 0-2dogs are 11-3 ATS in game Three of the season when taking on a 2-0foe that they managed to beat in their last meeting – including 6-1ATS the last seven games. Baltimore checks in 1-10 ATS in its secondaway game of the season, and 8-22 ATS versus AFC South opponentssince 2004, including 5-15 ATS when playing off a win. With thisanother of our MIDWEEK ALERT famous ‘double inside-out’ statplays – Ravens beat the Browns but were out-gained; Jaguars lost tothe Chargers but won the stats – we put the fi nal touches on the callwith THE CLINCHER: Baltimore is 0-5 SU and ATS in its last 5games at AFC West opponents, while the Jaguars are 3-0-1 ATSin their last 4 games versus AFC North opponents.
*** NFL - Redskins +4.5
It's Now Or Never
PLAY ON any 0-2 NFL division dog in Game Three of the season if they are off
back-to-back ATS losses and are facing a 2-0 opponent off a spread win in its
last game if that opponent failed to win 13 games last season.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 11-0
Play On: Washington Redskins
Rationale: 0-2 teams facing 2-0 division rivals realize the importance of not
falling 3 games back after three games into the season. When they dress up
as dogs against foes that were not a powerhouse the previous season
they almost always come with their 'A' game.
*** NFL - Jaguars +1.5
After arguably the best off-season of any team in the NFL, the Jaguarshave started the new campaign where they’ve begun three of the lastfour years – in a 0-2 hole. This despite the fact they have managedto outyard both opponents. Thus, it’s gut-check time in Jacksonvillethis Sunday when they host the upstart 2-0 Ravens who enter off 5and 6-point wins over Cleveland and Buffalo, respectively. Hardly aweinspiring, to say the least. The good news for Jack is the fact that 0-2dogs are 11-3 ATS in game Three of the season when taking on a 2-0foe that they managed to beat in their last meeting – including 6-1ATS the last seven games. Baltimore checks in 1-10 ATS in its secondaway game of the season, and 8-22 ATS versus AFC South opponentssince 2004, including 5-15 ATS when playing off a win. With thisanother of our MIDWEEK ALERT famous ‘double inside-out’ statplays – Ravens beat the Browns but were out-gained; Jaguars lost tothe Chargers but won the stats – we put the fi nal touches on the callwith THE CLINCHER: Baltimore is 0-5 SU and ATS in its last 5games at AFC West opponents, while the Jaguars are 3-0-1 ATSin their last 4 games versus AFC North opponents.
*** NFL - Redskins +4.5
It's Now Or Never
PLAY ON any 0-2 NFL division dog in Game Three of the season if they are off
back-to-back ATS losses and are facing a 2-0 opponent off a spread win in its
last game if that opponent failed to win 13 games last season.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 11-0
Play On: Washington Redskins
Rationale: 0-2 teams facing 2-0 division rivals realize the importance of not
falling 3 games back after three games into the season. When they dress up
as dogs against foes that were not a powerhouse the previous season
they almost always come with their 'A' game.
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 25 2016 1:00PM
461 DEN / 462 CIN OVER 41.0 Greek double-dime bet
Analysis: The oddsmakers WAY over reacted to the low Pit-Cin game last week in the driving rain.
I actually expect Cin AND Pit games to go OVER this week, but my numbers say THIS one is where the most value was.
Fezzik | NFL ML - Sunday, Sep 25 2016 1:00PM
ML 463 OAK (-120) Southpoint vs 464 TEN double-dime bet
Analysis: I am KICKING myself for not giving out Oakland earlier at +1, but it IS a winner.
Oak is rated a 0 in my power ratings, Ten -4, so we make Oak -4 on a neutral, -2 @ Ten (2 point HFA)
461 DEN / 462 CIN OVER 41.0 Greek double-dime bet
Analysis: The oddsmakers WAY over reacted to the low Pit-Cin game last week in the driving rain.
I actually expect Cin AND Pit games to go OVER this week, but my numbers say THIS one is where the most value was.
Fezzik | NFL ML - Sunday, Sep 25 2016 1:00PM
ML 463 OAK (-120) Southpoint vs 464 TEN double-dime bet
Analysis: I am KICKING myself for not giving out Oakland earlier at +1, but it IS a winner.
Oak is rated a 0 in my power ratings, Ten -4, so we make Oak -4 on a neutral, -2 @ Ten (2 point HFA)
Fezzik | NFL ML - Sunday, Sep 25 2016 1:00PM
ML 463 OAK (-120) Southpoint vs 464 TEN double-dime bet
Analysis: I am KICKING myself for not giving out Oakland earlier at +1, but it IS a winner.
Oak is rated a 0 in my power ratings, Ten -4, so we make Oak -4 on a neutral, -2 @ Ten (2 point HFA)
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 25 2016 1:00PM
461 DEN / 462 CIN OVER 41.0
ML 463 OAK (-120) Southpoint vs 464 TEN double-dime bet
Analysis: I am KICKING myself for not giving out Oakland earlier at +1, but it IS a winner.
Oak is rated a 0 in my power ratings, Ten -4, so we make Oak -4 on a neutral, -2 @ Ten (2 point HFA)
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 25 2016 1:00PM
461 DEN / 462 CIN OVER 41.0
